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Cao B, Zhang C, Jiang M, Yang Y, Liu X. Development and validation of risk prediction models for permanent hypocalcemia after total thyroidectomy in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma. Sci Rep 2025; 15:9348. [PMID: 40102549 PMCID: PMC11920412 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-93867-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2024] [Accepted: 03/10/2025] [Indexed: 03/20/2025] Open
Abstract
Hypocalcemia is a common complication and can be permanent in patients following total thyroidectomy (TT). The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with permanent hypocalcemia and to develop a validated risk prediction model for permanent hypocalcemia to assist surgeons in the appropriate follow-up of high-risk patients regarding supplemental therapy. We included data of 92 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) undergoing TT who were randomly allocated in a 7:3 ratio to a training set (n = 65) and validation set (n = 27). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed significant correlations of permanent hypocalcemia with parathyroid hormone (PTH) at postoperative month 1 (IM PTH), IM calcium (Ca), and IM phosphorus (P). These variables were constructed two models. Model 1 used the three indicators listed above; model 2 also included tumor, node, metastasis staging. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that the areas under the curve (AUC) for models 1 and 2 were high for both the training set (0.905/0.913) and the validation set (0.894/0.800). Calibration curves showed good agreement between the incidence of permanent hypocalcemia estimated using the predictive models and the actual incidence. Model 1 may be more concise and convenient for clinical use.
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Affiliation(s)
- BoHan Cao
- Department of General Surgery, Benxi Central Hospital of China Medical University, No. 29 Shengli Street, Mingshan District, Benxi, 117000, Liaoning Province, China
| | - CanGang Zhang
- Department of General Surgery, Benxi Central Hospital of China Medical University, No. 29 Shengli Street, Mingshan District, Benxi, 117000, Liaoning Province, China
| | - MingMing Jiang
- Department of General Surgery, Benxi Central Hospital of China Medical University, No. 29 Shengli Street, Mingshan District, Benxi, 117000, Liaoning Province, China
| | - Yi Yang
- Department of General Surgery, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, No. 36 Sanhao Street, Heping District, Shenyang, 110004, Liaoning Province, China
| | - XiCai Liu
- Department of General Surgery, Benxi Central Hospital of China Medical University, No. 29 Shengli Street, Mingshan District, Benxi, 117000, Liaoning Province, China.
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Ossola P, Borasi A, Barberis A, Marola S, Ghiglione F, Pentassuglia G, Puligheddu B, Brustio PR, Messuti I, Bononi M, Leli R, Lanfranco F. Early parathyroid hormone (PTH) level as a predictor of post-surgical hypoparathyroidism. Acta Chir Belg 2024; 124:455-465. [PMID: 38547111 DOI: 10.1080/00015458.2024.2336676] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2023] [Accepted: 03/26/2024] [Indexed: 04/05/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Post-operative hypocalcemia and postoperative persistent hypoparathyroidism remain the most common complications after thyroidectomy. Many approaches have been developed to prevent them, but actually, a common protocol is not yet individuated. MATERIALS AND METHODS We retrospectively analyzed the results of a prospectively collected database. We dosed PTH preoperatively and 4 h after surgery (PTH_4); calcium was evaluated preoperatively, on the first (I_POD) and on the second postoperative day (II_POD). Hypocalcemia was defined when calcium <8 mg/dl. PTH_4 and I_POD calcium serum levels are identified to predict postoperative hypocalcemia. RESULTS Three hundred and forty-eight patients were enrolled, 37 patients resulted as hypocalcemic on I_POD and 41 on the II_POD. PTH_4 is related to I_POD (p < 0.001, r = 0.45) and II_POD (p < 0.001, r = 0.44) calcemia. PTH_4-cut-off predicting I_POD hypocalcemia was 10.50 pg/ml (sensitivity: 78.7%, specificity: 72.7%). A PTH_4 value of 11.5 pg/ml is able to predict hypocalcemia during II_POD (sensitivity: 76.5%, specificity: 69.2%). We set up a combined test to predict II_POD hypocalcemia, using PTH_4 and I_POD calcium (sensitivity: 77.8%, specificity: 89.9%). CONCLUSION This research shows the association between PTH_4 and postoperative hypocalcemia. The PTH_4 cut-off to predict I_POD-hypocalcemia was 10.5 pg/ml. We analyzed the calcemia trend during the postoperative period and we realized a combined test using PTH_4 and I_POD-calcemia. This test improves the accuracy of the previous test. Further studies, in particular multicentric, with a larger sample are necessary to validate the combined model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paolo Ossola
- Department of Surgery, Humanitas Gradenigo, Turin, Italy
- Pietro Valdoni-Department of Surgery, Umberto I University Hospital, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy
