SAMPL7 blind challenge: quantum-mechanical prediction of partition coefficients and acid dissociation constants for small drug-like molecules

Host Dynamics under General-Purpose Force Fields

Macrocyclic hosts as prototypical receptors to gaseous and drug-like guests are crucial components in pharmaceutical research. The external guests are often coordinated at the center of these macromolecular containers. The formation of host-guest coordination is accompanied by the broken of host-water and host-ion interactions and sometimes also involves some conformational rearrangements of the host. A balanced description of various components of interacting terms is indispensable. However, up to now, the modeling community still lacks a general yet detailed understanding of commonly employed general-purpose force fields and the host dynamics produced by these popular selections. To fill this critical gap, in this paper, we profile the energetics and dynamics of four types of popular macrocycles, including cucurbiturils, pillararenes, cyclodextrins, and octa acids. The presented investigations of force field definitions, refitting, and evaluations are unprecedently detailed. Based on the valuable observations and insightful explanations, we finally summarize some general guidelines on force field parametrization and selection in host-guest modeling.

Quantum Mechanical Prediction of Dissociation Constants for Thiazol-2-imine Derivatives

As weak acids or bases, in solution, drug molecules are in either their ionized or nonionized states. A high degree of ionization is essential for good water solubility of a drug molecule and is required for drug-receptor interactions, whereas the nonionized form improves a drug's lipophilicity, allowing the ligand to cross the cell membrane. The penetration of a drug ligand through cell membranes is mainly governed by the pKa of the drug molecule and the membrane environment. In this study, with the aim of predicting the acetonitrile pKa's (pKa(MeCN)) of eight drug-like thiazol-2-imine derivatives, we propose a very accurate and computationally affordable protocol by using several quantum mechanical approaches. Benchmark studies were conducted on a set of training molecules, which were selected from the literature with known pKa(water) and pKa(MeCN). Highly well-correlated pKa values were obtained when the calculations were performed with the isodesmic method at the M062X/6-31G** level of theory in conjunction with SMD solvation model for nitrogen-containing heterocycles. Finally, experimentally unknown pKa(MeCN) values of eight thiazol-2-imine structures, which were previously synthesized by some of us, are proposed.

ALipSol: An Attention-Driven Mixture-of-Experts Model for Lipophilicity and Solubility Prediction

Lipophilicity (logD) and aqueous solubility (logS_w) play a central role in drug development. The accurate prediction of these properties remains to be solved due to data scarcity. Current methodologies neglect the intrinsic relationships between physicochemical properties and usually ignore the ionization effects. Here, we propose an attention-driven mixture-of-experts (MoE) model named ALipSol, which explicitly reproduces the hierarchy of task relationships. We adopt the principle of divide-and-conquer by breaking down the complex end point (logD or logS_w) into simpler ones (acidic pK_a, basic pK_a, and logP) and allocating a specific expert network for each subproblem. Subsequently, we implement transfer learning to extract knowledge from related tasks, thus alleviating the dilemma of limited data. Additionally, we substitute the gating network with an attention mechanism to better capture the dynamic task relationships on a per-example basis. We adopt local fine-tuning and consensus prediction to further boost model performance. Extensive evaluation experiments verify the success of the ALipSol model, which achieves RMSE improvement of 8.04%, 2.49%, 8.57%, 12.8%, and 8.60% on the Lipop, ESOL, AqSolDB, external logD, and external logS data sets, respectively, compared with Attentive FP and the state-of-the-art in silico tools. In particular, our model yields more significant advantages (Welch's t-test) for small training data, implying its high robustness and generalizability. The interpretability analysis proves that the atom contributions learned by ALipSol are more reasonable compared with the vanilla Attentive FP, and the substitution effects in benzene derivatives agreed well with empirical constants, revealing the potential of our model to extract useful patterns from data and provide guidance for lead optimization.

Machine learning methods for pKa prediction of small molecules: Advances and challenges

The acid-base dissociation constant (pK_a) is a fundamental property influencing many ADMET properties of small molecules. However, rapid and accurate pK_a prediction remains a great challenge. In this review, we outline the current advances in machine-learning-based QSAR models for pK_a prediction, including descriptor-based and graph-based approaches, and summarize their pros and cons. Moreover, we highlight the current challenges and future directions regarding experimental data, crucial factors influencing pK_a and in silico prediction tools. We hope that this review can provide a practical guidance for the follow-up studies.

