The impact of obesity on acute pancreatitis outcomes in older patients

Computed tomography-based body composition indicative of diabetes after hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Post‑acute pancreatitis prediabetes/diabetes mellitus (PPDM‑A) is one of the common sequelae of acute pancreatitis (AP). The aim of our study was to build a machine learning (ML)-based prediction model for PPDM-A in hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis (HTGP).

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 165 patients for our study. Demographic and laboratory data and body composition were collected. Multivariate logistic regression was applied to select features for ML. Support vector machine (SVM), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), and logistic regression (LR) were used to develop prediction models for PPDM-A.

RESULTS

65 patients were diagnosed with PPDM-A, and 100 patients were diagnosed with non-PPDM-A. Of the 84 body composition-related parameters, 15 were significant in discriminating between the PPDM-A and non-PPDM-A groups. Using clinical indicators and body composition parameters to develop ML models, we found that the SVM model presented the best predictive ability, obtaining the best AUC=0.796 in the training cohort, and the LDA and LR model showing an AUC of 0.783 and 0.745, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The association between body composition and PPDM-A provides insight into the potential pathogenesis of PPDM-A. Our model is feasible for reliably predicting PPDM-A in the early stages of AP and enables early intervention in patients with potential PPDM-A.

Predictive value of adipokines for the severity of acute pancreatitis: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a dangerous condition with a high mortality rate. Many studies have found an association between adipokines and the development of SAP, but the results are controversial. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis of the association of inflammatory adipokines with SAP.

METHODS

We screened PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and Cochrane Library for articles on adipokines and SAP published before July 20, 2023. The quality of the literature was assessed using QUADAS criteria. Standardized mean differences (SMD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated to assess the combined effect. Subgroup analysis, sensitivity analysis and publication bias tests were also performed on the information obtained.

RESULT

Fifteen eligible studies included 1332 patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). Pooled analysis showed that patients with SAP had significantly higher serum levels of resistin (SMD = 0.78, 95% CI:0.37 to 1.19, z = 3.75, P = 0.000). The difference in leptin and adiponectin levels between SAP and mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) patients were not significant (SMD = 0.30, 95% CI: -0.08 to 0.68, z = 1.53, P = 0.127 and SMD = 0.11, 95% CI: -0.17 to 0.40, z = 0.80, P = 0.425, respectively). In patients with SAP, visfatin levels were not significantly different from that in patients with MAP (SMD = 1.20, 95% CI: -0.48 to 2.88, z = 1.40, P = 0.162).

CONCLUSION

Elevated levels of resistin are associated with the development of SAP. Resistin may serve as biomarker for SAP and has promise as therapeutic target.