Anatomic validation of electrocardiographic estimation of the size of acute or healed myocardial infarcts

Electrocardiographic predictors of left ventricular scar in athletes with right bundle branch block premature ventricular beats

AIMS

Right bundle branch block (RBBB) morphology non-sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) have been associated with the presence of non-ischaemic left ventricular scar (NLVS) in athletes. The aim of this cross-sectional study was to identify clinical and electrocardiogram (ECG) predictors of the presence of NLVS in athletes with RBBB VAs.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Sixty-four athletes [median age 39 (24-53) years, 79% males] with non-sustained RBBB VAs underwent cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) with late gadolinium enhancement in order to exclude the presence of a concealed structural heart disease. Thirty-six athletes (56%) showed NLVS at CMR and were assigned to the NLVS positive group, whereas 28 athletes (44%) to the NLVS negative group. Family history of cardiomyopathy and seven different ECG variables were statistically more prevalent in the NLVS positive group. At univariate analysis, seven ECG variables (low QRS voltages in limb leads, negative T waves in inferior leads, negative T waves in limb leads I-aVL, negative T waves in precordial leads V4-V6, presence of left posterior fascicular block, presence of pathologic Q waves, and poor R-wave progression in right precordial leads) proved to be statistically associated with the finding of NLVS; these were grouped together in a score. A score ≥2 was proved to be the optimal cut-off point, identifying NLVS athletes in 92% of cases and showing the best accuracy (86% sensitivity and 100% specificity, respectively). However, a cut-off ≥1 correctly identified all patients with NLVS (absence of false negatives).

CONCLUSION

In athletes with RBBB morphology non-sustained VAs, specific ECG abnormalities at 12-lead ECG can help in detecting subjects with NLVS at CMR.

Diagnostic performance of the Selvester QRS scoring system in relation to clinical ECG assessment of patients with lateral myocardial infarction using cardiac magnetic resonance as reference standard

BACKGROUND

The Selvester QRS scoring system has previously been shown to enable estimation of myocardial infarct (MI) size by quantitative evaluation of the 12-lead ECG. The aim of this study was to assess the system's ability to detect and quantify lateral MI, using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) as reference standard.

METHODS

In 23 patients with isolated lateral infarctions MI size was assessed by CMR and estimated by QRS scoring. The ECGs were also evaluated by two cardiologists according to clinical routine.

RESULTS

The MI size estimated by QRS scoring correlated with MI size assessed by CMR (r=0.55, p=0.006). The sensitivity for lateral MI detection was 78% for QRS scoring and 39% for clinical routine ECG evaluation, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Selvester QRS scoring can be used to estimate size of isolated lateral MI and has a higher sensitivity for infarct detection compared to clinical routine evaluation of ECGs in these patients.

Impact of hypertension on postreperfusion left ventricular recovery in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and multivessel coronary artery disease

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of admission systolic blood pressure (ASBP) and left ventricular (LV) mass on the postreperfusion LV recovery in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and concomitant coronary multivessel disease (MVD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 12-month postreperfusion LV recovery was performed in 104 patients after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). Patients with elevated ASBP (>140mmHg) were assigned to the first group (n=58); with normal ASBP (<140mmHg), to the second group (n=46); with increased myocardial mass index (MMI) (>100g/m(2)), to the third group (n=70); and with normal MMI (<100g/m(2)), to the fourth group (n=34). Severity of MVD was evaluated by the Syntax score. The LV recovery was assessed by evolution of quantitative characteristics of electrocardiography (QRS score, ST score, ECG STEMI stage) and echocardiography (LV ejection fraction, volume and mass indices) registered before and after PPCI, at discharge, and after 1, 6, and 12 months.

RESULTS

There were no significant differences in the baseline QRS and ST scores, ECG STEMI stage, LVEF, MMI, and Syntax score comparing all the patients' groups. The serial ECG criteria showed only a very small impact of ASBP on postreperfusion LV recovery. Only ECG STEMI stage progression was slower in the patients with elevated ASBP. In patients with different MMI, the QRS and ST scores were higher and ECG STEMI stage was lower in patients with increased MMI. LVEF after 1 year was significantly lower in the third group as compared to the fourth group (42.58%±8.25% vs. 46.8%±7.13%, P=0.018).

