A Risk-Scoring Model for Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Early Gastric Cancer Patients: a Retrospective Study and External Validation

Clinical outcomes and risk factors of non-curative endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer: a retrospective multicenter study in Zhejiang, China

Background

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC) does not always lead to curative resection. Risk factors of lymph node metastasis (LNM)/local cancer residue after non-curative ESD for EGC have not been fully elucidated. We therefore aimed to clarify them and evaluate whether the "eCura system" is reliable for the risk stratification of LNM after non-curative ESD.

Methods

We conducted a multicenter retrospective study at seven institutions in Zhejiang, China, on 128 patients who underwent non-curative ESD for EGC. We divided the patients into two groups according to their therapeutic regimen after non-curative ESD. We analyzed the risk factors for LNM, local cancer residue, cancer recurrence, and cancer-specific mortality. Furthermore, we compared the outcomes in each risk category after applying the "eCura system".

Results

Among 68 patients undergoing additional surgery, LNM was found in three (4.41%) patients, while local cancer residue was found in eight (11.76%) patients. Multivariate analysis showed that upper third location and deep submucosal invasion were independent risk factors of LNM and local cancer residue. Among 60 patients who underwent simple follow-up, local cancer recurrence was found in four (6.67%) patients and cancer-specific mortality was found in one (1.67%) patient. There were no independent risk factors of cancer recurrence and cancer-specific mortality in our study. During the follow-up period, 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were 93.8% and 88.9%, respectively. Additionally, LNM and cancer recurrence were significantly associated with the eCura scoring system (p = 0.044 and p = 0.017, respectively), while local cancer residue and cancer-specific mortality were not (p = 0.478 and p = 0.131, respectively).

Conclusion

Clinicians should be aware of the risk factors for the prognosis of patients with non-curative ESD to determine subsequent treatment. Through the application of the "eCura system", additional surgery should be performed in patients with intermediate/high risk of LNM.

A nomogram based on platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio for predicting lymph node metastasis in patients with early gastric cancer

Background

Preoperative assessment of the presence of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with early gastric cancer (EGC) remains difficult. We aimed to develop a practical prediction model based on preoperative pathological data and inflammatory or nutrition-related indicators.

Methods

This study retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics of 1,061 patients with EGC who were randomly divided into the training set and validation set at a ratio of 7:3. In the training set, we introduced the least absolute selection and shrinkage operator (LASSO) algorithm and multivariate logistic regression to identify independent risk factors and construct the nomogram. Both internal validation and external validation were performed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), C-index, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

LNM occurred in 162 of 1,061 patients, and the rate of LNM was 15.27%. In the training set, four variables proved to be independent risk factors (p < 0.05) and were incorporated into the final model, including depth of invasion, tumor size, degree of differentiation, and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR). The AUC values were 0.775 and 0.792 for the training and validation groups, respectively. Both calibration curves showed great consistency in the predictive and actual values. The Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test was carried out in two cohorts, showing excellent performance with p-value >0.05 (0.684422, 0.7403046). Decision curve analysis demonstrated a good clinical benefit in the respective set.

Conclusion

We established a preoperative nomogram including depth of invasion, tumor size, degree of differentiation, and PLR to predict LNM in EGC patients and achieved a good performance.

Impact of preceding noncurative endoscopic submucosal dissection on patients with early gastric cancer who undergo subsequent surgery: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The influence of preceding noncurative endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) on the efficacy of subsequent surgery is still controversial among early gastric cancer (EGC), especially for laparoscopic gastrectomy. The present meta-analysis was conducted to compare clinical outcomes between patients with EGC who underwent noncurative ESD before surgery (ESD group) and those who underwent direct surgery (non-ESD group).

METHODS

Related databases were searched, and articles comparing differences between ESD and non-ESD groups were included for meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Ten retrospective studies with 3465 participants were included in this meta-analysis. Compared with the non-ESD group, the ESD group was older and had more males, smaller tumors, more differentiated tumors and a higher proportion of pT1b, a shorter operation time, fewer dissected lymph nodes, a lower rate of positive lymph nodes and a lower rate of D2 dissection. There was no significant difference in intraoperative blood loss, postoperative complication rate, postoperative hospital stay or long-term prognosis, etc.

CONCLUSION

Preceding noncurative ESD has no negative impact on the short- and long-term results of additional gastrectomy (open surgery or laparoscopic surgery).

Scoring Model Based on Nodal Metastasis Prediction Suggesting an Alternative Treatment to Total Gastrectomy in Proximal Early Gastric Cancer

Purpose

Total gastrectomy (TG) with lymph node (LN) dissection is recommended for early gastric cancer (EGC) but is not indicated for endoscopic resection (ER). We aimed to identify patients who could avoid TG by establishing a scoring system for predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) in proximal EGCs.

