Associations of blood glucose dynamics with antihyperglycemic treatment and glycemic variability in type 1 and type 2 diabetes

The complexity of glucose time series is associated with short- and long-term mortality in critically ill adults: a multi-center, prospective, observational study

BACKGROUND

The wealth of data taken from continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) remains to be fully used. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between a promising new CGM metric, complexity of glucose time series index (CGI), and mortality in critically ill patients.

METHODS

A total of 293 patients admitted to mixed medical/surgical intensive care units from 5 medical centers in Shanghai were prospectively included between May 2020 and November 2021. CGI was assessed using intermittently scanned CGM, with a median monitoring period of 12.0 days. Outcome measures included short- and long-term mortality.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 1.7 years, a total of 139 (47.4%) deaths were identified, of which 73 (24.9%) occurred within the first 30 days after ICU admission, and 103 (35.2%) within 90 days. The multivariable-adjusted HRs for 30-day mortality across ascending tertiles of CGI were 1.00 (reference), 0.68 (95% CI 0.38-1.22) and 0.36 (95% CI 0.19-0.70), respectively. For per 1-SD increase in CGI, the risk of 30-day mortality was decreased by 51% (HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.35-0.69). Further adjustment for HbA1c, mean glucose during hospitalization and glucose variability partially attenuated these associations, although the link between CGI and 30-day mortality remained significant (per 1-SD increase: HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.40-0.83). Similar results were observed when 90-day mortality was considered as the outcome. Furthermore, CGI was also significantly and independently associated with long-term mortality (per 1-SD increase: HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.97).

CONCLUSIONS

In critically ill patients, CGI is significantly associated with short- and long-term mortality.

Associations between complexity of glucose time series and cognitive function in adults with type 2 diabetes

AIMS

To characterize the comparative contributions of different glycaemic indicators to cognitive dysfunction, and further investigate the associations between the most significant indicator and cognitive function, along with related cerebral alterations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional study in 449 subjects with type 2 diabetes who completed continuous glucose monitoring and cognitive assessments. Of these, 139 underwent functional magnetic resonance imaging to evaluate cerebral structure and olfactory neural circuit alterations. Relative weight and Sobol's sensitivity analyses were employed to characterize the comparative contributions of different glycaemic indicators to cognitive dysfunction.

RESULTS

Complexity of glucose time series index (CGI) was found to have a more pronounced association with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) compared to glycated haemoglobin, time in range, and standard deviation. The proportion and multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for MCI increased with descending CGI tertile (Tertile 1: reference group [≥4.0]; Tertile 2 [3.6-4.0] OR 1.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68-2.24; Tertile 3 [<3.6] OR 2.27, 95% CI 1.29-4.00). Decreased CGI was associated with cognitive decline in executive function and attention. Furthermore, individuals with decreased CGI displayed reduced olfactory activation in the left orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) and disrupted functional connectivity between the left OFC and right posterior cingulate gyrus. Mediation analysis demonstrated that the left OFC activation partially mediated the associations between CGI and executive function.

CONCLUSION

Decreased glucose complexity closely relates to cognitive dysfunction and olfactory brain activation abnormalities in diabetes.

Decreasing complexity of glucose time series derived from continuous glucose monitoring is correlated with deteriorating glucose regulation

Most information used to evaluate diabetic statuses is collected at a special time-point, such as taking fasting plasma glucose test and providing a limited view of individual's health and disease risk. As a new parameter for continuously evaluating personal clinical statuses, the newly developed technique "continuous glucose monitoring" (CGM) can characterize glucose dynamics. By calculating the complexity of glucose time series index (CGI) with refined composite multi-scale entropy analysis of the CGM data, the study showed for the first time that the complexity of glucose time series in subjects decreased gradually from normal glucose tolerance to impaired glucose regulation and then to type 2 diabetes (P for trend < 0.01). Furthermore, CGI was significantly associated with various parameters such as insulin sensitivity/secretion (all P < 0.01), and multiple linear stepwise regression showed that the disposition index, which reflects β-cell function after adjusting for insulin sensitivity, was the only independent factor correlated with CGI (P < 0.01). Our findings indicate that the CGI derived from the CGM data may serve as a novel marker to evaluate glucose homeostasis.

