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Piñeiro-Fernández JC, Rabuñal-Rey R, Romay-Lema E, Pedrosa-Fraga C, Rubal-Bran D, Suárez-Gil R, Marchán-López Á, Pértega-Díaz S. Epidemiology and trends of hip fracture in centenarians: changes in clinical profile and in-hospital outcomes from a nationwide register study in Spain across 2004-2020. Aging Clin Exp Res 2025; 37:84. [PMID: 40074889 PMCID: PMC11903550 DOI: 10.1007/s40520-025-02994-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2024] [Accepted: 02/25/2025] [Indexed: 03/14/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Proximal hip fractures (PHFs) increased worldwide due to population ageing and represent the third cause of admission in Spanish centenarians. Recognizing trends in their evolution could improve their healthcare. AIM To describe changes in trends in clinical characteristics, surgical decisions and in-hospital outcomes in PHF among centenarians in Spain, 2004 and 2020. METHODS This retrospective observational study included centenarians hospitalized with a principal diagnosis of PHF using data from the Hospital Discharge Records-Minimum Basic Data Set of the Spanish National Health System. Trends were analyzed using joinpoint regression analysis and descriptive and univariate statistics. RESULTS 4,261 PHF admissions among centenarians were recorded. The number of PHF admissions increased from 147 in 2004 to 339 in 2020 (Average Percentage Change (APC)= 3.8%), with a higher increase in women. However, there was a reduction in the incidence of admissions in the last five years. Despite a significant increase in multimorbidity (from 44.4 to 64.1%) and in-hospital complications, there was a decreased in surgical delay (with more surgeries performed within 48 h: from 27.6 to 43.3%) and length of hospital stay (from 12.2 ± 8.6 to 9.7 ± 8.0 days), with a notable shift towards arthroplasty (from 28.7 to 52.7%), and stable mortality rates (APC=-1.5). CONCLUSION This study indicates an increased complexity in patient profiles, with higher rates of multimorbidity and complications, but improvements in surgical care have led to reduced surgical delays and shorter hospital stays. Future studies are necessary to understand the factors associated with these trends and to design specific strategies in this vulnerable population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan Carlos Piñeiro-Fernández
- Internal Medicine Department, Lucus Augusti University Hospital, SERGAS. 1 Ulises Romero Street, Lugo, 27003, Spain.
| | - Ramón Rabuñal-Rey
- Infectious Diseases Unit, Lucus Augusti University Hospital, SERGAS. 1 Ulises Romero Street, Lugo, 27003, Spain
| | - Eva Romay-Lema
- Infectious Diseases Unit, Lucus Augusti University Hospital, SERGAS. 1 Ulises Romero Street, Lugo, 27003, Spain
| | - Cristina Pedrosa-Fraga
- Internal Medicine Department, Lucus Augusti University Hospital, SERGAS. 1 Ulises Romero Street, Lugo, 27003, Spain
| | - David Rubal-Bran
- Internal Medicine Department, Lucus Augusti University Hospital, SERGAS. 1 Ulises Romero Street, Lugo, 27003, Spain
| | - Roi Suárez-Gil
- Internal Medicine Department, Lucus Augusti University Hospital, SERGAS. 1 Ulises Romero Street, Lugo, 27003, Spain
| | - Álvaro Marchán-López
- Internal Medicine Department, Lucus Augusti University Hospital, SERGAS. 1 Ulises Romero Street, Lugo, 27003, Spain
| | - Sonia Pértega-Díaz
- Department of Health Sciences, Faculty of Nursing and Podiatry, Universidade da Coruña. Rheumatology and Health Research Group, Esteiro, Ferrol, 15403, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Biomédica de A Coruña (INIBIC), Nursing and Health Care Research Group, Xubias de Arriba 84, A Coruña, 15006, Spain