CONCLUSION

Postreperfusion LV recovery was more related not to ASBP but to the increased LV mass assessed by echocardiography in patients with STEMI and MVD.

Comparison between contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging and Selvester QRS scoring system in estimating changes in infarct size between the acute and chronic phases of myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

The Selvester QRS score was developed as a method to estimate infarct size (IS) using the ECG and has been validated during the prereperfusion era. Few comparisons exist with contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (ceMRI) in reperfused patients. This study evaluates the ability of the Selvester QRS score to estimate serial changes in IS during the acute and chronic phases of the infarct evolution in patients who have received reperfusion therapy.

METHODS

Thirteen patients with acute myocardial infarction underwent serial ceMRI studies in the acute (<1 week) and chronic phase (>2 months) after their initial myocardial infarction. QRS scoring was performed on the corresponding ECGs. The correlation between ceMRI measurement and QRS score estimation of IS was determined at both time points and for the difference between the two phases.

RESULTS

The mean IS was 20.1 +/- 11.0% of total left ventricular mass (% LV) in the acute phase and 13.3 +/- 6.4% LV in the chronic phase ceMRI. The mean IS estimated by Selvester QRS score in the acute and chronic phases were 18.7 +/- 8.2% and 16.4 +/- 8.5% LV, respectively. A modest correlation was found for the acute (r = 0.57) and chronic phase IS (r = 0.54). However, there was no correlation for the difference in IS between the acute and chronic phases.

CONCLUSIONS

In this pilot study, the Selvester QRS score correlates modestly to IS by ceMRI during both the acute and chronic phases of the infarction process. The serial changes over time in the Selvester QRS score and IS by ceMRI show no correlation.

ECG quantification of myocardial scar in cardiomyopathy patients with or without conduction defects: correlation with cardiac magnetic resonance and arrhythmogenesis

BACKGROUND

Myocardial scarring from infarction or nonischemic fibrosis forms an arrhythmogenic substrate. The Selvester QRS score has been extensively validated for estimating myocardial infarction scar size in the absence of ECG confounders, but has not been tested to quantify scar in patients with hypertrophy, bundle branch/fascicular blocks, or nonischemic cardiomyopathy. We assessed the hypotheses that (1) QRS scores (modified for each ECG confounder) correctly identify and quantify scar in ischemic and nonischemic patients when compared with the reference standard of cardiac magnetic resonance using late-gadolinium enhancement, and (2) QRS-estimated scar size predicts inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia during electrophysiological testing.

METHODS AND RESULTS

One hundred sixty-two patients with left ventricular ejection fraction < or =35% (95 ischemic, 67 nonischemic) received 12-lead ECG and cardiac magnetic resonance using late-gadolinium enhancement before implantable cardioverter defibrillator placement for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death. QRS scores correctly diagnosed cardiovascular magnetic resonance scar presence with receiver operating characteristics area under the curve of 0.91 and correlation for scar quantification of r=0.74 (P<0.0001) for all patients. Performance within hypertrophy, conduction defect, and nonischemic subgroups ranged from area under the curve of 0.81 to 0.94 and r=0.60 to 0.80 (P<0.001 for all). Among the 137 patients undergoing electrophysiological or device testing, each 3-point QRS-score increase (9% left ventricular scarring) was associated with an odds ratio for inducing monomorphic ventricular tachycardia of 2.2 (95% CI, 1.5 to 3.2; P<0.001) for all patients, 1.7 (1.0 to 2.7, P=0.04) for ischemics, and 2.2 (1.0 to 5.0, P=0.05) for nonischemics.

CONCLUSIONS

QRS scores identify and quantify scar in ischemic and nonischemic cardiomyopathy patients despite ECG confounders. Higher QRS-estimated scar size is associated with increased arrhythmogenesis and warrants further study as a risk-stratifying tool.

Comparison of the Selvester QRS scoring system applied on standard versus high-resolution electrocardiographic recordings

A comparison was performed between the points measured using the Selvester QRS scoring system in 60 electrocardiograms (ECGs) displayed in both a standard format as well as a 4-fold magnified (quad-plot) format. Fifty criteria (a maximum possibility of 31 points) were evaluated in each ECG. The data indicate that in 50% of the ECGs, an identical number of points were measured. However, there was a single point difference in 31%, 2 points in 15%, and more than 2 points in 4%. The differences were primarily because of points scored on the quad-plot but not on the standard ECG. Thus, a systematic underestimation of infarct size may occur when the Selvester QRS score is measured manually from a standard ECG.

