Analysis of risk factors for hemorrhage and related outcome after pancreatoduodenectomy in an intermediate-volume center

Development and validation of a novel predictive model for postpancreatectomy hemorrhage using lasso-logistic regression: an international multicenter observational study of 9631 pancreatectomy patients

BACKGROUND

Hemorrhage following pancreatectomy represents a grave complication, exerting a significant impact on patient prognosis. The formulation of a precise predictive model for postpancreatectomy hemorrhage risk holds substantial importance in enhancing surgical safety and improving patient outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study utilized the patient cohort from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database, who underwent pancreatectomy between 2014 and 2017 ( n =5779), as the training set to establish the Lasso-logistic model. For external validation, a patient cohort ( n =3852) from the Chinese National Multicenter Database of Pancreatectomy Patients, who underwent the procedure between 2014 and 2020, was employed. A predictive nomogram for postpancreatectomy hemorrhage was developed, and polynomial equations were extracted. The performance of the predictive model was assessed through the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

In the training and validation cohorts, 9.0% (520/5779) and 8.5% (328/3852) of patients, respectively, experienced postpancreatectomy hemorrhage. Following selection via lasso and logistic regression, only nine predictive factors were identified as independent risk factors associated with postpancreatectomy hemorrhage. These included five preoperative indicators [BMI, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) ≥3, preoperative obstructive jaundice, chemotherapy within 90 days before surgery, and radiotherapy within 90 days before surgery], two intraoperative indicators (total operation time, vascular resection), and two postoperative indicators (postoperative septic shock, pancreatic fistula). The new model demonstrated high predictive accuracy, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 in the external validation cohort. Its predictive performance significantly surpassed that of the previous five postpancreatectomy hemorrhage risk prediction models ( P <0.001, likelihood ratio test).

CONCLUSION

The Lasso-logistic predictive model we developed, constructed from nine rigorously selected variables, accurately predicts the risk of PPH. It has the potential to significantly enhance the safety of pancreatectomy surgeries and improve patient outcomes.

Efficacy of the two-parts wrapping technique in reducing postoperative complications in laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

The advancement of laparoscopic technology has broadened the application of laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy (LPD) for treating pancreatic head and ampullary tumors. Despite its benefits, postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) and postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) remain significant complications. Ligamentum teres hepatis wrapping around the gastroduodenal artery (GDA) stump show limitations in reducing POPF and PPH.

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed patients undergoing LPD from January 2016 to October 2023, We compared the effectiveness of the two-parts wrapping (the ligamentum teres hepatis wrapping of the gastroduodenal artery stump and the omentum flap wrapping of the pancreatojejunal anastomosis) and ligamentum teres hepatis wrapping around the gastroduodenal artery (GDA) in reducing postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) and postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH), using propensity score matching for the analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 172 patients were analyzed, showing that the two-parts wrapping group significantly reduced the rates of overall and severe complications, POPF, and PPH compared to ligamentum teres hepatis wrapping around the GDA group. Specifically, the study found lower rates of grade B/C POPF and no instances of PPH in the two-parts wrapping group, alongside shorter postoperative hospital stays and drainage removal times. These benefits were particularly notable in patients with soft pancreatic textures and pancreatic duct diameters of < 3 mm.

CONCLUSION

The two-parts wrapping technique significantly reduce the risks of POPF and PPH in LPD, offering a promising approach for patients with soft pancreas and pancreatic duct diameter of < 3 mm.

Pancreaticoduodenectomy in patients < 75 years versus ≥ 75 years old: a comparative study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare the postoperative outcomes of < 75-year-old patients and ≥ 75-year-old patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for pancreatic head and periampullary region tumors.

METHODS

Patients who underwent PD in our hospital between February 2019 and December 2023 were evaluated. Demographics, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG-PS) scores, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) scores, comorbidities, hospital stays, complications, and clinicopathological features were analyzed. Patients were divided into < 75 years (Group A) and ≥ 75 years (Group B) groups and compared.

