Is expedited early discharge following elective surgery for colorectal cancer safe? An analysis of short-term outcomes

Early Postoperative Prediction of Complications and Readmission After Colorectal Cancer Surgery Using an Artificial Neural Network

BACKGROUND

Early predictors of postoperative complications can risk-stratify patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery. However, conventional regression models have limited power to identify complex nonlinear relationships among a large set of variables. We developed artificial neural network models to optimize the prediction of major postoperative complications and risk of readmission in patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to develop an artificial neural network model to predict postoperative complications using postoperative laboratory values and compare the accuracy of models to standard regression methods.

DESIGN

This retrospective study included patients who underwent elective colorectal cancer resection between January 1, 2016, and July 31, 2021. Clinical data, cancer stage, and laboratory data from postoperative days 1 to 3 were collected. Complications and readmission risk models were created using multivariable logistic regression and single-layer neural networks.

SETTING

National Cancer Institute-Designated Comprehensive Cancer Center.

PATIENTS

Adult patients with colorectal cancer.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The accuracy of predicting postoperative major complications, readmissions, and anastomotic leaks using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

Neural networks had larger areas under the curve for predicting major complications compared to regression models (neural network 0.811; regression model 0.724, p < 0.001). Neural networks also showed an advantage in predicting anastomotic leak ( p = 0.036) and readmission using postoperative day 1 to 2 values ( p = 0.014).

LIMITATIONS

Single-center, retrospective design limited to cancer operations.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we generated a set of models for the early prediction of complications after colorectal surgery. The neural network models provided greater discrimination than the models based on traditional logistic regression. These models may allow for early detection of postoperative complications as early as postoperative day 2. See the Video Abstract .

PREDICCIN POST OPERATORIA TEMPRANA DE COMPLICACIONES Y REINGRESO DESPUS DE LA CIRUGA DE CNCER COLORRECTAL MEDIANTE UNA RED NEURONAL ARTIFICIAL

ANTECEDENTES:Los predictores tempranos de complicaciones postoperatorias pueden estratificar el riesgo de los pacientes sometidos a cirugía de cáncer colorrectal. Sin embargo, los modelos de regresión convencionales tienen un poder limitado para identificar relaciones no lineales complejas entre un gran conjunto de variables. Desarrollamos modelos de redes neuronales artificiales para optimizar la predicción de complicaciones postoperatorias importantes y riesgo de reingreso en pacientes sometidos a cirugía de cáncer colorrectal.OBJETIVO:El objetivo de este estudio fue desarrollar un modelo de red neuronal artificial para predecir complicaciones postoperatorias utilizando valores de laboratorio postoperatorios y comparar la precisión de estos modelos con los métodos de regresión estándar.DISEÑO:Este estudio retrospectivo incluyó a pacientes que se sometieron a resección electiva de cáncer colorrectal entre el 1 de enero de 2016 y el 31 de julio de 2021. Se recopilaron datos clínicos, estadio del cáncer y datos de laboratorio del día 1 al 3 posoperatorio. Se crearon modelos de complicaciones y riesgo de reingreso mediante regresión logística multivariable y redes neuronales de una sola capa.AJUSTE:Instituto Nacional del Cáncer designado Centro Oncológico Integral.PACIENTES:Pacientes adultos con cáncer colorrectal.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Precisión de la predicción de complicaciones mayores postoperatorias, reingreso y fuga anastomótica utilizando el área bajo la curva característica operativa del receptor.RESULTADOS:Las redes neuronales tuvieron áreas bajo la curva más grandes para predecir complicaciones importantes en comparación con los modelos de regresión (red neuronal 0,811; modelo de regresión 0,724, p < 0,001). Las redes neuronales también mostraron una ventaja en la predicción de la fuga anastomótica ( p = 0,036) y el reingreso utilizando los valores del día 1-2 postoperatorio ( p = 0,014).LIMITACIONES:Diseño retrospectivo de un solo centro limitado a operaciones de cáncer.CONCLUSIONES:En este estudio, generamos un conjunto de modelos para la predicción temprana de complicaciones después de la cirugía colorrectal. Los modelos de redes neuronales proporcionaron una mayor discriminación que los modelos basados en regresión logística tradicional. Estos modelos pueden permitir la detección temprana de complicaciones posoperatorias tan pronto como el segundo día posoperatorio. (Traducción-Dr. Mauricio Santamaria ).