Impact of the complexity of glucose time series on all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes

CONTEXT

Previous studies suggest that the complexity of glucose time series may serve as a novel marker of glucose homeostasis.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate the relationship between the complexity of glucose time series and all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Prospective data of 6000 adult inpatients with type 2 diabetes from a single center was analyzed. The complexity of glucose time series index (CGI) based on continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) was measured at baseline with refined composite multi-scale entropy. Participants were stratified by the tertiles of CGI: < 2.15, 2.15-2.99, and ≥ 3.00. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the relationship between CGI and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 9.4 years, 1217 deaths were identified. A significant interaction between glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and CGI in relation to all-cause mortality was noted (P for interaction = 0.016). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality at different CGI levels [≥ 3.00 (reference group), 2.15-2.99, and < 2.15] were 1.00, 0.76 (95% CI 0.52-1.12), and 1.47 (95% CI 1.03-2.09) in patients with HbA1c < 7.0%, while the association was nonsignificant in those with HbA1c ≥ 7.0%. The restricted cubic spline regression revealed a non-linear (P for non-linearity = 0.041) relationship between CGI and all-cause mortality in subjects with HbA1c < 7.0% only.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower CGI is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes achieving the HbA1c target. CGI may be a new indicator for the identification of residual risk of death in well-controlled type 2 diabetes.

Patient-Tailored Decision Support System Improves Short- and Long-Term Glycemic Control in Type 2 Diabetes

BACKGROUND

The increasing prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) and specialist shortage has caused a healthcare gap that can be bridged by a decision support system (DSS). We investigated whether a diabetes DSS can improve long- and/or short-term glycemic control.

METHODS

This is a retrospective observational cohort study of the Diabetiva program, which offered a patient-tailored DSS using Karlsburger Diabetes-Management System (KADIS) once a year. Glycemic control was analyzed at baseline and after 12 months in 452 individuals with T2D. Time in range (TIR; glucose 3.9-10 mmol/L) and Q-Score, a composite metric developed for analysis of continuous glucose profiles, were short-term and HbA1c long-term measures of glycemic control. Glucose variability (GV) was also measured.

RESULTS

At baseline, one-third of patients had good short- and long-term glycemic control. Q-Score identified insufficient short-term glycemic control in 17.9% of patients with HbA1c <6.5%, mainly due to hypoglycemia. GV and hyperglycemia were responsible in patients with HbA1c >7.5% and >8%, respectively. Application of DSS at baseline improved short- and long-term glycemic control, as shown by the reduced Q-Score, GV, and HbA1c after 12 months. Multiple regression demonstrated that the total effect on GV resulted from the single effects of all influential parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

DSS can improve short- and long-term glycemic control in individuals with T2D without increasing hypoglycemia. The Q-Score allows identification of individuals with insufficient glycemic control. An effective strategy for therapy optimization could be the selection of individuals with T2D most at need using the Q-Score, followed by offering patient-tailored DSS.

Glycaemia dynamics in gestational diabetes mellitus

Pregnant women may develop gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), a disease of pregnancy characterised by maternal and fetal hyperglycaemia with hazardous consequences to the mother, the fetus, and the newborn. Maternal hyperglycaemia in GDM results in fetoplacental endothelial dysfunction. GDM-harmful effects result from chronic and short periods of hyperglycaemia. Thus, it is determinant to keep glycaemia within physiological ranges avoiding short but repetitive periods of hyper or hypoglycaemia. The variation of glycaemia over time is defined as 'glycaemia dynamics'. The latter concept regards with a variety of mechanisms and environmental conditions leading to blood glucose handling. In this review we summarized the different metrics for glycaemia dynamics derived from quantitative, plane distribution, amplitude, score values, variability estimation, and time series analysis. The potential application of the derived metrics from self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG) and continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) in the potential alterations of pregnancy outcome in GDM are discussed.

