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Zhou B, Liu J, Yang Y, Ye X, Liu Y, Mao M, Sun X, Cui X, Zhou Q. Ultrasound-based nomogram to predict the recurrence in papillary thyroid carcinoma using machine learning. BMC Cancer 2024; 24:810. [PMID: 38972977 PMCID: PMC11229345 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-12546-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2023] [Accepted: 06/20/2024] [Indexed: 07/09/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS The recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is not unusual and associated with risk of death. This study is aimed to construct a nomogram that combines clinicopathological characteristics and ultrasound radiomics signatures to predict the recurrence in PTC. METHODS A total of 554 patients with PTC who underwent ultrasound imaging before total thyroidectomy were included. Among them, 79 experienced at least one recurrence. Then 388 were divided into the training cohort and 166 into the validation cohort. The radiomics features were extracted from the region of interest (ROI) we manually drew on the tumor image. The feature selection was conducted using Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis. And multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to build the combined nomogram using radiomics signatures and significant clinicopathological characteristics. The efficiency of the nomogram was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to analyze the recurrence-free survival (RFS) in different radiomics scores (Rad-scores) and risk scores. RESULTS The combined nomogram demonstrated the best performance and achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.851 (95% CI: 0.788 to 0.913) in comparison to that of the radiomics signature and the clinical model in the training cohort at 3 years. In the validation cohort, the combined nomogram (AUC = 0.885, 95% CI: 0.805 to 0.930) also performed better. The calibration curves and DCA verified the clinical usefulness of combined nomogram. And the Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that in the training cohort, the cumulative RFS in patients with higher Rad-score was significantly lower than that in patients with lower Rad-score (92.0% vs. 71.9%, log rank P < 0.001), and the cumulative RFS in patients with higher risk score was significantly lower than that in patients with lower risk score (97.5% vs. 73.5%, log rank P < 0.001). In the validation cohort, patients with a higher Rad-score and a higher risk score also had a significantly lower RFS. CONCLUSION We proposed a nomogram combining clinicopathological variables and ultrasound radiomics signatures with excellent performance for recurrence prediction in PTC patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Binqian Zhou
- Department of Ultrasound, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China
| | - Jianxin Liu
- Department of Ultrasound, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China
| | - Yaqin Yang
- Department of Ultrasound, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China
| | - Xuewei Ye
- Department of Ultrasound, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China
| | - Yang Liu
- Department of Ultrasound, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China
| | - Mingfeng Mao
- Department of Ultrasound, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China
| | - Xiaofeng Sun
- Department of Ultrasound, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China
| | - Xinwu Cui
- Department of Medical Ultrasound, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China.
| | - Qin Zhou
- Department of Ultrasound, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China.
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Pacilli M, Pavone G, Quazzico A, Fersini A, Ambrosi A, Tartaglia N. Ultrasound-guided approach to surgery for nodal recurrence following lateral neck dissection for differentiated thyroid carcinoma. A single institution experience. Front Surg 2024; 11:1403741. [PMID: 38983587 PMCID: PMC11231422 DOI: 10.3389/fsurg.2024.1403741] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2024] [Accepted: 06/10/2024] [Indexed: 07/11/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Total thyroidectomy (TT) and central neck dissection (CND) had a significant effect on the reduction of local recurrence compared with TT alone. Lateral Neck Dissection (LND) was performed in all the cases with therapeutic intent. The suspicion of nodal recurrence is provided by the appearance of one or more enlarged nodes in the central and/or laterocervical compartment during the follow up period. Methods From January 2018 to November 2023, 16 patients at the University General Surgery unit of the Polyclinic of Foggia underwent reoperation due to nodal recurrence after previously undergoing total thyroidectomy with central and lateral cervical dissection. Results All surgical interventions were approached with intraoperative ultrasound performed by the operating surgeon. In all cases, ultrasound identification of the suspicious lymph node led to histological confirmation of malignancy. In only two cases it was necessary to carry out an extemporaneous intraoperative histological examination. No complications were recorded during the operations. Conclusions Surgical reintervention in patients with nodal recurrence is challenging and requires an assessment by members of the interdisciplinary team. The ideal method should be economically convenient, easy to practice, with a quick learning curve, easily reproducible, and safe for patients. Intraoperative, ultrasound-guided, is a safe and effective technique. It facilitates tumor localization and removal, especially in patients requiring re-operative neck surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mario Pacilli
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Foggia, Italy
| | - Giovanna Pavone
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Foggia, Italy
| | - Andrea Quazzico
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Foggia, Italy
| | - Alberto Fersini