OUP accepted manuscript

Background

Early postoperative discharge after colorectal surgery within the enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) guidelines has been demonstrated to be safe, although its applicability has not been universal. The primary aim of this study was to identify the predictors of early discharge and readiness for discharge in a study population.

Methods

Early discharge was defined as discharge occurring in 72 h or less after surgery. The characteristics and clinical outcomes of the patients in the early and non-early discharge groups were compared, and variables associated with early discharge were identified. Additionally, independent variables associated with the readiness for discharge within 48 h were evaluated.

Results

Of 965 patients who underwent colorectal surgery between January 2015 and July 2020, 788 were included in this study. No differences in readmission, reoperation, or 30-day mortality were observed between the early and non-early discharge groups. Both early discharge and readiness for discharge had a positive association with adherence to 80 per cent or more of the ERAS items and a negative association with the female sex, duration of surgery, drain positioning, and postoperative complications.

Conclusion

Early discharge after colorectal surgery is safe and feasible, and is not associated with a high risk of readmission or reoperation. Discharge at 48 h can be reliably predicted in a subset of patients. Future studies should collect prospective data on early discharge related to safety, as well as patients’ expectations, possible organizational issues, and effective costs reduction in Italian clinical practice.

Laparoscopic colorectal surgery and discharge within 24 h-who is at risk for readmission?

AIM

The aim was to describe risk factors for hospital readmission in patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal procedures and being discharged in ≤24 h.

METHOD

All consecutive patients undergoing minimally invasive colorectal surgery between 2010 and 2019 from a single institution were retrospectively reviewed. All patients were included in an enhanced recovery programme. Patients who met criteria for hospital discharge were compared according to the need for readmission in a 45-day follow-up.

RESULTS

In all, 664 patients underwent minimally invasive colorectal surgery during the study period and 237 (35.7%) were discharged in ≤24 h. Readmission was required in 16 (6.8%) patients discharged in ≤24 h and no postoperative mortality was observed in this group. Patients discharged in ≤24 h were more likely to have benign disease (P < 0.001), fewer associated procedures (P < 0.025) and intracorporeal anastomoses (P < 0.001). The type of surgical procedure (abdominoperineal resection), low rectal tumour, malignant disease, older age and longer operating time were associated with readmission. Age (OR 1.06; P = 0.037), malignant disease (OR 4.39; P = 0.05) and operating time (OR 1.03; P < 0.001) were identified as independent predictive factors for readmission amongst patients being discharged in ≤24 h.

CONCLUSION

Highly selected patients undergoing minimally invasive procedures in colorectal surgery may be safely discharged within 24 h following the procedure. High-risk features for readmission include older age, malignant disease and longer operating time.

Transition from hospital to home after elective colorectal surgery performed in an enhanced recovery program: An integrative review

AIM

This study aimed to investigate the transition from hospital to home after elective colorectal surgery performed in an Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) programme.

DESIGN

An integrative review.

METHODS

A search of ten electronic databases was conducted. Data extraction and quality assessment were performed independently by two authors. Data analysis and synthesis were based on Meleis' Transitions Theory (2010).

RESULTS

Forty-two articles were included, and most (N = 27) were of good or very good quality. The researchers identified five categories to document the nature of transition postsurgery, three conditions affecting such transition, eleven indicators informing about the quality of the transition and several nursing interventions. Overall, this review revealed that the transition from hospital to home after ERAS colorectal surgery is complex. A holistic understanding of this phenomenon may help nurses to recognize what they need to do to optimize the in-home recovery of this clientele.

Validity and Utility Testing of a Criteria-led Discharge Checklist to Determine Post-operative Recovery after Abdominal Surgery: an International Multicentre Prospective Cohort Trial

BACKGROUND

Criteria-led discharge (CLD) has promising potential to reduce unnecessary hospital stay after abdominal surgery; however, the validity and utility of CLD is uncertain as studies are limited to small single-centre studies involving predominantly elective colorectal surgery.

METHODS

This prospective international multicentre cohort study explored the relationship between a CLD checklist, post-operative recovery, and hospital length of stay using patient-level data from four clinical trials involving 1071 adults undergoing all types of emergency and elective abdominal surgery at five hospitals across Australia and New Zealand. Patients were assessed daily for 21 post-operative days using a standardised CLD checklist. Surgeons and hospital clinicians were masked to findings. Criterion, construct, and content validity of the checklist to accurately reflect discharge decisions by surgical teams, assess physiological recovery, and encompass parameters signalling physiological readiness to discharge were tested. Potential utility of CLD to minimise unnecessary hospital stay was assessed by comparing day of readiness to discharge to actual day of discharge.

