Predictors of long-term survival after hip fractures?-5-year results of a prospective study in Germany

Proximal Femur Fractures: Evaluating the Necessity of On-Call Surgery

Background: The decision of the Joint Federal Committee on the treatment of hip fractures stipulates that proximal femur fractures must be treated within the first 24 h. This leads to organizational and personnel difficulties in day-to-day care. Therefore, we investigated the question at what times of day we operate to maintain this timeline and whether there is a difference in the outcome for the patients according to treatment hours. Methods: Data from the DGU's "AltersTraumaRegister" from 2016 to 2020 were analyzed. For the analysis, the patients were divided into seven cohorts depending on the time of surgery. Pre-operative, operative, and follow-up data were analyzed. Results: A total of 29,470 patients were included in our study. The results showed that 74% of patients were treated within 24 h. 72% of patients operated on between 0-7 h had pertrochanteric fractures, while 56% of all arthroplasties were performed during normal working hours. In supra-regional trauma centers, significantly fewer operations were performed during normal working hours, while significantly more surgeries were carried out in the late evening and at night (p < 0.001). There were no significant differences in mortality and morbidity between the individual groups. Conclusions: Although we manage to treat most patients within 24 h, only 46% of patients are operated on within normal working hours. In terms of the outcome parameters, this does not appear to be a disadvantage for the patients. Nevertheless, night work and fatigue affect concentration and post-operative results in many areas, as we know. Consequently, patient care during normal working hours within 24 h creates the best possible initial situation for the patient, as significantly more personnel resources are available during normal working hours. The aim should be to create the logistical and personnel requirements for this.

Patient Factors Associated with 10-Year Survival After Arthroplasty for Hip Fracture: A Population-Based Study in Ontario, Canada

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to describe long-term (10-year) patient survival after arthroplasty for hip fracture and to determine what patient factors are associated with that outcome.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of patients ≥60 years old who underwent either hemiarthroplasty or total hip arthroplasty for femoral neck fracture between 2002 and 2009. We used routinely collected, validated health-care databases linked through ICES (formerly known as the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences). We estimated the association between baseline variables and survival 10 years post-fracture using Poisson regression. Restricted cubic spline functions modeled the probability of 10-year survival by age and tested whether there was an inflection point after which the probability of 10-year survival decreased more rapidly. We estimated 10-year survival probabilities for different patient groups.

RESULTS

There were 19,659 patients in the final cohort. Eighteen percent (3,564) of the patients were alive at 10 years postoperatively. Factors associated with a higher likelihood of 10-year survival included younger age, female sex (risk ratio [RR] = 1.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.46 to 1.68), lower American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class (ASA I or II versus IV or V: RR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.76 to 2.19), independent living status (RR = 2.68, 95% CI = 2.23 to 3.22), and fewer specific comorbidities. A threshold age of 73 years was the inflection point after which the probability of 10-year survival decreased more rapidly in females. Estimated 10-year survival probabilities ranged from 79.0% (95% CI = 75.5% to 82.5%) to 0.8% (95% CI = 0.6% to 1.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately 1 in 6 patients live at least 10 years following a hip fracture. This study identifies baseline characteristics that predict survival greater than 10 years, including an age of <75 years, an ASA class of I or II, and independent living status prior to the hip fracture. Results can inform discussions around treatment choices, anticipated outcomes, and the natural history of hip fractures.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic Level III . See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Predictors of mortality over time in geriatric patients with hip fracture

Objectives

The aim of this study was to determine the variations in effect for predictors of mortality over time and risk of in-hospital complications in geriatric patients with a hip fracture. Many studies have investigated risk factors of short-term and long-term mortality separately. In current literature, little is known about the variations in effect of risk factors over time and no comparison with the general population is made.

Methods

All patients with a hip fracture aged 70 years or older admitted to our hospital between January 1, 2016, and May 1, 2018, were included in this retrospective study. Patients who had undergone total hip arthroplasty (THA) were not included. The primary outcome was mortality after 1 year. Secondary outcomes were mortality after 30 days, 90 days, 2 years, and complications. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves for risk factors were generated to visualize survival over time. Data were compared with data extracted from the national health records.