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Yokoo S, Shiota N, Sato T, Muguruma S, Terada C, Yorimitsu M, Ozaki T. Prognostic Factors for Mortality in Patients Aged 90 Years and Older with Proximal Femoral Fractures Undergoing Surgery: A Retrospective Study. J Clin Med 2024; 13:7516. [PMID: 39768438 PMCID: PMC11678657 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13247516] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2024] [Revised: 12/05/2024] [Accepted: 12/08/2024] [Indexed: 01/11/2025] Open
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Proximal femoral fractures (PFFs) among individuals aged ≥90 years are becoming more common with an aging population and are associated with high morbidity and mortality. This study analyzed the prognostic factors influencing survival in nonagenarian patients undergoing surgery for PFFs. Methods: We enrolled 285 patients who underwent surgery between 2016 and 2022. Patients were classified into two groups: those with postoperative survival >1 year (L) and those with postoperative survival ≤1 year (D). Factors assessed included age, sex, body mass index (BMI), cognitive impairment, fracture type, surgical timing, length of hospital stay, implant type, preoperative hemoglobin/albumin/white blood cell levels, and Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI). Results: The mean age at surgery was 93.2 ± 2.8 years (mean follow-up = 18.9 months). The 12-month mortality rate was 28.8%. Intertrochanteric fractures were observed in 136/47 patients, and femoral neck fractures were observed in 67/35 patients in the L/D group, respectively (p = 0.13). Days from admission to surgery were not significantly associated with mortality (p = 0.56). The mean hospital stay was 17/22 days in the L/D group, respectively. Univariate analysis identified age, BMI, cognitive impairment, albumin level, and GNRI as statistically significant predictors. Multivariate analysis revealed length of hospital stay (odds ratio [OR] = 1.048 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.019-1.078]; p = 0.001), cognitive impairment (OR = 3.082 [95% CI: 1.367-6.945]; p = 0.007), and GNRI (OR = 0.929 [95% CI: 0.901-0.958]; p < 0.001) as independent predictors of mortality. Conclusions: This study identified cognitive impairment, a low GNRI, and prolonged hospital stay as independent prognostic factors for 1-year mortality in nonagenarian patients with PFFs. These findings highlight the importance of addressing malnutrition and cognitive decline through tailored interventions, alongside optimizing surgical timing and hospital care. A multidisciplinary approach remains essential for improving survival outcomes in this vulnerable population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Suguru Yokoo
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Hospital Organization Okayama Medical Center, Okayama 701-1192, Japan; (N.S.); (T.S.); (S.M.)
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Fukuyama City Hospital, Hiroshima 721-8511, Japan;
| | - Naofumi Shiota
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Hospital Organization Okayama Medical Center, Okayama 701-1192, Japan; (N.S.); (T.S.); (S.M.)
| | - Toru Sato
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Hospital Organization Okayama Medical Center, Okayama 701-1192, Japan; (N.S.); (T.S.); (S.M.)
| | - Sho Muguruma
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Hospital Organization Okayama Medical Center, Okayama 701-1192, Japan; (N.S.); (T.S.); (S.M.)
