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Wang FT, Lin Y, Gao RY, Wu XC, Wu TQ, Jiao YR, Li JY, Yin L, Chen CQ. Machine learning for temporary stoma after intestinal resection in surgical decision-making of Crohn's disease. BMC Gastroenterol 2025; 25:117. [PMID: 40000985 PMCID: PMC11863836 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-025-03668-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2023] [Accepted: 02/05/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Crohn's disease (CD) often necessitates surgical intervention, with temporary stoma creation after intestinal resection (IR) being a crucial decision. This study aimed to construct novel models based on machine learning (ML) to predict temporary stoma formation after IR for CD. METHODS Patient data who underwent IR for CD at our center between July 2017 and March 2023 were collected for inclusion in this retrospective study. Eligible CD patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. Feature selection was executed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. We employed three ML algorithms including traditional logistic regression, novel random forest and XG-Boost to create prediction models. The area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, recall, and F1 score were used to evaluate these models. SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) approach was used to assess feature importance. RESULTS A total of 252 patients with CD were included in the study, 150 of whom underwent temporary stoma creation after IR. Eight independent predictors emerged as the most valuable features. An AUC between 0.886 and 0.998 was noted among the three ML algorithms. The random forest (RF) algorithms demonstrated the most optimal performance (0.998 in the training cohort and 0.780 in the validation cohort). By employing the SHAP method, we identified the variables that contributed to the model and their correlation with temporary stoma formation after IR for CD. CONCLUSIONS The proposed RF model showed a good predictive ability for identifying patients at high risk for temporary stoma formation after IR for CD, which can assist in surgical decision-making in CD management, provide personalized guidance for temporary stoma formation, and improve patient outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fang-Tao Wang
- Department of Abdominal Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200072, China
| | - Yin Lin
- Department of General Surgery, Yangpu Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200090, China
| | - Ren-Yuan Gao
- Department of Abdominal Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200072, China
| | - Xiao-Cai Wu
- Department of Abdominal Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200072, China
| | - Tian-Qi Wu
- Department of Abdominal Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200072, China
| | - Yi-Ran Jiao
- Department of Abdominal Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200072, China
| | - Ji-Yuan Li
- Department of Abdominal Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200072, China
| | - Lu Yin
- Department of Abdominal Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200072, China
| | - Chun-Qiu Chen
- Department of Abdominal Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200072, China.
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Wang FT, Lin Y, Yuan XQ, Gao RY, Wu XC, Xu WW, Wu TQ, Xia K, Jiao YR, Yin L, Chen CQ. Predicting short-term major postoperative complications in intestinal resection for Crohn's disease: A machine learning-based study. World J Gastrointest Surg 2024; 16:717-730. [PMID: 38577067 PMCID: PMC10989335 DOI: 10.4240/wjgs.v16.i3.717] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Revised: 01/12/2024] [Accepted: 02/18/2024] [Indexed: 03/22/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Due to the complexity and numerous comorbidities associated with Crohn's disease (CD), the incidence of postoperative complications is high, significantly impacting the recovery and prognosis of patients. Consequently, additional studies are required to precisely predict short-term major complications following intestinal resection (IR), aiding surgical decision-making and optimizing patient care. AIM To construct novel models based on machine learning (ML) to predict short-term major postoperative complications in patients with CD following IR. METHODS A retrospective analysis was performed on clinical data derived from a patient cohort that underwent IR for CD from January 2017 to December 2022. The study participants were randomly allocated to either a training cohort or a validation cohort. The logistic regression and random forest (RF) were applied to construct models in the training cohort, with model discrimination evaluated using the area under the curves (AUC). The validation cohort assessed the performance of the constructed models. RESULTS Out of the 259 patients encompassed in the study, 5.0% encountered major postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo ≥ III) within 30 d following IR for CD. The AUC for the logistic model was 0.916, significantly lower than the AUC of 0.965 for the RF model. The logistic model incorporated a preoperative CD activity index (CDAI) of ≥ 220, a diminished preoperative serum albumin level, conversion to laparotomy surgery, and an extended operation time. A nomogram for the logistic model was plotted. Except for the surgical approach, the other three variables ranked among the top four important variables in the novel ML model. CONCLUSION Both the nomogram and RF exhibited good performance in predicting short-term major postoperative complications in patients with CD, with the RF model showing more superiority. A preoperative CDAI of ≥ 220, a diminished preoperative serum albumin level, and an extended operation time might be the most crucial variables. The findings of this study can assist clinicians in identifying patients at a higher risk for complications and offering personalized perioperative management to enhance patient outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fang-Tao Wang