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Foggia, Italy
- Hospital “Mons. Dimiccoli”, Barletta, Italy
| | - Antonio Ambrosi
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Foggia, Italy
| | - Nicola Tartaglia
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Foggia, Italy
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Liu SQ, Feng JW, Yan ZT, Xing XX, Jiang WY, Jiang Y, Qian F, Xing W. Constructing a nomogram based on the distribution of thyroid nodules and suspicious lateral cervical lymph nodes in fine-needle aspiration biopsies to predict metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2023; 14:1242061. [PMID: 38089614 PMCID: PMC10715253 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2023.1242061] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2023] [Accepted: 10/17/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Purpose Elevated concentrations of thyroglobulin eluent is a risk factor for lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). We aimed to develop a practical nomogram based on the distribution of thyroid nodules and the presence of suspicious lateral cervical lymph nodes in fine-needle aspiration biopsies (LN-FNABs), including the cytopathology and the suspicious lateral cervical lymph node (LLN) thyroglobulin eluent (Tg), to predict the possibility of LLNM preoperatively in patients with PTC. Methods The clinical data of PTC patients who were admitted to the Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from January 2022 to May 2023 to undergo fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) were included in this study. A total of 208 patients in 2022 served as the training set (70%), and 89 patients in 2023 served as the validation set (30%). The clinical characteristics and LN-FNAB results were collected to determine the risk factors of LLNM. A preoperative nomogram was developed for predicting LLNM based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses. Internal calibration, external calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were performed for these models. Results The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the maximum thyroid nodule diameter (Odds Ratio (OR) 2.323, 95% CI 1.383 to 3.904; p = 0.001), Tg level (OR 1.007, 95% CI 1.005 to 1.009; p = 0.000), Tg divided by serum thyroglobulin, (Tg/sTg) [odds ratio (OR) 1.005, 95% CI 1.001 to 1.008; p = 0.009], and cytopathology (OR 9.738, 95% CI 3.678 to 25.783; p = 0.000) (all p < 0.05) had a significant impact on the LLNM of patients with suspicious LLNs. The nomogram showed a better predictive value in both the training cohort [area under the curve, (AUC) 0.937, 95% CI 0.895 to 0.966] and the validation cohort (AUC 0.957, 95% CI 0.892 to 0.989). The nomogram also showed excellent internal and external calibration in predicting LLNM. According to the DCA, the diagnostic performance of this model was dependent on the following variables: maximum thyroid nodule diameter, Tg level, Tg/sTg, and cytopathology. Conclusion Based on the aforementioned risk factors, we believe that it is necessary to establish a personalized LLNM model for patients with PTC. Using this practical nomogram, which combines clinical and Tg risk factors, surgeons could accurately predict the possibility of LLNM preoperatively. The nomogram will also help surgeons to establish personalized treatment plans before surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shui-Qing Liu
- Department of Ultrasound, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou First People’s Hospital, Changzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Jia-Wei Feng
- Department of Thyroid Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou First People’s Hospital, Changzhou, China
| | - Zhan-Tao Yan
- Department of Pathology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou First People’s Hospital, Changzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xiao-Xiao Xing
- Department of Ultrasound, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou First People’s Hospital, Changzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Wen-Yin Jiang
- Department of Breast Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou First People’s Hospital, Changzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yong Jiang
- Department of Thyroid Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou First People’s Hospital, Changzhou, China
| | - Feng Qian
- Department of Ultrasound, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou First People’s Hospital, Changzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Wei Xing
- Department of Medical Imaging, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Suzhou University, Changzhou First People’s Hospital, Changzhou, Jiangsu, China
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Xia F, Sun B, Li X. Completion thyroidectomy and lateral neck dissection revealed adhesions in the lateral neck compartment after gasless transaxillary endoscopic thyroidectomy: a case report. Gland Surg 2022; 11:1842-1847. [PMID: 36518806 PMCID: PMC9742052 DOI: 10.21037/gs-22-299] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2022] [Accepted: 10/31/2022] [Indexed: 09/04/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Endoscopic thyroidectomy is effective and safe surgical option for thyroid surgery while providing satisfactory cosmetic results. Gasless transaxillary endoscopic approaches have been reported to achieve endoscopic thyroidectomy in our center. CASE DESCRIPTION We present a patient who previously underwent gasless transaxillary endoscopic lobectomy with ipsilateral central neck dissection who underwent open completion thyroidectomy and lateral neck dissection (LND) (reoperation) in our center. The ultrasound test before the first treatment did not reveal abnormal lymph nodes in the central and lateral neck compartments. Further evaluation of the neck lymph nodes was not performed. Meanwhile, this patient did not participate in the originally planned follow-up at the 3- and 6-month visits. At the one-year visit, imaging tests revealed