Level of Selvester QRS score is predictive of ST-segment resolution and 30-day outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction undergoing primary coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

The presence of Q waves at presentation with a first acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) reflects a more advanced stage of the infarction. Resolution of ST-segment elevation indicating successful myocyte reperfusion may differ according to how far the infarction process has progressed. The Selvester QRS score measures infarct size. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of QRS score on ST-segment resolution and 30-day clinical outcomes in patients with acute STEMI undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study in 112 consecutive patients (mean age 57 +/- 11 years, 94 men, 18 women) with first acute STEMI of <12-hour onset who underwent successful (TIMI-3 flow) primary PCI. The Selvester QRS score was estimated on the first electrocardiogram (ECG) after hospital admission. Sum of ST-segment elevation amount in millimeters was obtained immediately before angioplasty and 60 minutes after the restoration of TIMI-3 flow. The difference between 2 measurements was accepted as the amount of ST-segment resolution and expressed as summation sigmaSTR. summation sigmaSTR <50% was accepted as ECG sign of no-reflow phenomenon. Follow-up to 30-day was performed.

RESULTS

The no-reflow phenomenon was more often observed in patients with high QRS score (> or = 4) than in those with low QRS score (34.4% and 6.3%, P < .001). Thirty-day composite major adverse cardiac event (MACE) rate was 14% in patients with high QRS score versus 0% in low QRS score group (P = .007). After adjusting for baseline characteristics, high QRS score remained a strong independent predictor of no-reflow (OR 4.1, 95% CI 1.5-10.7, P = .005) and MACE (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-2.9, P = .011).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of high QRS score is an independent predictor of incomplete ST recovery and 30-day MACE in STEMI treated with primary PCI.

Development of an automated Selvester Scoring System for estimating the size of myocardial infarction from the electrocardiogram

Although the Selvester Scoring System for estimating the size of myocardial infarction from the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) has potential clinical value, it has found limited application because of the difficulties in making precise and reproducible measurements. The objective of this study was to develop software to automate the Selvester Scoring System, thus allowing wider application of the technique. The study was carried out using a training set consisting of ECG data recorded from 705 individuals with and without previous myocardial infarction. Algorithms for the 50 criteria in the Selvester Scoring System were iteratively improved by comparison of scores obtained by 2 experienced cardiologist investigators with those generated by the program. The final version was evaluated in a test set consisting of 60 ECGs by comparing scores derived by cardiologist investigator with those obtained by the program. The disagreements occurred only in 1.1% of the score comparisons and in 1.6% of the specific measurements. In all cases in which a disagreement occurred, it resulted from very small differences in measurements. These results indicate that the algorithm for automated application of the Selvester Scoring System is adequate for both clinical and research applications.

Prognostic value of predischarge electrocardiographic measurement of infarct size after thrombolysis: insights from GUSTO I Economics and Quality of Life substudy

BACKGROUND

Current methods for risk stratification after acute myocardial infarction (MI) include several noninvasive studies. In this cost-containment era, the development of low-cost means should be encouraged. We assessed the ability of an electrocardiogram (ECG) MI-sizing score to predict outcomes in patients enrolled in the Economics and Quality of Life (EQOL) sub study of the Global Utilization of Streptokinase and Tissue plasminogen activator for Occluded coronary arteries -I (GUSTO-I) trial.

METHODS

We classified patients by electrocardiographic Selvester QRS score at hospital discharge: those with a score 0-9 versus > or =10. Endpoints were 30-day and 1-year mortality, resource use, and quality-of-life measures.

RESULTS

Patients with a QRS score <10 were well-matched with those with QRS score > or =10 with the exception of a trend to more anterior MI in the higher scored group. Patients with QRS score > or =10 had increased risk of death at 30-days (8.9% vs. 2.9% P < .001), and this difference persisted at 1 year (12.6% vs. 5.4%, P = .001). Recurrent chest pain, use of angiography, and angioplasty were similar during follow-up. However, there was a trend toward less coronary bypass surgery in patients with a QRS score > or =10. Readmission rates were higher at 30 days but similar at 1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

Stratification of patients after acute MI by a simple measure of MI size identifies populations with different long-term prognoses; patients with a QRS score > or =10 (approximately 30% of the left ventricle infarcted) at discharge have poorer outcomes in both the short- and long-term. The standard 12-lead ECG provides a simple, economical means of risk stratification at discharge.