RESULTS

The median age of the entire cohort (n = 155) was 66 years (IQR = 16). There was a significant difference between Group A (n = 128) and Group B (n = 27) regarding the ECOG-PS and ASA scores. There was no significant difference between the groups regarding postoperative complications. The 30-day mortality rate was greater in Group B (p = 0.017). Group B had a cumulative median survival of 10 months, whereas Group A had a median survival of 28 months, with a statistically significant difference (p < 0.001). When age groups were stratified according to ECOG-PS, for ECOG-PS 2-3 Group A, survival was 15 months; for ECOG-PS 2-3 Group B, survival was eight months, and the difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.628).

CONCLUSIONS

With the increasing aging population, patient selection for PD should not be based solely on age. This study demonstrated that PD is safe for patients older than 75 years. In older patients, performance status and the optimization of comorbidities should be considered when deciding on a candidate's suitability for surgery.

Machine learning approach to predict postpancreatectomy hemorrhage following pancreaticoduodenectomy: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) is a rare yet dreaded complication following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). This retrospective study aimed to explore a machine learning (ML) model for predicting PPH in PD patients.

METHODS

A total of 284 patients who underwent open PD at our institute were included in the analysis. To address the issue of imbalanced data, the adaptive synthetic sampling (ADASYN) technique was employed. The best-performing ML model was selected using the PyCaret library in Python and evaluated based on recall, precision, and F1 score metrics. In addition to assessing the model's performance on the test data, bootstrap validation (n = 1000) with the original dataset was conducted.

RESULTS

PPH occurred in 11 patients (3.9%), with a median onset time of 22 days postoperatively. These minority cases were oversampled to 85 using ADASYN. The extra trees classifier demonstrated superior performance with recall, precision, and F1 score of 0.967, 0.914, and 0.937, respectively. Both validation using the test data and bootstrap resampling consistently demonstrated recall, precision, and F1 score exceeding 0.9. The model identified the peak value of C-reactive protein during the first 7 postoperative days as the most significant feature, followed by the preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the potential of the ML approach to predict PPH occurrence following PD. Vigilance and early interventions guided by such model predictions could positively impact outcomes for high-risk patients.

Development and Validation of a Model for Postpancreatectomy Hemorrhage Risk

Importance

Postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) due to postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a life-threatening complication after pancreatoduodenectomy. However, there is no prediction tool for early identification of patients at high risk of late PPH.

Objective

To develop and validate a prediction model for PPH.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective prognostic study included consecutive patients with clinically relevant POPF who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy from January 1, 2009, to May 20, 2023, at the University Hospital Mannheim (derivation cohort), and from January 1, 2012, to May 31, 2022, at the University Hospital Dresden (validation cohort). Data analysis was performed from May 30 to July 29, 2023.

Exposure

Clinical and radiologic features of PPH.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Accuracy of a predictive risk score of PPH. A multivariate prediction model-the hemorrhage risk score (HRS)-was established in the derivation cohort (n = 139) and validated in the validation cohort (n = 154).

Results

A total of 293 patients (187 [64%] men; median age, 69 [IQR, 60-76] years) were included. The HRS comprised 4 variables with associations: sentinel bleeding (odds ratio [OR], 35.10; 95% CI, 5.58-221.00; P < .001), drain fluid culture positive for Candida species (OR, 14.40; 95% CI, 2.24-92.20; P < .001), and radiologic proof of rim enhancement of (OR, 12.00; 95% CI, 2.08-69.50; P = .006) or gas within (OR, 12.10; 95% CI, 2.22-65.50; P = .004) a peripancreatic fluid collection. Two risk categories were identified with patients at low risk (0-1 points) and high risk (≥2 points) to develop PPH. Patients with PPH were predicted accurately in the derivation cohort (C index, 0.97) and validation cohort (C index 0.83). The need for more invasive PPH management (74% vs 34%; P < .001) and severe complications (49% vs 23%; P < .001) were more frequent in high-risk patients compared with low-risk patients.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this retrospective prognostic study, a robust prediction model for PPH was developed and validated. This tool may facilitate early identification of patients at high risk for PPH.

The falciform/round ligament "flooring," an effective method to reduce life-threatening post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage occurrence

PURPOSE

Late post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) represents the most severe complication after pancreatic surgery. We have measured the efficacy of major vessels "flooring" with falciform/round ligament to prevent life-threatening grade C late PPH after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) and distal pancreatectomy (DP).