Materials and Methods

Between January 2003 and December 2017, a total of 1,025 proximal EGC patients who underwent TG with LN dissection were enrolled. Patients who met the absolute ER criteria based on pathological examination were excluded. The pathological risk factors for LNM were determined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. A scoring system for predicting LNM was developed and applied to the validation group.

Results

Of the 1,025 cases, 100 (9.8%) showed positive LNM. Multivariate analysis confirmed the following independent risk factors for LNM: tumor size >2 cm, submucosal invasion, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), and perineural invasion (PNI). A scoring system was created using the four aforementioned variables, and the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves in both the training (0.85) and validation (0.84) groups indicated excellent discrimination. The probability of LNM in mucosal cancers without LVI or PNI, regardless of size, was <2.9%.

Conclusions

Our scoring system involving four variables can predict the probability of LNM in proximal EGC and might be helpful in determining additional treatment plans after ER, functioning as a good indicator of the adequacy of treatments other than TG in high surgical risk patients.

Nomograms for Predicting the Lymph Node Metastasis in Early Gastric Cancer by Gender: A Retrospective Multicentric Study

Background

Lymph node metastasis (LNM) has a significant impact on the prognosis of patients with early gastric cancer (EGC). Our aim was to identify the independent risk factors for LNM and construct nomograms for male and female EGC patients, respectively.

Methods

Clinicopathological data of 1,742 EGC patients who underwent radical gastrectomy and lymphadenectomy in the First Affiliated Hospital, Second Affiliated Hospital, and Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University between November 2011 and April 2021 were collected and analyzed retrospectively. Male and female patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University were assigned to training sets and then from the Second and Fourth Affiliated Hospitals of Anhui Medical University were enrolled in validation sets. Based on independent risk factors for LNM in male and female EGC patients from the training sets, the nomograms were established respectively, which was also verified by internal validation from the training sets and external validation from the validation sets.

Results

Tumor size (odd ratio (OR): 1.386, p = 0.030), depth of invasion (OR: 0.306, p = 0.001), Lauren type (OR: 2.816, p = 0.000), lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (OR: 0.160, p = 0.000), and menopause (OR: 0.296, p = 0.009) were independent risk factors for female EGC patients. For male EGC patients, tumor size (OR: 1.298, p = 0.007), depth of invasion (OR: 0.257, p = 0.000), tumor location (OR: 0.659, p = 0.002), WHO type (OR: 1.419, p = 0.001), Lauren type (OR: 3.099, p = 0.000), and LVI (OR: 0.131, p = 0.000) were independent risk factors. Moreover, nomograms were established to predict the risk of LNM for female and male EGC patients, respectively. The area under the ROC curve of nomograms for female and male training sets were 87.7% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.8397–0.914) and 94.8% (95% CI: 0.9273–0.9695), respectively. For the validation set, they were 92.4% (95% CI: 0.7979–1) and 93.4% (95% CI: 0.8928–0.9755), respectively. Additionally, the calibration curves showed good agreements between the bias-corrected prediction and the ideal reference line for both training sets and validation sets in female and male EGC patients.

Conclusions

Nomograms based on risk factors for LNM in male and female EGC patients may provide new insights into the selection of appropriate treatment methods.

Long-Term Outcomes of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer/Esophagogastric Junction Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has been defined as any preoperative chemotherapy scheme aiming to reduce tumor staging and to control preoperative micrometastasis, which has been extensively used as a treatment for resectable gastric cancer. However, its effect on the long-term survival of patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (AGC) or esophagogastric junction cancer (EGC) remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed at investigating the long-term efficacy of NAC in locally AGC/EGC.

METHODS

The following databases were searched for articles published from their inception up to April 2020: PubMed, Web of Science, EBSCO, and Cochrane library. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

A total of 19 articles were included in this meta-analysis, with a total of 4,446 patients. The results showed that NAC increased the patients' 3-year OS (HR, 0.56; 95%CI, 0.21-0.91; P<0.001), 3-year PFS (HR, 0.76; 95%CI, 0.66-0.87; P<0.001), 5-year OS (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.64-0.78; P<0.001), and 5-year PFS (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.61-0.79; P<0.001) respectively. Besides, subgroup analysis showed that Asian countries have benefited significantly from NAC (HR, 0.65; 95%CI, 0.55-0.74; P<0.001), and other countries have also benefited (HR, 0.79; 95%CI, 0.68-0.89; P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with adjuvant chemotherapy and surgery alone, NAC can improve the long-term survival outcomes (OS and PFS) of patients with resectable AGC or EGC.