RESULTS

The CLD checklist had concordance with existing discharge planning practices and accurately measured a longer post-operative recovery in more complex clinical situations. The CLD checklist in its current format did not detect all legitimate medical and surgical reasons necessitating a continued stay in hospital. Day of readiness to discharge was 0.8 days (95% CI 0.7 to 0.9, p < 0.001) less than actual day of discharge.

CONCLUSION

A CLD checklist has excellent criterion and construct validity in measuring physiological recovery following all types of major elective and emergency abdominal surgery. Content validity could be improved. The use of CLD has the potential to reduce unnecessary hospital stay although the safety of discharging patients according to the criteria requires investigation prior to implementation.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Trials were prospectively registered at the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (LIPPSMAck POP 12613000664741, ICEAGE 12615000318583, PLASTIC 12619001344189, NIPPER PLUS 12617000269336).

Is Same-Day and Next-Day Discharge After Laparoscopic Colectomy Reasonable in Select Patients?

BACKGROUND

Discharge on postoperative day 3 after laparoscopic colorectal resections is now common, and same-day discharge has been proposed recently as an option.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to determine the safety of same-day and next-day discharge after laparoscopic colorectal surgery and to delineate which characteristics may make a patient eligible for this pathway.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study.

SETTINGS

The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project Targeted Colectomy Participant User File was used.

PATIENTS

Patients underwent elective laparoscopic colorectal resection and were discharged without complications on or before postoperative day 5 (early discharge: postoperative day 0 or 1, intermediate: postoperative day 2, standard: postoperative day 3 to 5).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Early readmission (on or before postoperative day 7), anastomotic leak, ileus, and overall readmission were measured.

RESULTS

Of 36,526 patients total, 906 (2.5%) were discharged on postoperative day 0 or 1. Patients discharged on postoperative day 0/1 tended to have shorter-duration operations, a diagnostic indication more commonly of benign neoplasm, and underwent less low pelvic anastomoses. The readmission rate within 7 days was only 2%. Overall rates of anastomotic leak (0.6% early, 1.0% intermediate, 1.2% standard), ileus (1.9% early, 1.5% intermediate, 2.1% standard), and readmission (early 4.8%, intermediate 5.1%, standard 5.8%) were equivalent to decreased in patients discharged early versus those discharged in the intermediate or standard discharge groups. On multivariable analysis, dismissal day remained a noncontributory-to-protective factor against anastomotic leak, ileus, and readmission.

LIMITATIONS

Specific follow-up pathways used were unknown, and selection bias exists in deciding what day patients can be discharged.

CONCLUSIONS

Discharge on the same day or next day after surgery was not associated with increased risk compared with discharge on postoperative day 3 to 5, and it did not result in a high rate of early readmissions. Increased use of expedited discharge pathways would reduce hospital costs and resource use. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B331. ¿ES RAZONABLE EL ALTA EL MISMO DíA O AL DíA SIGUIENTE, DESPUéS DE LA COLECTOMíA LAPAROSCóPICA EN PACIENTES SELECCIONADOS: Es común el alta hospitalaria en el 3er día postoperatorio, después de resecciones colorrectales laparoscópicas. Recientemente se ha propuesto como una opción, el alta el mismo día.Determinar la seguridad de alta el mismo día o al día siguiente después de la cirugía colorrectal laparoscópica, y delinear qué características pueden hacer que un paciente sea elegible para esta vía.Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo.American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project Targeted Colectomy Participant User File.Se sometieron a resección colorrectal laparoscópica electiva, y se dieron de alta sin complicaciones durante el 5° día postoperatorio o antes (alta temprana: día 0 o 1 postoperatorio; intermedia: día 2 postoperatorio; estándar: día 3-5 postoperatorio).Reingreso temprano (en o antes del día 7 postoperatorio), fuga anastomótica, íleo y reingreso general.De 36,526 pacientes en total, 906 (2.5%) fueron dados de alta en el día 0 o 1 postoperatorio. Los pacientes dados de alta en el día 0/1 postoperatorio, tendieron a presentar operaciones de menor duración, indicación diagnóstica más frecuente de neoplasia benigna, y sometidos a menos anastomosis de pelvis baja. La tasa de readmisión dentro de los siete días, fue del 2%. Las tasas generales de fuga anastomótica (0.6% temprana, 1.0% intermedia, 1.2% estándar), íleo (1.9% temprana, 1.5% intermedia, 2.1% estándar) y reingreso (temprana 4.8%, intermedia 5.1%, estándar 5.8%) fueron equivalentes a la disminución en pacientes dados de alta temprana, versus aquellos dados de alta en los grupos intermedia o estándar. En el análisis multivariable, el día de alta no contribuyó al factor protector contra la fuga anastomótica, el íleo y el reingreso.Se desconocen las vías de seguimiento específicas utilizadas y existe un sesgo de selección al decidir en qué día se puede dar de alta a los pacientes.El alta el mismo día o al día siguiente después de la cirugía, no se asoció con un mayor riesgo, en comparación con el alta en el postoperatorio en los días 3-5, y no dio lugar a una alta tasa de reingresos tempranos. Mayor utilización de las vías de alta acelerada, reducirían costos hospitalarios y utilización de recursos. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B331. (Traducción-Dr Fidel Ruiz Healy).

