Optimal Use of Tumor-Based Molecular Assays for Localized Prostate Cancer

Elevated serum levels of GPX4, NDUFS4, PRDX5, and TXNRD2 as predictive biomarkers for castration resistance in prostate cancer patients: an exploratory study

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer (PCa) is a heterogeneous disease affecting over 14% of the male population worldwide. Although patients often respond positively to initial treatments within the first 2-3 years, many eventually develop a more lethal form of the disease known as castration-resistant PCa (CRPC). At present, no biomarkers that predict the onset of CRPC are available. This study aims to provide insights into the diagnosis and prediction of CRPC emergence.

METHODS

Protein expression dynamics were analysed in drug (androgen receptor inhibitor)-tolerant persister (DTP) and drug withdrawal cells using proteomics to identify potential biomarkers. These biomarkers were subsequently validated using a mouse model, 180-paired carcinoma/benign tissues, and 482 serum samples. Five machine learning algorithms were employed to build clinical prediction models, wherein the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) framework was used to interpret the best-performing model. Moreover, three regression models were developed to determine the Time from initial PCa diagnosis to CRPC development (TPC) in patients.

RESULTS

We identified that the protein expression levels of GPX4, NDUFS4, PRDX5, and TXNRD2 were significantly upregulated in PCa patients, particularly in those with CRPC. Among the tested machine learning models, the random forest and extreme gradient boosting models performed best on tissue and serum cohorts, achieving AUCs of 0.958 and 0.988, respectively. In addition, a significant inverse correlation was observed between TPC and serum levels of these four biomarkers. This correlation was formulated in three regression models, which achieved the smallest mean absolute error of 1.903 on independent datasets for predicting CRPC emergence.

CONCLUSION

Our study provides new insights into the role of DTP cells in CRPC development. The quad protein panel identified in our study, along with the post hoc and intrinsically explainable prediction models, may serve as a convenient and real-time prognostic tool, addressing the current lack of clinical biomarkers for CRPC.

Identification of a 9-gene signature to enhance biochemical recurrence prediction in primary prostate cancer: A benchmarking study using ten machine learning methods and twelve patient cohorts

Prostate cancer (PCa) is a prevalent malignancy among men worldwide, and biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP) is a critical turning point commonly used to guide the development of treatment strategies for primary PCa. However, the clinical parameters currently in use are inadequate for precise risk stratification and informing treatment choice. To address this issue, we conducted a study that collected transcriptomic data and clinical information from 1662 primary PCa patients across 12 multicenter cohorts globally. We leveraged 101 algorithm combinations that consisted of 10 machine learning methods to develop and validate a 9-gene signature, named BCR SCR, for predicting the risk of BCR after RP. Our results demonstrated that BCR SCR generally outperformed 102 published prognostic signatures. We further established the clinical significance of these nine genes in PCa progression at the protein level through immunohistochemistry on Tissue Microarray (TMA). Moreover, our data showed that patients with higher BCR SCR tended to have higher rates of BCR and distant metastasis after radical radiotherapy. Through drug target prediction analysis, we identified nine potential therapeutic agents for patients with high BCR SCR. In conclusion, the newly developed BCR SCR has significant translational potential in accurately stratifying the risk of patients who undergo RP, monitoring treatment courses, and developing new therapies for the disease.