Characteristics of Continuous Glucose Monitoring Metrics in Persons with Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Treated with Multiple Daily Insulin Injections

Background: Although guidelines advocate similar continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) targets for insulin-treated persons with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and type 2 diabetes (T2D), it is unclear how these persons differ with respect to hypoglycemia, glucose variability, and other CGM metrics in clinical practice. Methods: We used data from 2 multicenter randomized-controlled trials (GOLD and MDI-Liraglutide) where 161 persons with T1D and 124 persons with T2D treated with multiple daily injections were included and monitored with masked CGM. Results: Persons from both cohorts had similar mean glucose levels, 10.9 mmol/L (196 mg/dL) in persons with T1D and 10.8 mmol/L (194 mg/dL) in persons with T2D. Time in hypoglycemia (<3.9 mmol/L [70 mg/dL]) was 5.1% and 1.0% for persons with T1D and T2D, respectively (P < 0.001). Corresponding estimates for the standard deviations of mean glucose levels were 4.4 mmol/L (79 mg/dL) versus 3.0 (54 mg/dL) (P < 0.001), for coefficient of variation 41% versus 28% (P < 0.001), and for time in range 38.2% versus 45.3%, respectively (P = 0.004). Mean C-peptide levels were 0.05 nmol/L and 0.67 nmol/L (P < 0.001) for persons with T1D and T2D, respectively. Conclusions: Persons with T1D compared with persons with T2D treated with multiple daily insulin injections spend considerably more time in hypoglycemia, have higher glucose variability, and less "time in range." This needs to be taken into account in daily clinical care and in recommended targets for CGM metrics.

Dynamic properties of glucose complexity during the course of critical illness: a pilot study

Methods to control the blood glucose (BG) levels of patients in intensive care units (ICU) improve the outcomes. The development of continuous BG levels monitoring devices has also permitted to optimize these processes. Recently it was shown that a complexity loss of the BG signal is linked to poor clinical outcomes. Thus, it becomes essential to decipher this relation to design efficient BG level control methods. In previous studies the BG signal complexity was calculated as a single index for the whole ICU stay. Although, these approaches did not grasp the potential variability of the BG signal complexity. Therefore, we setup this pilot study using a continuous monitoring of central venous BG levels in ten critically ill patients (EIRUS platform, Maquet Critical CARE AB, Solna, Sweden). Data were processed and the complexity was assessed by the detrended fluctuation analysis and multiscale entropy (MSE) methods. Finally, recordings were split into 24 h overlapping intervals and a MSE analysis was applied to each of them. The MSE analysis on time intervals revealed an entropy variation and allowed periodic BG signal complexity assessments. To highlight differences of MSE between each time interval we calculated the MSE complexity index defined as the area under the curve. This new approach could pave the way to future studies exploring new strategies aimed at restoring blood glucose complexity during the ICU stay.

Patterns of Glycemic Variability During a Diabetes Self-Management Educational Program

Background: Variations in blood glucose levels over a given time interval is termed as glycemic variability (GV). Higher GV is associated with higher diabetes-related complications. The current study was done with the aim of detecting the sensitivity of various GV indices among individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus of different glycemic control status. Methods: We performed a longitudinal study among individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) who were participating in a two-week diabetes self-management education (DSME) program. Participants were categorized by their HbA1c as poor (≥8%), acceptable (7%–8%), and optimal control (<7%). Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) sensors recorded interstitial glucose every 15 min from day 1. The evaluated GV measures include standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), mean amplitude of glycemic excursion (MAGE), continuous overlapping net glycemic action (CONGA), mean of daily difference for inter-day variation (MODD), high blood glucose index (HBGI), and low blood glucose index (LBGI). Results: A total of 41 study participants with 46347 CGM values were available for analysis. Of 41 participants, 20 (48.7%) were in the poor, 10 (24.3%) in the acceptable, and 11 (26.8%) in the optimal control group. The GV indices (SD; CV; MODD; MAGE; CONGA; HBGI) of poorly controlled (77.43; 38.02; 45.82; 216.63; 14.10; 16.62) were higher than acceptable (50.02; 39.32; 30.79; 138.01; 8.87; 5.56) and optimal (34.15; 29.46; 24.56; 126.15; 8.67; 3.13) control group. Glycemic variability was reduced in the poorly and acceptably controlled groups by the end of the 2-week period. There was a rise in LBGI in the optimally controlled group, indicating pitfalls of tight glycemic control. Conclusion: Indices of glycemic variability are useful complements, and changes in it can be demonstrated within short periods.

