1
|
Nouwens SPH, Marceta SM, Bui M, van Dijk DMAH, Groothuis-Oudshoorn CGM, Veldwijk J, van Til JA, de Bekker-Grob EW. The Evolving Landscape of Discrete Choice Experiments in Health Economics: A Systematic Review. PHARMACOECONOMICS 2025:10.1007/s40273-025-01495-y. [PMID: 40397369 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01495-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/30/2025] [Indexed: 05/22/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Stakeholder preference evaluations are increasingly emphasized in healthcare policy and health technology assessment. Discrete choice experiments (DCEs) are the most common method for quantifying preferences among patients, the public, and healthcare professionals. While prior reviews (1990-2017) have examined DCE trends, no comprehensive synthesis exists for studies published since 2018. This updated review (2018-2023) provides critical insights into evolving methodologies and global trends in health-related DCEs. METHODS A systematic search (2018-2023) of Medline, Embase, and Web of Science identified relevant studies. Studies were screened for inclusion and data were extracted, including details on DCE design and analysis. To enable trend comparisons, the search strategy and extraction items aligned with previous reviews. RESULTS Of 2663 identified papers, 1279 met the inclusion criteria, reflecting a significant rise in published DCEs over time. DCEs were conducted globally, with a remarkable increase in publications from Asia and Africa compared with previous reviews. Experimental designs and econometric models have advanced, continuing prior trends. Notably, most recent DCEs were administered online. DISCUSSION The rapid growth of DCE applications underscores their importance in health research. While the methodology is advancing rapidly, it is crucial that researchers provide full transparency in reporting their methods, particularly in detailing experimental designs and validity tests, which are too often overlooked. Key recommendations include improving reporting of experimental designs, applying validity tests, following good practices for presenting benefit-risk attributes, and adopting open science practices. Ensuring methodological rigor will maximize the impact and reproducibility of DCE research in health economics.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sven Petrus Henricus Nouwens
- Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, P.O. Box 1738, 3000 DR, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
- Erasmus Choice Modelling Centre, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
- Erasmus Centre for Health Economics Rotterdam, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
| | - Stella Maria Marceta
- Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, P.O. Box 1738, 3000 DR, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Erasmus Choice Modelling Centre, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Erasmus Centre for Health Economics Rotterdam, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Michael Bui
- Department of Health Technology and Services Research, Technical Medical Centre, University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands
| | - Daisy Maria Alberta Hendrika van Dijk
- Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, P.O. Box 1738, 3000 DR, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Erasmus Choice Modelling Centre, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Erasmus Centre for Health Economics Rotterdam, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | | | - Jorien Veldwijk
- Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, P.O. Box 1738, 3000 DR, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Erasmus Choice Modelling Centre, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Erasmus Centre for Health Economics Rotterdam, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Janine Astrid van Til
- Department of Health Technology and Services Research, Technical Medical Centre, University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands
| | - Esther Wilhelmina de Bekker-Grob
- Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, P.O. Box 1738, 3000 DR, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Erasmus Choice Modelling Centre, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
- Erasmus Centre for Health Economics Rotterdam, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Livingston M, Culpepper S, Clement RC. Wait or Drill? Shared Decision-making in Adolescents With Stable Osteochondritis Dissecans of the Knee. J Pediatr Orthop 2025:01241398-990000000-00815. [PMID: 40260663 DOI: 10.1097/bpo.0000000000002989] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/23/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Treatment of stable juvenile osteochondritis dissecans (OCD) of the knee in adolescents is controversial. Traditionally, initial management has been nonoperative. However, early subchondral drilling is also a consideration to potentially reduce the recovery time because ∼50% of stable OCD lesions eventually require surgery after a period of failed nonoperative care. This study uses choice-based conjoint (CBC) analysis to explore patient and family preferences regarding initial nonoperative treatment versus early drilling. METHODS This study used a CBC survey using Sawtooth Software (Lighthouse Studio version 9.2.0) to collect demographic information and preferences on surgical scenarios. Anonymous participants were recruited through the Prolific crowdsourcing platform. Eligible participants were US residents over 18 years of age with children aged 12 to 17. Data were analyzed using Hierarchical Bayes and logistic regression to determine the importance of each attribute and correlate preferences with demographic variables. RESULTS Of the 474 participants, the highest importance was placed on minimizing treatment failure (46.3%), followed by the likelihood of needing surgery (22.4%), cost (11.8%), time on crutches (10.8%), and return to normal activities (8.7%). Simulation of surgical decision-making showed a strong preference for early surgery (90.8%) over conservative treatment (9.2%). Preferences varied slightly by demographics, with female participants valuing recovery time more and male participants prioritizing cost. DISCUSSION Our findings indicate a significant preference for early surgical intervention driven by concerns over treatment failure and the need for a future surgery with a second recovery period. Despite some demographic differences in attribute importance, no specific patient characteristic significantly influenced the overall treatment preference. CONCLUSION Early drilling of stable OCD lesions of the knee is favored by most parents of adolescents, primarily to reduce the risk of future surgery/recovery. This preference underscores the importance of personalized treatment discussions and highlights the need for shared decision-making tools that incorporate individual patient values.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Magnolia Livingston
