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Zhan L, Guo B, Tao Z, Deng X, Ding Z, Wu B, Yang Z, Guo M, Tao X, Gu X, Fan Y. Nomogram for predicting difficult transoral and submental thyroidectomy: a retrospective model development and validation study with large-scale population. Surg Endosc 2025; 39:3202-3214. [PMID: 40216625 PMCID: PMC12041166 DOI: 10.1007/s00464-025-11725-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2025] [Accepted: 04/06/2025] [Indexed: 05/01/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE No prior studies have described or stratified the difficulty of transoral and submental thyroidectomy (TOaST). We aimed to investigate preoperative factors as indicators of difficult TOaSTs and to develop a predictive model accordingly. METHODS This retrospective study included 255 eligible DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy and central neck dissection (CND) via transoral and submental endoscopic approach between February 2021 and April 2024. These patients were randomized into training and validation groups in a 7:3 ratio. Procedures were categorized into difficult and normal TOaST based on operation time, conversion to open and intraoperative injury. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the association between surgical difficulty and factors regarding demographics, laboratory tests and ultrasound information. A nomogram was then developed and validated internally. Surgical and oncological profiles and follow-up data were also analyzed. RESULTS Five independent risk factors for difficult TOaST were identified in multivariate analysis: age (OR 0.84, p < 0.001), male sex (OR 4.75, p = 0.016), thyromental distance (TMD) < 7 cm (OR 7.59, p < 0.001), presence of diffuse changes on ultrasound (OR 14.5, p < 0.001), and elevated anti-thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPO-Ab) level (OR 5.22, p = 0.005). The nomogram performed well on both the training and the validation datasets, achieving an area under curve (AUC) of 0.908 and 0.888, respectively. Calibration curves for both datasets also fit well. There was no significant difference in complication rates between the difficult and normal TOaST groups. CONCLUSION The developed nomogram provides a reliable, straightforward prediction of difficult TOaST, thus supporting preoperative preparation and consultation, as well as optimizing training and promotion.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ling Zhan
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Bomin Guo
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Zixia Tao
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Xianzhao Deng
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Zheng Ding
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Bo Wu
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Zhili Yang
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Minggao Guo
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Xuanbin Tao
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiaohui Gu
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Youben Fan
- Department of General Surgery, Thyroid and Parathyroid Center, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 600 Yishan Road, Shanghai, China.
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Dong M, Song JL, Hu LL, Hong CC, Nie XY, Wang Z, Liao SC, Yao F. Analysis of preoperative influential factors and construction of a predictive nomogram of difficult thyroidectomy. BMC Surg 2023; 23:91. [PMID: 37069574 PMCID: PMC10111741 DOI: 10.1186/s12893-023-01990-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2022] [Accepted: 04/04/2023] [Indexed: 04/19/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To explore the preoperative influential factors of difficult thyroidectomy and establish a preoperative nomogram for predicting the difficulty of thyroidectomy. METHODS A total of 753 patients who underwent total thyroidectomy with central lymph node dissection between January 2018 and December 2021 were retrospectively enrolled in this study and randomly divided into training and validation groups at a ratio of 8:2. In both subgroups, the patients were divided into difficult thyroidectomy and nondifficult thyroidectomy groups based on the operation time. Patient age, sex, body mass index (BMI), thyroid ultrasound, thyroid function, preoperative fine needle aspiration (FNA), postoperative complications and other data were collected. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the predictors of difficult thyroidectomy, and a nomogram predicting surgical difficulty was created. RESULTS Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that male sex (OR = 2.138, 95% CI 1.055-4.336, p = 0.035), age (OR = 0.954, 95% CI 0.932-0.976, p < 0.001), BMI (OR = 1.233, 95% CI 1.106-1.375, p < 0.001), thyroid volume (OR = 1.177, 95% CI 1.104-1.254, p < 0.001) and TPO-Ab (OR = 1.001, 95% CI 1.001-1.002, p = 0.001) were independent risk factors for difficult thyroidectomy. The nomogram model incorporating the above predictors performed well in both the training and validation sets. A higher postoperative complication rate was found in the difficult thyroidectomy group than in the nondifficult thyroidectomy group. CONCLUSION This study identified independent risk factors for difficult thyroidectomy and created a predictive nomogram for difficult thyroidectomy. This nomogram may help to objectively and individually predict surgical difficulty before surgery and provide optimal treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Meng Dong
- Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Jun-Long Song
- Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Lin-Lin Hu
- Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Chen-Chen Hong
- Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Xin-Yue Nie
- Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Zhong Wang
- Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China.
| | - Shi-Chong Liao
- Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China.
| | - Feng Yao
- Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China.
