1
|
Gu Q, Yang S, Fei D, Lu Y, Yu H. A nomogram for predicting sepsis-associated delirium: a retrospective study in MIMIC III. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2023; 23:184. [PMID: 37715189 PMCID: PMC10503010 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-023-02282-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2022] [Accepted: 09/02/2023] [Indexed: 09/17/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To develop a nomogram for predicting the occurrence of sepsis-associated delirium (SAD). MATERIALS AND METHODS Data from a total of 642 patients were retrieved from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC III) database to build a prediction model. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors and establish a nomogram to predict the occurrence of SAD. The performance of the nomogram was assessed in terms of discrimination and calibration by bootstrapping with 1000 resamples. RESULTS Multivariate logistic regression identified 4 independent predictors for patients with SAD, including Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment(SOFA) (p = 0.004; OR: 1.131; 95% CI 1.040 to 1.231), mechanical ventilation (P < 0.001; OR: 3.710; 95% CI 2.452 to 5.676), phosphate (P = 0.047; OR: 1.165; 95% CI 1.003 to 1.358), and lactate (P = 0.023; OR: 1.135; 95% CI 1.021 to 1.270) within 24 h of intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The area under the curve (AUC) of the predictive model was 0.742 in the training set and 0.713 in the validation set. The Hosmer - Lemeshow test showed that the model was a good fit (p = 0.471). The calibration curve of the predictive model was close to the ideal curve in both the training and validation sets. The DCA curve also showed that the predictive nomogram was clinically useful. CONCLUSION We constructed a nomogram for the personalized prediction of delirium in sepsis patients, which had satisfactory performance and clinical utility and thus could help clinicians identify patients with SAD in a timely manner, perform early intervention, and improve their neurological outcomes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Qiong Gu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The First Hospital of Jiaxing/Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, 314001, China
| | - Shucong Yang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The First Hospital of Jiaxing/Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, 314001, China
| | - DanTing Fei
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The First Hospital of Jiaxing/Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, 314001, China
| | - Yuting Lu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The First Hospital of Jiaxing/Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, 314001, China
| | - Huijie Yu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The First Hospital of Jiaxing/Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, 314001, China.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Chai CZ, Ho UC, Kuo LT. Systemic Inflammation after Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage. Int J Mol Sci 2023; 24:10943. [PMID: 37446118 DOI: 10.3390/ijms241310943] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2023] [Revised: 06/16/2023] [Accepted: 06/18/2023] [Indexed: 07/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is one of the most severe neurological disorders, with a high mortality rate and severe disabling functional sequelae. Systemic inflammation following hemorrhagic stroke may play an important role in mediating intracranial and extracranial tissue damage. Previous studies showed that various systemic inflammatory biomarkers might be useful in predicting clinical outcomes. Anti-inflammatory treatment might be a promising therapeutic approach for improving the prognosis of patients with aSAH. This review summarizes the complicated interactions between the nervous system and the immune system.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Chang-Zhang Chai
- Department of Medical Education, National Taiwan University, School of Medicine, Taipei 100, Taiwan
| | - Ue-Cheung Ho
- Division of Neurosurgery, Department of Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital Yunlin Branch, Yunlin 640, Taiwan
| | - Lu-Ting Kuo
- Division of Neurosurgery, Department of Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital Yunlin Branch, Yunlin 640, Taiwan
- Division of Neurosurgery, Department of Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei 100, Taiwan
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Gonçalves B, Rynkowski C, Turon R, Charris N, Miranda F, de Caro V, Prazeres M, Santos T, Greer DM, Sharshar T, Guillaume T, Bozza FA, Righy C, Kurtz P. Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Prospective Multicenter Study in a Middle-Income Country. Neurocrit Care 2023; 38:378-387. [PMID: 36324005 DOI: 10.1007/s12028-022-01629-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2022] [Accepted: 10/03/2022] [Indexed: 04/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is associated with high mortality and long-term functional impairment. Data on clinical management and functional outcomes from developing countries are scarce. We aimed to define patient profiles and clinical practices and evaluate long-term outcomes after SAH in a middle-income country. METHODS This was a prospective study including consecutive adult patients admitted with SAH to two reference centers in Brazil from January 2016 to February 2020. The primary outcome was functional status at 6 months using the modified Rankin Scale. Mixed multivariable analysis was performed to determine the relationship between clinical variables and functional outcomes. RESULTS From 471patients analyzed, the median time from symptom onset to arrival at a study center was 4 days (interquartile range 0-9). Median age was 55 years (interquartile range 46-62) and 353 (75%) patients were women. A total of 426 patients (90%) were transferred from nonspecialized general hospitals, initial computed tomography revealed thick hemorrhage in 73% of patients (modified Fisher score of 3 or 4), and 136 (29%) had poor clinical grade (World Federation of Neurological Surgeons score of 4 or 5). A total of 312 (66%) patients underwent surgical clipping, and 119 (25%) underwent endovascular coiling. Only 34 patients (7%) underwent withdrawal or withholding of life-sustaining therapy during their hospital stay, and in-hospital mortality was 24%. A total of 187 (40%) patients had an unfavorable long-term functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score of 4 to 6). Factors associated with unfavorable outcome were age (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.08), hypertension (adjusted OR 1.81, 95% CI 1.04-3.16), poor clinical grade (adjusted OR 4.92, 95% CI 2.85-8.48), external ventricular drain (adjusted OR 3.8, 95% CI 2.31-6.24), postoperative deterioration (adjusted OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.32-4.13), cerebral infarction (adjusted OR 3.16, 95% CI 1.81-5.52), rebleeding (adjusted OR 2.95, 95% CI 1.13-7.69), and sepsis (adjusted OR 2.68, 95% CI 1.42-5.05). CONCLUSIONS Our study demonstrated that SAH management in a middle-income country diverges significantly from published cohorts and current guidelines, despite comparable clinical profiles on presentation and admission to high-volume referral centers. Earlier aneurysm occlusion and increased use of endovascular therapy could potentially reduce modifiable in-hospital complications and improve functional outcomes in Brazil.