A New Preoperative Scoring System to Predict Difficulty of Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy and Risk of Conversion to Open Surgery

Preoperative Risk Factors for Conversion from Laparoscopic to Open Cholecystectomy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Laparoscopic cholecystectomy is a standard treatment for patients with gallstones in the gallbladder. However, multiple risk factors affect the probability of conversion from laparoscopic cholecystectomy to open surgery. A greater understanding of the preoperative factors related to conversion is crucial to improve patient safety. In the present systematic review, we summarized the current knowledge about the main factors associated with conversion. Next, we carried out several meta-analyses to evaluate the impact of independent clinical risk factors on conversion rate. Male gender (OR = 1.907; 95%CI = 1.254−2.901), age > 60 years (OR = 4.324; 95%CI = 3.396−5.506), acute cholecystitis (OR = 5.475; 95%CI = 2.959−10.130), diabetes (OR = 2.576; 95%CI = 1.687−3.934), hypertension (OR = 1.931; 95%CI = 1.018−3.662), heart diseases (OR = 2.947; 95%CI = 1.047−8.296), obesity (OR = 2.228; 95%CI = 1.162−4.271), and previous upper abdominal surgery (OR = 3.301; 95%CI = 1.965−5.543) increased the probability of conversion. Our analysis of clinical factors suggested the presence of different preoperative conditions, which are non-modifiable but could be useful for planning the surgical scenario and improving the post-operatory phase.

Laparoscopic subtotal cholecystectomy; change in practice over a 10-year period

BACKGROUND

Laparoscopic subtotal cholecystectomy is a recognised safe, alternative strategy when a critical view of safety cannot be obtained. This study audits the change in practice at a District General Hospital following the adoption of subtotal cholecystectomy in 2013.

METHODS

Retrospective case series included consecutive cholecystectomies over a ten-year period in a single institution. Cases were divided into subgroups based on operation date. Primary outcome was the proportion of patients undergoing laparoscopic total cholecystectomy, laparoscopic subtotal and laparoscopic converted to open cholecystectomy. Secondary outcomes included incidence of bile leak, complication rate, return to theatre, and length of stay.

RESULTS

There were 4217 cases: 1381 in Group A (pre-adoption of subtotal cholecystectomy 2009-2012), and 2836 in Group B (post-adoption of subtotal cholecystectomy 2013-2019). The rate of laparoscopic total cholecystectomy was higher in Group A than Group B (95.4% vs. 92.8%, p < 0.001). In the subtotal group (n = 114, 14 (12.3%) patients had bile leak, 6 (5.3%) underwent re-laparoscopy, and median length of stay was 2 days.

CONCLUSION

Laparoscopic subtotal cholecystectomy appears to be an acceptable alternative technique at this centre, reducing the rate of open conversion and length of stay, with a low reintervention rate for bile leak.

Statistical models to preoperatively predict operative difficulty in laparoscopic cholecystectomy: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Laparoscopic cholecystectomy operative difficulty is highly variable and influences outcomes. This systematic review analyzes the performance and clinical value of statistical models to preoperatively predict laparoscopic cholecystectomy operative difficulty.

METHODS

PRISMA guidelines were followed. PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched until June 2020. Primary studies developing or validating preoperative models predicting laparoscopic cholecystectomy operative difficulty in cohorts of >100 patients were included. Studies not reporting performance metrics or enough information for clinical implementation were excluded. Data were extracted according to CHARMS, and study quality was assessed using the PROBAST tool.

RESULTS

In total, 2,654 articles were identified, and 22 met eligibility criteria. Eighteen were model development, whereas 4 were validation studies. Eighteen studies were at high risk of bias. However, 11 studies showed low concern for applicability. Identified models predict 9 definitions of laparoscopic cholecystectomy operative difficulty, the most common being conversion to open surgery and operating time. The most validated models predict an intraoperative difficulty scale and procedures >90 minutes with an area under the curve of >0.70 and >0.76, respectively. Commonly used predictors include demographic variables such as age and gender (9/18 models) and ultrasound findings such as gallbladder wall thickness (11/18). Clinical implementation was never studied.

CONCLUSION

There is a longstanding interest in estimating laparoscopic cholecystectomy operative difficulty. Models to preoperatively predict laparoscopic cholecystectomy operative difficulty have generally good performance and seem applicable. However, an unambiguous definition of operative difficulty, validations, and clinical studies are needed to implement patients' stratification in laparoscopic cholecystectomy.