Early Definition of Treatment Outcomes After Reperfusion Therapy for Myocardial Infarction

AIMS

Early definition of treatment outcomes, including coronary patency and infarct size, after reperfusion therapy for myocardial infarction (MI) is desirable to identify patients requiring further intervention.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patients receiving reperfusion therapy for a first MI had continuous 12-lead ST segment monitoring to document reperfusion and ischaemia time. Infarct size was measured by 12-lead QRS score and radionuclide scintigraphy ((201)Tl single-photon emission computed tomography, SPECT) at 1 week, and left ventricular function by echocardiography at 1 week and 1 month. Resolution of ST elevation accurately detected TIMI 2 or 3 reperfusion (predictive accuracy 93%) in 55 patients undergoing immediate angioplasty, but ST recovery was delayed (17+/-14min) after angiographic reperfusion. A multivariate model, including risk region and ischaemia time, accurately predicted MI size (R(2)=0.80, P<0.00001) in these patients. The same model, prospectively applied on Day 1 to 154 patients receiving thrombolytic therapy, accurately predicted MI size, measured by QRS score (R(2)=0.88, P<0.0000001) and (201)Tl SPECT (R(2)=0.75, P<0.000001) at 1 week for individual patients. Regional myocardial wall motion at 1 month was directly correlated with MI size predicted by the model on Day 1 (r=0.73, P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Use of ST segment monitoring during reperfusion therapy facilitates early prediction of treatment outcomes, including coronary reperfusion, infarct size and ventricular function.

Prognostic importance of new small Q waves following non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes

PURPOSE

To investigate the prognostic importance of new small Q waves following an acute coronary syndrome.

METHODS

We assessed 6-month mortality in 10501 patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes who had survived 30 days and had both admission and 30-day electrocardiograms. Patients were stratified by whether they had no new Q waves (n = 9447), new 30- to 40-ms Q waves (n = 733), or new > or =40-ms Q waves (n = 321).

RESULTS

Mortality was higher in patients with 30- to 40-ms Q waves than in those with no new Q waves (3.4% [25/733] vs. 2.4% [227/9447], P = 0.005), and even higher in those with > or =40-ms Q waves (5.3% [17/321], P = 0.002). After adjustment for baseline risk predictors, mortality remained higher in patients with new 30- to 40-ms Q waves (odds ratio [OR] = 1.30; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.85 to 1.98; P = 0.23) and those with new > or =40-ms Q waves (OR = 1.87; 95% CI: 1.13 to 3.09; P = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Patients with new small Q waves following a non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome are at increased risk of adverse outcomes. These small Q waves should be considered diagnostic of myocardial infarction. Further research should investigate whether even smaller QRS changes are prognostically important.

The Selvester 32-point QRS score for evaluation of myocardial infarct size after primary coronary angioplasty

In patients treated successfully with primary angioplasty for a first myocardial infarction, the Selvester 32-point score correlates well with infarct size measured with quantitative thallium-201 perfusion imaging. Therefore, it is a useful parameter for infarct sizing, particularly in patients with anterior infarction or reduced ejection fraction at discharge.

Vectorcardiographic evaluation of myocardial infarct size: departure parameters are superior to conventional spatial parameters

To determine whether the departure parameters derived from a "departure loop" of a vectorcardiogram are more accurate than conventional spatial parameters in evaluating myocardial infarct size, 74 patients with first-onset myocardial infarction (MI) were studied. The correlation between the departure parameters (amplitudes in scalar leads of the departure loop) and the percent defect volume of thallium myocardial scintigrams (%DV) was compared with that of the spatial parameters (magnitude, azimuth, and elevation of the original QRS loop). In anteroseptal MI, the amplitude of a 20-msec vector in the z-axis and the azimuth of a 30-msec vector (H30) were significantly correlated with %DV (r=0.783, p<0.001 and r=0.572, p<0.05). In anteroseptal MI with involvement of the lateral wall, the amplitude of a 30-msec vector in the x-axis and H30 showed significant correlation with %DV (r=0.802, p<0.001 and r=0.772, p<0.01). In inferior and inferoposterior MI, the amplitude of a 30-msec vector in the y-axis and the elevation of a 30-msec vector were significantly correlated with %DV (r=0.920, 0.891, p<0.001 and r=0.871, 0.678, p<0.01, respectively). In conclusion, the departure parameters are more accurate than the spatial parameters for evaluation of myocardial infarct size.