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Yin Lin
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Xiao-Qi Yuan
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Ren-Yuan Gao
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Xiao-Cai Wu
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Wei-Wei Xu
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Tian-Qi Wu
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Kai Xia
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Yi-Ran Jiao
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Lu Yin
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
| | - Chun-Qiu Chen
- Diagnostic and Treatment Center for Refractory Diseases of Abdomen Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200072, China
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Pellino G, Rottoli M, Mineccia M, Frontali A, Celentano V, Colombo F, Baldi C, Ardizzone S, Martí Gallostra M, Espín-Basany E, Ferrero A, Panis Y, Poggioli G, Sampietro GM. Segmental Versus Total Colectomy for Crohn's Disease in the Biologic Era: Results From The SCOTCH International, Multicentric Study. J Crohns Colitis 2022; 16:1853-1861. [PMID: 35819368 DOI: 10.1093/ecco-jcc/jjac096] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The extent of resection in colonic Crohn's disease [cCD] is still a topic of debate, depending on the number of locations, the risk of recurrence and permanent stoma, and the role of medical therapy. METHODS The Segmental COlecTomy for CroHn's disease [SCOTCH] international study is a retrospective analysis on six tertiary centre prospective databases, comprising all consecutive, unselected patients operated on between 2000 and 2019 with segmental colectomy [SC] or total colectomy [TC] for cCD. The primary aim was long-term surgical recurrence. Secondary aims were perioperative complications, stoma formation and predictors of recurrence. RESULTS Among 687 patients, SC was performed in 285 [41.5%] and TC in 402 [58.5%]. Mean age at diagnosis and surgery, disease duration, and follow-up were 30 ± 15.8, 40.4 ± 15.4, 10.4 ± 8.6 and 7.1 ± 5.2 years respectively. Isolated cCD, inflammatory pattern, perianal CD, younger age, longer disease duration and preoperative maximal therapy were more frequent in TC, while SC presented more small bowel locations and perforating disease, required fewer 90-day re-admissions, and fewer temporary and definitive stomas. Morbidity and mortality were similar. The 15-year surgical recurrence was 44% in TC and 27% in SC [p = 0.006]. In patients with one to three diseased segments, recurrence risk was related to the omission of biological therapy (hazard ratio [HR] 5.6), the number of segments [HR 2.5], perianal disease [HR 1.9] and paediatric diagnosis [HR 2.8]. CONCLUSION When technically feasible, SC is safe and reduces temporary and permanent stoma. Young age, number of locations and perianal disease adversely affect, but postoperative biological therapy significantly reduces, the long-term surgical recurrence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gianluca Pellino
- Department of Advanced Medical and Surgical Sciences, Università degli Studi della Campania 'Luigi Vanvitelli', Naples, Italy
- Colorectal Unit, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona UAB, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Matteo Rottoli
- Surgery of the Alimentary Tract, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Michela Mineccia
- Division of General and Oncologic Surgery, Ospedale Mauriziano 'Umberto I'. Torino, Italy
| | - Alice Frontali
- Division of General Surgery, 'Luigi Sacco' University Hospital, Milano, Italy
- Service de Chirurgie Colorectale, Hôpital Beaujon, Clichy and Université de Paris, France
| | - Valerio Celentano
- Portsmouth Hospital NHS Trust, Portsmouth, UK
- Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, UK
| | - Francesco Colombo
- Division of General Surgery, 'Luigi Sacco' University Hospital, Milano, Italy
| | - Caterina Baldi
- Division of General Surgery, 'Luigi Sacco' University Hospital, Milano, Italy
- Division of General and HPB Surgery, ASST Rhodense, Rho Memorial Hospital, Milano, Italy
| | - Sandro Ardizzone
- Division of Gastroenterology, ASST Fatebenefratelli Sacco - Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences 'Luigi Sacco' University of Milan, Italy
| | - Marc Martí Gallostra
- Colorectal Unit, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona UAB, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Eloy Espín-Basany
- Colorectal Unit, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona UAB, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Alessandro Ferrero
- Division of General and Oncologic Surgery, Ospedale Mauriziano 'Umberto I'. Torino, Italy
| | - Yves Panis
- Service de Chirurgie Colorectale, Hôpital Beaujon, Clichy and Université de Paris, France
| | - Gilberto Poggioli
- Surgery of the Alimentary Tract, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Gianluca M Sampietro
- Division of General Surgery, 'Luigi Sacco' University Hospital, Milano, Italy
- Division of General and HPB Surgery, ASST Rhodense, Rho Memorial Hospital, Milano, Italy
