The modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) is a good predictor of indication for palliative bypass surgery in patients with unresectable pancreatic and biliary cancers

Which preoperative immunonutritional index best predicts postoperative mortality after palliative surgery for malignant bowel obstruction in patients with late-stage cancer? A single-center study in Japan comparing the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and the controlling nutritional status (CONUT)

PURPOSE

To compare the utility of preoperative immunonutritional parameter measures for predicting postoperative mortality following palliative surgery (PS) for malignant bowel obstruction (MBO) in patients with late-stage cancer.

METHODS

The subjects of this retrospective study were 83 late-stage cancer patients with MBO who underwent PS between January, 2005 and December, 2018, at a single institution in Japan. We compared the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) for predicting postoperative mortality following PS in these patients.

RESULTS

The most prevalent cancer in the patients who underwent PS was colorectal cancer (54.2%), followed by gastric cancer (24.1%). Postoperative complications of Clavien-Dindo classification grade ≥ 2 developed in 32 (38.6%) patients and stoma-related complications developed in 26 (31.3%) patients. There were 15 (18.1%) patients with 60-day mortality, 22 (26.5%) with 90-day mortality, and 4 (4.8%) with 30-day mortality. Multivariable analysis identified only mGPS as being associated with 60-day mortality (odds ratio, 9.387; 95% confidence interval, 0.001-4.478; p = 0.049). The overall survival of patients with a mGPS score of 2 was significantly worse than that of those with a mGPS score of < 2 (p = 0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that the mGPS is a good predictor not only of 60-day mortality, but also of the overall survival of patients with late-stage cancer and MBO.

Prognostic role of modified Glasgow Prognostic score in elderly non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with anti-PD-1 antibodies

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate whether the immunosenescence-related score is a critical prognostic predictor of anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) axis inhibitors in elderly patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

We reviewed 51 patients with advanced NSCLC aged ≥75 years, who were treated with nivolumab or pembrolizumab at the National Cancer Center Hospital between December 2015 and April 2019. Factors such as modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) were used to assess immunosenescence.

RESULTS

The objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) of all patients were 25.4% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 14.3-39.6) and 52.9% (95% CI: 38.5-67.1), respectively. High mGPS (score of 2) was associated with low DCR compared to low mGPS (score of 0-1) (26.0% vs. 54.0%, p = 0.03). However, none of these scores were significantly related to the ORR. High mGPS was significantly linked to shorter median progression-free survival (mPFS) (4.2 mos. vs. 12.7 mos, p < 0.01), and median overall survival (mOS) (4.8 mos. vs. 28.1 mos, p = 0.03). However, neither CCI nor NLR was associated with prognosis. Multivariate regression analysis identified high mGPS as a significant prognostic factor for mOS (hazard ratio, HR: 0.31 [95% CI: 0.13-0.71], p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

High mGPS scores significantly impaired DCR, mPFS, and mOS in patients with advanced NSCLC treated with anti-PD-1 antibodies.

Efficacy of active hexose correlated compound on survival of patients with resectable/borderline resectable pancreatic cancer: a study protocol for a double-blind randomized phase II study

Background

The prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma remains very poor. One possible reason for the short survival of patients with this disease is malnutrition, which can be present at the initial diagnosis, and continue after pancreatectomy. Then, it is important to improve nutritional status and to decrease adverse events during neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy. Active hexose correlated compound (AHCC) is a standardized extract of cultured Lentinula edodes mycelia, and is considered a potent biological response modifier in the treatment of cancer. To evaluate the survival impact of AHCC on the patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, we plan to perform this trial.

