Recruitment of marine species: Is the bandwagon rolling in the right direction?

Disentangling the effects of climate, density dependence, and harvest on an iconic large herbivore's population dynamics

Understanding the relative effects of climate, harvest, and density dependence on population dynamics is critical for guiding sound population management, especially for ungulates in arid and semiarid environments experiencing climate change. To address these issues for bison in southern Utah, USA, we applied a Bayesian state-space model to a 72-yr time series of abundance counts. While accounting for known harvest (as well as live removal) from the population, we found that the bison population in southern Utah exhibited a strong potential to grow from low density (β0 = 0.26; Bayesian credible interval based on 95% of the highest posterior density [BCI] = 0.19-0.33), and weak but statistically significant density dependence (β1 = -0.02, BCI = -0.04 to -0.004). Early spring temperatures also had strong positive effects on population growth (Pfat1 = 0.09, BCI = 0.04-0.14), much more so than precipitation and other temperature-related variables (model weight > three times more than that for other climate variables). Although we hypothesized that harvest is the primary driving force of bison population dynamics in southern Utah, our elasticity analysis indicated that changes in early spring temperature could have a greater relative effect on equilibrium abundance than either harvest or. the strength of density dependence. Our findings highlight the utility of incorporating elasticity analyses into state-space population models, and the need to include climatic processes in wildlife management policies and planning.

Behavioral ecology of young-of-the-year kelp rockfish, Sebastes atrovirens Jordan and Gilbert (Pisces: Scorpaenidae)

Young-of-the-year (YOY) kelp rockfish, Sebastes atrovirens, recruit initially to the canopy of the giant kelp, Macrocystis pyrifera (L.), along the coast of central California. During the summer of 1991, I observed major fluctuations in YOY kelp rockfish abundance in the canopy before the onset of a vertical migration downward to the Macrocystis holdfasts. Within the Macrocystis canopy, YOY kelp rockfish make a series of microhabitat shifts preparatory to their downward migration, forming smaller and more closely held aggregations. Experimental manipulations of Macrocystis architecture indicate that YOY kelp rockfish densities are reduced in areas with only small Macrocystis (few stipes) compared to unmanipulated areas with a range of Macrocystis sizes. Unusually large Macrocystis, created by binding multiple kelps together, did not compensate for a preponderance of small Macrocystis in the surrounding areas. In unmanipulated habitat, YOY kelp rockfish densities were correlated with the size of the Macrocystis (number of stipes). Habitat selection in the canopy and holdfasts appears to be behavioral and is closely tied to the architecture of the alga. The onset of the downward migration appears to be triggered by a combination of ontogenetic and environmental cues.

Ecological structure of assemblages of coral reef fishes on isolated patch reefs

A 9-year study of the structure of assemblages of fish on 20 coral patch reefs, based on 20 non-manipulative censuses, revealed a total of 141 species from 34 families, although 40 species accounted for over 95% of sightings of fish. The average patch reef was 8.5 m² in surface area, and supported 125 fish of 20 species at a census. All reefs showed at least a two-fold variation among censuses in total numbers of fish present, and 12 showed ten-fold variations. There was also substantial variation in the composition and relative abundances of species present on each patch reef, such that censuses of a single patch reef were on average about 50% different from each other in percent similarity of species composition (Czekanowski's index). Species differed substantially in the degree to which their numbers varied from census to census, and in the degree to which their dispersion among patch reefs was modified from census to census. We characterize the 40 most common species with respect to these attributes. The variations in assemblage structure cannot be attributed to responses of fish to a changing physical structure of patch reefs, nor to the comings and goings of numerous rare species. Our results support and extend earlier reports on this study, which have stressed the lack of persistant structure for assemblages on these patch reefs. While reef fishes clearly have microhabitat preferences which are expressed at settlement, the variations in microhabitat offered by the patch reefs are insufficient to segregate many species of fish by patch reef. Instead, at the scale of single patch reefs, and, to a degree, at the larger scale of the 20 patch reefs, most of the 141 species of fish are distributed without regard to differences in habitat structure among reefs, and patterns of distribution change over time. Implications for general understanding of assemblage dynamics for fish over more extensive patches of reef habitat are considered.