| | - Chuji Terada
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Fukuyama City Hospital, Hiroshima 721-8511, Japan;
| | - Masanori Yorimitsu
- Department of Musculoskeletal Traumatology, Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry, and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama University, Okayama 700-8558, Japan;
| | - Toshifumi Ozaki
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry, and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Okayama 700-8558, Japan;
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Guo J, Xu X, Geng Q, Wang T, Xu K, He J, Long Y, Zhang Q, Jing W, Li Z, Pan Y, Xu P, Hou Z. Efficacy of surgical intervention over conservative management in intertrochanteric fractures among nonagenarians and centenarians: a prospective cohort study. Int J Surg 2024; 110:2708-2720. [PMID: 38376871 PMCID: PMC11093488 DOI: 10.1097/js9.0000000000001143] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2023] [Accepted: 01/25/2024] [Indexed: 02/21/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Optimal treatment strategy for nonagenarians and centenarians with hip fractures (NCHF) remained unknown. The authors aimed to compare the outcomes of surgical and conservative management in NCHF. METHODS A prospective cohort study was conducted based on CPMHF database with NCHF patients hospitalized during 2014-2020. Comorbidities were evaluated by mECM score and restricted cubic spline was utilized to visually assess the dose-effect relationship between the mECM and outcomes. Propensity score matching was performed to balance baseline characteristics between nonsurgical and surgical groups. Multivariate logistic regression, Cox proportional hazard analysis, and survival analysis were employed for unfavorable outcomes (UFO) evaluation. Competing risk of death were analyzed based on Fine and Gray's hazard model and then constructed nomogram models for predicting survival rates. Subgroup analyses were used to determine potential population heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses were performed to test robustness of the results. RESULTS The authors found increasing trends for UFO with the increase in the mECM score, and that high mECM score (HMS, ≥3) was independently associated with a 2.42-fold (95% CI: 2.07-3.54; P =0.024) increased risk of UFO, which remained significant after considering the competing role of death and were more pronounced in nonsurgical treatment, women, no insurance, and patients with spouse (all P for interaction <0.05). Surgical intervention was identified to be significant protective factors for UFO (RR, 0.59; 95% CI: 0.46-0.75; P <0.001) and severe complications (RR, 0.63; 95% CI: 0.41-0.96; P =0.033) after propensity score matching, as well as survival (HR, 0.40, 95% CI: 0.28-0.58; P <0.001), which remained significant after considering the competing role of death and in all sensitivity analyses and were more pronounced in HMS participants ( P for interaction=0.006). Subgroup analyses revealed surgical patients with HMS had a significantly higher UFO rate (excluding death, P <0.001) while nonsurgical patients with HMS had higher mortality rate as compared to the others ( P =0.005). CONCLUSION Surgical treatment for NCHF yields better outcomes compared to conservative treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Junfei Guo
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Xin Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | | | - Tao Wang
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery
| | - Ke Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Jinwen He
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | | | | | - Wensen Jing
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Zheng Li
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Ying Pan
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Peng Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Zhiyong Hou
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery
- NHC Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopedic Equipment (Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University)
- Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People’s Republic of China
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Bargnes V, Oliver B, Wang E, Greenspan S, Jin Z, Yeung I, Bergese S. Taming Postoperative Delirium with Dexmedetomidine: A Review of the Therapeutic Agent's Neuroprotective Effects following Surgery. Pharmaceuticals (Basel) 2023; 16:1453. [PMID: 37895924 PMCID: PMC10610260 DOI: 10.3390/ph16101453] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2023] [Revised: 10/11/2023] [Accepted: 10/11/2023] [Indexed: 10/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Postoperative delirium (POD) represents a perioperative neurocognitive disorder that has dreaded ramifications on a patient's recovery from surgery. Dexmedetomidine displays multiple mechanisms of neuroprotection to assist in preventing POD as a part of a comprehensive anesthetic care plan. This review will cover dexmedetomidine's pharmacological overlap with the current etiological theories behind POD along with pre-clinical and clinical studies on POD prevention with dexmedetomidine. While the body of evidence surrounding the use of dexmedetomidine for POD prevention still requires further development, promising evidence exists for the use of dexmedetomidine in select dosing and circumstances to enhance recovery from surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vincent Bargnes