Results

A total of 685 geriatric patients with hip fractures were included with a 1-year mortality of 27%. The adjusted odds ratios (AOR) found differed over time. Five risk factors for mortality were investigated in this study using KM curves: age, prefracture living situation, dementia, sex, and ASA classification.

Conclusions

Over time, the variation of 5 risk factors for mortality were visualized in geriatric patients with a hip fracture: age, prefracture living situation, dementia, sex, and ASA classification. An elevated risk of mortality was discovered compared with the general population. The variation in effect observed in risk factors plays a vital role in prognosis. This insight will help guide accurate medical decision-making for a tailored treatment plan for geriatric patients with a hip fracture.

Correlation between Charlson comorbidity index and surgical prognosis in elderly patients with femoral neck fractures: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

Femoral neck fractures (FNF) are known to have significant morbidity and mortality rates. Multiple chronic conditions (MCC) are defined as the presence of two or more chronic diseases that greatly affect the quality of life in older adults. The aim of this study is to explore the impact of MCC and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) on surgical outcomes in patients with FNF.

METHODS

Patients with FNF who underwent joint replacement surgery were selected for this study. Patients who had two or more diseases simultaneously were divided into two groups: the MCC group and the non-MCC (NMCC) group. The CCI was calculated to assess the severity of patients' comorbidities in the MCC group. Baseline data, surgical details, and prognosis-related indicators were analyzed and compared between the two patient groups. Spearman correlation analysis was performed to assess the relationship between CCI and length of hospital stay, Harris score, skeletal muscle index (SMI), and age. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify the risk factors for mortality in FNF patients at 1 and 5 years after surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 103 patients were included in the MCC group, while the NMCC group consisted of 40 patients. However, the patients in the MCC group were found to be older, had a higher incidence of sarcopenia, and lower SMI values (p < 0.001). Patients in the MCC group had longer hospitalization times, lower Harris scores, higher intensive care unit (ICU) admission rates, and higher complication rates (p = 0.045, p = 0.035, p = 0.019, p = 0.010). Spearman correlation analysis revealed that CCI was positively correlated with hospitalization and age (p < 0.001, p < 0.001), while it was negatively correlated with Harris score and SMI value (p < 0.001, p < 0.001). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that MCC patients had higher 1-year and 5-year mortality rates. Hospitalization time was identified as a risk factor for death in FNF patients 1 year after joint replacement (p < 0.001), whereas CCI and age were identified as risk factors for death 5 years after surgery (p < 0.001, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis results showed that the difference in death time between the two groups of patients with MCC and NMCC was statistically significant (p < 0.001). Cox proportional hazard model analysis showed that CCI, age and SMI were risk factors affecting patient death.

CONCLUSION

The surgical prognosis of patients with MCC, CCI and FNF is related. The higher the CCI, the worse the patient's function and the higher the long-term risk of death.

Predictors of long-term mortality in older patients with hip fractures managed by hemiarthroplasty: a 10-year study based on a population registry in Saxony, Germany

BACKGROUND

Mortality of patients with a femoral neck fracture is high, especially within the first year after surgery, but also remains elevated thereafter. The aim of this study was to identify factors potentially associated with long-term mortality in patients homogeneously treated with hemiarthroplasty for femoral neck fracture.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was performed at a single level 1 national trauma center at the university hospital of Leipzig (Saxony, Germany). The study time-window was January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2020. Primary outcome measure was mortality depending on individual patient-related characteristics and perioperative risk factors. Inclusion criteria was a low-energy femoral neck fracture (Garden I-IV) in geriatric patients 60 years of age or older that were primarily treated with bipolar hemiarthroplasty. Date of death or actual residence of patients alive was obtained from the population register of the eastern German state of Saxony, Germany. The outcome was tested using the log-rank test and plotted using Kaplan-Meier curves. Unadjusted and adjusted for other risk factors such as sex and age, hazard ratios were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models and presented with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