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Tulane University School of Medicine
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center, New Orleans, LA
| | - Sylvia Culpepper
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Tulane University School of Medicine
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center, New Orleans, LA
| | - R Carter Clement
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Tulane University School of Medicine
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center, New Orleans, LA
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Culpepper S, Rajendra R, Suwak P, Clement RC. Medial Patellofemoral Ligament Reconstruction in Adolescents: What Parents Care About. J Pediatr Orthop 2025; 45:37-42. [PMID: 39171383 DOI: 10.1097/bpo.0000000000002805] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/23/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Numerous techniques exist for pediatric medial patellofemoral ligament (MPFL) reconstruction (MPFL-R). Pediatric orthopaedic surgeons and patient families must navigate choices between allograft and autograft, incision type, and surgery cost. While previous research has found similar surgical outcomes among different MPFL-R techniques, minimal data exists on what patients and their families prefer. To engage in shared decision-making (SDM), pediatric orthopaedic surgeons must understand family preferences, including between incision type and cost. We conducted a study utilizing choice-based conjoint (CBC) analysis to explore these preferences. METHODS A survey was developed using Sawtooth Software (Lighthouse Studio version 9.2.0) to gather demographic information and preferences on surgical scenarios via CBC analysis. Anonymous participants, recruited via the Prolific crowdsourcing platform, qualified if they were US residents over 18 years of age with children aged 13 to 17. Data analysis involved the Hierarchical Bayes (HB) method to generate utility scores to determine the desirability of attributes. RESULTS The study included 496 participants who prioritized surgical success (average importance 48.8%) followed by co-pay amount (21.5%), incision size (17.4%), and return to sport (12.3%). Participants earning over $200,000 annually prioritized incision size over cost (25.8% vs. 12.1%, P <0.0053). Those with incomes below $50,000 valued recovery time at a lesser extent than other income groups (10.4% than 12.3% overall importance P <0.0003). The sex of the child significantly influenced preferences: incision size was more important to parents of girls (21.1%) than boys (14.0%, P <.0001). The importance of surgery success and recovery time also differed by sex, being higher for boys (50.4%, 13.1%) than girls (47.0%, 11.7%; P =0.025, 0.026, respectively). CONCLUSIONS This CBC analysis suggests parents of adolescent patients undergoing MPFL-R most value surgical success (avoiding revision surgery), followed by copay, incision size, and time to return to sport. Of note, parent income level and sex of the child significantly influenced parental preferences. We hope this information will assist orthopaedic surgeons in SDM in MPFL-R surgery. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level III.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sylvia Culpepper
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center, New Orleans, LA
| | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
4
|
Jones B, Ryan M, Cook NS, Gutzwiller FS. Development of a disease-specific health utility score for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease from a discrete choice experiment patient preference study. Int J Technol Assess Health Care 2024; 40:e30. [PMID: 38695141 PMCID: PMC11569910 DOI: 10.1017/s0266462324000242] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2023] [Accepted: 04/12/2024] [Indexed: 05/18/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES While patient input to health technology assessment (HTA) has traditionally been of a qualitative nature, there is increasing interest to integrate quantitative evidence from patient preference studies into HTA decision making. Preference data can be used to generate disease-specific health utility data. We generated a health utility score for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and consider its use within HTAs. METHODS Based on qualitative research, six symptoms were identified as important to COPD patients: shortness of breath, exacerbations, chronic cough, mucus secretion, sleep disturbance, and urinary incontinence. We employed a discrete choice experiment (DCE) and the random parameter logistic regression technique to estimate utility scores for all COPD health states. The relationship between patients' COPD health utility scores, self-perceived COPD severity, and EQ-5D-3L utility scores was analyzed, with data stratified according to disease severity and comorbidity subgroups. RESULTS The COPD health utility score had face validity, with utility scores negatively correlated with patients' self-perceived COPD severity. The correlation between the COPD health utility scores and EQ-5D-3L values was only moderate. While patient EQ-5D-3L scores were impacted by comorbidities, the COPD health utility score was less impacted by comorbid conditions. CONCLUSIONS Our COPD utility measure, derived from a DCE, provides a patient-centered health utility score and is more sensitive to the COPD health of the individual and less sensitive to other comorbidities. This disease-specific instrument should be considered alongside generic health-related quality of life instruments when valuing new COPD therapies in submissions to licensing and reimbursement agencies.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Byron Jones
