Omission of Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Rectal Cancer Patients with Pathologic Complete Response: a National Analysis

The role of adjuvant chemotherapy in rectal cancer patients with ypT0-2N0 after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Background

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has emerged as the established treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer. Nevertheless, there remains a debate regarding the necessity of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who exhibit a favorable tumor response (ypT0-2N0) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery. Thus, the objective of this study is to investigate the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on the oncological prognosis of rectal cancer patients who have a good response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

Materials and methods

The study was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses protocol. Articles were searched in the Web of Science, PubMed, and Cochrane Library databases. The primary outcomes assessed were 5-year overall survival, disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, recurrence-free survival, local recurrence, and distant metastasis. The data was summarized using a random effects model.

Results

A meta-analysis was conducted using 18 retrospective studies published between 2009 and 2023. The studies included 9 from China and 5 from Korea, involving a total of 6566 patients with ypT0-2N0 rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. The pooled data revealed that adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved 5-year overall survival (OR=1.75, 95% CI: 1.15-2.65, P=0.008), recurrence-free survival (OR=1.73, 95% CI: 1.20-2.48, P=0.003), and reduced distant metastasis (OR=0.68, 95% CI: 0.51-0.92, P=0.011). However, adjuvant chemotherapy did not have a significant effect on disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, and local recurrence in ypT0-2N0 rectal cancer. Subgroup analysis indicated that adjuvant chemotherapy was beneficial in improving overall survival for ypT1-2N0 rectal cancer (OR=1.89, 95% CI: 1.13-3.19, P=0.003).

Conclusion

The findings of the meta-analysis suggest that adjuvant chemotherapy may provide benefits in terms of oncological outcomes for rectal cancer patients with ypT0-2N0 after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and radical surgery. However, further prospective clinical studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Effect of adjuvant chemotherapy on the oncological outcome of rectal cancer patients with pathological complete response

BACKGROUND

Locally advanced rectal cancer is typically treated using a combination of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and total mesorectal resection. While achieving pathological complete response following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has been recognized as a positive prognostic factor in oncology, the necessity of adjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer patients with pathological complete response after surgery remains uncertain. The objective of this meta-analysis was to examine the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on the oncological outcomes of rectal cancer patients who attain pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

This meta-analysis followed the guidelines outlined in the preferred reporting items for systematic review and meta-analysis (PRISMA). The Web of Science, PubMed, and Cochrane Library databases were systematically searched to identify relevant literature.

RESULTS

A total of 34 retrospective studies, including 9 studies from the NCBD database, involving 31,558 patients with pathological complete response rectal cancer, were included in the meta-analysis. The included studies were published between 2008 and 2023. The pooled analysis demonstrated that adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved overall survival (HR = 0.803, 95% CI 0.678-0.952, P = 0.011), and no heterogeneity was observed (I2 = 0%). Locally advanced rectal cancer patients with pathological complete response who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy exhibited a higher 5-year overall survival rate compared to those who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy (OR = 1.605, 95% CI 1.183-2.177, P = 0.002). However, the analysis also revealed that postoperative ACT did not lead to improvements in disease-free survival and recurrence-free survival within the same patient population. Subgroup analysis indicated that pathological complete response patients with clinical stage T3/T4, lymph node positivity, and younger than 70 years of age may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in terms of overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this meta-analysis suggest that adjuvant chemotherapy has a beneficial effect on improving overall survival among rectal cancer patients with pathological complete response. However, no such association was observed in terms of disease-free survival and recurrence-free survival.

Improved Survival After Adjuvant Therapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Patients With Pathologic Complete Response

BACKGROUND

The benefit of adjuvant therapy is unclear in patients with rectal cancer achieving a pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and total mesorectal excision.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy on survival among rectal cancer patients with a pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

National Cancer Database (2004-2017).

PATIENTS

Patients with clinical stage 2 or 3 rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation (50-50.4 Gy in 25-28 fractions) followed by total mesorectal excision with a pathologic complete response were included.

INTERVENTION

Adjuvant chemotherapy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Overall survival.

RESULTS

There were 20,518 patients and 2221 (11%) had a pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Of 2221 patients, 1441 (65%) did not receive adjuvant therapy and 780 (35%) did. Patients who received adjuvant therapy were more likely to be younger (median 58 vs 62 y), have private insurance (61% vs 49%), and have node-positive disease (57% vs 48%) (all p < 0.05). There were no differences in sex, race, Charlson-Deyo score, clinical T-stage, tumor size and differentiation, adequate lymphadenectomy (12 or more), or sphincter preservation between groups (all p > 0.05). Overall survival at 5, 10, and 14 years was significantly longer in the adjuvant group (93%, 85%, 83%, respectively) compared to patients who did not receive adjuvant therapy (87%, 67%, 51%, respectively) ( p < 0.001). In a subgroup analysis, adjuvant therapy was associated with improved survival in patients with clinical stage 2 and 3 rectal cancer ( p < 0.001). After adjusting for patient and tumor characteristics, omission of adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with significantly worse survival (HR 1.53, 95% 1.08-2.16).

LIMITATIONS

Selection bias, unknown perioperative morbidity, chemotherapy regimen, recurrence status, and other unidentified factors limiting survival analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with clinical stage 2 or 3 rectal cancer, adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with improved overall survival in patients achieving a pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/C139 .