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Waseem T, Ahmed SZ, Zahara FT, Ashraf MH, Azim KM. Selecting the Right Plane of Dissection in Thyroidectomy: Along the Recurrent Laryngeal Nerve or the Thyroid Capsule? A Retrospective Analysis. Int Arch Otorhinolaryngol 2021; 26:e219-e225. [PMID: 35602276 PMCID: PMC9122766 DOI: 10.1055/s-0041-1731812] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2020] [Accepted: 01/02/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction
Total thyroidectomy remains highly technical, with a significant risk of recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) compromise and hypoparathyroidism. After identifying RLN, at the level of the ligament of Berry, local factors may compel the surgeon to either dissect along the nerve or the thyroid capsule.
Objective
The objective of the present study is to compare these two approaches in terms of outcomes and complication rates.
Methods
This is a retrospective analysis from September, 2013 to April 2019 of 511 consecutive patients undergoing thyroidectomy. General demographics and disease parameters were recorded. At the discretion of the surgeon and according to the demands of the local operative factors, the patients either had dissection along the RLN or along the thyroid capsule. Perioperative and postoperative parameters such as blood loss, duration of surgery, hospital stay, pain scores, analgesia requirements and complications were recorded. The groups were compared with the Pearson chi-squared test or with the Fisher exact test. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Results
The incidence of transient hypocalcaemia and transient RLN compromise were higher when dissection was performed along the nerve as opposed to the plane along the thyroid capsule. Other parameters including operative time, hospital stay, pain scores, analgesia requirement, wound infection, seroma, hemorrhage, and recurrence did not differ between the groups. Subgroup analysis of the patients who presented with complications showed that local factors, malignancy, and extent of surgery correlated positively with complications when dissected along the RLN.
Conclusion
Dissection along the capsule of the thyroid during thyroidectomy is a safer plane in terms of low rate of transient RLN injury and hypoparathyroidism as opposed to dissection along the nerve.
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Affiliation(s)
- Talat Waseem
- Department of Surgery, Shalamar Medical and Dental College, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Safia Zahir Ahmed
- Department of Surgery, Shalamar Medical and Dental College, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Fatima Tuz Zahara
- Department of Surgery, Shalamar Medical and Dental College, Lahore, Pakistan
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Tanavde VA, Razavi CR, Chen LW, Ranganath R, Tufano RP, Russell JO. Predictive model of operative time in transoral endoscopic thyroidectomy vestibular approach. Head Neck 2020; 43:1220-1228. [PMID: 33377212 DOI: 10.1002/hed.26581] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/08/2020] [Revised: 11/01/2020] [Accepted: 12/08/2020] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Transoral Endoscopic Thyroidectomy Vestibular Approach (TOETVA) has demonstrated excellent safety and is receiving wider use in North America. Understanding which factors lead to operative difficulty, as evaluated by operative time (OT), may help to improve safety and refine indications for this procedure. METHODS Cases of TOETVA performed at our institution were reviewed. Multivariate linear regression was performed using patient demographics, thyroid characteristics, and operative variables to predict OT. RESULTS A total of 207 cases were included for analysis. A multivariate linear regression model, controlling for age, sex, and BMI, was developed from 104 cases with an R2 of 0.47 (p < 0.001). Cross-validation on 103 remaining cases showed root-mean-square error of 46.37. Total thyroidectomy and lobe size were the only significant predictors (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS We successfully developed a model to predict OT for TOETVA based on preoperative and operative variables. Lobe size, but not BMI, is a significant predictor of OT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ved A Tanavde
- Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Christopher R Razavi
- Department of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Lena W Chen
- Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Rohit Ranganath
- Department of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Ralph P Tufano
- Department of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Jonathon O Russell
- Department of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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