Predicting octanol/water partition coefficients and pKa for the SAMPL7 challenge using the SM12, SM8 and SMD solvation models

Blind predictions of octanol/water partition coefficients and pKa at 298.15 K for 22 drug-like compounds were made for the SAMPL7 challenge. Octanol/water partition coefficients were predicted from solvation free energies computed using electronic structure calculations with the SM12, SM8 and SMD solvation models. Within these calculations we compared the use of gas- and solution-phase optimized geometries of the solute. Based on these calculations we found that in general the use of solution phase-optimized geometries increases the affinity of the solutes for water as compared to octanol, with the use of gas-phase optimized geometries resulting in the better agreement with experiment. The pKa is computed using the direct approach, scaled solvent-accessible surface model, and the inclusion of an explicit water molecule, where the latter two methods have previously been shown to offer improved predictions as compared to the direct approach. We find that the use of an explicit water molecule provides superior predictions, and that the predicted macroscopic pKa is sensitive to the employed microstates.

Chemical reactivity prediction: current methods and different application areas

The ability to predict chemical reactivity of a molecule is highly desirable in drug discovery, both ex vivo (synthetic route planning, formulation, stability) and in vivo: metabolic reactions determine pharmacodynamics, pharmacokinetics and potential toxic effects, and early assessment of liabilities is vital to reduce attrition rates in later stages of development. Quantum mechanics offer a precise description of the interactions between electrons and orbitals in the breaking and forming of new bonds. Modern algorithms and faster computers have allowed the study of more complex systems in a punctual and accurate fashion, and answers for chemical questions around stability and reactivity can now be provided. Through machine learning, predictive models can be built out of descriptors derived from quantum mechanics and cheminformatics, even in the absence of experimental data to train on. In this article, current progress on computational reactivity prediction is reviewed: applications to problems in drug design, such as modelling of metabolism and covalent inhibition, are highlighted and unmet challenges are posed.

A General Picture of Cucurbit[8]uril Host-Guest Binding

Describing, understanding, and designing complex interaction networks within macromolecular systems remain challenging in modern chemical research. Host-guest systems, despite their relative simplicity in both the structural feature and interaction patterns, still pose problems in theoretical modeling. The barrel-shaped supramolecular container cucurbit[8]uril (CB8) shows promising functionalities in various areas, e.g., catalysis and molecular recognition. It can stably coordinate a series of structurally diverse guests with high affinities. In this work, we examine the binding of seven commonly abused drugs to the CB8 host, aiming at providing a general picture of CB8-guest binding. Extensive sampling of the configurational space of these host-guest systems is performed, and the binding pathway and interaction patterns of CB8-guest complexes are investigated. A thorough comparison of widely used fixed-charge models for drug-like molecules is presented. Iterative refitting of the atomic charges suggests significant conformation dependence of charge generation. The initial model generated at the original conformation could be inaccurate for new conformations explored during conformational search, and the newly fitted charge set improves the prediction-experiment correlation significantly. Our investigations of the configurational space of CB8-drug complexes suggest that the host-guest interactions are more complex than expected. Despite the structural simplicities of these molecules, the conformational fluctuations of the host and the guest molecules and orientations of functional groups lead to the existence of an ensemble of binding modes. The insights of the binding thermodynamics, performance of fixed-charge models, and binding patterns of the CB8-guest systems are useful for studying and elucidating the binding mechanism of other host-guest complexes.

Evaluation of log P, pKa, and log D predictions from the SAMPL7 blind challenge

The Statistical Assessment of Modeling of Proteins and Ligands (SAMPL) challenges focuses the computational modeling community on areas in need of improvement for rational drug design. The SAMPL7 physical property challenge dealt with prediction of octanol-water partition coefficients and pK_a for 22 compounds. The dataset was composed of a series of N-acylsulfonamides and related bioisosteres. 17 research groups participated in the log P challenge, submitting 33 blind submissions total. For the pK_a challenge, 7 different groups participated, submitting 9 blind submissions in total. Overall, the accuracy of octanol-water log P predictions in the SAMPL7 challenge was lower than octanol-water log P predictions in SAMPL6, likely due to a more diverse dataset. Compared to the SAMPL6 pK_a challenge, accuracy remains unchanged in SAMPL7. Interestingly, here, though macroscopic pK_a values were often predicted with reasonable accuracy, there was dramatically more disagreement among participants as to which microscopic transitions produced these values (with methods often disagreeing even as to the sign of the free energy change associated with certain transitions), indicating far more work needs to be done on pK_a prediction methods.