Predicting termination of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation using empirical mode decomposition of the atrial activity and statistical features of the heart rate variability

Predicting Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation Based on Analysis of Standard Electrocardiograms: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Forward prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) termination is a challenging technical problem of increasing significance due to rising AF presentations to emergency departments worldwide. The ability to non-invasively predict which AF episodes will terminate has important implications in terms of clinical decision-making surrounding treatment and admission, with subsequent impacts on hospital capacity and the economic cost of AF hospitalizations.

METHODS AND RESULTS

MEDLINE, EMCare, CINAHL, CENTRAL, and SCOPUS were searched on 29 July 2023 for articles where an attempt to predict AF termination was made using standard surface ECG recordings. The final review included 35 articles. Signal processing techniques fit into three broad categories including machine learning (n = 14), entropy analysis (n = 12), and time-frequency/frequency analysis (n = 9). Retrospectively processed ECG data was used in all studies with no prospective validation studies. Most studies (n = 33) utilized the same ECG database, which included recordings that either terminated within 1 min or continued for over 1 h. There was no significant difference in accuracy between groups (H(2) = 0.058, p-value = 0.971). Only one study assessed recordings earlier than several minutes preceding termination, achieving 92% accuracy using the central 10 s of paroxysmal episodes lasting up to 174.

CONCLUSIONS

No studies attempted to forward predict AF termination in real-time, representing an opportunity for novel prospective validation studies. Multiple signal processing techniques have proven accurate in predicting AF termination utilizing ECG recordings sourced from a database retrospectively.

A Deep Learning Approach for Atrial Fibrillation Classification Using Multi-Feature Time Series Data from ECG and PPG

Atrial fibrillation is a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia that poses significant health risks to patients. The use of non-invasive methods for AF detection, such as Electrocardiogram and Photoplethysmogram, has gained attention due to their accessibility and ease of use. However, there are challenges associated with ECG-based AF detection, and the significance of PPG signals in this context has been increasingly recognized. The limitations of ECG and the untapped potential of PPG are taken into account as this work attempts to classify AF and non-AF using PPG time series data and deep learning. In this work, we emploted a hybrid deep neural network comprising of 1D CNN and BiLSTM for the task of AF classification. We addressed the under-researched area of applying deep learning methods to transmissive PPG signals by proposing a novel approach. Our approach involved integrating ECG and PPG signals as multi-featured time series data and training deep learning models for AF classification. Our hybrid 1D CNN and BiLSTM model achieved an accuracy of 95% on test data in identifying atrial fibrillation, showcasing its strong performance and reliable predictive capabilities. Furthermore, we evaluated the performance of our model using additional metrics. The precision of our classification model was measured at 0.88, indicating its ability to accurately identify true positive cases of AF. The recall, or sensitivity, was measured at 0.85, illustrating the model's capacity to detect a high proportion of actual AF cases. Additionally, the F1 score, which combines both precision and recall, was calculated at 0.84, highlighting the overall effectiveness of our model in classifying AF and non-AF cases.

Autonomic impairment of patients in coma with different Glasgow coma score assessed with heart rate variability

PRIMARY OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to assess the functional state of the autonomic nervous system in healthy individuals and in individuals in coma using measures of heart rate variability (HRV) and to evaluate its efficiency in predicting mortality.

DESIGN AND METHODS

Retrospective group comparison study of patients in coma classified into two subgroups, according to their Glasgow coma score, with a healthy control group. HRV indices were calculated from 7 min of artefact-free electrocardiograms using the Hilbert-Huang method in the spectral range 0.02-0.6 Hz. A special procedure was applied to avoid confounding factors. Stepwise multiple regression logistic analysis (SMLRA) and ROC analysis evaluated predictions.

RESULTS

Progressive reduction of HRV was confirmed and was associated with deepening of coma and a mortality score model that included three spectral HRV indices of absolute power values of very low, low and very high frequency bands (0.4-0.6 Hz). The SMLRA model showed sensitivity of 95.65%, specificity of 95.83%, positive predictive value of 95.65%, and overall efficiency of 95.74%.

CONCLUSIONS

HRV is a reliable method to assess the integrity of the neural control of the caudal brainstem centres on the hearts of patients in coma and to predict patient mortality.

