Radiological estimation of size in colorectal liver metastases: is it reliable? Comparison with post-resectional measurements

Validation of quantitative prognostic prediction using ADV score for resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: A Korea-Japan collaborative study with 9200 patients

BACKGROUND

A score derived from the concentrations of α-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) and tumor volume (TV), called ADV score, has been shown to be prognostic of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence following hepatic resection (HR) or liver transplantation.

METHODS

This multicenter, multinational validation study included 9200 patients who underwent HR from 2010 to 2017 at 10 Korean and 73 Japanese centers, and were followed up until 2020.

RESULTS

AFP, DCP, and TV showed weak correlations (ρ ≤ .463, r ≤ .189, p < .001). Disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), and post-recurrence survival rates were dependent on 1.0 log and 2.0 log intervals of ADV scores (p < .001). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that ADV score cutoffs of 5.0 log for DFS and OS yielded the areas under the curve ≥ .577, with both being significantly prognostic of tumor recurrence and patient mortality at 3 years. ADV score cutoffs of ADV 4.0 log and 8.0 log, derived through K-adaptive partitioning method, showed higher prognostic contrasts in DFS and OS. ROC curve analysis showed that an ADV score cutoff of 4.2 log was suggestive of microvascular invasion, with both microvascular invasion and an ADV score cutoff of 4.2 log showing similar DFS rates.

CONCLUSIONS

This international validation study demonstrated that ADV score is an integrated surrogate biomarker for post-resection prognosis of HCC. Prognostic prediction using ADV score can provide reliable information that can assist in planning treatment of patients with different stages of HCC and guide individualized post-resection follow-up based on the relative risk of HCC recurrence.

Quantitative Prediction of Posttransplant Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prognosis Using ADV Score: Validation with Korea-Nationwide Transplantation Registry Database

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to validate the prognostic impact of ADV score (α-fetoprotein [AFP]-des-γ-carboxyprothrombin [DCP]-tumor volume [TV] score) for predicting prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver transplantation (LT).

BACKGROUND

ADV score has been reported as a prognostic surrogate biomarker of HCC following LT and hepatectomy.

METHODS

The study patients were 1599 LT recipients selected from the Korean Organ Transplantation Registry database.

RESULTS

Deceased-donor and living-donor LTs were performed in 143 and 1456 cases, respectively. Weak correlation was present among AFP, DCP, and TV. The viable HCC group showed ADV score-dependent disease-free survival (DFS) and overall patient survival (OS) rates from 1log to 10log (p<0.001). Prognosis of complete pathological response group was comparable to that of ADV score <1log (p≥0.099). ADV score cutoff of 5log (ADV-5log) for DFS and OS was obtained through receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with area under the curve ≥0.705. Both ADV-5log and Milan criteria were independent risk factors for DFS and OS, and their prognostic impacts were comparable to each other. Combination of these two factors resulted in further prognostic stratification, showing hazard ratios for DFS and OS as 2.98 and 2.26 respectively for one risk factor and 7.92 and 8.19 respectively for two risk factors (p<0.001). ABO-incompatible recipients with ADV score ≥8log or two risk factors showed higher recurrence rates.

CONCLUSIONS

This validation study revealed that ADV score is a reliable surrogate biomarker for posttransplant HCC prognosis, which can be used for selecting LT candidates and guiding risk-based posttransplant follow-up surveillance.

Quantitative Prognostic Prediction Using ADV Score for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Living Donor Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

We assessed the prognostic impact of the ADV score (α-fetoprotein [AFP]-des-γ-carboxyprothrombin [DCP]-tumor volume [TV] score) for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence and patient survival after living donor liver transplantation (LDLT).

METHODS

This study included 843 HCC patients who underwent LDLT between January 2006 and December 2015 at Asan Medical Center. These cases were divided into treatment-naïve (TN, n = 256]) and pretransplant-treated (PT, n = 587 [69.6%]) groups.

RESULTS

There were weak or nearly no correlations among AFP, DCP, and TV. There existed high correlations between the pretransplant and explant findings regarding tumor number, size, and ADV score. Right lobe grafts were implanted in 760 (90.2%) patients. HCC recurrence and all-cause patient death occurred in 182 (15.9%) and 126 (15.0%) respectively during the follow-up period for 75.6 ± 35.5 months. The 5-year tumor recurrence (TR) and overall patient survival (OS) rates were 21.5% and 86.2%, respectively. The PT group showed higher TR (p < 0.001) and lower OS rates (p < 0.001). TR and OS were closely correlated with both pretransplant and explant ADV scores in the TN and PT groups. The ADV score enabled further prognostic stratification of the patients within and beyond the Milan, UCSF, and Asan Medical Center criteria. Compared with the 7 pre-existing selection criteria, ADV score with a cutoff of 5log showed the highest prognostic contrast regarding TR and OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our prognostic prediction model using ADV scores is an integrated quantitative surrogate biomarker for posttransplant prognosis in HCC patients and can provide reliable information that assists the decision-making for LDLT.