Comparison of the various electrocardiographic scoring codes for estimating anatomically documented sizes of single and multiple infarcts of the left ventricle

It is clinically important to estimate the size of a myocardial infarction (MI) to predict patient prognosis, to determine the ability of a therapy to limit its size, and to evaluate its effect on left ventricular function. Various electrocardiographic methods have been used for these purposes but their accuracies have not been compared with each other using an identical reference population of anatomically measured infarcts. The capability of 4 electrocardiographic scoring methods (the Selvester score, the Minnesota code, the Novacode, and the Cardiac Infarction Injury Score) to estimate MI size was compared using anatomic MI size in a group of 100 deceased patients. All patients had a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram of sufficient quality to perform manual waveform measurements and without confounding factors such as ventricular hypertrophy, fascicular block, or bundle branch block. The location and size of the left ventricular infarction was measured postmortem using the anatomic method of Ideker et al. All methods' size estimates correlated best with anatomic MI size in the anterior location (r = 0.65 to 0.89). The Selvester score was superior in estimating the sizes of inferior (r = 0.70) and posterolateral (r = 0.74) infarcts. For multiple infarcts all methods performed poorly (r = 0.18 to 0.44).

Relation of absence of ST reelevation immediately after reperfusion and success of reperfusion with myocardial salvage

To examine whether resolution in ST elevation without ST reelevation immediately after reperfusion indicates successful reperfusion with myocardial salvage, we studied 40 patients who had an extensive acute myocardial infarction with early reperfusion: 24 patients had ST reelevation and 16 patients had no ST reelevation. Results indicate that (1) in the group with ST reelevation, rapid progression of myocardial damage occurs by reperfusion itself (i.e., reperfusion injury) and (2) in the group without ST reelevation, myocardial damage had already been extensive and irreversible at the time of reperfusion; thus, the absence of ST reelevation is not always a sign of reperfusion with myocardial salvage.

Use of the QRS scoring system in the early estimation of myocardial infarct size following reperfusion

While the QRS scoring system has been established as a convenient tool for estimating infarct size in nonreperfused patients during the chronic stage of myocardial infarction, its applicability to reperfused patients in the acute stage has not been established. To investigate whether infarct size could be estimated by the QRS scoring system soon after reperfusion, we evaluated QRS scores obtained serially 6 hours to 1 month after reperfusion, total creatine kinase release, and left ventricular ejection fraction in 126 patients with acute myocardial infarction who underwent successful reperfusion therapy. A significant correlation was observed between the QRS score obtained after 6 hours and that obtained after 1 month (r = .89). The QRS scores obtained after 6 hours and 1 month were significantly correlated with total creatine kinase release (r = -.65 and r = -.75, respectively) and left ventricular ejection fraction (r = .62 and r = .76, respectively). Thus, the QRS scoring system can be used as a simple and economical method for estimation of infarct size soon after reperfusion.

Admission prediction of expected final myocardial infarct size using weighted ST-segment, Q wave, and T wave measurements

Formulas for predicting final acute myocardial infarction (MI) size from ST-segment deviation on an initial electrocardiogram were proposed by Aldrich et al. for anterior and inferior infarct locations. This study of 529 patients who did not receive thrombolytic therapy was performed to determine the effectiveness of the Aldrich formulas for predicting final QRS MI size; to propose new formulas for predicting final MI size using ST-segment deviation, Q wave, and T wave information in a development population of 322 patients; and to evaluate the new formulas in a randomly selected population of 207 patients. The Aldrich formulas achieved correlations with final infarct size of r = .40 for anterior and r = .43 for inferior MI locations in the present population which are weaker than those previously reported. Formulas that consider electrocardiographic parameters in addition to ST-segment deviation were proposed for both anterior and inferior final MI size. In the test set of 207 patients, these models explained 16.9% and 15.2% of the variation in final MI size for anterior and inferior locations respectively. They may prove useful in assessing the extent of myocardial salvage where interventions are to be tested.

