Long-term outcomes of high-risk HR-positive and HER2-negative early breast cancer patients from GEICAM adjuvant studies and El Álamo IV registry

Treatment and survival of patients diagnosed with high-risk HR+/HER2- breast cancer in the Netherlands: a population-based retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Several factors may increase the risk of recurrence of patients diagnosed with hormone receptor-positive human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer (BC). We aim to determine the proportion of patients with high-risk HR+/HER2- BC within the total HR+/HER2- BC cohort and compare their systemic treatments and survival rates with those of patients with low- and intermediate-risk HR+/HER2- BC and triple-negative (TN) BC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Women diagnosed with nonmetastatic invasive HR+/HER2- BC and TNBC in the Netherlands between 2011 and 2019 were identified from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Patients with HR+/HER2- BC were categorised according to risk profile, defined by nodal status, tumour size, and histological grade. High-risk HR+/HER2- BC was defined by either four or more positive lymph nodes or one to three positive lymph nodes with a tumour size of ≥5 cm or a histological grade 3 tumour. Overall survival (OS) and relative survival (RS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier and Pohar-Perme method.

RESULTS

In this study of 87 455 patients with HR+/HER2- BC, 44 078 (50%) patients were diagnosed with low risk, 28 452 (33%) with intermediate risk, and 11 285 (13%) with high-risk HR+/HER2- BC. In 3640 (4%) patients, the risk profile could not be defined. Endocrine therapy and chemotherapy were used in 38% and 7% of low-risk, 90% and 47% of intermediate-risk, and 94% and 73% of high-risk patients, respectively. The 10-year OS and RS rates were 84.1% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 83.5% to 84.7%] and 98.7% (95% CI 97.3% to 99.4%) in low-risk, 75.1% (95% CI 74.2% to 76.0%) and 91.7% (95% CI 89.7% to 93.3%) in intermediate-risk, and 63.4% (95% CI 62.0% to 64.7%) and 72.3% (70.1% to 74.3%) in high-risk patients. The 10-year OS and RS rates of 12 689 patients with TNBC were 69.7% (95% CI 68.6% to 70.8%) and 79.1% (95% CI 77.0% to 80.9%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The poor prognosis of patients with high-risk HR+/HER2- BC highlights the need for a better acknowledgement of this subgroup and supports ongoing clinical trials aimed at optimising systemic therapy.

Adjuvant Abemaciclib Plus Endocrine Therapy for Hormone Receptor-Positive, Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative, High-Risk Early Breast Cancer: Results From a Preplanned monarchE Overall Survival Interim Analysis, Including 5-Year Efficacy Outcomes

Clinical trials frequently include multiple end points that mature at different times. The initial report, typically based on the primary end point, may be published when key planned co-primary or secondary analyses are not yet available. Clinical trial updates provide an opportunity to disseminate additional results from studies, published in JCO or elsewhere, for which the primary end point has already been reported.Two years of adjuvant abemaciclib combined with endocrine therapy (ET) resulted in a significant improvement in invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and distant relapse-free survival (DRFS) that persisted beyond the 2-year treatment period in patients with hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative, node-positive, high-risk early breast cancer (EBC). Here, we report 5-year efficacy results from a prespecified overall survival (OS) interim analysis. In the intent-to-treat population, with a median follow-up of 54 months, the benefit of abemaciclib was sustained with hazard ratios of 0.680 (95% CI, 0.599 to 0.772) for IDFS and 0.675 (95% CI, 0.588 to 0.774) for DRFS. This persistence of abemaciclib benefit translated to continuous separation of the curves with a deepening in 5-year absolute improvement in IDFS and DRFS rates of 7.6% and 6.7%, respectively, compared with rates of 6% and 5.3% at 4 years and 4.8% and 4.1% at 3 years. With fewer deaths in the abemaciclib plus ET arm compared with the ET-alone arm (208 v 234), statistical significance was not reached for OS. No new safety signals were observed. In conclusion, abemaciclib plus ET continued to reduce the risk of developing invasive and distant disease recurrence beyond the completion of treatment. The increasing absolute improvement at 5 years is consistent with a carryover effect and further supports the use of abemaciclib in patients with high-risk EBC.