Establishment and verification of a nomogram for predicting the risk of lymph node metastasis in early gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) has been widely recognized by patients and doctors due to its advantages in early gastric cancer (EGC). The accurate prediction of the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in EGC is important to select suitable treatments with this procedure for patients. Unfortunately, the accuracy of endoscopic ultrasound and computed tomography in the diagnosis of EGC lymph node status is extremely limited. The purpose of the present study was to establish an LNM nomogram risk model of early gastric cancer patients based on clinical data, to guide treatment for clinicians.

METHODS

a retrospective examination of the records of EGC patients undergoing radical gastrectomy from August 2012 to August 2019 in the Gastrointestinal Center of Subei People's Hospital was performed. The clinicopathological data were classified into a training set and validation set according to the time. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors related to LNM. A risk model for predicting the occurrence of LNM in EGC was established and validated.

RESULTS

of the 503 EGC patients, 78 (15.5 %) had lymph node metastasis. Logistic stepwise regression analysis showed that the predictive factors included sex, tumor location, tumor diameter, differentiation, ulcer and lymphatic vascular invasion. The discrimination of the LNM prediction model was satisfactory with an AUC of 0.8033 (internal validation) and 0.7353 (external validation). The correction effect of the calibration was satisfactory and the DCA decision curve analysis showed a strong clinical practicability.

CONCLUSION

the nomogram risk prediction model of LNM has been established for EGC patients to assist in formulating personalized treatment plans.

Risk of Lymph Node Metastasis and Feasibility of Endoscopic Treatment in Ulcerative Early Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

When the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) is considered minimal in patients with early gastric cancer (EGC), endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is an effective alternative to radical resection. This study aims to estimate the feasibility of ESD for EGC with ulceration.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed data from 691 patients who underwent gastrectomy for EGC with ulceration. Subsequently, a stratification system for lesions was created based on the expanded ESD criteria, and the associations between the subgroups and the rate of LNM were analyzed.

RESULTS

LNM was confirmed in 16.5% (114/691) of patients. Univariate analysis demonstrated that age, sex, tumor size, macroscopic features, depth of invasion, tumor differentiation, Lauren type, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), and perineural invasion were associated with LNM. Multivariate analysis showed that LVI [odds ratio (OR) = 16.761, P < 0.001], SM1 invasion (OR = 2.159, P = 0.028), and SM2 invasion (OR = 3.230, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for LNM. LNM occurred in undifferentiated mucosal tumors, with ulceration being 1.7% (2/116) when the lesion was smaller than 20 mm. Further stratification revealed that among lesions < 30 mm in size, undifferentiated tumors with SM1 invasion had a higher rate of LNM and a lower disease-free survival rate than differentiated tumors with SM1 invasion and tumors limited to the mucosal layer.

CONCLUSIONS

Depth of invasion and LVI were strongly associated with LNM in ulcerative EGC. Endoscopic resection may be applicable for undifferentiated mucosal ulcerative EGC < 30 mm in size, and additional investigation is needed to evaluate its safety.

Integrating tumor and nodal radiomics to predict lymph node metastasis in gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

To develop and validate a radiomics method via integrating tumor and lymph node radiomics for the preoperative prediction of lymph node (LN) status in gastric cancer (GC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively collected 170 contrast-enhanced abdominal CT images from GC patients. Five times repeated random hold-out experiment was employed. Tumor and nodal radiomics features were extracted from each individual tumor and LN respectively, and then multi-step feature selection was performed. The optimal tumor and nodal features were selected using Pearson correlation analysis and sequential forward floating selection (SFFS) algorithm. After feature fusion, the SFFS algorithm was used to develop radiomics signatures. The performance of the radiomics signatures developed based on logistic regression classifier was further analyzed and compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The AUC values, reported as mean ± standard deviation, were 0.9319 ± 0.0129 and 0.8546 ± 0.0261 for the training and validation cohorts respectively. The radiomic signatures could predict LN status, especially in T2-stage, diffuse-type and moderately/well differentiated GC. After integrating clinicopathologic information, the radiomic-clinicopathologic model (training cohort, 0.9432 ± 0.0129; validation cohort, 0.8764 ± 0.0322) showed a better discrimination capability than other radiomics models and clinicopathologic model. The radiomic-clinicopathologic model also showed superior performance to the gastroenterologist' decision in all experiments, and outperformed the radiologist in some experiments.

CONCLUSION

Our proposed method presented good predictive performance and great potential for predicting LNM in GC. As a noninvasive preoperative prediction tool, it can be helpful for guiding the prognosis and treatment decision-making in GC patients.

Risk factors of tumor invasion and node metastasis in early gastric cancer with undifferentiated component: a multicenter retrospective study on biopsy specimens and clinical data

Background

Early gastric cancer (EGC) with undifferentiated component (UDC) is a more aggressive entity, where the significance of preoperative data to tumor invasion and lymph node metastasis (LNM) remains unclarified.

