Pre-operative prediction of extracapsular extension of prostate cancer: first external validation of the PRECE model on an independent dataset

Prostate zones and tumor morphological parameters on magnetic resonance imaging for predicting the tumor-stage diagnosis of prostate cancer

PURPOSE

To determine whether the morphological parameters of prostate zones and tumors on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can predict the tumor-stage (T-stage) of prostate cancer (PCa) and establish an optimal T-stage diagnosis protocol based on three-dimensional reconstruction and quantization after image segmentation.

METHODS

A dataset of the prostate MRI scans and clinical data of 175 patients who underwent biopsy and had pathologically proven PCa from January 2018 to November 2020 was retrospectively analyzed. The authors manually segmented and measured the volume, major axis, and cross-sectional area of the peripheral zone (PZ), transition zone, central zone (CZ), anterior fibromuscular stroma, and tumor. The differences were evaluated by the One-Way analysis of variance, Pearson's chi-squared test, or independent samples t-test. Spearman's correlation coefficient and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were also performed. The cut-off values of the T-stage diagnosis were generated using Youden's J index.

RESULTS

The prostate volume (PV), PZ volume (PZV), CZ volume, tumor's major axis (TA), tumor volume (TV), and volume ratio of the TV and PV were significantly different among stages T1 to T4. The cut-off values of the PV, PZV, CZV, TA, TV, and the ratio of TV/PV for the discrimination of the T1 and T2 stages were 53.63 cm3, 11.60 cm3, 1.97 cm3, 2.30 mm, 0.90 cm3, and 0.03 [area under the curves (AUCs): 0.628, 0.658, 0.610, 0.689, 0.724, and 0.764], respectively. The cut-off values of the TA, TV, and the ratio of TV/PV for the discrimination of the T2 and T3 stages were 2.80 mm, 8.29 cm3, and 0.12 (AUCs: 0.769, 0.702, and 0.688), respectively. The cut-off values of the TA, TV, and the ratio of TV/PV for the discrimination of the T3 and T4 stages were 4.17 mm, 18.71 cm3, and 0.22 (AUCs: 0.674, 0.709, and 0.729), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The morphological parameters of the prostate zones and tumors on the MRIs are simple and valuable diagnostic factors for predicting the T-stage of patients with PCa, which can help make accurate diagnoses and lateral treatment decisions.

Diagnostic performance of prediction models for extraprostatic extension in prostate cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

In recent decades, diverse nomograms have been proposed to predict extraprostatic extension (EPE) in prostate cancer (PCa). We aimed to systematically evaluate the accuracy of MRI-inclusive nomograms and traditional clinical nomograms in predicting EPE in PCa. The purpose of this meta-analysis is to provide baseline summative and comparative estimates for future study designs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched up to May 17, 2023, to identify studies on prediction nomograms for EPE of PCa. The risk of bias in studies was assessed by using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). Summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity were obtained with bivariate random-effects model. Heterogeneity was investigated through meta-regression and subgroup analysis.

RESULTS

Forty-eight studies with a total of 57 contingency tables and 20,395 patients were included. No significant publication bias was observed for either the MRI-inclusive nomograms or clinical nomograms. For MRI-inclusive nomograms predicting EPE, the pooled AUC of validation cohorts was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.76, 0.83). For traditional clinical nomograms predicting EPE, the pooled AUCs of the Partin table and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) nomogram were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.76) and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.75, 0.82), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative risk stratification is essential for PCa patients; both MRI-inclusive nomograms and traditional clinical nomograms had moderate diagnostic performance for predicting EPE in PCa. This study provides baseline comparative values for EPE prediction for future studies which is useful for evaluating preoperative risk stratification in PCa patients.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This meta-analysis firstly evaluated the diagnostic performance of preoperative MRI-inclusive nomograms and clinical nomograms for predicting extraprostatic extension (EPE) in prostate cancer (PCa) (moderate AUCs: 0.72-0.80). We provide baseline estimates for EPE prediction, these findings will be useful in assessing preoperative risk stratification of PCa patients.

KEY POINTS

• MRI-inclusive nomograms and traditional clinical nomograms had moderate AUCs (0.72-0.80) for predicting EPE. • MRI combined clinical nomogram may improve diagnostic accuracy of MRI alone for EPE prediction. • MSKCC nomogram had a higher specificity than Partin table for predicting EPE. • This meta-analysis provided baseline and comparative estimates of nomograms for EPE prediction for future studies.