The 458 included patients had a median age of 83 (IQR 77-89) years, 346 (75%) were female and 113 (25%) male patients. Mortality rates after 30 days, 1, 5 and 10 years were 13%, 25%, 60% and 80%, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis revealed age (HR = 1.1; p < 0.001), male gender (HR = 1.6; p < 0.001), ASA-Score 3-4 vs. 1-2 (HR = 1.3; p < 0.001), dementia (HR = 1.9; p < 0.001) and a history of malignancy (HR = 1.6; p = 0.002) as independent predictors for a higher long-term mortality risk. Perioperative factors such as preoperative waiting time, early surgical complications, or experience of the surgeon were not associated with a higher overall mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In the present study based on data from the population registry from Saxony, Germany the 10-year mortality of older patients above 60 years of age managed with hemiarthroplasty for femoral neck fracture was 80%. Independent risk factors for increased long-term mortality were higher patient age, male gender, severe comorbidity, a history of cancer and in particular dementia. Perioperative factors did not affect long-term mortality.

Surgical intervention may provides better outcomes for hip fracture in nonagenarian patients: A retrospective observational study

Background

Hip fracture is a common disease in the elderly. Among these patients, surgical intervention for hip fracture should be carefully considered because of old age and multiple comorbidities. There are still insufficient comparisons between nonagenarian patients treated with surgery and those treated non-surgically. We studied hip fracture nonagenarian patients to compare the different outcomes between surgical and non-surgical treatments.

Materials and methods

Nonagenarian patients visiting the emergency department with hip fractures between March 2010 and December 2020 were identified. Overall survival was estimated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. The mortality rates, the length of hospital stay, complication and readmission rates were also recorded.

Results

A total of 173 patients who underwent surgery and 32 who received conservative treatments were included. The median survival time was 58.47 months in the OP group, which was significantly higher than the 24.28 months in the non-OP group. After adjusting for covariates, including age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), injury severity score, and fracture type, the risk of death was reduced by surgery (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.427; 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.207-0.882; p = 0.021). CCI was also an independent risk factor for poor survival rate (HR = 1.3; 95 % CI: 1.115-1.515; p = 0.001). After adjusting for several factors, surgery within 48 h improved overall survival (HR: 2.518; 95 % CI: 1.299-4.879; p = 0.006) in operative group.

Conclusion

Our study suggests that surgical treatment may provide better survival for nonagenarian patients with hip fractures than non-operation, especially patients with less concurrent comorbidities.

Clinical data or scoring system for predicting mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture: A prospective study

INTRODUCTION

Hip fracture in elderly individuals is frequent and is related to a high rate of mortality. Finding the best predictor of death will help to develop better patient care. Aim - To analyze the reliability of the clinical data and assessment scores to predict mortality in acute hip fracture in elderly patients.

PATIENT AND METHODS

Prospective data were collected from all patients > 65 years with acute hip fracture from May to October 2020. The clinical data collected were age, sex, comorbidities, medication, type of fracture and presence of delirium. The assessment scores were ASA, Lee, ACP and Charlson.

RESULTS

The statistically significant results were age > 80 years (OR 1.121 IC95% [1.028-1.221] p = 0.0101) and number of medications (OR5.991 95% CI [2.422-14.823] p <0.001). Three scores showed a correlation with mortality: ASA score (p = 0.017), Lee score (p = 0.024) and ACP score (p = 0.013). The Charlson Comorbidity Index did not correlate with mortality (p = 0.172).

CONCLUSION

To stratify the risk of death, both clinical data and scores should be used. The best clinical indicators are age and number of medications, and the scores are ASA, Lee and ACP.

Preoperative health-related quality of life is independently associated with postoperative mortality risk following total hip or knee arthroplasty : seven to eight years' follow-up

AIMS

The primary aim was to assess whether preoperative health-related quality of life (HRQoL) was associated with postoperative mortality following total hip arthroplasty (THA) and knee arthroplasty (KA). Secondary aims were to assess whether patient demographics/comorbidities and/or joint-specific function were associated with postoperative mortality.