Methods

A total of 5,020 GC patients undergoing radical gastrectomy in three centers were reviewed, of which, EGC with UDC in preoperative biopsy specimens were enrolled. The histology of biopsy and surgical specimens was graded according to the proportion of UDC and signet ring cells (SRCs). Risk factors of tumor invasion and LNM were evaluated with histological, clinical and demographic data.

Results

Lower body mass index (BMI), melena and larger tumor size were the independent preoperative risk factors of both LNM and LVI, while ulcerative lesion (UL) and the lower third stomach were only correlated with LNM. No relevance was found between the histological features of biopsy specimens and LNM, but SRC or >50% UDC lowered the risk of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) and/or submucosal (SM) invasion. When surgical data (depth of invasion and LVI included) were added, lower BMI, melena and the lower third stomach were still the independent preoperative risk factors of LNM, and LVI, SRC and SM invasion also showed relevance to LNM. The performance of predictive models using pre- or postoperative histological data was comparable.

Conclusions

The preoperative data were significantly relevant to tumor invasion and LNM, showing comparable risk strength with surgical specimens in histology.

Magnitude of benefit of the addition of poly ADP-ribose polymerase (PARP) inhibitors to therapy for malignant tumor: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to analyze the efficacy of PARP inhibitor on solid tumors.

METHODS

For this study, the following databases were searched for articles published from its inception until July 2019: PubMed, Web of Science, EBSCO, and Cochrane library, of which the main conclusion was the overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

We conducted a meta-analysis and the results showed that PARP inhibitor increased the patients' PFS (HR: 0.51, p < 0.001), PFS with BRCA1/2 mutations (HR: 0.32, p < 0.001), OS (HR: 0.74, p < 0.001), OS with BRCA1/2 mutations (HR: 0.78, p = 0.03), complete response (CR) (RR: 1.89, p = 0.10), partial response (PR) (RR: 1.34, p = 0.01), overall response rate (ORR) (RR: 1.42, p = 0.001) respectively. The main adverse events (AEs) observed were decreased appetite.

CONCLUSIONS

PARP inhibitors may prolong survival. PARP inhibitors were more favorable for BRCA1/2 mutations in ovarian cancer patients. Additionally, the overall safety factor was controllable.

A meta-analysis of comparison of proximal gastrectomy with double-tract reconstruction and total gastrectomy for proximal early gastric cancer

Background

In theory, proximal gastrectomy with double-tract reconstruction (PG-DT) was superior to total gastrectomy (TG) in hematologic and nutritional outcomes. However, its clinical effects in proximal early gastric cancer (EGC) have been controversial.

Methods

The purpose of this study was to investigate the outcomes of laparoscopic proximal gastrectomy with double-tract reconstruction (LPG-DT) for proximal EGC. For this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched for articles published before December of 2018 in the following databases: PubMed, Web of Science, EBSCO, Medline, and Cochrane Library.

Results

The results showed no significant difference in the anastomotic stenosis (OR = 0.91, 95%CI = 0.33–2.50, p = 0.85) and reflux esophagitis (OR = 1.87, 95%CI = 0.62–5.65, p = 0.27) between LPG-DT and laparoscopic total gastrectomy (LTG). The vitamin B12 supplementation rate in the LPG-DT group was lower than the LTG group (OR = 0.06, 95%Cl = 0.01–0.59, p = 0.02).

Conclusions

Due to comparable clinical effect, PG-DT is comparable to TG for patients with proximal EGC. In addition, LPG-DT not only appears superior to TG in terms of preventing vitamin B12 deficiency, but also does not increase the risk of anastomotic stricture and reflux esophagitis.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12893-019-0584-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Endoscopic management of patients with early gastric cancer before and after endoscopic resection: A review

With the wide application of endoscopic resection for early gastric cancer (EGC) by not only Asian endoscopists but also those from Western countries, reviews on standardized treatment processes before and after endoscopic resection are nevertheless lacking. In this article we provide a narrative review of studies on the selection of appropriate EGC for endoscopic resection and the follow-up strategies for those with histologically confirmed EGC after endoscopic resection. EGC should be comprehensively assessed before endoscopic resection, including its exact margin, invasive depth and risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM). While the curative resection status of EGC may be evaluated after endoscopic resection based on the newly developed eCura system, although this needs to be further verified. Surveillance with endoscopy and computed tomography scan is necessary for patients with an EGC level A or B. An additional endoscopic resection is recommended for patients with a level-C1 EGC. For patients with a level-C2 EGC, close follow-up is suggested for low-risk tumors of level C2 and additional surgery for those at high risks. Further postoperative strategy is suggested based on comprehensive assessment of the risk of LNM, patient's quality of life and wishes.