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Bruno Gonçalves
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Paulo Niemeyer State Brain Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Carla Rynkowski
- Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Hospital Cristo Redentor, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Ricardo Turon
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Paulo Niemeyer State Brain Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Nestor Charris
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Paulo Niemeyer State Brain Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Fabio Miranda
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Paulo Niemeyer State Brain Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Hospital Copa Star, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Vanessa de Caro
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Paulo Niemeyer State Brain Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Marco Prazeres
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Paulo Niemeyer State Brain Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Thayana Santos
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Paulo Niemeyer State Brain Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Hospital Copa Star, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - David M Greer
- Department of Neurology, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Tarek Sharshar
- Department of Neuro-Intensive Care Medicine, Sainte-Anne Hospital, Paris-Descartes University, Paris, France
| | - Turc Guillaume
- GHU Paris Psychiatrie et Neurosciences, Paris, France
- Université Paris Cité, Paris, France
- INSERM, Paris, France
- FHU NeuroVasc, Paris, France
| | - Fernando A Bozza
- D'Or Institute for Research and Education, Rua Diniz Cordeiro, 30 - 3º andar, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, CEP 22281-100, Brazil
- National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Fundação Osvaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Cassia Righy
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Paulo Niemeyer State Brain Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Hospital Copa Star, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Fundação Osvaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Pedro Kurtz
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Paulo Niemeyer State Brain Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
- Department of Neurointensive Care, Hospital Copa Star, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
- D'Or Institute for Research and Education, Rua Diniz Cordeiro, 30 - 3º andar, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, CEP 22281-100, Brazil.
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Ying P, Chen J, Ye Y, Ye J, Cai W. Adipose tissue is a predictor of 30-days mortality in patients with bloodstream infection caused by carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae. BMC Infect Dis 2022; 22:173. [PMID: 35189823 PMCID: PMC8860278 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-022-07108-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2021] [Accepted: 01/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) bloodstream infection with high mortality has attached physicians' attention. High visceral adipose tissue (VAT) and high subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) were confirmed by previous studies that were closely related to increased pneumonia severity, more complications, and higher mortality in COVID-19. Thus, we speculate that CT-quantified body composition may also be connected to all-cause mortality and bacterial clearance in patients with CRKP bloodstream infection (BSI). Methods We investigated the associations of CT-quantified body composition with the mortality of CRKP bloodstream infectious patients. All CT images were obtained at the level of the L3/4 spinal level. The prognostic value of the body composition was analyzed using the Cox regression model, and precise clinical nomograms were established. Results 72 eligible patients both suffered from CRKP bloodstream infection and performed abdominopelvic CT were included. Factors associated with 30-day all-in hospital mortality included total adipose tissue (TAT) [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 1.028, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.003–1.053; P = 0.025], age [HR = 1.030, 95% CI, 1.000–1.061; P = 0.047] and SOFA scores [HR = 1.138, 95% CI 1.049–1.263; P = 0.002]. Compared with low-VAT, patients with high-VAT show a strikingly poor prognosis in both 30-day all-cause mortality (P = 0.0108, Fig. 2A) and 30-day CRKP BSI mortality (P = 0.0049, Fig. 2C). The results of TAT were similar to VAT. Conclusions Our study suggested that CT-derived body composition could be a credible and effective alternative to assess the prognosis of patients with BSI owing to CRKP. CT-quantified TAT, age, and SOFA scores were independently associated with 30-day all-cause mortality in these severe infectious patients, while skeletal muscle did not have obvious statistical significance.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Piaopiao Ying
- Department of General Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Jiajing Chen
- Department of Pneumology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Yinchai Ye
- Department of General Medicine, The Health Center of Eryuan Town, Wencheng County, Wenzhou, China
| | - Jianzhong Ye
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China.
| | - Weiyang Cai
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China.
| |
Collapse
|