METHODS

Patients undergoing THA (n = 717) and KA (n = 742) during a one-year period were identified retrospectively from an arthroplasty register. Patient demographics, comorbidities, Oxford score, and EuroQol five-dimension (EQ-5D) were recorded preoperatively. Patients were followed up for a minimum of seven years and their mortality status was obtained. Cox regression analysis was used to adjust for confounding.

RESULTS

During the study period, 111 patients (15.5%) undergoing THA and 135 patients (18.2%) undergoing KA had died at a mean follow-up of 7.5 years (7 to 8). When adjusting for confounding, the preoperative EQ-5D was associated with postoperative mortality, and for each 0.1 difference in the utility there was an associated change in mortality risk of 6.7% (p = 0.048) after THA, and 6.8% (p = 0.047) after KA. Comorbidities of connective tissue disease (p ≤ 0.026) and diabetes (p ≤ 0.028) were associated with mortality after THA, whereas MI (p ≤ 0.041), diabetes (p ≤ 0.009), and pain in other joints (p ≤ 0.050) were associated with mortality following KA. The preoperative Oxford score was associated with mortality, and for each one-point change in the score there was an associated change in mortality risk of 2.7% (p = 0.025) after THA and 4.3% (p = 0.003) after KA.

CONCLUSION

Worse preoperative HRQoL and joint specific function were associated with an increased risk of postoperative mortality. Both HRQoL and joint-specific function decline with longer waiting times to surgery for THA and KA and therefore may result in an increased postoperative mortality risk than would have been expected if surgery had been undertaken earlier.Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2022;3(12):933-940.

Baseline conditions and nutritional state upon hospitalization are the greatest risks for mortality for cardiovascular diseases and for several classes of diseases: a retrospective study

The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate risk factors for 3-years mortality after hospital discharge in all inpatients admitted to a general hospital in Milano, Italy. A total of 2580 consecutive patients admitted to Ospedale San Paolo, July 1 to December 31, 2012, for several classes of diseases (internal medicine, cancer, infectious diseases, trauma and surgery, pneumonia, and heart diseases) were studied. Age, total disease, type of admission, length of admission, age-adjusted Charlson index, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and full blood count were evaluated. Univariate Cox models were used to evaluate the association between variables and death. Of the 2580 consecutive patients (age 66.8 ± 19.36 years, mean ± SD), 920 died within 3 years after discharge. At univariate analysis, all investigated variables, except sex and lymphocytes, were associated with patient death. Stepwise regression analyses revealed that the age-adjusted Charlson index or age plus total diseases, type of admission, number of admissions, and PNI were significant risk factors in the whole sample and in some classes of disease. Results were superimposable when considering death from date of admission instead of date of discharge, meaning that in-hospital death was not relevant to the total death count (115 out of 902). Seriousness of baseline conditions represents the major risk factor for mortality in most classes of disease, and possibly influences other predictors, such as type of admission and length of stay. This suggests that the current model of hospital admission might be improved, for instance, through comprehensive care at home, instead of hospital admission, or before admission.

Charlson comorbidity index predicts the 10-year survivorship of the operatively treated hip fracture patients

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to determine how Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) predicts the 10-year survival of operatively treated hip fracture patients aged ≥ 65 years.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included all consecutive patients who had a hip fracture and were operatively treated upon in the study period from 01 January 2007 to 31 December 2007 at the university hospital. The clinical patient data were obtained from the medical records, and CCI score was calculated. The CCI predicts the 10-year mortality for a patient who may have a range of 22 comorbid conditions. Cumulative survival and complications were evaluated in terms of gender.

