A Multi-Agent-Based Simulation Model for the Spreading of Diseases Through Social Interactions During Pandemics

Influence of human motion patterns on epidemic spreading dynamics

Extensive real-data indicate that human motion exhibits novel patterns and has a significant impact on the epidemic spreading process. The research on the influence of human motion patterns on epidemic spreading dynamics still lacks a systematic study in network science. Based on an agent-based model, this paper simulates the spread of the disease in the gathered population by combining the susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic process with human motion patterns, described by moving speed and gathering preference. Our simulation results show that the emergence of a hysteresis loop is observed in the system when the moving speed is slow, particularly when humans prefer to gather; that is, the epidemic prevalence of the systems depends on the fraction of initial seeds. Regardless of the gathering preference, the hysteresis loop disappears when the population moves fast. In addition, our study demonstrates that there is an optimal moving speed for the gathered population, at which the epidemic prevalence reaches its maximum value.