METHODS

All consecutive patients who underwent PD and DP between 2013 and 2021 were retrospectively reviewed on a prospectively maintained database. The cohort was divided in two groups: "flooring" vs. "no flooring" method group. The "no flooring" group had omental flap interposition. Patient characteristics and operative and postoperative data including clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF), late PPH (grade B and C), and 90-day mortality were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

Two hundred and forty patients underwent pancreatic resections, including 143 PD and 97 DP. The "flooring" method was performed in 61 patients (39 PD and 22 DP). No difference was found between the two groups concerning severe morbidity, CR-POPF, delayed PPH, and mortality rate. The rate of patients requiring postoperative intensive care unit was lower in the "flooring" than in the "no flooring" method group (11.5% vs. 25.1%, p = 0.030). Among patients with grade B/C late PPH (n = 30), the rate of life-threatening grade C late PPH was lower in the "flooring" than in the "no flooring" method group (28.6% (n = 2/7) vs. 82.6% (n = 19/24), p = 0.014). Risk factor analysis showed that the "flooring" method was the only protective factor against grade C late PPH occurrence (p = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

The "flooring" method using the falciform/round ligament should be considered during pancreatectomies to reduce the occurrence of life-threatening grade C late PPH.

Transcatheter arterial embolization of the common hepatic artery for pseudoaneurysm after a laparoscopic-assisted pancreaticoduodenectomy: A case report

Common hepatic artery pseudoaneurysm is a rare and potentially life-threatening complication after pancreaticoduodenectomy, and the possible cause is unclear. We report a case of intraperitoneal hemorrhage after pancreaticoduodenectomy who was discharged after embolization under digital subtraction angiography. We conside that this complication may be related to iatrogenic injury.

Beyond successful hemostasis: CT findings and organ failure predict postoperative death in patients suffering from post-pancreatoduodenectomy hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

To predict postoperative death even after successful hemostasis in patients with post pancreatoduodenectomy pancreatic fistula-associated hemorrhage (PPFH).

METHODS

Patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) between September 2011 and August 2020 were identified. PPFH patients were enrolled in this retrospective case-control study and divided into the Cured and Death groups. Perioperative variables were analyzed, especially the characteristics of PPFH and CT image findings.

RESULTS

Among the 2732 consecutive pancreaticoduodenectomies, 63 patients (2.3%) were confirmed to have PPFH. The mortality rate of patients following PPFH was 50.8% (32/63). After univariate and multivariate analysis, organ failure 24 h before initial hemorrhage (P = 0.039, OR = 11.53, 95% CI: 1.14-117.00), CT imaging findings of the operative area bubble sign (P = 0.021, OR = 5.15, 95% CI: 1.28-20.79) and PJ dehiscence (P = 0.016, OR = 8.95, 95% CI: 1.50-53.38) were remained as significant predictive factors of postoperative death for PPFH patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients following PPFH showed a high mortality rate. Organ failure and CT evidence of pancreaticojejunostomy (PJ) dehiscence and operative area bubble signs before initial hemorrhage may allow early prediction of postoperative death in PPFH patients.

Confusing delayed hematemesis, unusual arterial hemorrhage after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a case report

Pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) is one of the most complex surgeries and is associated with a high rate of complications, including bleeding, delayed gastric emptying (DGE), and pancreatic fistula. Although the frequency of postoperative hemorrhage is not high, this complication results in severe adverse outcomes. A 67-year-old man was diagnosed with pancreatic cancer and underwent PD. On the tenth day after surgery, he developed hypovolemic shock with hematemesis. Urgent digital subtraction angiography identified the bleeding artery as the jejunal mesenteric artery at the afferent loop, and the bleeding artery was embolized with two coils. After digital subtraction angiography, the patient had an uneventful recovery with no further complications. Therefore, we concluded that it is possible that bleeding may occur in the afferent loop when hemorrhage occurs after PD.

Estimating Fatty Pancreas-A Preoperative Bedside Assessment by Bioelectric Impedance Analysis: Implications for Pancreatic Surgery

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to evaluate whether fatty pancreas could be estimated by fat mass measurement by preoperative bioelectric impedance analysis. Preoperative computed tomography scan and pathologic evaluation were used as validation methods. Moreover, the 3 methodologies were tested for their ability in predicting postoperative pancreatic fistula.

