Treatment selection in oropharyngeal cancer: a surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) patterns of care analysis

Increasing radiation therapy and lower survival for human papillomavirus-related oropharynx cancer associated with a shift to community cancer center care

BACKGROUND

Studies have shown lower overall survival for patients with head and neck cancer treated at low-volume or community cancer centers. As the incidence of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma steadily rises in the United States, we hypothesized that a greater proportion of patients with HPV-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma is being treated at community cancer centers, with a shift toward primary nonsurgical treatment.

METHODS

This cohort study included patients from the US National Cancer Database who received a diagnosis of HPV-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma from 2010 to 2019 and underwent treatment at a community cancer center or academic cancer center. The proportion of patients with HPV-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma treated at community cancer centers and receiving primary nonsurgical treatment was analyzed over time. Four-year overall survival was compared between community cancer centers and academic cancer centers.

RESULTS

The majority (67.4%) of 20 298 patients were treated at an academic cancer center, yet the proportion of patients treated at community cancer centers increased by 10% from 2010 to 2019 (P < .01 for trend). The proportion of patients undergoing primary nonsurgical treatment increased from 62.1% to 73.7% from 2010 to 2019 (P < .01 for trend), and patients were statistically significantly more likely to undergo nonsurgical treatment at community cancer centers than at academic cancer centers (adjusted odds ratio = 1.20, 95% confidence interval = 1.18 to 1.22). Treatment at community cancer centers was associated with worse survival overall (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.19, 95% confidence interval = 1.09 to 1.31), specifically for patients receiving primary nonsurgical treatment (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.22, 95% confidence interval = 1.11 to 1.34).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment of HPV-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma has recently shifted to community cancer centers, with an increase in the proportion of nonsurgical treatment and worse overall survival at these centers compared with academic cancer centers. Concentration of care for HPV-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma at academic cancer centers and dedicated head and neck cancer centers may increase access to all available treatment modalities and improve survival.

Prediction of survival in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma using machine learning algorithms: A study based on the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database

Background

We determined appropriate survival prediction machine learning models for patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) using the “Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results” (SEER) database.

Methods

In total, 4039 patients diagnosed with OPSCC between 2004 and 2016 were enrolled in this study. In particular, 13 variables were selected and analyzed: age, sex, tumor grade, tumor size, neck dissection, radiation therapy, cancer directed surgery, chemotherapy, T stage, N stage, M stage, clinical stage, and human papillomavirus (HPV) status. The T-, N-, and clinical staging were reconstructed based on the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Staging Manual, 8th Edition. The patients were randomly assigned to a development or test dataset at a 7:3 ratio. The extremely randomized survival tree (EST), conditional survival forest (CSF), and DeepSurv models were used to predict the overall and disease-specific survival in patients with OPSCC. A 10-fold cross-validation on a development dataset was used to build the training and internal validation data for all models. We evaluated the predictive performance of each model using test datasets.

Results

A higher c-index value and lower integrated Brier score (IBS), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) indicate a better performance from a machine learning model. The C-index was the highest for the DeepSurv model (0.77). The IBS was also the lowest in the DeepSurv model (0.08). However, the RMSE and RAE were the lowest for the CSF model.

Conclusions

We demonstrated various machine-learning-based survival prediction models. The CSF model showed a better performance in predicting the survival of patients with OPSCC in terms of the RMSE and RAE. In this context, machine learning models based on personalized survival predictions can be used to stratify various complex risk factors. This could help in designing personalized treatments and predicting prognoses for patients.

Development of a prognostic model of overall survival in oropharyngeal cancer from real-world data: PRO.M.E.THE.O

Objective

The PRO.M.E.THE.O. study (PredictiOn Models in Ent cancer for anti-EGFR based THErapy Optimization) aimed to develop a predictive model (PM) of overall survival (OS) for patients with locally advanced oropharyngeal cancer (LAOC) treated with radiotherapy (RT) and cetuximab (Cet) from an Italian dataset.

