A replica exchange umbrella sampling (REUS) approach to predict host-guest binding free energies in SAMPL8 challenge

Expanded ensemble predictions of absolute binding free energies in the SAMPL9 host-guest challenge

As part of the SAMPL9 community-wide blind host-guest challenge, we implemented an expanded ensemble workflow to predict absolute binding free energies for 13 small molecules against pillar[6]arene. Notable features of our protocol include consideration of a variety of protonation and enantiomeric states for both host and guests, optimization of alchemical intermediates, and analysis of free energy estimates and their uncertainty using large numbers of simulation replicates performed using distributed computing. Our predictions of absolute binding free energies resulted in a mean absolute error of 2.29 kcal mol-1 and an R2 of 0.54. Overall, results show that expanded ensemble calculations using all-atom molecular dynamics simulations are a valuable and efficient computational tool in predicting absolute binding free energies.

An overview of the SAMPL8 host-guest binding challenge

The SAMPL series of challenges aim to focus the community on specific modeling challenges, while testing and hopefully driving progress of computational methods to help guide pharmaceutical drug discovery. In this study, we report on the results of the SAMPL8 host–guest blind challenge for predicting absolute binding affinities. SAMPL8 focused on two host–guest datasets, one involving the cucurbituril CB8 (with a series of common drugs of abuse) and another involving two different Gibb deep-cavity cavitands. The latter dataset involved a previously featured deep cavity cavitand (TEMOA) as well as a new variant (TEETOA), both binding to a series of relatively rigid fragment-like guests. Challenge participants employed a reasonably wide variety of methods, though many of these were based on molecular simulations, and predictive accuracy was mixed. As in some previous SAMPL iterations (SAMPL6 and SAMPL7), we found that one approach to achieve greater accuracy was to apply empirical corrections to the binding free energy predictions, taking advantage of prior data on binding to these hosts. Another approach which performed well was a hybrid MD-based approach with reweighting to a force matched QM potential. In the cavitand challenge, an alchemical method using the AMOEBA-polarizable force field achieved the best success with RMSE less than 1 kcal/mol, while another alchemical approach (ATM/GAFF2-AM1BCC/TIP3P/HREM) had RMSE less than 1.75 kcal/mol. The work discussed here also highlights several important lessons; for example, retrospective studies of reference calculations demonstrate the sensitivity of predicted binding free energies to ethyl group sampling and/or guest starting pose, providing guidance to help improve future studies on these systems.

Drug Discovery by Automated Adaptation of Chemical Structure and Identity

Computer-aided drug design offers the potential to dramatically reduce the cost and effort required for drug discovery. While screening-based methods are valuable in the early stages of hit identification, they are frequently succeeded by iterative, hypothesis-driven computations that require recurrent investment of human time and intuition. To increase automation, we introduce a computational method for lead refinement that combines concerted dynamics of the ligand/protein complex via molecular dynamics simulations with integrated Monte Carlo-based changes in the chemical formula of the ligand. This approach, which we refer to as ligand-exchange Monte Carlo molecular dynamics, accounts for solvent- and entropy-based contributions to competitive binding free energies by coupling the energetics of bound and unbound states during the ligand-exchange attempt. Quantitative comparison of relative binding free energies to reference values from free energy perturbation, conducted in vacuum, indicates that ligand-exchange Monte Carlo molecular dynamics simulations sample relevant conformational ensembles and are capable of identifying strongly binding compounds. Additional simulations demonstrate the use of an implicit solvent model. We speculate that the use of chemical graphs in which exchanges are only permitted between ligands with sufficient similarity may enable an automated search to capture some of the benefits provided by human intuition during hypothesis-guided lead refinement.

Binding free energies for the SAMPL8 CB8 "Drugs of Abuse" challenge from umbrella sampling combined with Hamiltonian replica exchange

Umbrella sampling along a one-dimensional order parameter in combination with Hamiltonian replica exchange was employed to calculate the binding free energy of five guest molecules with known affinity to cucurbit[8]uril. A simple empirical approach correcting for the overestimation of the affinity by the GAFF force field was proposed and subsequently applied to the seven guest molecules of the “Drugs of Abuse” SAMPL8 challenge. Compared to the uncorrected binding free energies, the systematic error decreased but quantitative agreement with experiment was only reached for a few compounds. From a retrospective analysis a weak point of the correction term was identified.