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Sciacca V, Fink T, Winnik S, Hamriti ME, Guckel D, Didenko M, Mörsdorf M, Braun M, Khalaph M, Imnadze G, Sommer P, Sohns C. Pressure waveform analysis for occlusion assessment significantly reduces contrast medium use in cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation. J Interv Card Electrophysiol 2024:10.1007/s10840-024-01801-2. [PMID: 38632135 DOI: 10.1007/s10840-024-01801-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2024] [Accepted: 03/28/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pulmonary vein (PV) occlusion is crucial for adequate lesion formation during cryoballoon-guided pulmonary vein isolation (CB-PVI). PV occlusion is usually confirmed by angiographies over the inflated balloon device. The aim of our study was to analyze the safety and efficacy of pressure waveform-based PV occlusion assessment during CB-PVI utilizing a novel fully integrated pressure analysis tool. METHODS Consecutive patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) scheduled for CB-PVI were prospectively enrolled for pressure waveform-based PV occlusion assessment. A patient cohort receiving conventional angiographies served as control group. Patients with common PV ostia were excluded. RESULTS The study group consisted of 40 patients (16 females, mean age was 64.5 ± 9.7, 45% persistent AF). The control group consisted of 40 matched patients. All 160 PVs in the study group were successfully isolated without the use of additional venograms confirming PV occlusion. The mean procedure duration was 69 ± 12 min in the study group with a mean fluoroscopy duration of 11.5 ± 4.4 min. The mean contrast medium volume was 22 ± 9 ml in the study group and 36 ± 12 ml in the control group (p = 0.0001). Mean procedure duration, mean balloon temperatures, and mean ablation application durations did not differ significantly between the study and the control group. No periprocedural complications occurred. CONCLUSION CB-PVI utilizing a fully integrated pressure waveform analysis tool to assess PV occlusion is feasible and safe and significantly reduces the amount of contrast medium without impact on procedural parameters and freedom from arrhythmia recurrence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vanessa Sciacca
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany.
| | - Thomas Fink
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Stephan Winnik
- Clinic for Cardiology and Angiology, GZO Spital Wetzikon, Wetzikon, Zürich, Switzerland
| | - Mustapha El Hamriti
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Denise Guckel
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Maxim Didenko
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Maximilian Mörsdorf
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Martin Braun
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Moneeb Khalaph
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Guram Imnadze
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Philipp Sommer
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Christian Sohns
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Med. Fakultät OWL (Universität Bielefeld), Georgstr. 11, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany.
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Ellenbogen KA, Mittal S, Varma N, Aryana A, Marrouche N, Anić A, Nair D, Champagne J, Iacopino S, de Asmundis C, Weiner S, Makati K, Raybuck JD, Richards E, Su W. One-year outcomes of pulmonary vein isolation with a novel cryoballoon: Primary results of the FROZEN AF trial. J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol 2024; 35:832-842. [PMID: 38448797 DOI: 10.1111/jce.16220] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2024] [Revised: 01/27/2024] [Accepted: 02/05/2024] [Indexed: 03/08/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Cryoablation therapy for pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) to treat paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) is well established. A novel 28 mm cryoballoon system designed to operate under low pressure to safely reach a lower nadir temperature and maintain constant balloon size during cooling has not been prospectively studied in a large patient population for safety and efficacy. The FROZEN AF (NCT04133168) trial was an international multicenter, open-label, prospective, single-arm study on the safety and performance of a novel cryoballoon system for treatment of PAF. METHODS AND RESULTS The study enrolled patients at 44 sites in 10 countries across North America, Europe, and Asia. Subjects were indicated for PVI treatment of PAF and had failed or were intolerant of one or more antiarrhythmic drugs. Procedural outcomes were defined based on the 2017 HRS consensus statement. Follow-up was performed at 7 days, 3, 6, and 12 months. Data are reported as mean ± SD or median (IQR). PVI was performed