Analysis of esophagogastric cancer patients enrolled in the National Cancer Institute Cancer Therapy Evaluation Program sponsored phase 1 trials

Prognostic Significance of the Royal Marsden Hospital (RMH) Score in Patients with Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Cancer remains a leading cause of death globally, necessitating the identification of prognostic biomarkers to guide treatment decisions. The Royal Marsden Hospital (RMH) score, based on readily available blood tests and clinical features, has emerged as a prognostic tool, although its performance across variable clinical scenarios is not thoroughly delineated. Therefore, we aimed to systematically assess the association between RMH score and survival in cancer patients.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature search across Pubmed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases for studies published up to 15 February 2024. We performed a meta-analysis with the generic inverse variance method with a random-effects model and reported hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Nineteen studies encompassing 127,230 patients were included. A higher RMH score was significantly associated with worse overall survival (OS) (HR: 2.09, 95% CI: 1.87-2.33, p < 0.001) and progression-free survival (PFS) (HR: 1.80, 95% CI: 1.48-2.18, p < 0.001). This association was consistent across various subgroups, including study population (clinical trial vs. real-world cohort), geographic region, and tumor type.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis, including over a hundred thousand patients, demonstrates a negative association between a higher RMH score and survival in cancer patients. The RMH score holds promise as a readily available prognostic tool across diverse cancer types and clinical settings. Future research should focus on validating and refining this score to aid clinical decision-making.

Comparison of Four Clinical Prognostic Scores in Patients with Advanced Gastric and Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Prognostic scores that can identify patients at risk for early death are needed to aid treatment decision-making and patient selection for clinical trials. We compared the accuracy of four scores to predict early death (within 90 days) and overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic gastric and esophageal (GE) cancer.

METHODS

Advanced GE cancer patients receiving first-line systemic therapy were included. Prognostic risks were calculated using: Royal Marsden Hospital (RMH), MD Anderson Cancer Centre (MDACC), Gustave Roussy Immune (GRIm-Score), and MD Anderson Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor (MDA-ICI) scores. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze associations between prognostic scores and OS. The predictive discrimination was estimated using Harrell's c-index. Predictive ability for early death was measured using time-dependent AUCs.

RESULTS

In total, 451 patients with metastatic GE cancer were included. High risk patients had shorter OS for all scores (RMH high- vs. low-risk median OS 7.9 vs. 12.2 months, P < .001; MDACC 6.8 vs. 11.9 months P < .001; GRIm-Score 5.3 vs. 13 months, P < .001; MDA-ICI 8.2 vs. 12.2 months, P < .001). On multivariable analysis, each prognostic score was significantly associated with OS. The GRIm-Score had the highest predictive discrimination and predictive ability for early death.

CONCLUSIONS

The GRIm-Score had the highest accuracy in predicting early death and OS. Clinicians may use this score to identify patients at higher risk of early death to guide treatment decisions including clinical trial enrolment. This score could also be used as a stratification factor in future clinical trial designs.

Clinical outcome and prognostic factors for Asian patients in Phase I clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Patient selection is key in Phase I studies, and prognosis can be difficult to estimate in heavily pre-treated patients. Previous prognostic models like the Royal Marsden Hospital (RMH) score or using the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have not been validated in current novel therapies nor in the Asian Phase I population.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of 414 patients with solid tumours participating in Phase I studies at our centre between October 2013 and December 2020.

RESULTS

The RMH model showed poorer prognosis with increasing scores [RMH score 1, HR 1.28 (95% CI: 0.96-1.70); RMH score 2, HR 2.27 (95% CI: 1.62-3.17); RMH score 3, HR 4.14 (95% CI: 2.62-6.53)]. NLR did not improve the AUC of the model. Poorer ECOG status (ECOG 1 vs. 0: HR = 1.59 (95% CI = 1.24-2.04), P < 0.001) and primary tumour site (GI vs. breast cancer: HR = 3.06, 95% CI = 2.16-4.35, P < 0.001) were prognostic.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a NCIS prognostic score with excellent prognostic ability for both short-term and longer-term survival (iAUC: 0.71 [95% CI 0.65-0.76]), and validated the RMH model in the largest Asian study to date.

Blood-based Markers in the Prognostic Prediction of Esophagogastric Junction Cancer

Esophagogastric junction cancer poses a great threat to human beings both in western countries and East Asia, especially in China and Japan, and its incidence has increased during recent decades. The 5-year survival rate of esophagogastric junction cancer is quite poor compared with that of other gastric cancer sites. Until now, the traditional TNM staging system has been widely used in clinical practice for prognosis. However, the TNM system is based on pathology after surgical resection or radiology using CT and MRI, not on blood markers. Evidently, some research has been reported concentrated on the prognostic value of blood-based markers with the character of non-invasive and non-radioactive in EJA. Hematologic, biochemical and coagulation parameters could be obtained from clinical data and utilized to analyze their prognostic values. Tumor-associated antigens, microRNAs and circulating tumor cells have also been reported in EJC prognosis. In this article, we review research focused on blood-based markers to evaluate their prognostic value in esophagogastric junction cancer, especially its main subtype adenocarcinoma.