Electrocardiographic measurement of infarct size after thrombolytic therapy

OBJECTIVES

We examined the utility of the 32-point QRS score from the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) for measurement of the ischemic risk region and infarct size in patients receiving thrombolytic therapy.

BACKGROUND

The QRS score offers a means of evaluating the therapeutic benefit of thrombolytic therapy by comparing final infarct size with the initial extent of ischemic myocardium.

METHODS

The study included 38 patients (34 men, 4 women; mean [+/-SD] age 54 +/- 10 years) with a first infarction (18 anterior, 20 inferior). The maximal potential QRS score (QRS0) was assigned to all leads with >/= 100-microV ST elevation on the initial ECG. The QRS scores were calculated at 7 and 30 days after infarction. Left ventricular ejection fraction was measured by radionuclide ventriculography at 1 month. Twenty-eight patients had thallium (Tl)-201 and technetium (Tc)-99m pyrophosphate tomographic measurement of the ischemic region and infarct size.

RESULTS

The QRS0 was 10.3 +/- 3.1 (mean +/- SD) for anterior and 10.4 +/- 3.5 for inferior infarcts. The QRS scores were similar at 7 and 30 days for both anterior (5.6 +/- 3.4 vs. 5.5 +/- 3.4) and inferior infarcts (3.7 +/- 2.6 vs. 2.9 +/- 2.2). The day 7 QRS score and ejection fraction at 1 month were inversely correlated (r = -0.74, p < 0.01). The Tl-201 perfusion defect was 34 +/- 11% of the left ventricle for anterior and 32 +/- 7% for inferior infarcts. Subsequent Tc-99m pyrophosphate infarct size was 15 +/- 9% of the left ventricle for anterior and 17 +/- 9% for inferior infarcts. The QRS0 was correlated with the extent of the Tl-201 perfusion defect (r = 0.79, p < 0.001), and the day 7 QRS score was correlated with Tc-99m pyrophosphate infarct size (r = 0.79, p < 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

The 32-point QRS score can provide useful immediate measurements of the ischemic risk region and subsequent infarct size.

Asymptomatic coronary artery disease detection: update 1996. A screening protocol using 16-lead high-resolution ECG, ultrafast CT, exercise testing, and radionuclear imaging

The authors have proposed a new four-step screening algorithm to detect asymptomatic coronary artery disease (CAD) in flight school candidates, cadets, and rated flyers of the Unites States Air Force (USAF). In step 1, the USAF Armstrong Laboratory (USAF/AL) risk profile and improved 16-lead high-resolution electrocardiogram/vectorcardiogram will be recorded at baseline. On routine follow-up evaluations, quantitative serial comparisons will be performed by the method of Kornreich. In step 2, beginning with flight school candidates and cadets, all three groups will be studied by the ultrafast computed tomograph (CT) protocol. Those candidates positive for coronary calcium will be studied by coronary angiography and ventriculography, and their eligibility for continued rated flight status will be determined by present criteria. In step 3, those candidates negative for coronary calcium by ultrafast CT will then be screened by the newly defined and improved high-sensitivity treadmill exercise test criteria. In step 4, candidates with a positive treadmill exercise test result, or who are also found in the upper quintile of the USAF/AL risk profile, wild also have exercise nuclear wall motion studies and perfusion scans. If these are abnormal and suggestive of myocardial ischemia, this subset will also be studied by heart catheterization and coronary angiography, and their eligibility for continued rated flight status will be determined by present criteria. The incidence of coronary calcium/no calcium for each degree of stenosis in the 6,000 flyers in each quintile was used to develop the following projections: (1) that more than 3 of 4 rated flyers with unsuspected CAD, and (2) more than 9 of 10 with severe flow-limiting CAD can be identified by these upgraded screening procedures. Evidence is herein presented that these enhancements will result in a major (5-8-fold) increase in case finding of this disease. Based on the estimate of four lost high-performance aircrafts per year from sudden incapacitation of the pilot due to CAD, when this four-step screen is fully operational, it can be expected to reduce the $80 million annual losses to the United States government from CAD by 85%, a savings of $68 million per year.