- Patient Engagement Science, Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Mandy Ryan
- Health Economics Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK
| | - Nigel S. Cook
- Global Patient Engagement, Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | | |
Collapse
|
5
|
Mott DJ, Ternent L, Vale L. Do preferences differ based on respondent experience of a health issue and its treatment? A case study using a public health intervention. THE EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF HEALTH ECONOMICS : HEPAC : HEALTH ECONOMICS IN PREVENTION AND CARE 2023; 24:413-423. [PMID: 35716317 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-022-01482-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2021] [Accepted: 05/12/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Preference information is increasingly being elicited to support decision-making. Although discrete choice experiments (DCEs) are commonly used, little is known about how respondents' relative experience of a health issue, and its treatment, might impact the results of preference studies. The aim of this study was to explore how preferences differ between groups of individuals with varying levels of experience of a health issue and its treatment, using a weight loss maintenance (WLM) programme as a case study. METHODS An online DCE survey was provided to four groups, each differing in their level of experience with weight loss and WLM programmes. One group was recruited from a randomised controlled trial of a WLM programme (ISRCTN14657176) and the other three from an online panel. Choice data were analysed using mixed logit models. Relative attribute importance scores and willingness-to-pay (WTP) estimates were estimated to enable comparisons between groups. RESULTS Preferences differed between the groups across different attributes. The largest differences related to the outcome (weight re-gain) and cost attributes, resulting in WTP estimates that were statistically significantly different. The most experienced group was willing to pay £0.35 (95% CI: £0.28, £0.42) to avoid a percentage point increase in weight re-gain, compared with £0.12 (95% CI: £0.08, £0.16) for the least experienced group. CONCLUSION This study provides evidence in a public health setting to suggest that preferences differ based on respondent experience of the health issue and its treatment. Health preference researchers should therefore carefully consider the appropriate composition of their study samples.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- David J Mott
- Office of Health Economics, Southside 7th Floor, 105 Victoria Street, London, UK.
- Health Economics Group, Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
| | - Laura Ternent
- Health Economics Group, Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Luke Vale
- Health Economics Group, Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Fairchild AO, Reed SD, Gonzalez JM. Method for Calculating the Simultaneous Maximum Acceptable Risk Threshold (SMART) from Discrete-Choice Experiment Benefit-Risk Studies. Med Decis Making 2023; 43:227-238. [PMID: 36326189 PMCID: PMC9827493 DOI: 10.1177/0272989x221132266] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2022] [Accepted: 09/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Medical decisions require weighing expected benefits of treatment against multiple adverse outcomes under uncertainty (i.e., risks) that must be accepted as a bundle. However, conventional maximum acceptable risk (MAR) estimates derived from discrete-choice experiment benefit-risk studies evaluate the acceptance of individual risks, assuming other risks are fixed, potentially leading decision makers to misinterpret levels of risk acceptance. DESIGN Using simulations and a published discrete-choice experiment, we demonstrate a method for identifying multidimensional risk-tolerance measures given a treatment level of benefit. RESULTS Simultaneous Maximum Acceptable Risk Thresholds (SMART) represents combinations of risks that would be jointly accepted in exchange for specific treatment benefits. The framework shows how the expectation of utility associated with treatments that involve multiple risks are related even when preferences for potential adverse events are independent. We find that the form of the marginal effects of adverse-event probabilities on the expected utility of treatment determines the magnitude of differences between SMART and conventional single-outcome MAR estimates. LIMITATIONS Preferences for potential adverse events not considered in a study or preferences for adverse-event attributes held constant in risk-tolerance calculations may affect estimated risk tolerance. Further research is needed to understand the right balance between realistically reflecting clinical treatments with many potential adverse events and the cognitive burden of evaluating risk-risk tradeoffs in research and in practice. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS SMART analysis should be considered in preference studies evaluating the joint acceptance of multiple potential adverse events. HIGHLIGHTS Conventional approaches to calculate maximum-acceptable risk (MAR) using discrete-choice experiment data account for 1 adverse-event risk at a time, requiring that decision makers infer the acceptability of treatments when patients are exposed to multiple risks simultaneously.The Simultaneous Maximum Acceptable Risk Threshold (SMART) maps combinations of adverse-event risks that would be jointly acceptable given a specific treatment benefit and provides a transparent and precise portrayal of acceptance of multiple risks.Risk levels that would be accepted using individual MAR estimates might not be acceptable when simultaneous risks are considered, especially when marginal expected disutility of risk is decreasing nonlinearly with risk probabilities.Preference researchers should calculate SMARTs in any discrete-choice study in which 2 or more adverse-event risks are presented, particularly if risk preferences are nonlinear.