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Wang W, Kou F, Wang J, Quan Z, Zhao S, Wang Y, Hu X, Sun H, Cao L. Pretreatment with millet-derived selenylated soluble dietary fiber ameliorates dextran sulfate sodium-induced colitis in mice by regulating inflammation and maintaining gut microbiota balance. Front Nutr 2022; 9:928601. [PMID: 36159466 PMCID: PMC9494682 DOI: 10.3389/fnut.2022.928601] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2022] [Accepted: 08/08/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Inflammatory activation and intestinal flora imbalance play key roles in the development and progression of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Soluble dietary fiber (SDF) and selenium have been proven to be effective for preventing and relieving IBD. This study investigated and compared the therapeutic efficacy of millet-derived selenylated-soluble dietary fiber (Se-SDF) against dextran sulfate sodium (DSS)-induced colitis in mice alone or through the synergistic interaction between selenium and SDF. In female mice, Se-SDF markedly alleviated body weight loss, decreased colon length, reduced histological damage scores, and enhanced IL-10 expression to maintain the barrier function of intestinal mucosa compared to male mice. The 16S rRNA sequence analysis further indicated that pretreatment with Se-SDF restored the gut microbiota composition in female mice by increasing the relative abundance of Lactobacillus and the Firmicutes/Bacteroidetes ratio. In conclusion, these findings demonstrated that Se-SDF can protect against DSS-induced colitis in female mice by regulating inflammation and maintaining gut microbiota balance. This study, therefore, provides new insights into the development of Se-SDF as a supplement for the prevention and treatment of colitis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Weihao Wang
- College of Food Science, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
- National Coarse Cereals Engineering Research Center, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
| | - Fang Kou
- College of Food Science, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
- Department of Marine Food Science and Technology, Gangneung-Wonju National University, Gangneung, South Korea
| | - Juan Wang
- College of Food Science, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
| | - Zhigang Quan
- College of Food Science, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
| | - Shuting Zhao
- College of Food Science, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
| | - Yifei Wang
- College of Food Science, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
| | - Xin Hu
- College of Food Science, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
| | - Hunan Sun
- College of Food Science, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
- College of Life Science and Biotechnology, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
- Hunan Sun,
| | - Longkui Cao
- College of Food Science, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
- National Coarse Cereals Engineering Research Center, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, China
- *Correspondence: Longkui Cao,
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Bak MTJ, Ruiterkamp MFE, van Ruler O, Campmans-Kuijpers MJE, Bongers BC, van Meeteren NLU, van der Woude CJ, Stassen LPS, de Vries AC. Prehabilitation prior to intestinal resection in Crohn's disease patients: An opinion review. World J Gastroenterol 2022; 28:2403-2416. [PMID: 35979261 PMCID: PMC9258284 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v28.i22.2403] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2022] [Revised: 03/21/2022] [Accepted: 05/22/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Patients with Crohn's disease (CD) are at a considerable risk for intestinal surgery. Approximately 25% of patients with CD will undergo an intestinal resection within 10 years of diagnosis. Postoperative complications after CD surgery have been reported in 20%-47% of the patients. Both general and CD-related risk factors are associated with postoperative complications, and comprise non-modifiable (e.g., age) and potentially modifiable risk factors (e.g., malnutrition). Prehabilitation focuses on the preoperative period with strategies designed to optimize modifiable risk factors concerning the physical and mental condition of the individual patient. The aim of prehabilitation is to enhance postoperative recovery and return to or even improve preoperative functional capacity. Preoperative improvement of nutritional status, physical fitness, cessation of smoking, psychological support, and critical revision of preoperative use of CD medication are important strategies. Studies of the effect on postoperative outcome in CD patients are scarce, and guidelines lack recommendations on tailored management. In this opinion review, we review the current evidence on the impact of screening and management of nutritional status, physical fitness, CD medication and laboratory values on the postoperative course following an intestinal resection in CD patients. In addition, we aim to provide guidance for individualized multimodal prehabilitation in clinical practice concerning these modifiable factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michiel T J Bak
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3015 GD, Netherlands
| | - Marit F E Ruiterkamp
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3015 GD, Netherlands
| | - Oddeke van Ruler
- Department of Surgery, IJsselland Hospital, Capelle aan den IJssel 2906 ZC, Netherlands
- Department of Surgery, Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3015 GD, Netherlands
| | - Marjo J E Campmans-Kuijpers
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Medical Center Groningen and University of Groningen, Groningen 9713 GZ, Netherlands
| | - Bart C Bongers
- Department of Nutrition and Movement Sciences, School of Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University, Maastricht 6200 MD, Netherlands
- Department of Epidemiology, Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht University, Maastricht 6200 MD, Netherlands
| | - Nico L U van Meeteren
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3015 GD, Netherlands
| | - C Janneke van der Woude
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3015 GD, Netherlands
| | - Laurents P S Stassen
- Department of Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht 6229 HX, Netherlands
| | - Annemarie C de Vries
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3015 GD, Netherlands
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