enlarged and suspicious malignant lymph nodes in levels III and IV of the lateral neck compartments. We believed that reoperation was performed for persistent, rather than truly recurrent disease for this patient. During the second surgery, we found that the surface of internal jugular vein (IJV) was significantly adhered to the surrounding fibroadipose tissue and the omohyoid muscle was adhered to the IJV. After carefully dissected the IJV, the dissection of the lateral neck compartment had been performed successfully. CONCLUSIONS Exposure of the lateral neck compartment in the gasless transaxillary procedure, especially exposure of the IJV, causes adhesions of the lateral neck compartment and brings difficulties for possible future LND. Gasless transaxillary endoscopic thyroid surgery should be performed in strictly selected patients with adequate preoperative assessment. The IJV should be carefully dissected to avoid IJV injury, and the lateral neck compartment could be dissected successfully during reoperation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fada Xia
- Department of General Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Botao Sun
- Department of General Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Xinying Li
- Department of General Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
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Eun NL, Kim JA, Gweon HM, Youk JH, Son EJ. Preoperative Nodal US Features for Predicting Recurrence in N1b Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma. Cancers (Basel) 2021; 14:cancers14010174. [PMID: 35008339 PMCID: PMC8750311 DOI: 10.3390/cancers14010174] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2021] [Revised: 12/13/2021] [Accepted: 12/24/2021] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Simple Summary The presence of lateral neck lymph node (LN) metastasis (N1b) is a known prognostic factor for poor prognosis and high morbidity after surgery in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). Previous studies have suggested that tumor size and metastatic LN characteristics, including LN size, number, ratio, and extranodal extension, are associated with recurrence; however, the prognostic role of imaging features of LNs in the lateral neck have rarely been reported. In this study, we investigated whether ultrasound imaging features of lateral neck LN metastases can be prognostic markers for predicting recurrence and thereby guide surgical extent and posttreatment surveillance in N1b PTC. Abstract This study aimed to investigate whether preoperative ultrasonographic (US) features of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) are associated with tumor recurrence in patients with N1b papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). We enrolled 692 patients (mean age, 41.9 years; range, 6–80 years) who underwent total thyroidectomy and lateral compartment LN dissection between January 2009 and December 2015 and were followed-up for 12 months or longer. Clinicopathologic findings and US features of the index tumor and metastatic LNs in the lateral neck were reviewed. A Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportion hazard model were used to analyze the recurrence-free survival rates and features associated with postoperative recurrence. Thirty-seven (5.3%) patients had developed recurrence at a median follow-up of 66.5 months. On multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 2.277; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.131, 4.586; p = 0.021), age ≥55 years (HR, 3.216; 95% CI: 1.529, 6.766; p = 0.002), LN size (HR, 1.054; 95% CI: 1.024, 1.085; p < 0.001), and hyperechogenicity of LN (HR, 8.223; 95% CI: 1.689, 40.046; p = 0.009) on US were independently associated with recurrence. Preoperative US features of LNs, including size and hyperechogenicity, may be valuable for predicting recurrence in patients with N1b PTC.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Eun Ju Son
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +82-2-2019-3510; Fax: +82-2-3462-5472
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Future Considerations and Directions for Thermal Ablative Technologies. CURRENT OTORHINOLARYNGOLOGY REPORTS 2021. [DOI: 10.1007/s40136-021-00344-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
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Predictive Factors of Recurrence in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: A Retrospective Analysis on 579 Patients. Cancers (Basel) 2019; 11:cancers11091230. [PMID: 31443531 PMCID: PMC6770388 DOI: 10.3390/cancers11091230] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2019] [Revised: 07/28/2019] [Accepted: 08/20/2019] [Indexed: 01/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) is usually associated with a favorable prognosis. Nevertheless, up to 30% of patients present a local or distant recurrence. The aim of this study was to assess the incidence of recurrence after surgery for DTC and to identify predictive factors of recurrence. We included in this retrospective study 579 consecutive patients who underwent thyroidectomy for DTC from 2011 to 2016 at our institution. We observed biochemical or structural recurrent disease in 36 (6.2%) patients; five-year disease-free survival was 94.1%. On univariate analysis, male sex, histotype, lymph node yield, lymph node metastasis, extrathyroidal invasion and multicentricity were associated with significantly higher risk of recurrence, while microcarcinoma was correlated with significantly lower risk of recurrence. On multivariate analysis, only lymph node metastases (OR 4.724, p = 0.012) and microcarcinoma (OR 0.328, p = 0.034) were detected as independent predictive factors of recurrence. Postoperative management should be individualized and commensurate with the risk of recurrence: Patients with high-risk carcinoma should undergo strict follow-up and aggressive treatment. Furthermore, assessment of the risk should be repeated over time, considering individual response to therapy.
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