An Improved Method of Handling Missing Values in the Analysis of Sample Entropy for Continuous Monitoring of Physiological Signals

Medical devices generate huge amounts of continuous time series data. However, missing values commonly found in these data can prevent us from directly using analytic methods such as sample entropy to reveal the information contained in these data. To minimize the influence of missing points on the calculation of sample entropy, we propose a new method to handle missing values in continuous time series data. We use both experimental and simulated datasets to compare the performance (in percentage error) of our proposed method with three currently used methods: skipping the missing values, linear interpolation, and bootstrapping. Unlike the methods that involve modifying the input data, our method modifies the calculation process. This keeps the data unchanged which is less intrusive to the structure of the data. The results demonstrate that our method has a consistent lower average percentage error than other three commonly used methods in multiple common physiological signals. For missing values in common physiological signal type, different data size and generating mechanism, our method can more accurately extract the information contained in continuously monitored data than traditional methods. So it may serve as an effective tool for handling missing values and may have broad utility in analyzing sample entropy for common physiological signals. This could help develop new tools for disease diagnosis and evaluation of treatment effects.

Decreased complexity of glucose dynamics in diabetes in rhesus monkeys

Until recently, preclinical and clinical work on diabetes has focused on the understanding of blood glucose elevation and its detrimental metabolic sequelae. The advent of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) technology now allows real time monitoring of blood glucose levels as a time series, and thus the exploration of glucose dynamics at short time scales. Previous work has shown decreases in the complexity of glucose dynamics, as measured by multiscale entropy (MSE) analysis, in diabetes in humans, mice, and rats. Analyses for non-human primates (NHP) have not been reported, nor is it known if anti-diabetes compounds affect complexity of glucose dynamics. We instrumented four healthy and six diabetic rhesus monkeys with CGM probes in the carotid artery and collected glucose values at a frequency of one data point per second for the duration of the sensors' life span. Sensors lasted between 45 and 78 days. Five of the diabetic rhesus monkeys were also administered the anti-diabetic drug liraglutide daily beginning at day 39 of the CGM monitoring period. Glucose levels fluctuated during the day in both healthy and diabetic rhesus monkeys, peaking between 12 noon - 6 pm. MSE analysis showed reduced complexity of glucose dynamics in diabetic monkeys compared to healthy animals. Although liraglutide decreased glucose levels, it did not restore complexity in diabetic monkeys consistently. Complexity varied by time of day, more strongly for healthy animals than for diabetic animals. And by dividing the monitoring period into 3-day or 1-week subperiods, we were able to estimate within-animal variability of MSE curves. Our data reveal that decreased complexity of glucose dynamics is a conserved feature of diabetes from rodents to NHPs to man.

Applications of Variability Analysis Techniques for Continuous Glucose Monitoring Derived Time Series in Diabetic Patients

Methods from non-linear dynamics have enhanced understanding of functional dysregulation in various diseases but received less attention in diabetes. This retrospective cross-sectional study evaluates and compares relationships between indices of non-linear dynamics and traditional glycemic variability, and their potential application in diabetes control. Continuous glucose monitoring provided data for 177 subjects with type 1 (n = 22), type 2 diabetes (n = 143), and 12 non-diabetic subjects. Each time series comprised 576 glucose values. We calculated Poincaré plot measures (SD1, SD2), shape (SFE) and area of the fitting ellipse (AFE), multiscale entropy (MSE) index, and detrended fluctuation exponents (α1, α2). The glycemic variability metrics were the coefficient of variation (%CV) and standard deviation. Time of glucose readings in the target range (TIR) defined the quality of glycemic control. The Poincaré plot indices and α exponents were higher (p < 0.05) in type 1 than in the type 2 diabetes; SD1 (mmol/l): 1.64 ± 0.39 vs. 0.94 ± 0.35, SD2 (mmol/l): 4.06 ± 0.99 vs. 2.12 ± 1.04, AFE (mmol²/l²): 21.71 ± 9.82 vs. 7.25 ± 5.92, and α1: 1.94 ± 0.12 vs. 1.75 ± 0.12, α2: 1.38 ± 0.11 vs. 1.30 ± 0.15. The MSE index decreased consistently from the non-diabetic to the type 1 diabetic group (5.31 ± 1.10 vs. 3.29 ± 0.83, p < 0.001); higher indices correlated with lower %CV values (r = -0.313, p < 0.001). In a subgroup of type 1 diabetes patients, insulin pump therapy significantly decreased SD1 (-0.85 mmol/l), SD2 (-1.90 mmol/l), and AFE (-16.59 mmol²/l²), concomitantly with %CV (-15.60). The MSE index declined from 3.09 ± 0.94 to 1.93 ± 0.40 (p = 0.001), whereas the exponents α1 and α2 did not. On multivariate regression analyses, SD1, SD2, SFE, and AFE emerged as dominant predictors of TIR (β = -0.78, -1.00, -0.29, and -0.58) but %CV as a minor one, though α1 and MSE failed. In the regression models, including SFE, AFE, and α2 (β = -0.32), %CV was not a significant predictor. Poincaré plot descriptors provide additional information to conventional variability metrics and may complement assessment of glycemia, but complexity measures produce mixed results.