Methods

We enrolled patients with LAOC from 6 centres treated with RT-Cet. Clinical and treatment variables were collected. Patients were randomly divided into training (TS) (80%) and validation (VS) (20%) sets. A binary logistic regression model was used on the TS with stepwise feature selection and then on VS. Timepoints of 2, 3 and 5 years were considered. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic of 2, 3 and 5 year and confusion matrix statistics at 5-threshold were used as performance criteria.

Results

Overall, 218 patients were enrolled and 174 (79.8%) were analysed. Age at diagnosis, gender, ECOG performance, clinical stage, dose to high-risk volume, overall treatment time and day of RT interruption were considered in the final PMs. The PMs were developed and represented by nomograms with AUC of 0.75, 0.73 and 0.73 for TS and 0.713, 0.713, 0.775 for VS at 2, 3 and 5 years, respectively.

Conclusions

PRO.M.E.THE.O. allows the creation of a PM for OS in patients with LAOC treated with RT-Cet.

Radiation-Associated Sarcoma of the Head and Neck: Incidence, Latency, and Survival

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS

Radiation-associated sarcomas of the head and neck (RASHN) are known but rare sequelae after radiation for squamous cell carcinoma. The purpose of this study was to characterize RASHN, estimate the risk of RASHN in head and neck squamous cell patients after therapeutic radiation, and compare their survival to that of patients with de novo sarcomas of the head and neck (dnSHN).

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective database analysis.

METHODS

RASHN and dnSHN cases were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database to identify risk factors and calculate incidence and latency. Survival was compared between RASHN and dnSHN.

RESULTS

The risk of RASHN was 20.0 per 100,000 person-years. The average latency period was 124.2 months (range 38-329). The cumulative incidence of RASHN at 20 years was 0.13%. Oral cavity and oropharynx primaries demonstrate increased risk. Five-year overall survival of RASHN was 22.4% compared to 64.5% for dnSHN.

CONCLUSIONS

RASHN are confirmed to be rare. RASHN have poor overall survival and worse survival compared to dnSHN. The impact of intensity-modulated radiation therapy protocols on this risk is unknown. Modifiable risk factors of smoking and alcohol consumption continue to dwarf radiation therapy as risk factors of second primary head and neck cancers.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 Laryngoscope, 2021.

Trends in Cancer Treatment for Oral Cavity, Oropharynx, and Larynx in 2016 Versus 2009: SEER Patterns of Care Studies

PURPOSE

To determine if there was a higher percentage of patients treated surgically and with advanced radiotherapy in 2016 (N = 897) versus 2009 (N = 1136), the patient and tumor characteristics associated with surgical care and advanced radiotherapy, and if chemotherapy or targeted agent use varied over time for squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck.

METHODS

We utilized Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results Patterns of Care datasets. Rao-Scott Chi-square tests and logistic regressions were applied to determine differences in surgery, advanced radiotherapy (RT), and chemotherapy by year.

RESULTS

There was a lower prevalence of surgery only treatment in 2016 versus 2009 with exception of oral cavity stages IVB/IVC and unknown, and larynx stage unknown. Advanced RT was more common in 2016 for patients receiving definitive RT among all sites, excluding stages I/II glottic larynx. Among each site (oral cavity, oropharynx, and larynx) lower stage was associated with increased odds of surgery. Among each site, advanced RT was more common in patients receiving definitive versus postoperative RT. For the larynx site, 2016 versus 2009 was associated with greater odds of advanced RT. Systemic treatment with fluorouracil, taxanes, or cetuximab was less prevalent in 2016.

CONCLUSION

In 2016 versus 2009, there was largely not a higher percentage of patients treated surgically. There was a higher prevalence of advanced RT for definitive care. Further investigations of these patterns are needed, including trend analysis.