Prediction of Post-resection Prognosis Using the ADV Score for Huge Hepatocellular Carcinomas ≥13 cm

Background/Aims

Multiplication of α-fetoprotein, des-γ-carboxy prothrombin, and tumor volume (ADV score) is a surrogate marker for post-resection prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to validate the predictive power of the ADV score-based prognostic prediction model for patients with solitary huge HCC.

Methods

Of 3,018 patients, 100 patients who underwent hepatic resection for solitary HCC ≥13 cm between 2008 and 2012 were selected.

Results

The median tumor diameter and tumor volume were 15.0 cm and 886 mL, respectively. Tumor recurrence and overall survival (OS) rates were 70.7% and 66.0% at one year and 84.9% and 34.0% at five years, respectively. Microvascular invasion (MVI) was the only independent risk factor for disease-free survival (DFS) and OS. DFS and OS, stratified by ADV score with 1-log intervals, showed significant prognostic contrasts (P=0.007 and P=0.017, respectively). DFS and OS, stratified by ADV score with a cut-off of 8-log, showed significant prognostic contrasts (P=0.014 and P=0.042, respectively). The combination of MVI and ADV score with a cut-off of 8-log also showed significant prognostic contrasts in DFS (P<0.001) and OS (P=0.001) considering the number of risk factors. Prognostic contrast was enhanced after combining the MVI and ADV score.

Conclusions

The prognostic prediction model with the ADV score could reliably predict the risk of tumor recurrence and long-term patient survival outcomes in patients with solitary huge HCC ≥13 cm. The results of this study suggest that our prognostic prediction models can be used to guide surgical treatment and post-resection follow-up for patients with huge HCCs.

Salvage living donor liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after hepatectomy: Quantitative prediction using ADV score

BACKGROUND

Salvage liver transplantation is a definite treatment for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy. ADV score is calculated by multiplying α-fetoprotein and des-γ-carboxyprothrombin concentrations and tumor volume. Prognostic accuracy of ADV score was assessed in patients undergoing salvage living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) and their outcomes were compared with patients undergoing primary LDLT.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective, single-center, case-controlled study. Outcomes were compared in 125 patients undergoing salvage LDLT from 2007 to 2018 and in 500 propensity score-matched patients undergoing primary LDLT.

RESULTS

In patients undergoing salvage LDLT, median intervals between hepatectomy and tumor recurrence, between first HCC diagnosis and salvage LDLT, and between hepatectomy and salvage LDLT were 12.0, 37.2, and 29.3 months, respectively. Disease-free survival (DFS, P = .98) and overall survival (OS, P = .44) rates did not differ significantly in patients undergoing salvage and primary LDLT. Pretransplant and explant ADV scores were significantly predictive of DFS and OS in patients undergoing salvage and primary LDLT (P < .001). DFS after prior hepatectomy (P = .52) and interval between hepatectomy and LDLT (P = .82) did not affect DFS after salvage LDLT. Milan criteria and ADV score were independently prognostic of DFS and OS following salvage LDLT, and prognosis of patients within and beyond Milan criteria could be further stratified by ADV score.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk factors and posttransplant outcomes were similar in patients undergoing salvage and primary LDLT. ADV score is surrogate biomarker for posttransplant prognosis in salvage and primary LDLT recipients. Prognostic model incorporating ADV scores can help determine whether to perform salvage LDLT.

Gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors: impact of consistent contrast agent selection on radiologists' confidence in hepatic lesion assessment on restaging MRIs

PURPOSE

To evaluate the impact of contrast agent selection on radiologists' confidence in assessing liver lesions on follow-up magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies in patients with neuroendocrine tumors.

METHODS

This Institutional Review Board-approved, retrospective study performed at a tertiary cancer center and a quaternary care urban academic hospital included all 694 follow-up abdominal MRI studies from 179 patients with gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumor performed from 01/01/2010 to 05/31/2015. Primary outcome measure was radiologists' confidence in assessing liver lesions on follow-up MRI. MRI reports were reviewed to abstract radiologists' confidence, classified as "equivocal" if any equivocal connotation (mention of limitation due to differences in contrast agent or follow-up recommendation with specific contrast agent) was present; or "unequivocal" if a precise, confident comparison to prior was documented without the use of ambiguous terms. A fellowship-trained radiologist separately evaluated 100 randomly selected reports and images to calculate interobserver agreement with the report classification (equivocal vs. unequivocal) and with the original MRI report, respectively. Chi-square test was used to compare the proportion of equivocal reports when "same" or "different" contrast agent was used for successive examinations.