- Department of Anesthesiology, Stony Brook University Hospital, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA
| | - Brian Oliver
- Department of Anesthesiology, Stony Brook University Hospital, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA
| | - Emily Wang
- Renaissance School of Medicine, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA
| | - Seth Greenspan
- Department of Anesthesiology, Stony Brook University Hospital, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA
| | - Zhaosheng Jin
- Department of Anesthesiology, Stony Brook University Hospital, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA
| | - Isaac Yeung
- Department of Anesthesiology, Stony Brook University Hospital, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA
| | - Sergio Bergese
- Department of Anesthesiology, Stony Brook University Hospital, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA
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5
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Gao F, Liu G, Ge Y, Tan Z, Chen Y, Peng W, Zhang J, Zhang X, He J, Wen L, Wang X, Shi Z, Hu S, Sun F, Gong Z, Sun M, Tian M, Zhu S, Yang M, Wu X. Orthogeriatric co-managements lower early mortality in long-lived elderly hip fracture: a post-hoc analysis of a prospective study. BMC Geriatr 2023; 23:571. [PMID: 37723423 PMCID: PMC10506232 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-023-04289-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2022] [Accepted: 09/06/2023] [Indexed: 09/20/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the clinical effectiveness of orthogeriatric co-management care in long-lived elderly hip fracture patients (age ≥ 90). METHODS Secondary analysis was conducted in long-lived hip fracture patients between 2018 to 2019 in 6 hospitals in Beijing, China. Patients were divided into the orthogeriatric co-management group (CM group) and traditional consultation mode group (TC group) depending on the management mode. With 30-day mortality as the primary outcome, multivariate regression analyses were performed after adjusting for potential covariates. 30-day mobility and quality of life were compared between groups. RESULTS A total of 233 patients were included, 223 of whom completed follow-up (125 in CM group, 98 in TC group). The average age was 92.4 ± 2.5 years old (range 90-102). The 30-day mortality in CM group was significantly lower than that in TC group after adjustments for (2.4% vs. 10.2%; OR = 0.231; 95% CI 0.059 ~ 0.896; P = 0.034). The proportion of patients undergoing surgery and surgery performed within 48 h also favored the CM group (97.6% vs. 85.7%, P = 0.002; 74.4% vs. 24.5%, P < 0.001; respectively). In addition, much more patients in CM group could walk with or without aids in postoperative 30 days than in the TC group (87.7% vs. 60.2%, P < 0.05), although differences were not found after 1-year follow-up. And there was no significant difference in total cost between the two groups (P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS For long-lived elderly hip fracture patients, orthogeriatric co-management care lowered early mortality, improved early mobility and compared with the traditional consultation mode.
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Affiliation(s)
- Feng Gao
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Peking University Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China
- National Center of Orthopaedics, Beijing, China
| | - Gang Liu
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Peking University Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China
- National Center of Orthopaedics, Beijing, China
| | - Yufeng Ge
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Peking University Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China
- National Center of Orthopaedics, Beijing, China
| | - Zhelun Tan
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Peking University Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China
- National Center of Orthopaedics, Beijing, China
| | - Yimin Chen
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Peking University Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China
- National Center of Orthopaedics, Beijing, China
| | - Weidong Peng
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Peking University Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China
- National Center of Orthopaedics, Beijing, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- School of Population Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW Australia
| | - Xinyi Zhang
- The George Institute for Global Health at Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing, China
| | - Jiusheng He