Analyzing the Potential of Advanced Insulin Dosing Strategies in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: Results From a Hybrid In Silico Study

BACKGROUND

The ongoing improvement of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) sensors and of insulin pumps are paving the way for a fast implementation of artificial pancreas (AP) for type 1 diabetes (T1D) patients. The case for type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients is less obvious since usually some residual beta cell function allows for simpler therapy approaches, and even multiple daily injections (MDI) therapy is not very widespread. However, the number of insulin dependent T2D patients is vastly increasing and therefore a need for understanding chances and challenges of an automated insulin therapy arises. Based on this background, this article analyzes conditions under which the use of more advanced therapeutic approaches, particularly AP, could bring a substantial improvement and should be considered as a viable therapy option.

METHOD

Data of 14 insulin-treated T2D patients on MDI wearing a CGM device and deviation analysis methods were used to estimate the expected improvements in the clinical outcome by using self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG) with advanced carbohydrate counting, a full AP or intermediate approaches, either CGM measurements with MDI therapy or SMBG with insulin pump. HbA1C and time in range (70-140 mg/dl, 70-180 mg/dl, respectively) were used as a performance measure. Outcome measures beyond glycemic control (eg, compliance, patient acceptance) have not been analyzed in this study.

RESULTS

AP has the potential to improve the condition of many poorly controlled insulin-treated T2D patients. However, as the interpatient variability is much higher than in T1D, a prescreening is recommended to select suitable patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical criteria need to be developed for inclusion/exclusion of T2D patients for AP related therapies.

Metrics to Evaluate Quality of Glycemic Control: Comparison of Time in Target, Hypoglycemic, and Hyperglycemic Ranges with "Risk Indices"

OBJECTIVE

We sought to cross validate several metrics for quality of glycemic control, hypoglycemia, and hyperglycemia.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We analyzed the mathematical properties of several metrics for overall glycemic control, and for hypo- and hyperglycemia, to evaluate their similarities, differences, and interrelationships. We used linear regression to describe interrelationships and examined correlations between metrics within three conceptual groups.

RESULTS

There were consistently high correlations between %Time in range (%TIR) and previously described risk indices (M₁₀₀, Blood Glucose Risk Index [BGRI], Glycemic Risk Assessment Diabetes Equation [GRADE], Index of Glycemic Control [IGC]), and with J-Index (J). There were also high correlations among %Hypoglycemia, Low Blood Glucose Index (LBGI), percentage of GRADE attributable to hypoglycemia (GRADE_{%Hypoglycemia}), and Hypoglycemia Index, but negligible correlation with J. There were high correlations of percentage of time in hyperglycemic range (%Hyperglycemia) with High Blood Glucose Index (HBGI), percentage of GRADE attributable to hyperglycemia (GRADE_{%Hyperglycemia}), Hyperglycemia Index, and J. %TIR is highly negatively correlated with %Hyperglycemia but very weakly correlated with %Hypoglycemia. By adjusting the parameters used in IGC, Hypoglycemia Index, Hyperglycemia Index, or in M_R, one can more closely approximate the properties of BGRI, LBGI, or HBGI, and of GRADE, GRADE_{%Hypoglycemia}, or GRADE_{%Hyperglycemia}.

CONCLUSIONS

Simple readily understandable criteria such as %TIR, %Hypoglycemia, and %Hyperglycemia are highly correlated with and appear to be as informative as "risk indices." The J-Index is sensitive to hyperglycemia but insensitive to hypoglycemia.