with a 28 mm cryoballoon in 325 drug refractory PAF patients. Complete PVI was achieved in 95.7% of patients. In cryoablation lesions longer than 60 s, 60.1% of PV isolations required only a single cryoballoon application. Procedure related complications included: phrenic nerve palsy [temporary 4 (1.2%), persistent 0 (0.0%)], cardiac tamponade/perforation 2 (0.6%), and air embolism 1 (0.3%). Freedom from documented atrial arrhythmia recurrence at 12 months was 79.9% (AF 82.7%, AFL 96.5%, AT 98.1%), antiarrhythmic drugs (AAD) were continued or re-initiated in 26.8% of patients after the 3-month blanking period. Additionally, an extension arm enrolled 50 pts for treatment with 28/31 mm variable size cryoballoon. A single temporary PNP occurred in this group, which resolved before discharge. Freedom from documented recurrence at 12 months in these pts was 82.0%. CONCLUSIONS This novel cryoballoon may facilitate PVI to treat PAF, providing more options to address the variety of anatomies present in patients with PAF. This cryoballoon system proved to be safe and effective for treatment of patients with drug refractory or drug intolerant PAF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kenneth A Ellenbogen
- Division of Cardiology, Virginian Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA
| | | | | | - Arash Aryana
- Mercy General Hospital, Sacramento, California, USA
| | - Nassir Marrouche
- Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA
| | - Ante Anić
- University Hospital Split, Split, Croatia
| | - Devi Nair
- Arrhythmia Research Group, Jonesboro, Arkansas, USA
| | - Jean Champagne
- Institut Universitaire de Cardiologie et de Pneumologie de Quebec, Quebec, Canada
| | | | | | - Stanislav Weiner
- Christus Trinity Mother Frances Health System, Tyler, Texas, USA
| | | | | | | | - Wilber Su
- Banner University Medical Center, Phoenix, Arizona, USA
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Ikenouchi T, Miyazaki S, Nitta J, Sekiguchi Y, Kobori A, Nakamura K, Inamura Y, Murakami M, Sagawa Y, Sasaki Y, Inaba O, Yamauchi Y, Naito S, Hirakawa A, Sasano T. Characteristics of two different cryoballoon systems for treatment of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: study protocol for a multicenter randomized controlled trial (CONTRAST-CRYO Trial). J Interv Card Electrophysiol 2024; 67:5-12. [PMID: 38087145 DOI: 10.1007/s10840-023-01718-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2023] [Accepted: 12/03/2023] [Indexed: 01/06/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Single-shot pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) utilizing cryothermal energy is an effective and safe treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. A novel cryoballoon system, POLARx™, has been recently introduced. The aim of this study was to compare the efficacy, safety, and biophysical parameters of PVI between the novel cryoballoon system, POLARx™, and the standard cryoballoon system, Arctic Front Advance Pro™ (AFA-Pro), in patients with paroxysmal AF. METHODS The CONTRAST-CRYO trial is a prospective, multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled study performed at seven large cardiac centers. This study was approved by the central ethics committee or the local ethics committee of each participating hospital and has been registered at UMIN Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000049948). The trial will assign 200 patients with paroxysmal AF undergoing PVI to POLARx™ and AFA-Pro in a 1:1 randomization. The primary endpoint is the one-shot acute success rate of the right inferior pulmonary vein. Second endpoints include freedom from documented atrial fibrillation, atrial flutter, or atrial tachycardia without antiarrhythmic drugs at 12 months after the procedure, freedom from re-do procedures, the incidence of procedure-related adverse events, freezing duration, and the biophysical parameters during applications for each PV, total procedure and fluoroscopy time, and PVI durability during re-do procedures. CONCLUSION The CONTRAST-CRYO trial is a prospective, multicenter, randomized study designed to elucidate the difference in the efficacy, safety, and biophysical parameters between POLARx™ and AFA-Pro in paroxysmal AF patients undergoing PVI. The findings from this trial may provide a valuable indication for selecting the optimal cryoballoon system. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION UMIN000049948.
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Affiliation(s)
- Takashi Ikenouchi
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Tokyo Medical and Dental University Hospital, Yushima 1-5-45, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8510, Japan
| | - Shinsuke Miyazaki
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Tokyo Medical and Dental University Hospital, Yushima 1-5-45, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8510, Japan.