RESULTS

Rates of equivocal reports were higher when different contrast agents were used for successive examinations compared to examinations with same contrast agent (13.2% [21/159] vs. 1.8% [10/535]; p < 0.0001). There was very good interobserver agreement for assessment of radiologist confidence (κ = 0.92 for report review, κ = 0.82 for image review).

CONCLUSIONS

Consistent use of contrast agent for follow-up MRIs allows more confident assessment of liver lesions in patients with neuroendocrine tumors.

Measurements of Hepatic Metastasis on MR Imaging:: Assessment of Interobserver and Intersequence Variability

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

The purpose of the study was to investigate interobserver and intersequence variability in the measurement of hepatic metastasis on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted with an institutional review board-approved waiver of informed consent and was in compliance with the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act. We searched medical records at our institution for patients with histologically proven metastases to the liver who had undergone MRI from January 2008 to June 2010. We identified 20 patients with 30 measurable liver lesions. The liver lesions were measured on five different MRI sequences. A presenter radiologist selected and localized all metastatic lesions considered to be measurable according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, and these lesions were measured (Eisenhauer et al., 2009) by three radiologists independently. We calculated lesion-wise intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) to estimate interobserver and intersequence agreement in lesion diameter measurement. A Bland-Altman plot was used to estimate the limits of agreement between radiologists and MRI sequences.

RESULTS

There were 30 metastases, and almost all of which had regular and well-defined margins. Interobserver ICCs were greater than 0.95 for different MRI sequences except for the measurements in apparent diffusion coefficient images. Intersequence ICCs were greater than 0.92. Bland-Altman plots between physicians confirmed that reader measurements were closely tied together, with small differences in means.

CONCLUSIONS

MRI can reproducibly measure hepatic metastatic lesions without significant variability among interpreting radiologists or among MRI sequences, and is thus a reliable method for assessing the size of hepatic metastasis.

Correlation between the size of the solid component on thin-section CT and the invasive component on pathology in small lung adenocarcinomas manifesting as ground-glass nodules

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to evaluate the correlation between the size of the solid component on thin-section computed tomography (CT) and invasive component on pathology in small lung adenocarcinomas manifesting as subsolid nodules.

METHODS

Fifty-nine subsolid nodules in 58 patients were evaluated. The maximum diameters of subsolid nodules and the solid component on CT were measured by two radiologists in three-dimensional (3D) and two-dimensional (2D) planes using in-house software. In addition, the maximum diameters of the tumor and invasive component were measured on pathology by two pathologists. CT measurements were compared with pathologic measurements.

RESULTS

There was a strong correlation between the size of the solid component on CT and invasive component on pathology, as well as the size of subsolid nodules and the tumor size (r = 0.82-0.87 for 3D measurement, 0.72-0.88 for 2D measurement; p < 0.0001). The size of subsolid nodules in 3D and 2D measurements was significantly larger than tumor size (p < 0.0001). In regard to measurement of the solid component, 3D measurements tended to be larger than the size of the invasive component whereas 2D measurement tended to be similar to the size of the invasive component. By applying a size criteria of solid component that was 3 mm or lesser in maximum diameter, preinvasive and minimally invasive adenocarcinoma was predicted with a specificity of 100% (28 of 28).

CONCLUSION

We found a significant correlation between the size of the solid component on thin-section CT and the invasive component on pathology.

Evaluation of hepatocellular carcinoma size using two-dimensional and volumetric analysis: effect on liver transplantation eligibility

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Milan criteria recommends selection of candidates with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for liver transplantation based on strict tumor size thresholds. The purpose of this study is to compare the effect of two-dimensional and three-dimensional tumor measurements on the selection of candidates for liver transplantation using Milan criteria.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act-compliant study was approved by our institutional review board. Patient-informed consent was waived. Forty-five HCCs in 19 patients, evaluated with triphasic multidetector row computed tomography scans, were included in the analysis. The largest diameters in each two-dimensional orthogonal plane (Max2D) and within three-dimensional tumor boundaries (Max3D) were calculated for each lesion. Diameters were compared and the eligibility based on lesion size for liver transplantation was assessed.

RESULTS

The mean Max2D diameter of HCC was 3.2 ± 0.9 cm and the mean Max3D diameter was 3.5 ± 1.2 cm. There was a significant difference between the mean Max2D and Max3D diameters (P < .001). Among the 45 lesions, 22 of them (48.9%) were ineligible for transplantation according to Max2D diameter, whereas 29 of them (64.44%) were ineligible when Max3D diameter was applied (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

HCC diameter based on 3D measurements is significantly different than the conventional 2D measurements and may affect eligibility for liver transplantation.