RESULTS

A total of 241 hip fractures were studied; of these, 183/241 (76%) were females. A total of 32/241 (15%) complications were found, of which 26/241 (11%) were considered major. Overall, 213/241 (88%) patients died during the 10 years of follow-up. Cumulative survival estimates for females were 13% at 10 years (SE = 0.3, 95% CI 3.8-4.8), and for males, it was 12% at 10 years (SE = 0.5, 95% CI 2.8-4.6) (p = 0.33). CCI was significantly associated with mortality after the hip fracture as patients with CCI scores ≥ 4 were at a 3.1-8.5 times higher risk of death compared to patients with low CCI scores of 2-3 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Complications are common after operatively treated hip fracture. Advanced age, living in a care facility, ASA class 4 and high CCI score ≥ 4 were risk factors of mortality after the operatively treated hip fracture.

Evaluating the performance of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) in fracture risk prediction and developing a new Charlson Fracture Index (CFI): a register-based cohort study

The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) may be applicable for predicting fracture risk since several diagnoses from the index are predictors of fracture. Main results were that the CCI was updated to predict risk of hip fracture with fair precision and that the index could be useful in detecting high-risk individuals.

PURPOSE

Several of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) diagnoses are validated predictors of fracture. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the performance of the CCI 1987 by Charlson et al. and of the CCI 2011 by Quan et al. in predicting major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture (HF). Furthermore, it was examined whether the index could be modified to improve fracture risk prediction.

METHODS

The study population included the entire Danish population aged 45 + years as per January 1, 2018. The cohort was split randomly 50/50 into a development and a validation cohort. CCI diagnoses and fracture outcomes were identified from hospital diagnoses. The weighting of diagnoses was updated in a new Charlson Fracture Index (CFI) using multivariable logistic regression. Predictive capabilities of the CCI 1987, the updated CCI 2011 and the new Charlson Fracture index were evaluated in the validation cohort by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

In the validation cohort, the 1987 and 2011 CCIs resulted in AUCs below or around 0.7 in prediction of MOF and HF in both sexes. The CFI resulted in AUCs < 0.7 in prediction of MOF in both sexes. In prediction of HF, the CFI resulted in AUC of 0.755 (95% CI 0.749; 0.761) in women and 0.782 (95% CI 0.772; 0.793) in men.

CONCLUSION

The 1987 and 2011 CCIs showed overall poor accuracy in fracture risk prediction. The CFI showed fair accuracy in prediction of HF in women and in men.

Predicting life expectancy after geriatric hip fracture: A systematic review

Background

Displaced femoral neck fractures in geriatric patients are typically treated with either hemiarthroplasty or total hip arthroplasty. The choice between hemiarthroplasty and total hip arthroplasty requires a good estimate of the patient’s life expectancy, as the recent HEALTH trial suggests that the benefits of the two operations do not diverge, if at all, until the second year post-operatively. A systematic review was this performed to determine if there sufficient information in the medical literature to estimate a patient’s life expectancy beyond two years and to identify those patient variables affecting survival of that duration.

Methods

Pubmed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were queried for articles reporting survival data for at least two years post-operatively for at least 100 patients, age 65 or greater, treated surgically for an isolated hip fracture. A final set of 43 papers was created. The methods section of all selected papers was then reviewed to determine which variables were collected in the studies and the results section was reviewed to note whether an effect was reported for all collected variables.

Results

There were 43 eligible studies with 25 unique variables identified. Only age, gender, comorbidities, the presence of dementia and fracture type were collected in a majority of studies, and within that, only age and gender were reported in a majority of the results. Most (15/ 25) variables were reported in 5 or fewer of the studies.

Discussion

There are important deficiencies in the literature precluding the evidence-based estimation of 2 year life expectancy. Because the ostensible advantages of total hip arthroplasty are reaped only by those who survive two years or more, there is a need for additional data collection, analysis and reporting regarding survival after geriatric hip fracture.

Prognostic value of orthogeriatric assessment parameters on mortality: a 2-year follow-up

Introduction

Since the arise of orthogeriatric co-management patients’ outcome and survival has improved. There are several assessment parameters that screen the precondition of orthogeriatric patients including mobility, activities of daily living, comorbidities, place of residence and need for care just to name a few. In a 2-year follow-up on an orthogeriatric co-managed ward the fracture-independent predictive value of typical assessment parameters and comorbidities on the associated mortality was examined.