SOBREVIDA MEJORADA DESPUS DE LA TERAPIA ADYUVANTE EN PACIENTES CON CNCER DE RECTO LOCALMENTE AVANZADO CON RESPUESTA PATOLGICA COMPLETA

ANTECEDENTES:En los pacientes con cáncer de recto que logran una respuesta patológica completa después de la quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante y la escisión total del mesorrecto, el beneficio de la terapia adyuvante no está claro.OBJETIVO:Evaluar el beneficio de la quimioterapia adyuvante en la sobrevida de los pacientes con cáncer de recto con una respuesta patológica completa después de la quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante.DISEÑO:Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo.ESCENARIO:Base de Datos Nacional de Cáncer (2004-2017).PACIENTES:Pacientes con adenocarcinoma rectal en estadio clínico 2 ó 3 que se sometieron a quimiorradiación neoadyuvante (50-50,4 Gy en 25-28 fracciones) seguida de escisión mesorrectal total con una respuesta patológica completa.INTERVENCIÓN:Quimioterapia adyuvante.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Sobrevida global.RESULTADOS:Hubo 20.518 pacientes y 2.221 (11%) tuvieron una respuesta patológica completa después de la quimiorradiación neoadyuvante. Entre estos 2221 pacientes, 1441 (65%) no recibieron terapia adyuvante y 780 (35%) sí. Los pacientes que recibieron terapia adyuvante tenían más probabilidades de ser más jóvenes (mediana de 58 frente a 62 años), tener un seguro privado (61% frente a 49%) y tener enfermedad con linfonodos positivos (57% frente a 48 %) (todos p < 0,05). No hubo diferencias en género, raza, puntuación de Charlson-Deyo, estadio T clínico, tamaño y diferenciación del tumor, linfadenectomía adecuada (≥12) o preservación del esfínter entre los grupos (todos p > 0,05). La sobrevida general a los 5, 10 y 14 años fue significativamente mayor en el grupo adyuvante (93%, 85%, 83%, respectivamente) en comparación con los pacientes que no recibieron terapia adyuvante (87%, 67%, 51% respectivamente) ( p < 0,001). En un análisis de subgrupos, la terapia adyuvante se asoció con una mejor sobrevida general en pacientes con cáncer de recto en estadio clínico 2 y 3 ( p < 0,001). Después de ajustar por las características del paciente y del tumor, la omisión de la quimioterapia adyuvante se asoció con una sobrevida global significativamente peor (HR 1,53, IC del 95%, 1,08-2,16).LIMITACIONES:Sesgo de selección; morbilidad perioperatoria desconocida, régimen de quimioterapia, estado de recurrencia y otros factores no identificados que limitan el análisis de sobrevida.CONCLUSIONES:En pacientes con cáncer de recto en estadio clínico 2 ó 3, la quimioterapia adyuvante se asoció con una mejor sobrevida general en pacientes que lograron una respuesta patológica completa después de la quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/C139 . (Traducción-Dr. Felipe Bellolio ).

Current evidence regarding the role of adjuvant chemotherapy in rectal cancer patients with pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

The aim of this meta-analysis was to investigate the role of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) in rectal cancer patients with pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and curative resection.

METHODS

This study was completed in accordance to the PRISMA guidelines and the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions. The electronic scholar databases (Medline, Web of Science, Scopus) were screened for eligible articles. The level of evidence (LoE) was assessed using the GRADE methodology.

RESULTS

Overall, 23 non-randomized studies and 17,406 patients were included in the present meta-analysis. Pooled comparisons confirmed that AC improved overall survival (HR: 0.68, p=0.0003), but not disease-free (p=0.22) and recurrence-free survival (p=0.39). However, the LoE for all outcomes was characterized as "very low," due to the absence of RCTs.

CONCLUSIONS

Considering the study limitations and the lack of randomized studies, further high-quality RCTs are required to confirm the findings of our study.

Nomogram to Predict Distant Metastasis Probability for Pathological Complete Response Rectal Cancer Patients After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

Purpose

This study aimed to predict the risks of distant metastasis (DM) of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients with pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) and total mesorectal excision (TME), and to find the association between adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) and their survival outcomes.

Methods and Materials

A total of 242 patients with LARC achieving pCR after NACRT were enrolled in this retrospective study. We developed a nomogram model using logistic regression analyses for predicting risk of DM. The model performance was evaluated by the concordance index and calibration curve. Survival was determined using Kaplan–Meier survival curve.

Results

Age, pre-operative CEA, pre-treatment CEA and distance of tumor to anal verge were identified as significantly associated variables that could be enrolled in the model to predict the risk of DM for pCR patients. The nomogram we created had a bootstrapped-concordance index of 0.731 (95% CI = 0.627 to 0.834) and was well calibrated. The high risk group was more likely to develop DM than low risk group (total score) (95% CI = 1.439 to 6.493, P = 0.0036). The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) for the low and high risk groups (total score ≤ 90 vs > 90) was 97.8%, 94.2%, 94.2% and 91.3%, 83.4%, 81.8%, respectively (P = 0.0036). DM occurred within 1 and 2 years after TME surgery was 33.3% and 55.6% for the low risk group, and 47.3% and 84.2% for the high risk group. The value of ACT was assessed among the whole cohort, patients with cT_3-4, with cN₊ or with either DM risk group, but no significant difference was observed concerning DMFS whether ACT was given or not (all P > 0.05). Active treatment after DM was more beneficial than palliative treatment (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

The nomogram model, including age, pre-operative CEA, pre-treatment CEA and distance to anal verge, predicted the probability of DM among LARC patients achieving pCR after NACRT. The effects of ACT were not seen in different subgroups, while closer clinical follow-up may have greater contribution to pCR patients in the first 2 years, especially for patients with relatively higher risk to develop DM. It is suggested that timely active treatment can bring survival benefit for pCR patients developing DM after NACRT.