Analyzing 395,793 samples shows significant association between rs999737 polymorphism and breast cancer

DOT: Gene-set analysis by combining decorrelated association statistics

Historically, the majority of statistical association methods have been designed assuming availability of SNP-level information. However, modern genetic and sequencing data present new challenges to access and sharing of genotype-phenotype datasets, including cost of management, difficulties in consolidation of records across research groups, etc. These issues make methods based on SNP-level summary statistics particularly appealing. The most common form of combining statistics is a sum of SNP-level squared scores, possibly weighted, as in burden tests for rare variants. The overall significance of the resulting statistic is evaluated using its distribution under the null hypothesis. Here, we demonstrate that this basic approach can be substantially improved by decorrelating scores prior to their addition, resulting in remarkable power gains in situations that are most commonly encountered in practice; namely, under heterogeneity of effect sizes and diversity between pairwise LD. In these situations, the power of the traditional test, based on the added squared scores, quickly reaches a ceiling, as the number of variants increases. Thus, the traditional approach does not benefit from information potentially contained in any additional SNPs, while our decorrelation by orthogonal transformation (DOT) method yields steady gain in power. We present theoretical and computational analyses of both approaches, and reveal causes behind sometimes dramatic difference in their respective powers. We showcase DOT by analyzing breast cancer and cleft lip data, in which our method strengthened levels of previously reported associations and implied the possibility of multiple new alleles that jointly confer disease risk.

Previous GWAS hits in relation to young-onset breast cancer

PURPOSE

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified dozens of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with breast cancer. Few studies focused on young-onset breast cancer, which exhibits etiologic and tumor-type differences from older-onset disease. Possible confounding by prenatal effects of the maternal genome has also not been considered.

METHODS

Using a family-based design for breast cancer before age 50, we assessed the relationship between breast cancer and 77 GWAS-identified breast cancer risk SNPs. We estimated relative risks (RR) for inherited and maternally mediated genetic effects. We also used published RR estimates to calculate genetic risk scores and model joint effects.

RESULTS

Seventeen of the candidate SNPs were nominally associated with young-onset breast cancer in our 1296 non-Hispanic white affected families (uncorrected p value <0.05). Top-ranked SNPs included rs3803662-A (TOX3, RR = 1.39; p = 7.0 × 10-6), rs12662670-G (ESR1, RR = 1.56; p = 5.7 × 10-4), rs2981579-A (FGFR2, RR = 1.24; p = 0.002), and rs999737-G (RAD51B, RR = 1.37; p = 0.003). No maternally mediated effects were found. A risk score based on all 77 SNPs indicated that their overall relationship to young-onset breast cancer risk was more than additive (additive-fit p = 2.2 × 10-7) and consistent with a multiplicative joint effect (multiplicative-fit p = 0.27). With the multiplicative formulation, the case sister's genetic risk score exceeded that of her unaffected sister in 59% of families.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this family-based study indicate that no effects of previously identified risk SNPs were explained by prenatal effects of maternal variants. Many of the known breast cancer risk variants were associated with young-onset breast cancer, with evidence that TOX3, ESR1, FGFR2, and RAD51B are important for young-onset disease.