Screening of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients with High Risk of Early Recurrence After Radical Hepatectomy Using a Nomogram Model Based on the γ-Glutamyl Transpeptidase-to-Albumin Ratio

Nomogram model based on γ-glutamyl transferase to albumin ratio predicts survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with transarterial chemoembolization treatment

BACKGROUND

The development of tumor is closely linked to inflammation. Therefore, targeting molecules involved in inflammation may be effective in predicting cancer prognosis. Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) holds significant therapeutic significance in addressing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). At present, no studies have evaluated the predictive value of γ-glutamyl transferase to albumin ratio (GAR) on the prognosis of HCC undergoing TACE.

AIM

To explore the potential prognostic significance of the GAR in individuals undergoing TACE for HCC.

METHODS

A total of 1231 patients from seven hospitals in China were randomized into a training cohort (n = 862) and a validation cohort (n = 369). To establish independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS), we utilized multivariate and univariate Cox regression models. The best cut-off value of the GAR was determined with the X-tile software, with OS as the basis. Validations were performed using dual therapy cohort and triple therapy cohort.

RESULTS

X-tile software revealed a GAR threshold of 4.75 as optimal. Both pre- and post-propensity score matching analyses demonstrated that the median OS in the low-GAR group (< 4.75) was notably longer compared to the high-GAR group (≥ 4.75), showing results of 26.9 vs 9.8 months (P < 0.001) initially, and 18.1 vs 11.3 months (P < 0.001) after match. Furthermore, multivariate analysis identified GAR ≥ 4.75 as an independent prognostic factor (P < 0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curves for the nomogram showed area under receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.741, 0.747, and 0.708 for predicting 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival, respectively. Consistent findings were reiterated in the two cohorts involving TACE in combination with targeted therapy and TACE in combination with targeted therapy and immunotherapy. Calibration curve and decision curve analyses substantiated the model's relatively robust predictive capabilities.

CONCLUSION

Our study validates the effective prognostic capacity of the GAR-based nomogram for HCC patients undergoing TACE or TACE in combination with systemic therapy.

Establishing and Externally Validating a Hemoglobin, Albumin, Lymphocyte, and Platelet (HALP) Score-Based Nomogram for Predicting Early Recurrence in BCLC Stage 0/A Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients After Radical Liver Resection: A Multi-Center Study

Purpose

Early recurrence (ER) is associated with poor prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this study, we developed and externally validated a nomogram based on the hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocytes, and platelets (HALP) score to predict ER for patients with BCLC stage 0/A HCC who underwent radical liver resection.

Patients and Methods

A total of 808 BCLC stage 0/A HCC patients from six hospitals were included in this study, and they were assigned to a training cohort (n = 500) and an external validation cohort (n = 308). We used univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify the independent risk factors for disease-free survival (DFS). We also established and externally validated a nomogram based on these risk predictors. The nomogram was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the concordance index (C-index), the calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan‒Meier analysis.

Results

Multivariate COX regression showed that HBV DNA ≥10,000 IU/mL (P < 0.001), HALP score ≤38.20 (P < 0.001), tumor size (P = 0.003), clinically significant portal hypertension (P = 0.001), Edmondson-Steiner grade (III-IV) (P = 0.007), satellite nodules (P < 0.001), and MVI (P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for post-operative tumor recurrence. The AUC of our nomogram for predicting the 2-year and 5-year DFS was 0.756 and 0.750, respectively, in the training cohort and 0.764 and 0.705, respectively, in the external validation cohort. We divided the patients into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups according to the risk score calculated by the nomogram. There were statistically significant differences in the DFS and overall survival (OS) among the three groups of patients (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

We developed and externally validated a new nomogram, which is accurate and can predict ER in BCLC stage 0/A HCC patients after curative liver resection.

Role of microvascular invasion in early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver resection: A literature review

Hepatectomy is widely considered a potential treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Unfortunately, one-third of HCC patients have tumor recurrence within 2 years after surgery (early recurrence), accounting for more than 60% of all recurrence patients. Early recurrence is associated with a worse prognosis. Previous studies have shown that microvascular invasion (MVI) is one of the key factors for early recurrence and poor prognosis in patients with HCC after surgery. This paper reviews the latest literature and summarizes the predictors of MVI, the correlation between MVI and early recurrence, the identification of suspicious nodules or subclinical lesions, and the treatment strategies for MVI-positive HCC. The aim is to explore the management of patients with MVI-positive HCC.