Methods

All patients treated on an orthogeriatric co-managed ward from February 2014 to January 2015 were included. No fracture entity was preferred. Emphasis was set on following parameters: age, gender, Parker-Mobility Score (PMS), Barthel Index (BI), Charlson-Comorbidity Index (CCI), dementia, depression, sarcopenia, frequent falling, length of stay (LOS), care level (CL) and place of residence (POR). In a 2-year follow-up the patients’ death rates were acquired. SPSS (IBM Corp., Armonk, New York, USA) and Cox regression was used to univariately analyze the expression of the mentioned parameters and mortality course over 2 years from discharge. In a multivariate analysis intercorrelations and independent relationships were examined.

Results

A follow-up rate of 79.6% by assessing 661 patients was achieved. In the univariate analysis linear inverse correlation between PMS and BI and mortality and a linear positive correlation between CCI and higher mortality were observed. There was also a significant relationship between lower survival and age, dementia, sarcopenia, frequent falling, higher institutionalized place of residence and higher CL. No univariate correlation between 2-year mortality and gender, depression and LOS was found. In the multivariate Cox regression, the only independent risk factors remaining were lower PMS (HR: 1.81; 95%CI: 1.373–2.397), lower BI (HR: 1.64; 95%CI: 1.180–2.290) and higher age per year (HR: 1.04; 95%CI: 1.004–1.067).

Conclusion

Age, PMS, BI, CCI, preexisting dementia, sarcopenia, frequent falling, POR and CL are univariate predictors of survival in the orthogeriatric context. An independency could only be found for PMS, BI and age in our multivariate model. This underlines the importance of preexisting mobility and capability of self-support for the patient’s outcome in terms of survival.

Type of underlying fracture after the surgical treatment of geriatric trauma patients has no effect on mortality during intensive care treatment

AIM

Due to demographic change, the number of geriatric patients is still rising. Although hip fractures are the subject of current research, little is known about the remaining geriatric trauma entities. The aim of this study was to collect data of the age-related traumatological intensive care unit (ICU) population, its underlying diagnosis, and the influence on mortality and length of stay in the ICU.

METHODS

Geriatric trauma patients (aged ≥65 years) treated postoperatively in our surgical ICU were included in this retrospective observational study covering the period 2013-2017. In addition to the underlying fracture entities, patient characteristics, such as age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index, length of stay and mortality, were collected to identify possible independent predictive factors for mortality in the ICU using multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

During the observation period, 805 (60.5%) patients met the inclusion criteria. 47.6% of the patients suffered from a proximal femoral fracture. The total mortality rate during the stay in the ICU was 7.5%. Significant predictive factors for mortality in the ICU were Charlson Comorbidity Index (P < 0.001) and length of stay (P < 0.001). The different fracture types themselves were not a significant risk factor for mortality (P = 0.862).

CONCLUSION

Patients with proximal femoral fractures account for approximately half of the patients in intensive care. The mortality rate of these patients is no higher than that in geriatric trauma patients with other fractures. The progression is essentially influenced by the patient's comorbidities. Nowadays, the focus shifts from trauma care to the therapy of concomitant diseases. Nevertheless, this cohort, when adequately treated, shows a comparatively low mortality rate. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2020; 20: 1120-1125.

Health related quality of life and mortality 10 years after a femoral neck fracture in patients younger than 70 years

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

A femoral neck fracture (FNF) may have long term effects on the patient's health related quality of life (HRQoL) and mortality, especially in patients younger than 70 years. These long-term effects are unknown since most studies have a short follow-up. The aim of this study was to investigate self-assessed hip function, HRQoL and factors associated with 10-years mortality after a FNF.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A prospective multicenter study with a 10-year follow-up of patients aged 20-69 years with a displaced and non-displaced FNF treated with closed reduction and internal fixation. The self-administered questionnaires EuroQol 5 Dimension (EQ-5D) and Hip Disability Outcome Score (HOOS) were used. Results of EQ-5D and HOOS was compared to sex and age matched general population data of Sweden. All patients that were deceased had their death date recorded. Factors associated with mortality were assessed by regression analysis of the baseline data including age, gender, harmful alcohol consumption according to AUDIT, co-morbidity measured by ASA-grade, body mass index, osteoporosis measured by dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and smoking. Prevalence of co-morbidities and smoking was compared to general population data.