Collapse
|
7
|
Menges D, Piatti MC, Cerny T, Puhan MA. Patient Preference Studies for Advanced Prostate Cancer Treatment Along the Medical Product Life Cycle: Systematic Literature Review. Patient Prefer Adherence 2022; 16:1539-1557. [PMID: 35789822 PMCID: PMC9250329 DOI: 10.2147/ppa.s362802] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2022] [Accepted: 06/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patient preference studies can inform decision-making across all stages of the medical product life cycle (MPLC). The treatment landscape for advanced prostate cancer (APC) treatment has substantially changed in recent years. However, the most patient-relevant aspects of APC treatment remain unclear. This systematic review of patient preference studies in APC aimed to summarize the evidence on patient preferences and patient-relevant aspects of APC treatments, and to evaluate the potential contribution of existing studies to decision-making within the respective stages of the MPLC. METHODS We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE for studies evaluating patient preferences related to APC treatment up to October 2020. Two reviewers independently performed screening, data extraction and quality assessment in duplicate. We descriptively summarized the findings and analyzed the studies regarding their contribution within the MPLC using an analytical framework. RESULTS Seven quantitative preference studies were included. One study each was conducted in the marketing approval and the health technology assessment (HTA) and reimbursement stage, and five were conducted in the post-marketing stage of the MPLC. While almost all stated to inform clinical practice, the specific contributions to clinical decision-making remained unclear for almost all studies. Evaluated attributes related to benefits, harms, and other treatment-related aspects and their relative importance varied relevantly between studies. All studies were judged of high quality overall, but some methodological issues regarding sample selection and the definition of patient-relevant treatment attributes were identified. CONCLUSION The most patient-relevant aspects regarding the benefits and harms of APC treatment are not yet established, and it remains unclear which APC treatments are preferred by patients. Findings from this study highlight the importance of transparent reporting and discussion of study findings according to their aims and with respect to their stage within the MPLC. Future research may benefit from using the MPLC framework for analyzing or determining the aims and design of patient preference studies.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Dominik Menges
- Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute (EBPI), University of Zurich (UZH), Zurich, Switzerland
- Correspondence: Dominik Menges, Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute (EBPI), University of Zurich (UZH), Hirschengraben 84, Zurich, CH-8001, Switzerland, Tel +41 44 634 46 15, Email
| | - Michela C Piatti
- Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute (EBPI), University of Zurich (UZH), Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Thomas Cerny
- Foundation Board, Cancer Research Switzerland (Krebsforschung Schweiz KFS), Bern, Switzerland
- Human Medicines Expert Committee (HMEC), Swissmedic, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Milo A Puhan
- Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute (EBPI), University of Zurich (UZH), Zurich, Switzerland
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
Tervonen T, Vora P, Seo J, Krucien N, Marsh K, De Caterina R, Wissinger U, Soriano Gabarró M. Patient Preferences of Low-Dose Aspirin for Cardiovascular Disease and Colorectal Cancer Prevention in Italy: A Latent Class Analysis. PATIENT-PATIENT CENTERED OUTCOMES RESEARCH 2021; 14:661-672. [PMID: 33829397 PMCID: PMC8357711 DOI: 10.1007/s40271-021-00506-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/28/2021] [Indexed: 12/02/2022]
Abstract