- Department of Orthopaedics, Beijing Shunyi District Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Liangyuan Wen
- Department of Orthopaedics, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Xianhai Wang
- Department of Orthopaedics, Beijing Changping District Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Zongxin Shi
- Department of Orthopaedics, Beijing Liangxiang Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Sanbao Hu
- Department of Orthopaedics, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Fengpo Sun
- Department of Orthopaedics, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Zishun Gong
- Department of Orthopaedics, Beijing Liangxiang Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Mingyao Sun
- Department of Orthopaedics, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Maoyi Tian
- School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
| | - Shiwen Zhu
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Peking University Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China
- National Center of Orthopaedics, Beijing, China
| | - Minghui Yang
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Peking University Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China
- National Center of Orthopaedics, Beijing, China
| | - Xinbao Wu
- Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Peking University Fourth School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China
- National Center of Orthopaedics, Beijing, China
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Tiso D, Pizzonia M, Giannotti C, Tagliafico L, Signori A, Nencioni A, Monacelli F. Ultra-old patients and long-term survival after hip fracture: a real-world assessment. Front Med (Lausanne) 2023; 10:1200007. [PMID: 37554502 PMCID: PMC10406208 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2023.1200007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2023] [Accepted: 06/13/2023] [Indexed: 08/10/2023] Open
Abstract
It's still undetermined whether ultra-old persons, aged >90 years, are able to tolerate hip fracture surgical stress while maintaining their functional reserve, and even fewer studies have investigated the role of frailty on the risk of mortality, disability, or morbidity in the ultra-old. This is a prospective study performed at the Orthogeriatrics Ward of the IRCCS Policlinico San Martino (Genoa, Italy) that consecutively enrolled 205 older adult patients with hip fractures due to low-energy trauma. Namely, 85 patients were categorized as ultra-old, and 120 patients (64-89 years) were the younger control group. Demographic data, perioperative data, and rehabilitation data were collected. Here we estimated the overall survival and related predictive variables in hospitalized ultra-old hip fracture patients based on a methodologically robust frailty stratification (Rockwood 40-item tool). The median OS for the ultra-old was 18.7 months, which also showed a doubled 1-year mortality risk. Our findings assessed that frailty in the presence of malnutrition, delayed verticalization, and post-operative respiratory complications was associated with a two-fold increase in the risk of long-term mortality, irrespective of advanced chronological age in the ultra-old. Although the higher mortality rate in these patients may be related to a priori lower life expectancy, chronological age alone is an insufficient prognostic determinant for unfavorable outcomes. Our multicomponent prognostic score can be used in combination to stratify frailty in the ultra-old for timely screening and to deliver goals of care discussions prior to surgery, potentially targeting new orthogeriatric pathways for the improvement of appropriateness and treatment intensity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Debora Tiso
- Geriatrics Clinic, Department of Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties (DIMI), University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy
- IRCCS Policlinico San Martino Hospital, Genoa, Italy
| | - Monica Pizzonia
- Geriatrics Clinic, Department of Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties (DIMI), University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy
- IRCCS Policlinico San Martino Hospital, Genoa, Italy
| | - Chiara Giannotti
- Geriatrics Clinic, Department of Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties (DIMI), University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy
- IRCCS Policlinico San Martino Hospital, Genoa, Italy
| | - Luca Tagliafico
- Geriatrics Clinic, Department of Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties (DIMI), University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy
- IRCCS Policlinico San Martino Hospital, Genoa, Italy
| | - Alessio Signori
- DISSAL, Department of Health Science, University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy
| | - Alessio Nencioni
- Geriatrics Clinic, Department of Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties (DIMI), University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy
- IRCCS Policlinico San Martino Hospital, Genoa, Italy
| | - Fiammetta Monacelli
- Geriatrics Clinic, Department of Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties (DIMI), University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy
- IRCCS Policlinico San Martino Hospital, Genoa, Italy
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Nijmeijer WS, Voorthuis BJ, Groothuis-Oudshoorn CGM, Würdemann FS, van der Velde D, Vollenbroek-Hutten MMR, Hegeman JH. The prediction of early mortality following hip fracture surgery in patients aged 90 years and older: the Almelo Hip Fracture Score 90 (AHFS 90). Osteoporos Int 2023; 34:867-877. [PMID: 36856794 PMCID: PMC10104941 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-023-06696-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2022] [Accepted: 02/06/2023] [Indexed: 03/02/2023]
Abstract
The AHFS90 was developed for the prediction of early mortality in patients ≥ 90 years undergoing hip fracture surgery. The AHFS90 has a good accuracy and in most risk categories a good calibration. In our study population, the AHFS90 yielded a maximum prediction of early mortality of 64.5%. PURPOSE Identifying hip fracture patients with a high risk of early mortality after surgery could help make treatment decisions and information about the prognosis. This study aims to develop and validate a risk score for predicting early mortality in patients ≥ 90 years undergoing hip fracture surgery (AHFS90). METHODS Patients ≥ 90 years, surgically treated for a hip fracture, were included. A selection of possible predictors for mortality was made. Missing data were subjected to multiple imputations using chained equations. Logistic regression was performed to develop the AHFS90, which was internally and externally validated. Calibration was assessed using a calibration plot and comparing observed and predicted risks. RESULTS One hundred and two of the 922 patients (11.1%) died ≤ 30 days following hip fracture surgery. The AHFS90 includes age, gender, dementia, living in a nursing home, ASA score, and hemoglobin level as predictors for early mortality. The AHFS90 had good accuracy (area under the curve 0.72 for geographic cross validation). Predicted risks correspond with observed risks of early mortality in four risk categories. In two risk categories, the AHFS90 overestimates the risk. In one risk category, no mortality was observed; therefore, no analysis was possible. The AHFS90 had a maximal prediction of early mortality of 64.5% in this study population. CONCLUSION The AHFS90 accurately predicts early mortality after hip fracture surgery in patients ≥ 90 years of age. Predicted risks correspond to observed risks in most risk categories. In our study population, the AHFS90 yielded a maximum prediction of early mortality of 64.5%.
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Affiliation(s)
- W. S. Nijmeijer
- Department of Surgery, Ziekenhuisgroep Twente, Zilvermeeuw 1, 7609 PP Almelo, The Netherlands
- Biomedical Signals and Systems Group, Faculty of Electrical Engineering Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Twente, Drienerlolaan 5, 7522 NB Enschede, The Netherlands
| | - B. J. Voorthuis
- Department of Health Technology and Services Research, Technical Medical Centre, University of Twente, Drienerlolaan 5, 7522 NB Enschede, The Netherlands
| | - C. G. M. Groothuis-Oudshoorn
- Department of Health Technology and Services Research, Technical Medical Centre, University of Twente, Drienerlolaan 5, 7522 NB Enschede, The Netherlands
| | - F. S. Würdemann
- Dutch Hip Fracture Audit Taskforce Indicators, Rijnsburgerweg 10, 2333 AA Leiden, The Netherlands
- Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2300 RC Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - D. van der Velde
- Dutch Hip Fracture Audit Taskforce Indicators, Rijnsburgerweg 10, 2333 AA Leiden, The Netherlands
- Department of Surgery, Sint Antonius Hospital, Soestwetering 1, 3542 AZ Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - M. M. R. Vollenbroek-Hutten
- Biomedical Signals and Systems Group, Faculty of Electrical Engineering Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Twente, Drienerlolaan 5, 7522 NB Enschede, The Netherlands
| | - J. H. Hegeman
- Department of Surgery, Ziekenhuisgroep Twente, Zilvermeeuw 1, 7609 PP Almelo, The Netherlands
- Biomedical Signals and Systems Group, Faculty of Electrical Engineering Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Twente, Drienerlolaan 5, 7522 NB Enschede, The Netherlands
- Dutch Hip Fracture Audit Taskforce Indicators, Rijnsburgerweg 10, 2333 AA Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - on behalf of the Dutch Hip Fracture Audit Taskforce Indicators Group
- Department of Surgery, Ziekenhuisgroep Twente, Zilvermeeuw 1, 7609 PP Almelo, The Netherlands
- Biomedical Signals and Systems Group, Faculty of Electrical Engineering Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Twente, Drienerlolaan 5, 7522 NB Enschede, The Netherlands
- Department of Health Technology and Services Research, Technical Medical Centre, University of Twente, Drienerlolaan 5, 7522 NB Enschede, The Netherlands
- Dutch Hip Fracture Audit Taskforce Indicators, Rijnsburgerweg 10, 2333 AA Leiden, The Netherlands
- Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2300 RC Leiden, The Netherlands