Methods

This is a prospective multicenter phase II trial in patients with resectable/borderline resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma to investigate the efficacy of AHCC regarding survival. Patients will begin taking AHCC or placebo on the first day of neoadjuvant therapy. AHCC or placebo will be continued until 2 years after surgery. The primary endpoint will be 2-year disease-free survival. The secondary endpoints are the completion rate, dose intensity, and adverse event profile of preoperative chemotherapy; response rate to preoperative chemotherapy; rate of decrease in tumor marker (carbohydrate antigen 19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen) concentrations during preoperative chemotherapy; entry rate, completion rate, dose intensity, and adverse event profile of adjuvant chemotherapy; safety of the protocol therapy (adverse effect of AHCC); 2-year overall survival rate; and nutrition score before and after preoperative chemotherapy, and before and after adjuvant chemotherapy. We will enroll 230 patients, and the study involves eight leading Japanese institutions that are all high-volume centers in pancreatic surgery.

Discussion

AHCC is expected to function as a supportive food in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, to reduce the proportion of severe adverse events related to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and to increase the completion proportion of multimodal treatments, resulting in improved survival.

Trial registration

The trial protocol has been registered in the protocol registration system at the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (Trial ID: jRCTs051200029). At the time of the submission of this paper (October 2020), the protocol version is 2.0. The completion date is estimated to be November 2024.

Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) for Prognostication of Adult Oncology Patients With Palliative Intent in a Regional Victorian Hospital, Australia

BACKGROUND

Accurate prognostication is essential in caring for palliative patients. Various prognostication tools have been validated in many settings in the past few years. Biomarkers of inflammation (albumin and C-reactive protein) are combined to calculate the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), which has been found to be a simple prognostic tool in this population.

OBJECTIVE

This retrospective cohort study was to evaluate mGPS as a prognostication tool for cancer patients admitted to an acute hospital in regional Australia.

METHODS

Adult cancer patients admitted to an acute Australian regional hospital during 2017 who had albumin and C-reactive protein (CRP) tested were included. The mGPS was calculated based on their admission values and discharge values. Based on their score (0-2), groups were compared using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis for prognostication. Kaplan-Meier survival plots and median survival time from admission and discharge were constructed.

RESULTS

A total of 170 patient records were reviewed of which 95 had admission and discharge mGPS scores available for analysis. Of those, 86 had died at the time of data analysis. The median survival for admission mGPS 0, 1, 2 was 168,156 and 74 days. For discharge mGPS 0, 1, 2 medians were 168,119 and 70 days. On multi variate analysis admission mGPS 2 showed Hazard ratio of 2.29 (95% CI 1.16-4.56, p -0.02) and discharge mGPS 2 of 2.07 (95% CI 0.95-4.50, p value 0.07).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, mGPS was able to differentiate cancer patients into various prognostic groups. Further studies in regional acute hospitals could validate this prospectively with a multi-center larger sample size.

Improving the value of palliative surgery by optimizing patient selection: The role of long-term survival on high impact palliative intent operations

BACKGROUND

In order to better characterize outcomes of palliative surgery (PS), we evaluated patients that experienced top quartile survival to elucidate predictors of high impact PS.

METHODS

All PS performed on advanced cancer patients from 2003 to 2017 were identified from a PS database.

RESULTS

167 patients were identified. Multivariate analysis demonstrated the ability to rise from a chair was independently associated with top quartile survival (HR 7.61, 95% CI 2.12-48.82, p=0.008) as was the need for re-operation (HR 2.81, 95% CI 1.26-6.30, p=0.0012). Patients who were able to rise from a chair had significantly prolonged overall survival (320 vs 87 days, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Although not the primary goal, long-term survival can be achieved following PS and is associated with re-operation and the ability to rise from a chair. These patients experience the benefits of PS for a longer period of time, which in turn maximizes value and positive impact.

SUMMARY

Long-term survival and symptom control can be achieved in highly selected advanced cancer patients following palliative surgery. The ability of the patient to independently rise from a chair and the provider to offer a re-operation when indicated are associated with long-term survival following a palliative operation.