METHODS

Seventy-five patients who underwent pancreatic resection were analyzed. Preoperative computed tomography attenuation in Hounsfield unit (CT-HU) was used to assess fatty pancreas. Bioelectric impedance analysis was performed the day before surgery and fat mass index (FMI) was calculated. Pancreatic steatosis was assessed by pathologists at the line of surgical transection. The ability of the methods in predicting postoperative pancreatic fistula was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristics curves.

RESULTS

There was a strong correlation between CT-HU values and grade of pancreatic steatosis evaluated at histology ( r = -0.852, P < 0.001) and a moderate correlation between FMI and histologic pancreatic steatosis ( r = 0.612, P < 0.001) and between CT-HU value and FMI ( r = -0.659, P < 0.001) values. The area under the curve (95% confidence interval) was 0.942 (0.879-1) for histology, 0.924 (0.844-1) for CT-HU, and 0.884 (0.778-0.990) for FMI.

CONCLUSIONS

Bioelectric impedance analysis represents a valid alternative to assess pancreatic steatosis.

Multiple episodes of postpancreatectomy hemorrhage resolved by endoscopy and ultrasound-guided percutaneous thrombin injection into a common hepatic artery aneurysm: a case report

Postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) is one of the most common complications after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). It mainly includes gastrointestinal hemorrhage and abdominal hemorrhage. With the development of digestive endoscopy and ultrasonic/radiological interventional technology, hemostasis can be effectively performed by minimally invasive methods in many patients with PPH. This report describes the successful treatment of multiple episodes of postoperative hemorrhage after PD. The patient developed anastomotic hemorrhage after PD and was successfully treated by endoscopic hemostasis. However, he also developed intra-abdominal hemorrhage after PD caused by a pseudoaneurysm that had formed next to the common hepatic artery. We effectively performed hemostasis by injecting lyophilized thrombin powder into the pseudoaneurysm with ultrasound guidance, which is a rarely used method. This case indicates that digestive endoscopy provides great advantages in the treatment of gastrointestinal hemorrhage after PD. For patients who develop PPH with a pseudoaneurysm, interventional ultrasonography is an option if transcatheter arterial embolization or covered stenting fails.

Delayed post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage and bleeding recurrence after percutaneous endovascular treatment: risk factors from a bi-centric study of 307 consecutive patients

PURPOSE

Delayed post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) is still one of the most dreaded complications after pancreatic surgery. Its management is now focused on percutaneous endovascular treatments (PETs).

METHODS

Between 2013 and 2019, 307 patients underwent pancreatic resection. The first endpoint of this study was to determine predictive factors of delayed PPH. The second endpoint was to describe the management of intra-abdominal abscesses (IAA). The third endpoint was to identify risk factors of bleeding recurrence after PET. Patients were divided into two cohorts: A retrospective analysis was performed ("cohort 1," "learning set") to highlight predictive factors of delayed PPH. Then, we validated it on a prospective maintained cohort, analyzed retrospectively ("cohort 2," "validation set"). Second and third endpoints studies were made on the entire cohort.

RESULTS

In cohort 1, including 180 patients, 24 experienced delayed PPH. Multivariate analysis revealed that POPF diagnosis on postoperative day (POD) 3 (p=0.004) and IAA (p=0.001) were independent predictive factors of delayed PPH. In cohort 2, association of POPF diagnosis on POD 3 and IAA was strongly associated with delayed PPH (area under the curve [AUC] 0.80; 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.59-0.94]; p=0.003). Concerning our second endpoint, delayed PPH occurred less frequently in patients who underwent postoperative drainage procedure than in patients without IAA drainage (p=0.002). Concerning our third endpoint, a higher body mass index (BMI) (p=0.027), occurrence of postoperative IAA (p=0.030), and undrained IAA (p=0.011) were associated with bleeding recurrence after the first PET procedure.

CONCLUSION

POPF diagnosis on POD 3 and intra-abdominal abscesses are independent predictive factors of delayed PPH. Therefore, patients presenting an insufficiently drained POPF leading to intra-abdominal abscess after pancreatic surgery should be considered as a high-risk situation of delayed PPH. High BMI, occurrence of postoperative IAA, and undrained IAA were associated with recurrence of bleeding after PET.