RESULTS

From initial 182 included patients, 55 were deceased at 10-year follow-up, 4 were deregistered from public record and 35 declined participations. A total of 88 patients participated through self-administrated questionnaires. There were no significant differences in HOOS between gender and fracture type and the results were equivalent to general population data. The EQ-5D continued to improve compared to a 24-month follow-up (p = 0.006) but did not recover to pre-fracture level (p<0.001) though it was equivalent to general population data. Higher age, co-morbidity, osteoporosis and smoking were associated with increased mortality within 10 years after the fracture and the prevalence of co-morbidity and smoking was higher than the general population.

INTERPRETATION

Those patients who had survived 10 years after a FNF treated with CRIF had a HRQoL and hip function equivalent to age and sex matched general population of Sweden. However, a third of these relatively young patients had deceased 10 years after the hip fracture and they were more compromised than the general population.

Long-term survival of femoral neck fracture patients aged over ninety years: Arthroplasty compared with nonoperative treatment

Background

The aging of the Chinese population is expected to lead to an increase in nonagenarians and centenarians. The mortality rate in nonagenarian hip fracture patients is equivalent to the mortality rate in the average population at 5 years after injury. It is imperative to evaluate 5-year mortality in this small but very challenging subgroup of patients to optimize patient management. The primary purpose of the current retrospective study was to compare five-year survival in patients aged over 90 years who received arthroplasty or nonoperative treatment for femoral neck fracture during a 16-year period.

Methods

From January 1998 to December 2014, all consecutive nonagenarian and centenarian patients with femoral neck fracture admitted to our hospital were included in the evaluation. The primary outcome was defined as thirty-day, 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year mortality after injury. Survival analysis was performed with the Kaplan-Meier method. Using the log-rank test, stratified analyses were performed to compare differences in the overall cumulative mortality and mortality at three time points (1 year, 3 years, and 5 years) after injury and differences in survival distributions.

Results

Over the 16-year study period, the arthroplasty group and the nonoperative treatment group included 33 and 53 patients, respectively. The long-term survival probability of the arthroplasty group was significantly higher than that of the nonoperative treatment group (p = 0.002). The survival time of the arthroplasty group was significantly higher than that of the nonoperative treatment group (median (P₇₅-P₂₅) = 53 (59) versus median (P₇₅-P₂₅) = 22 (52), p = 0.001). The mortality differences, except for 30-day mortality, at five time points (1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years) between the nonoperative group and arthroplasty group were significant. The stratified analyses of overall cumulative mortality and mortality at three time points (1, 3, and 5 years) after injury demonstrated that the nonoperative treatment group had significantly higher cumulative mortality than the arthroplasty group.

Conclusions

Our study demonstrates that arthroplasty is more likely to improve long-term survival in femoral neck fracture patients aged over 90 years than nonoperative treatment. It can be expected that nearly half of patients will survive more than 5 years after surgery.

Medical and economic consequences of perioperative complications in older hip fracture patients

Patients suffering from complications during inpatient treatment after hip fracture surgery are associated with a worse mid-term outcome. While surgically treatable complications only delay the healing process, internal complications seem to worsen the outcome in the long run. All complications come with significant increased costs during the hospital stay.

PURPOSE

Due to the demographic changes, the importance of hip fractures is still increasing nowadays. Not only surgical but also medical complications represent a major challenge in the treatment of those patients. Nevertheless, only few is known about the functional, medical, and economic consequences of complications.