Background Patients taking low-dose aspirin to prevent cardiovascular disease (CVD) may also benefit from a reduced risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). Objective The aim was to examine the preferences of people eligible for preventive treatment with low-dose aspirin and the trade-offs they are willing to make between CVD prevention, CRC prevention, and treatment risks. Methods A cross-sectional study using a discrete choice experiment (DCE) survey was conducted in Italy in 2019 to elicit preferences for three benefit attributes (prevention of ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and CRC) and four risk attributes (intracranial and gastrointestinal bleeding, peptic ulcer, and severe allergic reaction) associated with use of low-dose aspirin. Latent class logit models were used to evaluate variation in treatment preferences. Results The DCE survey was completed by 1005 participants eligible for use of low-dose aspirin. A four-class model had the best fit for the primary CVD prevention group (n = 491), and a three-class model had the best fit for the secondary CVD prevention group (n = 514). For the primary CVD prevention group, where classes differed on age, education level, type 2 diabetes, exercise, and low-dose aspirin use, the most important attributes were intracranial bleeding (two classes), myocardial infarction (one class), and CRC (one class). For the secondary CVD prevention group, where classes differed on various comorbidities, self-reported health, exercise, and CVD medication use, the most important attributes were intracranial bleeding (two classes), myocardial infarction (one class), and gastrointestinal bleeding (one class). Conclusion Patient preferences for the benefits and risks of low-dose aspirin differ significantly among people eligible for treatment as primary or secondary CVD prevention. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40271-021-00506-2.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Tommi Tervonen
- Patient-Centered Research, Evidera, London, UK. .,Department of Epidemiology, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
| | | | - Jaein Seo
- Patient-Centered Research, Evidera, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | | | - Kevin Marsh
- Patient-Centered Research, Evidera, London, UK
| | - Raffaele De Caterina
- Cardiology Division, University of Pisa, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy.,Fondazione VillaSerena per la Ricerca, Città Sant'Angelo, Pescara, Italy
| | | | | |
Collapse
|
9
|
Mott DJ, Chami N, Tervonen T. Reporting Quality of Marginal Rates of Substitution in Discrete Choice Experiments That Elicit Patient Preferences. VALUE IN HEALTH : THE JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY FOR PHARMACOECONOMICS AND OUTCOMES RESEARCH 2020; 23:979-984. [PMID: 32828225 DOI: 10.1016/j.jval.2020.04.1831] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2020] [Revised: 03/27/2020] [Accepted: 04/19/2020] [Indexed: 05/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Discrete choice experiments (DCEs) are commonly used to elicit patient preferences as marginal rates of substitution (MRSs) between treatment or health service attributes. Because these studies are increasing in importance, it is vital that uncertainty around MRS estimates is reported. OBJECTIVE To review recently published DCE studies that elicit patient preferences in relation to MRS reporting and to explore the accuracy of using other reported information to estimate the uncertainty of the MRSs. METHODS A systematic literature review of DCEs conducted with patients between 2014 and July 2019 was performed. The number of studies reporting coefficients, MRSs, standard errors (SEs), and confidence intervals was recorded. If all information was reported, studies were included in an analysis to determine the impact of estimating the SEs of MRSs using coefficients and assuming zero covariance, to determine the impact of this assumption. RESULTS Two hundred and thirty-two patient DCEs were identified in the review; 34.1% (n = 79) reported 1 or more MRS and, of these, only 62.0% (n = 49) provided an estimate of the uncertainty. Of these studies, 16 contained enough information for inclusion in the analysis, providing 116 datapoints. Actual SEs were smaller than estimated SEs in 75.0% of cases (n = 87), and estimated SEs were within 25% of the actual SE in 59.5% of cases (n = 69). CONCLUSION Uncertainty of MRS estimates is unreported in a substantial proportion of recently published DCE studies. Estimating the SE of a MRS by solely using the SEs of the utility coefficients is likely to lead to biased estimates of the precision of patient trade-offs.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- David J Mott
- Office of Health Economics, London, England, UK.
| | - Nour Chami
- City, University of London, London, England, UK; Evidera, London, England, UK
| | - Tommi Tervonen
- Evidera, London, England, UK; Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| |
Collapse
|