Before sentinel bleeding: early prediction of postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) with a CT-based scoring system

OBJECTIVES

Clinically significant pancreatic fistula (POPF) has been established as a well-known risk factor for late and severe postpancreatectomy hemorrhage after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) (postpancreatectomy pancreatic fistula-associated hemorrhage [PPFH]). Our aim was to assess whether contrast-enhanced CT scan after PD is an effective tool for early prediction of PPFH.

METHODS

From a prospectively acquired database, all consecutive patients who underwent PD between January 2013 and May 2019 were identified; within this database, all patients who were evaluated, for clinical suspicion of POPF, with at least one contrast-enhanced CT scan examination, were enrolled in this retrospective study. The selected CT findings included perianastomotic fluid collections and air bubbles; pancreaticojejunostomy (PJ) was analyzed in terms of dehiscence and defect.

RESULTS

One hundred seventy-eight out of 953 PD patients (18.7%) suffered from clinically significant POPF; after exclusions, 166 patients were enrolled. Among this subset, 33 patients (19.9%) had at least one PPFH episode. In multivariable analysis, PPFH was associated with postoperative CT evidence of fluid collections (p = 0.046), air bubbles (p = 0.046), and posterior PJ defect (p < 0.001). Based on these findings, a practical 4-point prediction score was developed (AUC: 0.904, Se: 76%, Sp: 93.8%): patients with a score ≥ 3 demonstrated a significantly higher risk of PPFH development (OR = 45.6, 95% CI: 13.0-159.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative CT scan permits early stratification of PPFH risk, thus providing an actual aid for patients' management.

KEY POINTS

• Postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) is a dramatic, clinically unpredictable occurrence. • After pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD), early identification of posterior pancreaticojejunostomy defect, perianastomotic air bubbles, and retroperitoneal fluid collections enables effective PPH risk stratification by means of a practical CT-based 4-point scoring system. • CT scan after PD allows a paradigm shift in the management PPH, from a conventional "wait and see" approach, to a more proactive one that relies on early anticipation and timely prevention.

Endovascular Hepatic Artery Stents in the Modern Management of Postpancreatectomy Hemorrhage

Background

Postoperative hemorrhage is a potentially lethal complication of pancreatoduodenectomy. This study reports on the use of endovascular hepatic artery stents in the management of postpancreatectomy hemorrhage.

Methods

This is a retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained, consecutive dataset of 440 patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy over 68 months. Data are presented on bleeding events and outcomes, and contextualized by the clinical course of the denominator population. International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery terminology was used to define postpancreatectomy hemorrhage.

Results

Sixty-seven (15%) had postoperative hemorrhage. Fifty (75%) were male and this gender difference was significant (P = 0.001; 2 proportions test). Postoperative pancreatic fistulas were more frequent in the postoperative hemorrhage group (P = 0.029; 2 proportions test). The median (interquartile range [IQR]) delay between surgery and postoperative hemorrhage was 5 days (2-14 days). Twenty-six (39%) required intervention comprising reoperation alone in 12, embolization alone in 5, and endovascular hepatic artery stent deployment in 5. Four further patients underwent more than 1 intervention with 2 of these having stents. Endovascular stent placement achieved initial hemostasis in 5 of 7 (72%). Follow-up was for a median (IQR) of 199 days (145-400 days) poststent placement. In 2 patients, the stent remained patent at last follow-up. The remaining 5 stents occluded with a median (IQR) period of proven patency of 10 days (8-22 days).

Conclusions

This study shows that in the specific setting of postpancreatoduodenectomy hemorrhage with either a short remnant gastroduodenal artery bleed or a direct bleed from the hepatic artery, where embolization risks occlusion with compromise of liver arterial inflow, endovascular hepatic artery stent is an important hemostatic option but is associated with a high risk of subsequent graft occlusion.

Prognostic factors for long-term survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary adenocarcinoma. A retrospective cohort study

Background

Periampullary adenocarcinoma (PAAC) had a poor prognosis, and pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) remains the only potentially curative treatment. The study aimed to identify the impact of different clinicopathological factors on long-term survival following PD for PAAC.

Patients and methods

This study is a retrospective cohort study for the patients who underwent PD for pathologically proven PAAC from January 2010 to January 2019. Statistical analysis was done using Cox regression multivariate analyses for independent risk factors for survival.