Clinical prognostic scores for patients with thymic epithelial tumors

Several inflammation-based prognostic scores emerged in various types of cancer to predict clinical outcomes. So far, no accurate pre-treatment scoring systems exist for patients with thymic epithelial tumors (TETs), comprising thymomas and thymic carcinomas (TCs). Therefore, we sought to test the prognostic value of different clinical composite scores and their components, identify optimal cut-off values for TETs as well as combine predictive components to new suitable prognostic scores. One hundred eighty-four patients with TETs undergoing surgical tumor resection were analyzed. A significant advantage in Freedom-from-Recurrence and/or Cause-specific survival (CSS) was evident for patients with high Advanced-Lung- Cancer-Inflammation-Index, low CRP-Fibrinogen-Score (CFS), low Glasgow-Prognostic-Score (GPS), low high-sensitivity-modified GPS, low TET-adapted GPS (TET-aGPS) and low Systemic-Immune-Inflammation Index. On multivariable analysis high TET-aGPS (HR = 14.9;p = 0.001), incomplete resection status (HR = 13.5;p = 0.001) and TC (HR = 26.0;p = 0.001) were significant independent prognostic factors for worse CSS. The CFS had the highest coefficient of determination (R² = 0.188) to predict tumor recurrence of all composite scores, comprising CRP (R² = 0.141) and fibrinogen (R² = 0.158), the best single factor predictors. Inflammation-based prognostic scores and selected components are suitable to predict survival and/or tumor recurrence in TET patients undergoing primary surgery. Due to excellent long-term survival and frequent tumor recurrence, cut-off values were tailored to increase prognostic power.

Clinical Value of Inflammation-Based Prognostic Scores to Predict the Resectability of Hyperbilirubinemia Patients with Potentially Resectable Hilar Cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

We aimed to examine whether inflammation-based prognostic scores could predict tumor resectability in a cohort of hilar cholangiocarcinoma patients with preoperative hyperbilirubinemia. We also sought to investigate the prognostic factors associated with overall survival in the subgroup of patients with an R0 resection.

METHODS

A total of 173 patients with potentially resectable hilar cholangiocarcinoma, as judged by radiological examinations, were included. The potential relationship of the Glasgow prognostic score (GPS), modified GPS, platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and prognostic index (PI) with tumor resectability were investigated using univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 173 patients, 134 had R0 resection margins. Univariate analysis identified that patients with PLR ≥ 150, NLR ≥ 3, PNI ≥ 45, GPS (0.1/2), modified GPS (0.1/2), preoperative CA 125 > 35 U/mL, and a tumor size ≥ 3 cm were more likely to have unresectable tumors. Multivariate analysis indicated that tumor size ≥ 3 cm (OR = 2.422, 95% CI: 1.053-5.573; P = 0.037), PLR ≥ 150 (OR = 3.324, 95% CI: 1.143-9.667; P = 0.027), preoperative CA 125 > 35 U/mL (OR = 3.184, 95% CI: 1.316-7.704; P = 0.010), and GPS (0.1/2) (OR = 2.440, 95% CI: 1.450-4.107; P = 0.001) were independent factors associated with tumor resectability. In selected patients with an R0 resection in this cohort, nodal status (P = 0.010) and tumor differentiation (P = 0.025) were predictive of poor survival outcome.

CONCLUSION

Patients with higher GPS, CA 125, and PLR levels, and a larger tumor size, tend to have unresectable tumors even if they were judged as potentially resectable using preoperative radiological examinations.

The systemic inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Score as a powerful prognostic factor in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma

Introduction and Objective

The combination of C-reactive protein and albumin, the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), had independent prognostic value in patients with varying cancers, except for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). The aim of this study was to describe the relationship between GPS and survival in patients with UTUC after adjustment for other prognostic factors.

Materials and Methods

We queried 2 UTUC databases. Retrospective clinical series on patients with localized UTUC managed by nephroureterectomy with bladder cuff, for whom data from the Yamaguchi Uro-Oncology Group and Osaka Medical College registry, including age, presence of bladder cancer, pT stage, lymphovascular invasion, C-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin, were analyzed. The GPS was constructed by combining CRP and albumin. Cancer specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) and relative excess risk of death were estimated by GPS categories after adjusting for gender, age, ECOG performance status (PS), grade, and lymphovascular invasion (LVI).