| | - Junichi Nitta
- Department of Cardiology, Sakakibara Heart Institute, Fuchu-shi, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yukio Sekiguchi
- Department of Cardiology, Sakakibara Heart Institute, Fuchu-shi, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Atsushi Kobori
- Department of Cardiology, Kobe City Medical Center General Hospital, Kobe-shi, Hyogo, Japan
| | - Kohki Nakamura
- Devision of Cardiology, Gunma Prefectural Cardiovascular Center, Maebashi-shi, Gunma, Japan
| | - Yukihiro Inamura
- Department of Cardiology, Japanese Red Cross Saitama Hospital, Saitama-shi, Japan
| | - Masato Murakami
- Department of Cardiology, Shonankamakura General Hospital, Kamakura-shi, Kanagawa, Japan
| | - Yuichiro Sagawa
- Department of Cardiology, Japanese Red Cross Yokohama City Bay Hospital, Yokohama-shi, Kanagawa, Japan
| | - Yasuhiro Sasaki
- Department of Cardiology, Kobe City Medical Center General Hospital, Kobe-shi, Hyogo, Japan
| | - Osamu Inaba
- Department of Cardiology, Japanese Red Cross Saitama Hospital, Saitama-shi, Japan
| | - Yasuteru Yamauchi
- Department of Cardiology, Japanese Red Cross Yokohama City Bay Hospital, Yokohama-shi, Kanagawa, Japan
| | - Shigeto Naito
- Devision of Cardiology, Gunma Prefectural Cardiovascular Center, Maebashi-shi, Gunma, Japan
| | - Akihiro Hirakawa
- Department of Clinical Biostatistics, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Tetsuo Sasano
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Tokyo Medical and Dental University Hospital, Yushima 1-5-45, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8510, Japan
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Guckel D, Piran M, Bergau L, Hamriti ME, Fink T, Sciacca V, Reil JC, Braun M, Khalaph M, Imnadze G, Kramer K, Friedrich S, Rühl J, Körperich H, Sommer P, Sohns C. The individual relationship between atrial fibrillation sources from CARTOFINDER mapping and atrial cardiomyopathy: The catch me if you can trial. Pacing Clin Electrophysiol 2023; 46:1553-1564. [PMID: 37885302 DOI: 10.1111/pace.14847] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2023] [Revised: 09/21/2023] [Accepted: 10/07/2023] [Indexed: 10/28/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Targeting individual sources identified during atrial fibrillation (AF) has been used as an ablation strategy with varying results. OBJECTIVE Aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between regions of interest (ROIs) from CARTOFINDER (CF) mapping and atrial cardiomyopathy from late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (CMR). METHODS Twenty consecutive patients underwent index catheter ablation for persistent AF (PERS AF). Pre-processed LGE CMR images were merged with the results from CF mapping to visualize harboring regions for focal and rotational activities. Atrial cardiomyopathy was classified based on the four Utah stages. RESULTS Procedural success was achieved in all patients (n = 20, 100%). LGE CMR revealed an intermediate amount of 21.41% ± 6.32% for LA fibrosis. ROIs were identified in all patients (mean no ROIs per patient n = 416.45 ± 204.57). A tendency towards a positive correlation between the total amount of atrial cardiomyopathy and the total number of ROIs per patient (regression coefficient, β = 10.86, p = .15) was observed. The degree of fibrosis and the presence of ROIs per segment showed no consistent spatial correlation (posterior: β = 0.36, p-value (p) = .24; anterior: β = -0.08, p = .54; lateral: β = 0.31, p = 39; septal: β = -0.12; p = .66; right PVs: β = 0.34, p = .27; left PVs: β = 0.07, p = .79; LAA: β = -0.91, p = .12). 12 months AF-free survival was 70% (n = 14) after ablation. CONCLUSION The presence of ROIs from CF mapping was not directly associated with the extent and location of fibrosis. Further studies evaluating the relationship between focal and rotational activity and atrial cardiomyopathy are mandatory.