Intrinsic Mode Function Complexity Index Using Empirical Mode Decomposition discriminates Normal Sinus Rhythm and Atrial Fibrillation on a Single Lead ECG

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia affecting approximately 3 million Americans, and is a prognostic marker for stroke, heart failure and even death. Current techniques to discriminate normal sinus rhythm (NSR) and AF from single lead ECG suffer several limitations in terms of sensitivity and specificity using short time ECG data which distorts ECG and many are not suitable for real-time implementation. The purpose of this research was to test the feasibility of discriminating single lead ECG's with normal sinus rhythm (NSR) and AF using intrinsic mode function (IMF) complexity index. 15 sets of ECG's with NSR and AF were obtained from Physionet database. Custom MATLAB® software was written to compute IMF index for each of the data set and compared for statistical significance. The mean IMF index for NSR across 15 data sets was 0.37 ± 0.08, and the mean IMF index for ECG with AF was 0.21 ± 0.07 showing robust discrimination with statistical significance (p<0.01). IMF complexity robustly discriminates single lead ECG with normal sinus rhythm and AF. Further validation of this result is required on a larger dataset. The results also motivate the use of this technique for analysis of other complex cardiac arrhythmias such as ventricular tachycardia (VT) or ventricular fibrillation (VF).

Classification of persistent and long-standing persistent atrial fibrillation by means of surface electrocardiograms

Atrial fibrillation, which is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, is typically classified into four clinical subtypes: paroxysmal, persistent, long-standing persistent and permanent. The ability to distinguish between them is of crucial significance in choosing the most suitable therapy for each patient. Nevertheless, classification is currently established once the natural history of the arrhythmia has been disclosed as it is not possible to make an early differentiation. This paper presents a novel method to discriminate persistent and long-standing atrial fibrillation patients by means of a time-frequency analysis of the surface electrocardiogram. Classification results provide approximately 75% accuracy when evaluating ECGs of consecutive unselected patients from a tertiary center and higher than 80% when patients are not under antiarrhythmic treatment or do not have structural heart disease (76% sensitivity and 88% specificity). Moreover, to our knowledge, this is the first study that discriminates between persistent and long-standing persistent subtypes in a heterogeneous population sample and without discontinuing antiarrhythmic therapy to patients. Thus, it can help clinicians to address the most suitable therapeutic approach for each patient.

Empirical mode decomposition of multiple ECG leads for catheter ablation long-term outcome prediction in persistent atrial fibrillation

Predictive models arouse increasing interest in clinical practice, not only to improve successful intervention rates but also to extract information of diverse physiological disorders. This is the case of persistent atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common cardiac arrhythmia in adults. Currently, catheter ablation (CA) is one of the preferred therapies to face this disease. However, selecting the best responders to CA by standard noninvasive techniques such as the electrocardiogram (ECG) remains a challenge. This work presents different predictive models for determining long-term CA outcome based on the dominant frequency (DF) of atrial activity measured in the ECG. The ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) is employed to obtain the intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) composing the ECG signal in each lead. The IMF DFs computed in multiple leads are then combined into a logistic regression (LR) model. The IMF DF features are discriminant enough to reach 79% accuracy for long-term CA outcome prediction, outperforming other methods based on DF computation. Our study shows EEMD as a valuable alternative to extract clinically relevant spectral information from AF ECGs and confirms the advantage of LR to build multivariate predictive models as compared with univariate analysis.

A framework for the atrial fibrillation prediction in electrophysiological studies

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Cardiac arrhythmias are disorders in terms of speed or rhythm in the heart's electrical system. Atrial fibrillation (AFib) is the most common sustained arrhythmia that affects a large number of persons. Electrophysiologic study (EPS) procedures are used to study fibrillation in patients; they consist of inducing a controlled fibrillation in surgical room to analyze electrical heart reactions or to decide for implanting medical devices (i.e., pacemaker). Nevertheless, the spontaneous induction may generate an undesired AFib, which may induce risk for patient and thus a critical issue for physicians. We study the unexpected AFib onset, aiming to identify signal patterns occurring in time interval preceding an event of spontaneous (i.e., not inducted) fibrillation. Profiling such signal patterns allowed to design and implement an AFib prediction algorithm able to early identify a spontaneous fibrillation. The objective is to increase the reliability of EPS procedures.

METHODS

We gathered data signals collected by a General Electric Healthcare's CardioLab electrophysiology recording system (i.e., a polygraph). We extracted superficial and intracavitary cardiac signals regarding 50 different patients studied at the University Magna Graecia Cardiology Department. By studying waveform (i.e., amplitude and energy) of intracavitary signals before the onset of the arrhythmia, we were able to define patterns related to AFib onsets that are side effects of an inducted fibrillation.

RESULTS

A framework for atrial fibrillation prediction during electrophysiological studies has been developed. It includes a prediction algorithm to alert an upcoming AFib onset. Tests have been performed on an intracavitary cardiac signals data set, related to patients studied in electrophysiological room. Also, results have been validated by the clinicians, proving that the framework can be useful in case of integration with the polygraph, helping physicians in managing and controlling of patient status during EPS.