Hospital Length of Stay Reduction Over Time and Patient Readmission for Severe Adverse Events Following Surgery

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to investigate whether patients who undergo surgery in hospitals experiencing significant length of stay (LOS) reductions over time are exposed to a higher risk of severe adverse events in the postoperative period.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Surgical care innovation has encouraged hospitals to shorten LOS under financial pressures with uncertain impact on patient outcomes.

METHODS

We selected all patients who underwent elective colectomy or urgent hip fracture repair in French hospitals between 2013 and 2016. For each procedure, hospitals were categorized into 3 groups according to variations in their median LOS as follows: major decrease, moderate decrease, and no decrease. These groups were matched using propensity scores based on patients' and hospitals' potential confounders. Potentially avoidable readmission for severe adverse events and death at 6 months were compared between groups using Cox regressions.

RESULTS

We considered 98,713 patients in 540 hospitals for colectomy and 206,812 patients in 414 hospitals for hip fracture repair before matching. After colectomy, patient outcomes were not negatively impacted when hospitals reduced their LOS [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 0.93 (0.78-1.10)]. After hip fracture repair, patients in hospitals with major decreases in LOS had a higher risk of severe adverse events [1.22 (1.11-1.34)] and death [1.17 (1.04-1.32)].

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who underwent surgical procedures in hospitals experiencing major decreases in LOS were demonstrated worse postoperative outcomes after urgent hip fracture repair and not after elective colectomy. Development of care bundles to enhance recovery after emergency surgeries may allow better control of LOS reduction and patient outcomes.

Identification of patients eligible for discharge within 48 h of colorectal resection

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to identify patients eligible for a 48-h stay after colorectal resection, to provide guidance for early discharge planning.

METHODS

A bi-institutional retrospective cohort study was undertaken of consecutive patients undergoing major elective colorectal resection for benign or malignant pathology within a comprehensive enhanced recovery pathway between 2011 and 2017. Overall and severe (Clavien-Dindo grade IIIb or above) postoperative complication and readmission rates were compared between patients who were discharged within 48 h and those who had hospital stay of 48 h or more. Multinominal logistic regression analysis was performed to ascertain significant factors associated with a short hospital stay (less than 48 h).

RESULTS

In total, 686 of 5122 patients (13·4 per cent) were discharged within 48 h. Independent factors favouring a short hospital stay were age below 60 years (odds ratio (OR) 1·34; P = 0·002), ASA grade less than III (OR 1·42; P = 0·003), restrictive fluid management (less than 3000 ml on day of surgery: OR 1·46; P < 0·001), duration of surgery less than 180 min (OR 1·89; P < 0·001), minimally invasive approach (OR 1·92; P < 0·001) and wound contamination grade below III (OR 4·50; P < 0·001), whereas cancer diagnosis (OR 0·55; P < 0·001) and malnutrition (BMI below 18 kg/m² : OR 0·42; P = 0·008) decreased the likelihood of early discharge. Patients with a 48-h stay had fewer overall (10·8 per cent versus 30·6 per cent in those with a longer stay; P < 0·001) and fewer severe (2·6 versus 10·2 per cent respectively; P < 0·001) complications, and a lower readmission rate (9·0 versus 11·8 per cent; P = 0·035).

CONCLUSION

Early discharge of selected patients is safe and does not increase postoperative morbidity or readmission rates. In these patients, outpatient colorectal surgery should be feasible on a large scale with logistical optimization.