| | - Andrea Borasi
- Department of Surgery, Humanitas Gradenigo, Turin, Italy
| | | | - Silvia Marola
- Department of Surgery, Humanitas Gradenigo, Turin, Italy
| | | | | | - Barbara Puligheddu
- Division of Endocrinology, Andrology and Metabolism, Department of Medical Sciences, Humanitas Gradenigo, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | | | - Ilaria Messuti
- Division of Endocrinology, Andrology and Metabolism, Department of Medical Sciences, Humanitas Gradenigo, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - Marco Bononi
- Pietro Valdoni-Department of Surgery, Umberto I University Hospital, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy
| | - Renzo Leli
- Department of Surgery, Humanitas Gradenigo, Turin, Italy
| | - Fabio Lanfranco
- Division of Endocrinology, Andrology and Metabolism, Department of Medical Sciences, Humanitas Gradenigo, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
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Devgan Y, Mayilvaganan S, Mishra A, Chand G, Agarwal G, Agarwal A. Comparison of indocyanine green angiography vs intraoperative parathyroid hormone in early prediction of risk of post-thyroidectomy hypocalcemia: a prospective cohort study. Ann Med Surg (Lond) 2024; 86:678-688. [PMID: 38333253 PMCID: PMC10849419 DOI: 10.1097/ms9.0000000000001578] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2023] [Accepted: 11/22/2023] [Indexed: 02/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Indocyanine green (ICG) angiography is the 'real-time intraoperative imaging' technique used to reduce the chances of hypoparathyroidism in post-thyroidectomy patients. In our study, the authors predicted the risk of early post-thyroidectomy hypocalcemia by intraoperative evaluation of parathyroid gland perfusion by ICG angiography. Materials and methods In patients who underwent total thyroidectomy, ICG angiography was done using the SPY PHI imaging system (Stryker). Post-thyroid specimen removal, scoring of parathyroids was done in spy contrast mode. All 4 or <4 visualized parathyroids were scored for vascularity with the highest score of 8. Serum ionized calcium was done 6 h postsurgery and on the morning and evening of postoperative days 1 and 2. Calcium supplements were given to only those who developed clinical or severe biochemical hypocalcemia. Results Out of 60, postoperative hypocalcemia was noted in 41 patients. Total ICG score ≤5 was seen in 34 patients, out of which 28 developed postoperative hypocalcemia showing PPV 82.3% and diagnostic accuracy of 68.3% while iPTH (4.28 pmol/l) showed PPV 76.7 and diagnostic accuracy 70 %. In eight patients, none of the glands was scored as 2 (White) and all these patients developed hypocalcemia requiring calcium infusion. Conclusion The absence of visualization of at least 1 well-perfused (score 2) gland on ICG angiography is highly predictive of hypocalcemia and the majority of patients with total ICG score ≤5 developed hypocalcemia in the immediate postoperative period. ICG is a good predictor of the absence of hypoparathyroidism after thyroidectomy and is comparable to iPTH in the prediction of post-thyroidectomy hypocalcemia.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Sabaretnam Mayilvaganan
- Department of Endocrine Surgery, Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, India
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Shahriarirad R, Meshkati Yazd SM, Ardekani A, Mokhtari Ardekani A, Moradi N, Nasiri S. Calcitriol supplementation before parathyroidectomy and calcium level after surgery in parathyroid adenoma patients: a randomized controlled trial. J Endocrinol Invest 2023; 46:985-990. [PMID: 36459369 DOI: 10.1007/s40618-022-01963-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/03/2022] [Accepted: 11/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hypocalcemia is the most common complication after parathyroidectomy, contributing to extended hospital stays and higher hospitalization costs. The present study aimed to evaluate whether preoperative Calcitriol could help reduce hypocalcemia rates. METHOD In this randomized controlled trial, we included 80 patients with primary hyperparathyroidism candidates for parathyroidectomy. The intervention group received Calcitriol 0.25 µg/day 1 week before parathyroidectomy. Baseline laboratory data, parathyroid hormone level (before, during, after 5, and 10 min of operation), calcium level (6, 24, and 48 h after operation), and clinical signs and symptoms were recorded. RESULTS Of the 80 participants, 40 (mean age: 53.36 ± 12.97) were randomized to the intervention, and 40 (mean age: 52.84 ± 12.32) to the control group. There were no statistically significant differences in age, tumor size, gender, baseline laboratory data, intra-operative PTH, and calcium level 6 and 24 h after the operation. We observed a significantly higher calcium level in the intervention group 48 h post-operation (8.57 ± 0.30 vs. 8.33 ± 0.38). Also, days of hospital stay and symptomatic hypocalcemia rate were significantly lower in the intervention group. CONCLUSION In patients with primary hyperparathyroidism, preoperative Calcitriol may be of value in preventing post-parathyroidectomy hypocalcemia and subsequent complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- R Shahriarirad