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Affiliation(s)
- Denise Guckel
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Misagh Piran
- Institute for Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Leonard Bergau
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Mustapha El Hamriti
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Thomas Fink
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Vanessa Sciacca
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Jan-Christian Reil
- Clinic for General and Interventional Cardiology/Angiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Martin Braun
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Moneeb Khalaph
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Guram Imnadze
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Katharina Kramer
- Mathematical Statistics and Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, University Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
| | - Sarah Friedrich
- Mathematical Statistics and Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, University Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
| | - Jasmin Rühl
- Mathematical Statistics and Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, University Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
| | - Hermann Körperich
- Institute for Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Philipp Sommer
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Christian Sohns
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
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Isgandarova K, Bergau L, El Hamriti M, Braun M, Piran M, Imnadze G, Khalaph M, Molatta S, Sciacca V, Fink T, Sommer P, Guckel D, Sohns C. Impact of pulmonary vein anatomy and ostial dimensions on long-term outcome after single-shot device-guided cryoablation for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation. J Interv Card Electrophysiol 2023; 66:2125-2133. [PMID: 37145294 PMCID: PMC10694102 DOI: 10.1007/s10840-023-01554-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2022] [Accepted: 04/19/2023] [Indexed: 05/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cryoballoon (CB)-guided pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is an established treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF). This observational study aimed to assess the role of individual anatomical characteristics to predict long-term freedom from arrhythmia recurrence after CB-guided PVI for paroxysmal AF (PAF). METHODS Three hundred fifty three consecutive patients (58 ± 11 years, 56% males), undergoing PVI between 2012 and 2018 were analysed. Individual pulmonary vein (PV) anatomy was assessed using preprocedural cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). For each PV, the cross-sectional area (CSA) was calculated. The impact of PV characteristics and CSA on long-term AF-free survival was evaluated. RESULTS Acute PVI was achieved in all patients. Two hundred twenty-three patients (63%) had a normal PV anatomy (2 left- and 2 right-sided PV). Variant PV anatomy was present in 130 patients (37%). During the observation period of 48 months, AF-recurrence was documented in 167 patients (47 %). Patients with AF-recurrence presented with significantly enlarged right-sided PVs and left superior PVs (LSPVs) (p < 0.001). The presence of left common PVs (LCPVs) (n = 75, Log-rank p < 0.001) as well as right variant PVs (n = 35, Log rank p < 0.001) was associated with a significantly impaired long-term AF-free survival rate as compared to patients with normal PV characteristics. CONCLUSION Variant PV anatomy is a good predictor for AF-recurrence. A correlation between an enlarged CSA of right-sided PVs as well as LSPVs and AF-recurrence was documented.
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Affiliation(s)
- Khuraman Isgandarova
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Leonard Bergau
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Mustapha El Hamriti
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Martin Braun
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Misagh Piran
- Institute for Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Guram Imnadze
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Moneeb Khalaph
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Stephan Molatta
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Vanessa Sciacca
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Thomas Fink
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Philipp Sommer
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Denise Guckel
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany
| | - Christian Sohns
- Clinic for Electrophysiology, Herz- und Diabeteszentrum NRW, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, 32545, Bad Oeynhausen, Germany.
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Wei Y, Lin C, Xie Y, Bao Y, Luo Q, Zhang N, Wu L. Development and validation of a novel nomogram for predicting recurrent atrial fibrillation after cryoballoon ablation. Front Cardiovasc Med 2023; 10:1073108. [PMID: 37636306 PMCID: PMC10453796 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2023.1073108] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2022] [Accepted: 07/24/2023] [Indexed: 08/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Few studies have explored the use of machine learning models to predict the recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients who have undergone cryoballoon ablation (CBA). We aimed to explore the risk factors for the recurrence of AF after CBA in order to construct a nomogram that could predict this risk. Methods Data of 498 patients who had undergone CBA at Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, were retrospectively collected. Factors such as clinical characteristics and biophysical parameters during the CBA procedure were collected for the selection of variables. Scores for all the biophysical factors-such as time to pulmonary vein isolation (TTI) and balloon temperature-were calculated to enable construction of the model, which was then calibrated and compared with the risk scores. Results A 36-month follow-up showed that 177 (35.5%) of the 489 patients experienced AF recurrence. The left atrial volume, TTI, nadir cryoballoon temperature, and number of unsuccessful freezes were related to the recurrence of AF (P < .05). The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram's time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve was 77.6%, 71.6%, and 71.0%, respectively, for the 1-, 2-, and 3-year prediction of recurrence in the training cohort and 77.4%, 74.7%, and 68.7%, respectively, for the same characteristics in the validation cohort. Calibration and data on the nomogram's clinical effectiveness showed it to be accurate for the prediction of recurrence in both the training and validation cohorts as compared with established risk scores. Conclusion Biophysical parameters such as TTI and cryoballoon temperature have a great impact on AF recurrence. The predictive accuracy for recurrence of our nomogram was superior to that of conventional risk scores.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | - Ning Zhang
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Liqun Wu
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
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