A Novel Score to Predict Esophageal Varices in Patients with Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

Spleen Thickness Plus Platelets Can Effectively and Safely Screen for High-Risk Varices in Cirrhosis Patients

Currently, most primary hospitals cannot routinely perform liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) and spleen stiffness measurements (SSMs), which are recommended by guidelines to exclude high-risk varices (HRVs). We tried to find more convenient indicators for HRV screening. We enrolled 213 cirrhosis patients as the training cohort (TC) and 65 primary biliary cirrhosis patients as the validation cohort (VC). We included indicators such as SSM by two-dimensional shear wave elastography, LSM by transient elastography, and other imaging and laboratory tests. Variable analysis revealed SSM, platelets (PLT), and spleen thickness (ST) as independent risk indicators for HRV. In TC, ST+PLT (ST < 42.2 mm and PLT > 113.5 × 109/L) could avoid 35.7% of the esophagogastroduodenoscopies (EGDs), with a 2.4% missed HRV rate. Although the proportion of EGDs spared by ST+PLT was less than SSM+PLT (SSM < 29.89 kPa + PLT > 113.5 × 109/L) (35.7% vs. 44.1%), it was higher than that of the Baveno VI criteria (B6) (35.7% vs. 28.2%). We did not validate SSM+PLT in VC considering our aims. ST+PLT safely spared 24.6% of EGDs in VC, identical to B6. Conclusions: The ability of ST+PLT to exclude HRVs was superior to B6 but slightly inferior to SSM+PLT. When SSM cannot be routinely performed, ST+PLT provides an extra option for patients to exclude HRVs as a more convenient model.

Noninvasive assessment oesophageal varices: impact of the Baveno VI criteria

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

In 2015, as a consequence of the high development in noninvasive tests, Baveno VI consensus recommended for the first time the use of a prediction rule (liver stiffness <20kPa and platelet count > 150000) to identify patients at low risk of having varices and that could circumvent endoscopy. These became known as the Baveno VI criteria. We review here the data validating Baveno VI criteria and we discuss the attempts of expanding these criteria.

RECENT FINDINGS

We report 28 studies assessing the performance of Baveno VI criteria showing a pooled 99% negative predictive value for ruling out high-risk varices. Performance is not affected by the cause of cirrhosis. Different attempts at expanding these criteria show suboptimal performance. Nonelastography-based criteria require further validation.

SUMMARY

Baveno VI criteria can be safely used to avoid endoscopy in a substantial proportion of patients with compensated cirrhosis. The progressive change in approach to the management of compensated cirrhosis, progressively focusing on treating portal hypertension with beta-blockers independently of the presence of varices, might render these criteria less relevant.

Small varices in chronic liver diseases

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Gastroesophageal varices are common complications of chronic liver diseases (CLDs) and portal hypertension. Small varices have the risk of progressing to larger varices, causing bleeding or even death. Thus, early detection and appropriate management of small varices are necessary. The purpose of this review is to summarize the advance in the recent 5years about diagnosing and managing the small varices in CLDs.

RECENT FINDINGS

The diagnosing methods of small varices in recent studies include improved endoscopic examinations, such as capsule endoscopy, and many noninvasive methods, including blood tests, ultrasound, computed tomography and magnetic resonance. For the management of small varices, though it is controversial, prevention using nonselective beta-blockers is still an essential part.

SUMMARY

In this review, we summarize the classification of varices, the invasive and noninvasive diagnostic methods, their performances, and the emerging progression in the management of small varices in the recent 5 years. We hope that this review provides relevant information to understand better and appropriately manage small varices.

Liver stiffness by two-dimensional shear wave elastography for screening high-risk varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the usefulness of the criteria with liver stiffness (LS) measured by two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) and platelet count (PLT) for ruling out high-risk varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

METHODS

A total of 661 patients with cACLD had successfully undergone 2D-SWE and endoscopy screening. We analyzed risk factors for the presence of high-risk varices and compared proportions of patients who were spared endoscopy when used the predicting criteria with LS (ranged from 16 to 25 kPa) and PLT (ranged from 80 × 109/L to 150 × 109/L).