Relation between ischemia time, infarct size, and left ventricular function in humans

BACKGROUND

Experimental studies indicate that duration of ischemia is a major determinant of myocardial infarct size, but only limited information is available about the relation between ischemia time and infarct size in individual patients. This prospective study sought to document the role of ischemia time as a determinant of infarct size in humans.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We studied 61 patients (50 men, 11 women) 57 +/- 11 years old admitted with a first infarct (31 anterior, 30 inferior) who underwent continuous 12-lead ECG monitoring to document ischemia time. Infarct size (32-point QRS score on day 7) and changes in regional myocardial wall motion (echocardiography) during the following month were related to ischemia time. Among patients with < 3 hours of ischemia (n = 16), mean infarct size on day 7 was 21 +/- 13% of potential infarct size; in patients with 3 to 6 hours of ischemia (n = 23), infarct size was 38 +/- 18% of potential (P < .05 versus 0 to 3 hours of ischemia); and in patients with 6 to 9 hours of ischemia (n = 10), infarct size was 66 +/- 14% of potential (P < .05 versus 3 to 6 hours). In contrast, the 12 patients with an ischemia time > 9 hours had a final infarct size of 77 +/- 10% of potential (P < .01 versus 3 to 6 hours). Multivariate regression identified size of risk region, duration of ischemia, and degree of initial ST-segment elevation as independent predictors of infarct size, of which the most important variable was ischemia time. The regression models accurately predicted both individual absolute infarct size (R2 = .83) and individual infarct/risk ratio (R2 = .74). Patients with < 6 hours of ischemia exhibited significant recovery of myocardial wall motion by day 7 (wall motion score, 2.1 +/- 1.4 versus 5.7 +/- 3.2 on day 1, P < .01). Patients with 6 to 9 hours of ischemia had some recovery by 1 month (score, 6.3 +/- 4.4 versus 10.9 +/- 3.8 on day 1, P < .01), but patients with > 9 hours of ischemia had little recovery of wall motion by 1 month (score, 10.3 +/- 4.5 versus 12.8 +/- 3.1 on day 1, P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Measurement of ischemia time allows improved prediction of infarct size in humans. Significant myocardial salvage and functional recovery may be achieved by reperfusion up to 9 hours after coronary occlusion. Continuous ST-segment monitoring should be used to measure ischemia time and guide interventions to reperfuse the infarct artery.

ECG myocardial infarct size: a gender-, age-, race-insensitive 12-segment multiple regression model. I: Retrospective learning set of 100 pathoanatomic infarcts and 229 normal control subjects

In this early study of ongoing work with multiple regression modeling for mapping myocardial infarct (MI) into 12 left ventricular (LV) segments, promising results have been presented using electrocardiographic (ECG) QRS variables that are gender, age, and race insensitive (GARI), the GARI-QRS 12-segment multiple regression model. These include Q, R, and S duration, expressed as percentage total QRS duration, and R/Q duration, R/Q amplitude, R/S duration, and R/S amplitude variables. For version I, building 12 regression models using 68 single and 32 multiple MIs, the GARI-QRS variables correlated with pathoanatomic MI in each of 12 segments with r values ranging from .67 to .88. In version II of the model, using all MIs and 229 normal subjects, r = .73-.91. Version II predictions of MI in 12 LV segments for each subject were used to calculate the predicted total percentage LV infarct, which correlated well with that found at autopsy. The r values found were .81 for all single MIs, .73 for multiple MIs, and .80 for all MIs taken together. With refinements of the input ECG variables to include (1) improvement in the GARI-QRS variables, (2) adding a significant number of subjects with hypertrophies and conduction defects with and without MI to an expanded learning set, and (3) applying the enhanced 12-LV-segment regression models to a similar test set, it is to be expected that these regression models can be improved even further in such a way as to be applicable to general clinical populations using routine computerized ECG analysis programs.

