Challenges in modelling the cost effectiveness of various interventions for cardiovascular disease

Cost-benefit analysis of kidney transplant in patients with chronic kidney disease: a case study in Iran

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a health problem due to its increasing prevalence and imposes a significant economic burden on the health system. This study aimed to analyze the cost–benefit of kidney transplantation through the valuation of patients with ESRD for a kidney transplant and its costs to help decide this regard.

Material and methods

This study was a descriptive-analytical and cross-sectional economic evaluation study of health interventions performed in Imam Khomeini Hospital in Urmia from the patient’s perspective. The records of kidney recipients were used to calculate the direct costs of kidney transplantation based on the government tariff rate in 2021. The willingness to pay for kidney transplantation (benefit) was measured through a questionnaire and with a contingent valuation method from 266 samples of patients with ESRD. The questionnaire designed by the researchers had four scenarios with different chances for kidney transplant success. Validation and test–retest methods were used to check the validity and reliability of the questionnaire. Stata software was used to estimate the regression of the factors affecting the willingness to pay and the kidney transplant demand function.

Results

The average cost of a kidney transplant was $877.4. The average willingness to pay for a kidney transplant for four scenarios was estimated at $4733. The mean cost–benefit ratio (BCR) and net present value (NPV) for the four kidney transplant scenarios were 5.39 and $3855. The variables of employment status, awareness of kidney function, number of years with ESRD, insurance coverage, and patients’ income significantly affected their willingness to pay. However, the effect of other variables was not significant. The absolute value of price elasticity of kidney transplant demand was also equal to 2.13.

Conclusion

According to the cost–benefit analysis indexes, the study results showed that a kidney transplant has a net positive benefit for all levels of its probability of success, so the willingness to pay or valuation of patients is about five times the cost of a kidney transplant. Also, the demand for kidney transplantation shows the high sensitivity of the demand for this service to the price. Therefore, preparations for kidney transplantation in patients with ESRD should be considered in situations where the price and cost of transplantation change. The results can help health policy-makers decide to allocate financial resources more efficiently.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12962-022-00372-1.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of a community based CVD program in Sweden based on a retrospective register cohort

Background

Several large scale community-based cardiovascular disease prevention programs were initiated in the 80s, and one was the Västerbotten Intervention Programme, Sweden. As an initial step in 1985, a pilot study was introduced in the Norsjö municipality that combined individual disease prevention efforts among the middle-aged population with community-oriented health promotion activities. All citizens at 30, 40, 50, and 60 years of age were invited to a physical examination combined with a healthy dialogue at the local primary health care centre. Västerbotten Intervention Program is still running following the same lines and is now a part of the ordinary public health in the county.

The purpose of this study is to estimate the costs of running Västerbotten Intervention Programme from 1990 to 2006, versus the health gains and savings reasonably attributable to the program during the same time period.

Methods

A previous study estimated the number of prevented deaths during the period 1990–2006 which can be attributed to the programme. We used this estimate and calculated the number of QALYs gained, as well as savings in resources due to prevented non-fatal cases during the time period 1990 to 2006. Costs for the programmes were based on previously published scientific articles as well as current cost data from the county council, who is responsible for the programme.

Result

The cost per QALY gained from a societal perspective is SEK 650 (Euro 68). From a health care sector perspective, the savings attributable to the VIP exceeded its costs.

Conclusion

Our analysis shows that Västerbotten Intervention Programme is extremely cost-effective in relation to the Swedish threshold value (SEK 500000 per QALY gained or Euro 53,000 per QALY gained). Other research has also shown a favorable effect of Västerbotten Intervention Programme on population health and the health gap. We therefore argue that all health care organizations, acting in settings reasonably similar to Sweden, have good incentive to implement programs like Västerbotten Intervention Programme.

Using meta-regression analyses in addition to conventional systematic review methods to examine the variation in cost-effectiveness results - a case study

Background

Systematic reviews of cost-effectiveness analyses summarize results and describe study characteristics. Variability in the study results is often explained qualitatively or based on sensitivity analyses of individual studies. However, variability due to input parameters and study characteristics (e.g., funding or study quality) is often not statistically explained. As a case study, a systematic review on the cost-effectiveness of drug-eluting stents (DES) versus bare-metal stents (BMS) using meta-regression analyses is performed to explore the usefulness of such methods compared with conventional review methods.

Methods

We attempted to identify and review all modelling studies published until January 2012 that compared costs and consequences of DES versus BMS. We extracted general study information (e.g., funding), modelling methods, values of input parameters, and quality of the model using the Philips et al. checklist. Associations between study characteristics and the incremental costs and effectiveness of individual analyses were explored using regression analyses corrected for study ID.

Results

Sixteen eligible studies were identified, with a combined total of 508 analyses. The overall quality of the models was moderate (59 % ± 15 %). This study showed associations (e.g., type of lesion) that were expected (based on individual studies), however the meta-regression analyses revealed also unpredicted associations: e.g., model quality was negatively associated with repeat revascularizations avoided.

Conclusions

Meta-regressions can be of added value, identifying significant associations that could not be identified using conventional review methods or by sensitivity analyses of individual studies. Furthermore, this study underlines the need to examine input parameters and perform a quality check of studies when interpreting the results.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12913-015-1230-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.