Season and vitamin D status do not affect probability for surgical site infection after colorectal surgery

Seasonality in surgical outcome data: a systematic review and narrative synthesis

BACKGROUND

Seasonal trends in patient outcomes are an under-researched area in perioperative care. This systematic review evaluates the published literature on seasonal variation in surgical outcomes worldwide.

METHODS

MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane, CINHAL, and Web of Science were searched for studies on major surgical procedures, examining mortality or other patient-relevant outcomes, across seasonal periods up to February 2019. Major surgery was defined as a procedure requiring an overnight stay in an inpatient medical facility. We included studies exploring variation according to calendar and meteorological seasons and recurring annual events including staff turnover. Quality was assessed using an adapted Downs and Black scoring system.

RESULTS

The literature search identified 82 studies, including 22 210 299 patients from four continents. Because of the heterogeneity of reported outcomes and literature scope, a narrative synthesis was undertaken. Mass staff changeover was investigated in 37 studies; the majority (22) of these did not show strong evidence of worse outcomes. Of the 47 studies that examined outcomes across meteorological or calendar seasons, 33 found evidence of seasonal variation. Outcomes were often worse in winter (16 studies). This trend was particularly prominent amongst surgical procedures classed as an 'emergency' (five of nine studies). There was evidence for increased postoperative surgical site infections during summer (seven of 12 studies examining this concept).

CONCLUSION

This systematic review provides tentative evidence for an increased risk of postoperative surgical site infections in summer, and an increased risk of worse outcomes after emergency surgery in winter and during staff changeover times.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42019137214.

Warm Weather and Surgical Site Infections: A Meta-analysis

Seasonal variability, in terms of warm weather, has been demonstrated to be a significant risk factor for surgical site infections (SSIs). However, this remains an underexposed risk factor for SSIs, and many clinicians are not aware of this. Therefore, a systematic review and meta-analysis has been conducted to investigate and quantify this matter.

METHODS

Articles were searched in Embase, Medline Ovid, Web of Science, Cochrane Central, and Google Scholar, and data were extracted from relevant studies. Meta-analysis used random effects models to estimate and compare the pooled odds ratios (OR) and corresponding confidence intervals (CIs) of surgery performed during the warmest period of the year and the colder period of the year.

RESULTS

The systematic review included 20 studies (58,599,475 patients), of which 14 studies (58,441,420 patients) were included for meta-analysis. Various types of surgical procedures across different geographic regions were included. The warmest period of the year was associated with a statistically significant increase in the risk of SSIs (OR 1.39, 95%CI: [1.34-1.45], P < 0.0001). Selection of specific types of surgical procedures (eg, orthopedic or spinal surgery) significantly altered this increased risk.

CONCLUSIONS

The current meta-analysis showed that warm weather seasons are associated with a statistically significant risk increasement of 39% in developing SSIs. This significant risk factor might aid clinicians in preoperative patient information, possible surgical planning adjustment for high risk patients, and potentially specific antibiotic treatments during the warmer weather seasons that could result in decrease of SSIs.