Electrocardiographic assessment of infarct size: comparison between QRS scoring of 12-lead electrocardiography and dynamic vectorcardiography

Myocardial infarct size is one of the most important predictors of prognosis in patients suffering an acute myocardial infarction. It can be assessed by enzymatic and electrocardiographic methods. The present report compares dynamic vectorcardiographic monitoring, serial plasma enzyme activity measurements and QRS scoring according to Palmeri as techniques for infarct size estimation. We report the results from 74 patients with acute myocardial infarction, who participated in a randomized trial of treatment with alteplase. A good correlation was found between myocardial infarct size by estimation from enzymatic measurement and from dynamic vectorcardiography. Dynamic vectorcardiography correlated more closely with enzymatically estimated infarct size in patients with Q-wave infarction, regardless of infarct location, than did QRS scoring of the conventional 12-lead electrocardiogram. Furthermore, dynamic vectorcardiography requires no time-consuming analysis and can be used for on-line monitoring of patients with ongoing infarction to estimate the size of an acute infarction while it is developing.

Correlation of the complete version of the Selvester QRS scoring system with quantitative anatomic findings for multiple left ventricular myocardial infarcts

The correlation between myocardial infarct size estimated by the complete version of the Selvester QRS scoring system and that documented by pathoanatomic studies has been reported for single anterior, inferior and posterolateral infarcts. Although previous studies described electrocardiographic changes in patients with multiple infarcts, no quantitative documentation of the ability of such changes to estimate the total amount of left ventricular infarction has been reported. This study of 32 patients with anatomically documented multiple infarcts shows a significant correlation between QRS-estimated and anatomically documented sizes (r = 0.44; p = 0.01), which is less than that previously reported for single infarcts in the anterior, inferior and posterolateral locations. Several of the 54 electrocardiographic criteria were never satisfied. Criteria for posterior infarction were seldom present, suggesting "cancellation effect" of coexisting anterior infarction. These results will be the basis for future modification of QRS criteria for estimating myocardial infarct size.

Performance of the automated complete Selvester QRS scoring system in normal subjects and patients with single and multiple myocardial infarctions

The automated version of the complete Selvester QRS scoring system for estimation of myocardial infarct size was evaluated in 1,344 normal subjects, 706 patients with a single myocardial infarction (366 with inferior infarction, 277 with anterior infarction and 63 with posterolateral infarction) and 131 patients with combined inferior and anterior infarction. The presence and location were determined by angiographic and ventriculographic criteria. The performance of the overall 32-point system, each of the 19 criteria and the 13 criteria sets and each of the 35 criteria within the 13 sets was examined. The mean point scores were 1.7 for normal subjects, 3.7 for posterolateral infarction, 4.1 for inferior infarction, 6.3 for anterior infarction and 6.9 for multiple infarcts. A score greater than 4 yielded a sensitivity of 67% for anterior infarction, 41% for inferior infarction, 32% for posterolateral infarction and 72% for multiple infarcts. However, 7 of 32 criteria failed to achieve 95% specificity and 10 of 35 criteria in criteria sets had a sensitivity that was even lower than their false positive rate. The automated Selvester QRS scoring system currently has limitations that are attributable to development of the original system, which used manual scoring techniques and established criteria limits from middle-aged men. Future automated analysis should use gender- and age-dependent criteria limits.

Sensitivity of a set of myocardial infarction screening criteria in patients with anatomically documented single and multiple infarcts

A subset of 3 screening criteria (Q wave greater than or equal to 30 ms in lead aVF, any Q or R wave less than or equal to 10 ms and less than or equal to 0.1 mV in lead V2, and R wave greater than or equal to 40 ms in V1) has been proposed to identify single nonacute myocardial infarcts. Cumulatively, these 3 criteria achieved 95% specificity, and 84 and 77% sensitivities for inferior and anterior myocardial infarcts, respectively, among patients identified by coronary angiography and left ventriculography. This study establishes the true sensitivities of the set of screening criteria in 71 patients with anatomically proven single myocardial infarcts and 32 patients with multiple myocardial infarcts. In the single inferior infarct group, the aVF criterion was 90% sensitive. The V2 criterion (any Q or R wave less than or equal to 10 ms and less than or equal to 0.1 mV) was 67% sensitive in the single anterior infarct group. No single criterion proved sensitive in identifying a posterolateral infarct. The set of screening criteria performed just as well for multiple infarcts as it did for single infarcts, with a cumulative sensitivity of 72%. The overall sensitivity of the screening set in the 103 patients in all groups was 71%.