Prediction of Clearance in Children from Adults Following Drug-Drug Interaction Studies: Application of Age-Dependent Exponent Model

A comparison of different methods for the first-in-pediatric dose selection

BACKGROUND AND AIM

To conduct a pediatric clinical trial, it is important to optimize pediatric dose as accurately as possible. This is mainly because due to ethical reasons, children cannot be given several doses to evaluate pharmacokinetics, safety, and efficacy of a drug.

METHODS

In this study, several simple methods to project a first-in-pediatric dose to initiate a clinical trial were evaluated. These methods were as follows:(1) Weight-based pediatric dose prediction (allometric scaling), (2) Salisbury rule (weight-based method), and (3) pediatric dose prediction based on predicted clearance. These methods were compared with the dose given to children in clinical practice. The methods were also compared with whole-body physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model (n = 11). A ±30% prediction error (predicted vs. observed) was considered acceptable.

RESULTS

There were 27 drugs with 113 observations (different age groups from preterm neonates to adolescents). At least, ≤30% prediction error in pediatric dose projection was noted for more than 70% observations. The predictive performance of all the proposed methods was comparable with the whole-body PBPK.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed methods are simple and accurate and can be developed on a spreadsheet in a very short period of time.

RELEVANCE FOR PATIENTS

The study provides an estimate of first-in-pediatric dose by simple methods to initiate pediatric clinical trials. Especially, Salisbury rule is based on body weight and is very simple and works fairly well in children >30 kg body weight and can be even used in clinical settings.

An update on the use of allometric and other scaling methods to scale drug clearance in children: towards decision tables

INTRODUCTION

When pediatric data are not available for a drug, allometric and other methods are applied to scale drug clearance across the pediatric age-range from adult values. This is applied when designing first-in-child studies, but also for off-label drug prescription.

AREAS COVERED

This review provides an overview of the systematic accuracy of allometric and other pediatric clearance scaling methods compared to gold-standard PBPK predictions. The findings are summarized in decision tables to provide a priori guidance on the selection of appropriate pediatric clearance scaling methods for both novel drugs for which no pediatric data are available and existing drugs in clinical practice.

EXPERT OPINION

While allometric scaling principles are commonly used to scale pediatric clearance, there is no universal allometric exponent (i.e., 1, 0.75 or 0.67) that can accurately scale clearance for all drugs from adults to children of all ages. Therefore, pediatric scaling decision tables based on age, drug elimination route, binding plasma protein, fraction unbound, extraction ratio, and/or isoenzyme maturation are proposed to a priori select the appropriate (allometric) clearance scaling method, thereby reducing the need for full PBPK-based clearance predictions. Guidance on allometric scaling when estimating pediatric clearance values is provided as well.

Spreadsheet-Based Minimal Physiological Models for the Prediction of Clearance of Therapeutic Proteins in Pediatric Patients

There is a growing interest in the use of physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models as clinical pharmacology drug development tools. In PBPK modeling, not every organ or physiological parameter is required, leading to the development of a minimal PBPK (mPBPK) model, which is simple and efficient. The objective of this study was to streamline mPBPK modeling approaches and enable straightforward prediction of clearance of protein-based products in children. Four mPBPK models for scaling clearance from adult to children were developed and evaluated on Excel spreadsheets using (1) liver and kidneys; (2) liver, kidneys, and skin; (3) liver, kidneys, skin, and lymph; and (4) interstitial, lymph, and plasma volume. There were 35 therapeutic proteins with a total of 113 observations across different age groups (premature neonates to adolescents). For monoclonal and polyclonal antibodies, more than 90% of observations were within a 0.5- to 2-fold prediction error for all 4 methods. For nonantibodies, 79% to 100% of observations were within the 0.5- to 2-fold prediction error for the 4 different methods. Methods 1 and 4 provided the best results, >90% of the total observations were within the 0.5- to 2-fold prediction error for all 3 classes of protein-based products across a wide age range. The precision of clearance prediction was comparatively lower in children ≤2 years of age vs older children (>2 years of age) with methods 1 and 4 predicting 80% to 100% and 75% to 90% of observations within the 0.5- to 2-fold prediction error, respectively. The results of the study indicated that mPBPK models can be developed on spreadsheets, with acceptable performance for prediction of clearance.

Progress in Drug Development-Pediatric Dose Selection: Workshop Summary

The "Pediatric Dose Selection" workshop was held in October 2020 and sponsored by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and the University of Maryland Center for Excellence in Regulatory Science and Innovation. A summary of the presentations in the context of pediatric drug development is summarized in this article.

A GFR-Based Method to Predict the Effect of Renal Impairment on the Exposure or Clearance of Renally Excreted Drugs: A Comparative Study Between a Simple GFR Method and a Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Model

Objective

The objective of this study was to compare the predictive performances of a glomerular filtration rate (GFR) model with a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model to predict total or renal clearance or area under the curve of renally excreted drugs in subjects with varying degrees of renal impairment.

Methods

From the literature, 11 studies were randomly selected in which total or renal clearance or area under the curve of drugs in subjects with different degrees of renal impairment were predicted by PBPK models. In these published studies, drugs were given to subjects intravenously or orally. The PBPK model was generally a whole-body model whereas the GFR model was as follows: Predicted total clearance (CL_T) = CL_T in healthy subjects × (GFR in RI/GFR in H), Predicted AUC = AUC in healthy subjects × (GFR in H/GFR in RI), where H is the healthy subjects and RI is renal impairment. The predicted clearance or area under the curve values using PBPK and GFR models were compared with the observed (experimental pharmacokinetic) values. The acceptable prediction error was within the 0.5- to 2-fold or 0.5- to 1.5-fold prediction error.

Results

There were 33 drugs with a total number of 101 observations (area under the curve, total and renal clearance in subjects with mild, moderate, and severe renal impairment). From PBPK and GFR models, out of 101 observations, 94 (93.1%) and 96 (95.0%) observations were within the 0.5- to 2-fold prediction error, respectively.

Conclusions

This study indicates that the predictive power of a simple GFR model is similar to a PBPK model for the prediction of clearance or area under the curve in subjects with renal impairment. The GFR method is simple, robust, and reliable and can replace complex empirical PBPK models.