Result

There were 137 patients with PAAC who underwent PD, 79 patients (57.7%) underwent pylorus-preserving PD. Pancreatico-jejunostomy was done in 108 patients (78.8%). The primary analysis showed that risk factors for poor long-term survival include patients with co-morbidities like hypertension or ischemic heart disease, Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 > 400U/ml, tumor size > 3 cm, poor tumor differentiation, positive lymph nodes invasion, lymphovascular invasion, and Perineural invasion. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that large tumor size > 3 cm (HR: 0.177, 95%CI: 0.084-0.374, P = 0.002), poorly differentiated tumor (HR: 0.059, 95%CI: 0.020-0.0174, P = 0.016), and perineural invasion in the pathological study (HR: 0.101, 95%CI: 0.046-0.224, P = 0.006) were independent risk factors for poor 5-years survival. The prognosis was better in ampullary adenocarcinoma (5-year survival was 42.1%) than pancreatic adenocarcinoma (5-year survival was 24.3%). The 1, 3, 5 and 7-year overall survival rates were 84.5%, 57.4%, 35.9% and 20.1% respectively.

Conclusion

It seems from the current study that Tumor size > 3 cm, poor tumor differentiation, and Perineural invasion were independent predictors of poor survival in patients with PAAC.

Prognostic factors for long-term survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary adenocarcinoma. A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Periampullary adenocarcinoma (PAAC) had a poor prognosis, and pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) remains the only potentially curative treatment. The study aimed to identify the impact of different clinicopathological factors on long-term survival following PD for PAAC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study is a retrospective cohort study for the patients who underwent PD for pathologically proven PAAC from January 2010 to January 2019. Statistical analysis was done using Cox regression multivariate analyses for independent risk factors for survival.

RESULT

There were 137 patients with PAAC who underwent PD, 79 patients (57.7%) underwent pylorus-preserving PD. Pancreatico-jejunostomy was done in 108 patients (78.8%). The primary analysis showed that risk factors for poor long-term survival include patients with co-morbidities like hypertension or ischemic heart disease, Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 > 400U/ml, tumor size > 3 cm, poor tumor differentiation, positive lymph nodes invasion, lymphovascular invasion, and Perineural invasion. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that large tumor size > 3 cm (HR: 0.177, 95%CI: 0.084-0.374, P = 0.002), poorly differentiated tumor (HR: 0.059, 95%CI: 0.020-0.0174, P = 0.016), and perineural invasion in the pathological study (HR: 0.101, 95%CI: 0.046-0.224, P = 0.006) were independent risk factors for poor 5-years survival. The prognosis was better in ampullary adenocarcinoma (5-year survival was 42.1%) than pancreatic adenocarcinoma (5-year survival was 24.3%). The 1, 3, 5 and 7-year overall survival rates were 84.5%, 57.4%, 35.9% and 20.1% respectively.

CONCLUSION

It seems from the current study that Tumor size > 3 cm, poor tumor differentiation, and Perineural invasion were independent predictors of poor survival in patients with PAAC.

Management of late hemorrhage after pancreatic surgery: treatment strategy and prognosis

Objective

Postpancreatectomy hemorrhage is a life-threatening complication. Hemorrhage occurring >24 hours after the index operation is defined as late hemorrhage. This study was performed to analyze the therapeutic management and prognostic factors of late hemorrhage after pancreatectomy.

Methods

We identified 87 patients with late hemorrhage among 2031 patients who underwent pancreatic surgery from January 2013 to December 2017. The patients’ demographic characteristics, perioperative treatment, hemorrhage details, and prognosis were retrospectively analyzed.

Results

Of the 87 patients, 53 were men. Bleeding occurred at a mean of 8.9 ± 6.0 days postoperatively. Extraluminal and intraluminal hemorrhage occurred in 58 and 29 patients, respectively. The primary intervention was successful in 66 patients, and 16 patients required a secondary intervention. The primary and total recovery rates were 72.4% and 89.7%, respectively. Of the 87 patients, 9 died. Male sex, hemorrhage on a later postoperative day, a significantly decreased hemoglobin level, and pancreatic fistula showed statistical significance as possible risk factors for mortality.

Conclusions

Male sex, hemorrhage on a later postoperative day, a significantly decreased hemoglobin level, and pancreatic fistula are possible risk factors for mortality in patients with late hemorrhage after pancreatectomy. Hemorrhage is a dynamic process, and a secondary intervention may be necessary.