- Department of Surgery, Sint Antonius Hospital, Soestwetering 1, 3542 AZ Utrecht, The Netherlands
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8
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Riemenschneider J, Vollrath JT, Mühlenfeld N, Frank J, Marzi I, Janko M. Acetabular fractures treatment needs in the elderly and nonagenarians. EFORT Open Rev 2022; 7:433-445. [PMID: 35638609 PMCID: PMC9257737 DOI: 10.1530/eor-22-0019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
Abstract
Different treatment options for acetabular fractures in the elderly and nonagenarians exist; a consistent guideline has not been established, yet. The purpose of this study is to give an overview of how those fractures can be handled and compares two different surgical treatment methods. A total of 89 patients ≥ 18 years between 2016 and 2021 with acetabular fractures in our department received a surgical intervention with plate fixation via the Stoppa approach or a total hip arthroplasty with a Burch-Schneider ring and integrated cup. 60 patients ≥ 65 were compared in two groups, 29 patients between 65 and 79 and 31 patients ≥ 80. For comparison, data on operation times, hospitalization, complications during operation and hospital stay, blood loss and postoperative mobilization were collected. Characteristics could be found for indications for operative osteosynthesis or endoprosthetics based on the X-ray analysis. There was a tendency to treat simple fractures with osteosynthesis. Patients between 65 and 79 with an osteosynthesis had benefits in almost every comparison. Patients ≥ 80 with a plate fixation had advantages in the categories of postoperative complications, blood loss and transfusion of erythrocyte concentrates. Statistical significant differences were noticed in both groups regarding the operation time. Patients between 65 and 79 with osteosynthesis had significant benefits for postoperative complications, hospitalization, number of blood transfusions and postoperative mobilization. Finding the best supportive treatment option is difficult, and decision-making must respect fracture patterns and individual risk factors. This study shows that plate fixation via the Stoppa approach has some benefits.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julia Riemenschneider
- Department of Trauma-, Hand- and Reconstructive Surgery, Goethe University, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Jan Tilmann Vollrath
- Department of Trauma-, Hand- and Reconstructive Surgery, Goethe University, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Nils Mühlenfeld
- Department of Trauma-, Hand- and Reconstructive Surgery, Goethe University, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Johannes Frank
- Department of Trauma-, Hand- and Reconstructive Surgery, Goethe University, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Ingo Marzi
- Department of Trauma-, Hand- and Reconstructive Surgery, Goethe University, Frankfurt, Germany
| | - Maren Janko
- Department of Trauma-, Hand- and Reconstructive Surgery, Goethe University, Frankfurt, Germany
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9
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Weinberg L, Ou Yang B, Cosic L, Klink S, Le P, Li JK, Koshy AN, Jones D, Bellomo R, Tan CO, Lee DK. Factors influencing early and long-term survival following hip fracture among nonagenarians. J Orthop Surg Res 2021; 16:653. [PMID: 34717695 PMCID: PMC8557574 DOI: 10.1186/s13018-021-02807-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2021] [Accepted: 10/20/2021] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The outcomes of nonagenarian patients undergoing orthopaedic surgery are not well understood. We investigated the 30-day mortality after surgical treatment of unilateral hip fracture. The relationship between postoperative complications and mortality was evaluated. Methods We performed a single-centre retrospective cohort study of nonagenarian patients undergoing hip fracture surgery over a 6-year period. Postoperative complications were graded according to the Clavien–Dindo classification. Correlation analyses were performed to evaluate the relationship between mortality and pre-specified mortality risk predictors. Survival analyses were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression modelling.
Results The study included 537 patients. The 30-day mortality rate was 7.4%. The mortality rate over a median follow-up period of 30 months was 18.2%. Postoperative complications were observed in 459 (85.5%) patients. Both the number and severity of complications were related to mortality (p < 0.001). Compared to patients who survived, deceased patients were more frail (p = 0.034), were at higher ASA risk (p = 0.010) and were more likely to have preoperative congestive heart failure (p < 0.001). The adjusted hazard ratio for mortality according to the number of complications was 1.3 (95% CI 1.1, 1.5; p = 0.003). Up to 21 days from admission, any increase in complication severity was associated significantly greater mortality [adjusted hazard ratio: 3.0 (95% CI 2.4, 3.6; p < 0.001)].