- Thoracic and Vascular Surgery Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
- School of Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - S M Meshkati Yazd
- Department of Surgery, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - A Ardekani
- School of Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - A Mokhtari Ardekani
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Institute of Basic and Clinical Physiology Science, and Physiology Research Center, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran
| | - N Moradi
- Department of Surgery, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - S Nasiri
- Department of Surgery, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
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Sun H, Chu Y, Zhang G, Zheng G, Zheng H. The ambulatory transoral endoscopic thyroidectomy vestibular approach is safe and economical for patients with thyroid nodules. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2023; 14:1116280. [PMID: 36843594 PMCID: PMC9950724 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2023.1116280] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2022] [Accepted: 01/30/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ambulatory thyroid surgery has been increasingly performed in recent years. However, the feasibility of the ambulatory transoral endoscopic thyroidectomy vestibular approach (TOETVA) has not been evaluated. We aimed to evaluate the safety, economy, and mental health outcomes of ambulatory TOETVA. METHODS We retrospectively reviewed the data of patients who underwent TOETVA between March 2019 and August 2022. The procedure was performed by a skilled surgical team from the Department of Thyroid Surgery of the affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University. Patients were enrolled in the ambulatory (n=166) and conventional (n=290) groups, based on their chosen procedure. We analyzed patients' clinical characteristics, surgical outcomes, Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale (HAM-A) scores, and hospitalization costs. RESULTS Of 456 patients, 166 underwent ambulatory TOETVA and 290 underwent conventional TOETVA. No significant differences were found in clinical and surgical characteristics between the groups, including sex (P=0.363), age (P=0.077), body mass index (P=0.351), presence of internal diseases (P=0.613), presence of Hashimoto's thyroiditis (P=0.429), pathology (P=0.362), maximum tumor diameter (P=0.520), scope of surgery (P=0.850), or operative time (P=0.351). There were no significant differences in maximum tumor diameter (P=0.349), extrathyroidal tissue invasion (P=0.516), number of retrieved central lymph nodes (P=0.069), or metastatic central lymph nodes (P=0.897) between the groups. No significant differences were found in complications, including transient hypoparathyroidism (P=0.438), transient vocal cord palsy (P=0.876), transient mental nerve injury (P=0.749), permanent mental nerve injury (P=0.926), and other complications (P=1.000). Ambulatory patients had shorter hospital stays (P<0.001) and reduced hospitalization costs (P<0.001). There was no significant difference in HAM-A scores between the groups (P=0.056). CONCLUSIONS Ambulatory TOETVA is a safe, feasible, and cost-effective procedure for selected patients. This procedure resulted in shorter hospital stays, decreased medical costs, and did not increase patient anxiety. To ensure patient safety, surgical teams must inform patients of the indications, when to seek help, and how to receive the fastest medical attention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haiqing Sun
- Department of Thyroid Surgery, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong, China
| | - Yongli Chu
- Office of Academic Research, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong, China
| | - Guojun Zhang
- Department of Thyroid and Breast Surgery, Changle People’s Hospital Affiliated to Weifang Medical College, Weifang, Shandong, China
| | - Guibin Zheng
- Department of Thyroid Surgery, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong, China
| | - Haitao Zheng
- Department of Thyroid Surgery, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong, China
- *Correspondence: Haitao Zheng,
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Prabhakaran S, Bhatt C, Serpell JW, Grodski S, Lee JC. Surgical challenges of giant parathyroid adenomas weighing 10 g or more. J Endocrinol Invest 2022; 46:1169-1176. [PMID: 36564598 DOI: 10.1007/s40618-022-01968-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2022] [Accepted: 11/14/2022] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE An average parathyroid adenoma (PA) weighs < 1 g. This study aimed to characterise giant PAs ≥ 10 g (GPAs) to facilitate surgical management of primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT). METHODS All patients with a GPA confirmed on histology were recruited from the Monash University Endocrine Surgery Unit database. Clinical and demographic data were collected and compared to a group of non-GPA