METHODS

A total of 402 hip fracture patients ≥ 60 years were observed prospectively at a German university hospital. Complications were assessed during the inpatient stay and classified by Clavien and Dindo. Afterwards their influence on acute care costs was examined as well as their influence on the mortality, health-related quality of life (HRQL) (EQ5D), functional capacities (Barthel index), and mobility (Tinetti score) in the follow-up periods of 6 and 12 months.

RESULTS

Complications that required surgical revision/treatment (type III) were associated with an increased 6 months' mortality, while type II and IV complications did not influence mortality after 6 and 12 months. Six months after surgery, HRQL, Barthel score, and Tinetti score were reduced in patients suffering from all different types of complications. After 12 months however, HRQL, Barthel score, and Tinetti score following type II and IV complications remained reduced, while the scores improved in patients suffering from type III complication. All types of complications led to significantly increased acute care costs.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of the present study emphasize the crucial role of perioperative complications in older patients with hip fractures. Therefore, special attention has to be given to the prevention of those complications, e.g., with orthogeriatric treatment models, which have been shown to be effective in the reduction of complications.

Predictors of poor functional outcomes and mortality in patients with hip fracture: a systematic review

Background

Hip fracture is an important and prevalent medical condition associated with adverse outcomes. The aim of this article is to systematically review and summarise the predictors of poor functional outcomes and mortality for patients with hip fractures.

Methods

We conducted a systemic literature search using PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library. We included English peer-reviewed cohort studies that examined predictors of poor functional outcomes (such as independence in Activities of Daily Living) and mortality for patients with hip fracture published in the past 15 years (from 1 Jan 2004 up to 30 May 2019). Two independent researchers evaluated the articles for eligibility. Consensus on the eligibility was sought and a third researcher was involved if there was disagreement. A standardised form was used to extract relevant data. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was used to assess the quality of the included studies.

Results

We retrieved 4339 and included 81 articles. We identified two emerging predictors of poor functional outcomes and mortality for patients with hip fractures: low hand grip strength and frailty in line with an emerging concept of “physical performance”. The predictors identified in this systematic review can be grouped into 1) medical factors, such as presence of co-morbidities, high American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade, sarcopenia, 2) surgical factors including delay in operation (e.g. > 48 h), type of fracture s, 3) socio-economic factors which include age, gender, ethnicity, and 4) system factors including lower case-volume centers.

Conclusions

This systematic review identified multiple significant predictors of poor functional outcomes and mortality, with the hand grip strength and frailty being important emerging predictors in the most recent literature. These predictors would further inform healthcare providers of their patients’ health status and allow for early intervention for modifiable predictors.

Development of the Barthel Index 5 years after hip fracture: Results of a prospective study

AIM

The importance of proximal femoral fractures is increasing due to demographic change. Despite appropriate care, these are associated with poor results. We are still lagging behind, and require information on the long-term functional outcome of these patients and the predictive factors involved.

METHODS

Between 2009 and 2011, 402 patients aged >60 years with hip fractures were included in this prospective observational study. Patients were assessed with the Barthel Index before fracture, at discharge, and 6 months, 1 year and 5 years after surgery. In addition, a variety of parameters (sex, age, fracture type, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, Mini-Mental State Examination, housing situation, occurrence of complications during inpatient stay and type of care) were collected to identify the possible independent predictive factors using multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The lowest Barthel Index was found at discharge (66 ± 24) for patients from an acute hospital. The Barthel Index improved within the first 6 months (86 ± 21) and decreased afterwards. The factors associated with a significantly higher point loss of the Barthel Index in the multivariate analysis were age (P-value 0.020), pre-fracture Barthel Index, (P ≤ 0.001), Mini-Mental State Examination (P ≤ 0.001) and type II complications (P = 0.001). The other values showed no significant influence on the Barthel Index.

CONCLUSIONS

The present results showed that patients after a hip fracture have a great rehabilitation potential within the first 6 months after the event. More attention should be paid to type II complications and the occurrence of cognitive impairment. Both seem to be a surrogate parameter for the frailty of the patients. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2019; 19: 809-814.