Conclusion In a nonagenarian cohort of patients undergoing hip fracture surgery, 30-day mortality was 7.4%, but 30-month mortality rates approached one in five patients. Postoperative complications were independently associated with a higher mortality, particularly when occurring early.
Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13018-021-02807-6.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laurence Weinberg
- Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, 145 Studley Rd, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia. .,Department of Surgery, The University of Melbourne, Austin Health, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia. .,Department of Critical Care, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia.
| | - Bobby Ou Yang
- Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, 145 Studley Rd, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia
| | - Luka Cosic
- Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, 145 Studley Rd, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia
| | - Sarah Klink
- Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, 145 Studley Rd, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia
| | - Peter Le
- Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, 145 Studley Rd, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia
| | - Jasun Kai Li
- Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, 145 Studley Rd, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia
| | - Anoop Ninan Koshy
- Department of Cardiology, Austin Health, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia
| | - Daryl Jones
- Department of Intensive Care, Austin Health, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia
| | - Rinaldo Bellomo
- Department of Intensive Care, Austin Health, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia.,Department of Critical Care, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia
| | - Chong Oon Tan
- Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, 145 Studley Rd, Melbourne, VIC, 3084, Australia
| | - Dong-Kyu Lee
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Dongguk University Ilsan Hospital, Ilsandong-gu, Goyang, 10326, Republic of Korea
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10
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Leal JA, Garcia LF, Peña OR, Gomez-Gelvez A. Patients aged ninety years and older are exposed to increased risk of one-year mortality after hip fractures. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF ORTHOPAEDIC SURGERY AND TRAUMATOLOGY 2021; 31:1501-1506. [PMID: 33651223 DOI: 10.1007/s00590-021-02918-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2020] [Accepted: 02/17/2021] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The increase in the population over 90 years old suggests an expected surge in the number of extreme elderly patients sustaining hip fractures. OBJECTIVE The aim of this study is to identify factors associated with 1-year mortality and determine the conditions that are associated with an unfavorable survival outcome in nonagenarians. DESIGN Cross-sectional study SUBJECTS: Nonagenarian patients presenting with hip fractures between 2013 and 2018. METHODS Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify variables associated with mortality, and a survival analysis was conducted to determine whether the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) is associated with mortality. RESULTS A total of 127 patients, with a mean age of 92.84 years was assessed, identifying 1-year mortality rate in 53.5% of patients. According to the bivariate analysis, requirement of postoperative vasopressor support, transfusion, decompensated heart failure and general anesthesia were associated with a higher probability of 1-year mortality after surgery. Body mass index, health status, dementia or CCI ≥ 3 were not associated with mortality. Similarly, the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed no difference in mortality rate of patients with CCI ≥ 3 (p = 0.282). CONCLUSION Patients older than 90 years with hip fractures have higher mortality rates per year than younger patients. Some associations were found, but more studies are needed to reach final conclusions, which could help identify higher-risk patients and be able to implement additional measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jaime A Leal
- Department of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Hospital Universitario de La Samaritana, Carrera 8 # 0 - 29 Sur, 110411, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia.
| | - Luisa F Garcia
- Department of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Hospital Universitario de La Samaritana, Carrera 8 # 0 - 29 Sur, 110411, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia
| | - Omar R Peña
- Department of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Hospital Universitario de La Samaritana, Carrera 8 # 0 - 29 Sur, 110411, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia
| | - Amparo Gomez-Gelvez
- Department of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Hospital Universitario de La Samaritana, Carrera 8 # 0 - 29 Sur, 110411, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia
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