RESULTS

PLT, albumin, LS were found to be independent predictors of high-risk varices. The LS values for ruling out and ruling in high-risk varices were 14.0 kPa and 24.8 kPa, respectively. When the Baveno VI criteria LS < 20 kPa and PLT > 150 × 109/L were used, the high-risk varices miss rate was 2.1%, while the saved endoscopy rate only was 19.2%. The new criteria that LS < 16 kPa and PLT > 100 × 109/L saved 30.4-34.6% endoscopy with 0-3.2% high-risk varices miss rate in the subgroup analysis stratified according to the types of underlying liver disease.

CONCLUSIONS

The Baveno VI criteria can be applied to LS measurement by 2D-SWE. The new criteria that LS < 16 kPa and PLT > 100 × 109/L could be a potential model to spare more endoscopy screening with < 5% high-risk varices miss rate.

KEY POINTS

• LS measured by 2D-SWE is reliable predictive factor for predicting all-size varices and high-risk varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease. • LS measured by 2D-SWE < 16 kPa and PLT > 100 × 109 /L, which can spare more endoscopy than Baveno VI criteria with < 5% high-risk varices miss rate. • The Baveno VI criteria can be applied to LS measurement by 2D-SWE.

Two-dimensional shear wave elastography for sparing endoscopy screening in patients with HBV-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the diagnostic performance of liver stiffness (LS) measured by 2D-SWE for predicting esophageal varices (EV) and high-risk varices (HRV) in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

METHODS

In total, 268 patients with HBV-related cACLD who underwent 2D-SWE and esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) were retrospectively evaluated. The new criteria for ruling out HRV were tested in the training cohort with 175 patients and validated in the validation cohort with 93 patients.

RESULTS

The AUROCs of LS for predicting EV and HRV were 0.90(0.86-0.95) and 0.93(0.89-0.96) respectively. LS (OR, 1.64 (95% CI: 1.31-2.07); P < 0.0001), PLT (OR, 0.94 (95% CI: 0.91-0.97); P < 0.0001) and albumin (OR, 0.75 (95% CI: 0.62-0.90); P = 0.02) were independent factors for the presence of HRV. The Baveno VI criteria of LS < 20 kPa and PLT > 150 × 109 /L saved 15.1%-17.1% EGD screening with 0-4.3% HRV miss rate. LS < 16 kPa and PLT > 60 × 109 /L spared 51.4%-52.7% EGD screening with 3.8%-4.3% HRV miss rate.

CONCLUSION

Baveno VI criteria is suitable for 2D-SWE to rule out HRV. LS < 16 kPa and PLT > 60 × 109 /L could be a reliable model for ruling out HRV in patients with HBV-related cACLD.

The role of liver and spleen elastography in advanced chronic liver disease

Portal hypertension is the main driver of complications in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). In the last decade, many non-invasive tests, such us liver and spleen elastography, have been proposed and validated for the identification of patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and its complications, mainly hepatic decompensation and liver-related morbidity and mortality. Moreover, elastography accurately stratifies for the risk of HCC development, HCC recurrence and decompensation after liver surgery. Recent studies suggest a role of SSM in monitoring response to treatments and interventions in ACLD, such as viral eradication, non-selective beta-blockers and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement. However, one of the most indications to perform elastography in ACLD still remains the screening for esophageal varices. In fact, according to the Baveno VI consensus, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa and platelet count >150,000/mm³ can safely identify patients at low risk of varices requiring treatment (VNT) and could therefore avoid invasive upper invasive endoscopy; LSM>20-25 kPa can accurately rule-in CSPH in patients with viral etiology. Spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) is a direct surrogate of portal hypertension and has been demonstrated more accurate in predicting portal hypertension severity and VNT. A combined model including Baveno VI Criteria and SSM (≤46 kPa) can significantly increase the number of spared endoscopies (>40-50%), maintaining a low (<5%) of missed VNT.