patients. RESULTS A total of 14 GPAs were identified between 2007 and 2018 out of 863 patients (1.6%) with a single PA excised for PHPT. The GPA patients were compared to a control group of 849 non-GPA patients in the same period with similar mean age (62 ± 16 vs 63 ± 14, P = 0.66) and gender distribution (64% vs 75% female, P = 0.35). Pre-operative calcium (Ca) and parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels were significantly higher in GPA patients (P < 0.001). A higher percentage of GPA patients (79%) had concordant localisation studies (ultrasound and sestamibi) than control patients (59%), (P = 0.13), but they were significantly less likely to undergo MIP (55% vs 82%, P = 0.02). The median GPA weighed 12.5 g (IQR 10.5-24.3). Median serum Ca normalised by day 1 post-operatively, while PTH remained elevated. Both serum Ca and PTH levels were in the normal range at 3 months. All GPA lesions were benign on histopathology. CONCLUSION GPAs are rare and display severe clinical and biochemical abnormalities. Despite their large size, concordant pre-operative imaging was not always achieved, and a few patients were suitable for MIP.
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Affiliation(s)
- S Prabhakaran
- Monash University Endocrine Surgery Unit, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
| | - C Bhatt
- Monash University Endocrine Surgery Unit, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- School of Clinical Sciences of Monash Health, Monash University, Victoria, Australia
| | - J W Serpell
- Monash University Endocrine Surgery Unit, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Central Clinical School, Department of Surgery, Monash University, Victoria, Australia
| | - S Grodski
- Monash University Endocrine Surgery Unit, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Central Clinical School, Department of Surgery, Monash University, Victoria, Australia
| | - J C Lee
- Monash University Endocrine Surgery Unit, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Central Clinical School, Department of Surgery, Monash University, Victoria, Australia
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Sessa L, De Crea C, Zotta F, Pia Cerviere M, Gallucci P, Pennestri' F, Princi P, Revelli L, Arcuri G, Bellantone R, Raffaelli M. Post-thyroidectomy hypocalcemia: Is a routine preferable over a selective supplementation? Am J Surg 2021; 223:1126-1131. [PMID: 34711410 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2021.10.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2021] [Revised: 09/09/2021] [Accepted: 10/11/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Comparative studies among protocols for the management of post-total thyroidectomy (TT) hypocalcemia are lacking. We compared the effectiveness of PTH-driven selective supplementation (PD-SS) and routine calcium and calcitriol supplementation with preoperative calcitriol administration in preventing symptomatic hypocalcemia (SH) and readmission. METHODS Three-hundred consecutive patients undergoing TT were assigned to 3 groups: the PD-SS group, the high-dose routine supplementation (HD-RS) group and the low-dose routine supplementation (LD-RS) group. RESULTS Mean post-operative stay was shorter in HD-RS patients when compared to PD-SS and LD-RS (p < 0.001). Significantly more patients in the PD-SS group experienced SH (p = 0.042). The rate of post-operative hypocalcemia was not significantly different among the groups (p = 0.063). No readmission for SH or hypercalcemia occurred. CONCLUSIONS HD-RS emerged as the most effective treatment to prevent SH, without increasing the risk of readmission for calcitriol-related hypercalcemia. Basing on the present results, HD-RS should be recommended as the preferable protocol.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luca Sessa
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Carmela De Crea
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Dipartimento Universitario di Medicina e Chirurgia Traslazionale - Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.
| | - Francesca Zotta
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Milena Pia Cerviere
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Pierpaolo Gallucci
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Francesco Pennestri'
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Pietro Princi
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Luca Revelli
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Dipartimento Universitario di Medicina e Chirurgia Traslazionale - Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy
| | - Giovanni Arcuri
- UOC Tecnologie Sanitarie, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Rocco Bellantone
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Dipartimento Universitario di Medicina e Chirurgia Traslazionale - Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy
| | - Marco Raffaelli
- UOC of Endocrine and Metabolic Surgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Dipartimento Universitario di Medicina e Chirurgia Traslazionale - Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy
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