Results

Seven hundred and twenty four UTUC patients were identified. Our final cohort included 574 patients; of these, 29.2% died during a maximum follow up of 16.7 years. The estimated mean 10-year CSS of patients with GPS of scre-0, -1, and -2 was 99.5, 95.1, and 75.9 months, respectively. Patients with GPS of score-2 had poorest 10-year estimated mean OS of 67.6 months (57.2–77.9). Raised GPS also had a significant association with excess risk of cancer death at 10 years (GPS 2: Relative Excess Risk = 1.74, 95% CI 1.20–2.54) after adjusting for gender, patients’ age, ECOG PS, and tumor focality. C-index of GPS both for CSS and OS were superior to patients’ age and tumor focality, and comparable to grade.

Conclusions

The GPS is an independent prognostic factor for CSS and OS after surgery with curative intent for localized UTUC. It significantly increases the accuracy of established prognostic factors. The GPS may provide a meaningful adjunct for patient counseling and clinical trial design.

Clinical significance of changes in systemic inflammatory markers and carcinoembryonic antigen levels in predicting metastatic colorectal cancer prognosis and chemotherapy response

AIM

Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is associated with poor prognosis, and biomarkers are required for predicting survival and chemotherapy response. This study aimed to evaluate the significance of changes in systemic inflammatory markers and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels in predicting mCRC prognosis and chemotherapy response.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, 503 patients who received first-line palliative chemotherapy for mCRC between 2008 and 2014 at a tertiary hospital in Korea were evaluated. Changes in neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) were divided into low-to-low, high-to-low, low-to-high and high-to-high groups. The CEA response was defined as CEA-complete response (CEA normalization), CEA-partial response (≥50% decrease in CEA levels), CEA-progressive disease (≥50% increase in CEA levels) and CEA-stable disease. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated according to NLR, mGPS and CEA levels.

RESULTS

High prechemotherapy NLR, mGPS and CEA levels independently predicted poor survival and chemotherapy response. Continuously high NLR or change to high NLR was also associated with poor OS and PFS; however, continuously low NLR or reduced NLR showed good prognosis. CEA response was also an independent prognostic marker for OS and PFS. High NLR and mGPS were correlated with elevated CEA levels.

CONCLUSION

Inflammatory marker levels were significantly associated with CEA levels. The prechemotherapy levels of systemic inflammatory markers and CEA were associated with OS or PFS. The change patterns in NLR and CEA levels can be utilized as prognostic and predictive markers for chemotherapy response.

Inflammation-based prognostic scores and nutritional prognostic index in patients with locally-advanced unresectable colorectal cancer

Background

Unresectable colorectal cancer has a poor prognosis. However, some patients survive intensive chemotherapy, and complete resection of primary and metastatic tumors may even be possible. In the present study, we examined the prognostic factors associated with survival after intensive chemotherapy in patients with unresectable colorectal cancer.

Methods

This retrospective study enrolled 61 patients diagnosed with unresectable locally advanced colorectal cancer between January 2004 and December 2013. Among the prognostic parameters, we found that the prognoses of patients with abnormal performance status (PS) of 2 or 3, high Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) of 1 or 2, high neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) >5, and low prognostic nutritional index (PNI) <40 were poor. Thus, we scored each patient according to our scoring system (abnormal PS, 2 or 3 = +1; high GPS, 1 or 2 = +1; high NLR, >5 = +1; and low PNI, <40 = +1). If the patient showed abnormalities in every parameter, the score would be +4.

Results

Sixteen patients had a score of 0, 17 scored +1, 10 scored +2, 17 scored +3, and one scored +4. The median survival time (MST) of the 61 patients was 9 months. Patients were divided into two groups, a low-score group (0 and +1) and a high-score group (+2, +3, and +4). The MST of the 33 patients in the low-score group was significantly longer than that of the 28 patients in the high-score group (15 months versus 4 months, P < 0.001). Also, conversion chemotherapy was performed in 4.9% (3/61) of patients. And these 3 patients were in a low-score group.

Conclusions

This new prognostic scoring system may help to select patients with unresectable advanced colorectal cancer who are able to survive through intensive chemotherapy.