Residual disease detected by multidimensional flow cytometry shows prognostic significance in childhood acute myeloid leukemia with intermediate cytogenetics and negative FLT3-ITD: a report from the Tokyo Children’s Cancer Study Group

Association of hematologic response and assay sensitivity on the prognostic impact of measurable residual disease in acute myeloid leukemia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Measurable residual disease (MRD) is associated with relapse and survival in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). We aimed to quantify the impact of MRD on outcomes across clinical contexts, including its association with hematologic response and MRD assay sensitivity. We performed systematic literature review and meta-analysis of 48 studies that reported the association between MRD and overall survival (OS) or disease-free survival (DFS) in AML and provided information on the MRD threshold used and the hematologic response of the study population. Among studies limited to patients in complete remission (CR), the estimated 5-year OS for the MRD-negative and MRD-positive groups was 67% (95% Bayesian credible interval [CrI], 53-77%) and 31% (95% CrI, 18-44%), respectively. Achievement of an MRD-negative response was associated with superior DFS and OS, regardless of MRD threshold or analytic sensitivity. Among patients in CR, the benefit of MRD negativity was highest in studies using an MRD cutoff less than 0.1%. The beneficial impact of MRD negativity was observed across MRD assays and timing of MRD assessment. In patients with AML in morphological remission, achievement of MRD negativity is associated with superior DFS and OS, irrespective of hematologic response or the MRD threshold used.

Prognostic significance of measurable residual disease based on multiparameter flow cytometry in childhood acute myeloid leukemia

OBJECTIVES

To study the prognostic value of measurable residual disease (MRD) for childhood acute myeloid leukemia (AML) by analyzing MRD-guided risk stratification therapy.

METHODS

A total of 93 children with AML were prospectively enrolled in this study. Chemotherapy with the 2015-AML-03 regimen was completed according to the risk stratification determined by genetic abnormality at initial diagnosis and MRD and bone marrow cytology after induction therapy I. Multiparameter flow cytometry was used to dynamically monitor MRD and analyze the prognostic effect of MRD on 3-year cumulative incidence of recurrence (CIR) rate, event-free survival (EFS) rate, and overall survival (OS) rate.

RESULTS

The 93 children with AML had a 3-year CIR rate of 48%±6%, a median time to recurrence of 11 months (range 2-32 months), a 3-year OS rate of 65%±6%, and a 3-year EFS rate of 50%±5%. After induction therapy I and intensive therapy I, the MRD-positive children had a significantly higher 3-year CIR rate and significantly lower 3-year EFS and OS rates than the MRD-negative children (P<0.05). There were no significant differences in 3-year CIR, EFS, and OS rates between the MRD-positive children with a low risk at initial diagnosis and the MRD-negative children after adjustment of chemotherapy intensity (P>0.05). The multivariate analysis showed that positive MRD after intensive treatment I was a risk factor for 3-year OS rate in children with AML (P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

MRD has predictive value for the prognosis of children with AML. Based on the MRD-guided risk stratification therapy, reasonable application of chemotherapy may improve the overall prognosis of children with AML.

Measurable residual disease in pediatric acute myeloid leukemia: a systematic review

Introduction: A systematic review was performed to assess the prognostic value of Measurable Residual Disease (MRD) during treatment, for relapse and overall survival in pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (AML).Areas covered: A systematic search of available literature was performed to identify original full-text articles concerning MRD as prognostic for relapse and survival in pediatric AML. Thirteen studies were included, and in all studies, MRD positivity during treatment was associated with worse clinical outcome. MRD positivity was significantly associated with a higher probability of relapse in eleven studies. However, MRD negativity does not exclude the possibility of relapse in pediatric AML, while positivity early during therapy does not exclude cure.Expert opinion: MRD positivity during treatment has emerged as the most powerful prognostic factor in pediatric AML concerning relapse and overall survival and is useful for risk-group adapted treatment. Future studies should identify the optimal time-point(s) for MRD measurements and the optimal technique, to further improve its prognostic significance.

Association of Measurable Residual Disease With Survival Outcomes in Patients With Acute Myeloid Leukemia: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

IMPORTANCE

Measurable residual disease (MRD) refers to neoplastic cells that cannot be detected by standard cytomorphologic analysis. In patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML), determining the association of MRD with survival may improve prognostication and inform selection of efficient clinical trial end points.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between MRD status and disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with AML using scientific literature.

DATA SOURCES

Clinical studies on AML published between January 1, 2000, and October 1, 2018, were identified via searches of PubMed, Embase, and MEDLINE.

STUDY SELECTION

Literature search and study screening were performed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guidelines. Studies that assessed DFS or OS by MRD status in patients with AML were included. Reviews, non-English-language articles, and studies reporting only outcomes after hematopoietic cell transplantation or those with insufficient description of MRD information were excluded.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Study sample size, median patient age, median follow-up time, MRD detection method, MRD assessment time points, AML subtype, specimen source, and survival outcomes were extracted. Meta-analyses were performed separately for DFS and OS using bayesian hierarchical modeling.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Meta-analyses of survival probabilities and hazard ratios (HRs) were conducted for OS and DFS according to MRD status.

RESULTS

Eighty-one publications reporting on 11 151 patients were included. The average HR for achieving MRD negativity was 0.36 (95% bayesian credible interval [CrI], 0.33-0.39) for OS and 0.37 (95% CrI, 0.34-0.40) for DFS. The estimated 5-year DFS was 64% for patients without MRD and 25% for those with MRD, and the estimated OS was 68% for patients without MRD and 34% for those with MRD. The association of MRD negativity with DFS and OS was significant for all subgroups, with the exception of MRD assessed by cytogenetics or fluorescent in situ hybridization.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this meta-analysis suggest that achievement of MRD negativity is associated with superior DFS and OS in patients with AML. The value of MRD negativity appears to be consistent across age groups, AML subtypes, time of MRD assessment, specimen source, and MRD detection methods. These results support MRD status as an end point that may allow for accelerated evaluation of novel therapies in AML.