Head and neck cancer patients' recollection of their clinical characteristics

Patient-reported outcomes (PRO) are an important component of treatment evaluation. Typically they are completed by patients on paper, but through advances in technology such as mobile phone apps and websites, there is a great opportunity for electronic completion. It can be challenging, particularly at a regional or national level, to maintain accurate core clinical records on head and neck cancer (HNC) (baseline, recurrence, second primary, and further treatment), and these will influence PROs and the reporting of outcomes. In addition, with data security and confidentiality there is merit in undertaking anonymous surveys, but in this approach, there is a reliance on patients' recall. The aim of this study therefore was to compare updated hospital records with details completed by patients. In January 2019, 395 HNC patients who had been treated in 2015 and 2016 were sent a survey. They were asked to recall the clinical variables of gender, age at diagnosis, tumour site, tumour stage, and primary treatment, and these were analysed for agreement with the hospital records. The kappa statistic (KP) was used to measure the strength of agreement for categorical variables. There were 146 responders and one patient correctly stated that they did not have cancer. Five indicated further disease rather than primary cancer. Agreement between the hospital record and patients' recall was excellent for gender (KP=0.97) and age group (KP=0.92), very good for treatment (KP=0.79), and good for site of cancer (KP=0.61), but poor for stage of cancer (KP=0.18). In general, patients gave accurate accounts of these details apart from tumour stage.

Benefit from surgery with additional radiotherapy in N1 head and neck cancer at the time of IMRT: A population-based study on recent developments

Background

Currently, the role of adjuvant irradiation in head and neck cancer (HNC) patients with N1-lymph node status is not clarified.

Objectives

To assess the population-based effect of recent developments in radiotherapy such as intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) in relation to overall survival (OS) together with surgery in N1 HNC patients.

Materials and methods

We used 9,318 HNC cases with pT1/2 N0/1 disease from German cancer registries. Time of diagnosis ranged from January 2000 to December 2014, which we divided into three periods: (low [LIA] vs intermediate [IA] vs high [HIA] IMRT availability period) based on usage of IMRT in Germany. For each period, we examined a possible association between treatment (surgery vs. surgery and radiotherapy) in terms of OS. Statistical analyses included Kaplan–Meier and multivariate Cox regression (models adjusted for HPV-related cancer site).

Results

Temporal analysis revealed increasing usage of IMRT in Germany. In patients with N1 tumours, a comparison of patients treated with and without radiotherapy during the HIA period showed a superiority of the combined treatment as opposed to surgery alone (HR 0.54, 95%CI: 0.35–0.85, p = 0.003). The survival analyses related to treatments in terms of period underlined the superiority of surgery plus radiotherapy between periods IA and HIA (p = 0.03).

Conclusion

The advent of IMRT, additional radiotherapy may present a survival advantage in patients with N1 HNC when combined with surgery.

Treatment trends in head and neck cancer: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Patterns of Care analysis

PURPOSE

Recent advances in head and neck cancer (HNC) treatment, such as increased use of organ-preserving advanced radiation treatments, the approval of cetuximab for HNC treatment, and the increase in human papillomavirus (HPV)-related HNC, have changed clinical approaches to HNC management. We sought to identify treatment trends in a population-based cohort of HNC patients.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Patterns of Care program collected additional treatment and HPV testing information on stratified random samples of HNC patients diagnosed in 1997 (n = 473), 2004 (n = 1,317), and 2009 (n = 1,128). Rao-Scott Chi-square tests were used to examine unadjusted associations between year of diagnosis and patient sociodemographic, tumor, and treatment characteristics. Cochran-Armitage tests for trend were used to examine the hypothesis that certain treatments were used increasingly (or decreasingly) over the time period, while logistic regression was used to examine factors associated with particular treatments.

RESULTS

Use of radiation and chemotherapy without surgery significantly increased for all HNC sites between 1997 and 2009. Cetuximab and taxane use also showed a significantly increasing trend. Lack of insurance was associated with not receiving treatment in multivariate models. The majority (64%) of cases undergoing radiation in 2009 received an advanced treatment, with 55% receiving intensity modulated. The majority of oropharyngeal cases with known HPV status received chemotherapy and radiation only (62%) and nearly all were insured and had one or fewer comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment patterns have changed for HNC, leading to increased incorporation of systemic therapy and newer radiation techniques. HPV testing should be targeted for more widespread use, especially in traditionally underserved groups.