Analysis of mobile phone use engagement during naturalistic driving through explainable imbalanced machine learning

Real-time crash prediction on express managed lanes of Interstate highway with anomaly detection learning

To facilitate efficient transportation, I-4 Express is constructed separately from general use lanes in metropolitan area to improve mobility and reduce congestion. As this new infrastructure would undoubtedly change the traffic network, there is a need for more understanding of its potential safety impact. Unfortunately, many advanced real-time crash prediction models encounter an important challenge in their applicability due to their demand for a substantial volume of data for direct modeling. To tackle this challenge, we proposed a simple yet effective approach - anomaly detection learning, which formulates model as an anomaly detection problem, solves it through normality feature recognition, and predicts crashes by identifying deviations from the normal state. The proposed approach demonstrates significant improvement in the Area Under the Curve (AUC), sensitivity, and False Alarm Rate (FAR). When juxtaposed with the prevalent direct classification paradigm, our proposed anomaly detection learning (ADL) consistently outperforms in AUC (with an increase of up to 45%), sensitivity (experiencing up to a 45% increase), and FAR (reducing by up to 0.53). The most performance gain is attained through the combination of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) in an ensemble, resulting in a 0.78 AUC, 0.79 sensitivity, and a 0.22 false alarm rate. Furthermore, we analyzed model features with a game-theoretic approach illustrating the most correlated features for accurate prediction, revealing the attention of advanced convolution neural networks to occupancy features. This provided crucial insights into improving crash precaution, the findings from which not only benefit private stakeholders but also extend a promising opportunity for governmental intervention on the express lane. This work could promote express lane with more efficient resource allocation, real-time traffic management optimization, and high-risk area prioritization.

Network-wide road crash risk screening: A new framework

Network-wide road crash risk screening is a crucial issue for road safety authorities in governing the impact of road infrastructures over road safety worldwide. Specifically, screening methods, which also enable a proactive approach (i.e., pinpointing critical segments before crashes occur), would be extremely beneficial. Existing literature provided valuable insights on road network screening and crash prediction models. However, no research tried to quantify the risk of crash on the road network by considering its main components together (i.e., probability, vulnerability, and exposure). This study covers this gap by a new framework. It integrates road safety factors, prediction models and a risk-based method, and returns the risk value on each road segment as a function of the probability of a crash occurrence and the related severity as well as the exposure model. Next, road segments are ranked according to the risk value and classified by a five-level scale, to show the parts of road network with the highest crash risk. Experiments show the capability of this framework by integrating base map data, context information, road traffic data and five years of real-world crash data records of the whole non-urban road network of the Province of Brescia (Lombardy Region - Italy). This framework introduces a valid support for road safety authorities to help identify the most critical road segments on the network, prioritise interventions and, possibly, improve the safety performance. Finally, this framework can be incorporated in any safety managerial system.

Influence of emotions on the aggressive driving behavior of online -car-hailing drivers based on association rule mining

Emotion is an important factor that can lead to the occurrence of aggressive driving. This paper proposes an association rule mining-based method for analysing contributing factors associated with aggressive driving behaviour among online car-hailing drivers. We collected drivers' emotion data in real time in a natural driving setting. The findings show that 29 of the top 50 association rules for aggressive driving are related to emotions, revealing a strong relationship between driver emotions and aggressive driving behaviour. The emotions of anger, surprised, happy and disgusted are frequently associated with aggressive driving behaviour. Negative emotions combined with other factors (for example, driving at high speeds and high acceleration rates and with no passengers in the vehicle) are more likely to lead to aggressive driving behaviour than negative emotions alone. The results of this study provide practical implications for the supervision and training of car-hailing drivers.

Mining the accident causes of railway dangerous goods transportation: A Logistics-DT-TFP based approach

Accurately and quickly mining the hidden information in railway dangerous goods transportation (RDGT) accident reports has great significance for its safety management. In this paper, a data mining method Logistics-DT-TFP is proposed for analysing the causes of RDGT accidents. Firstly, analyse the transportation process, extract the cause of the accident, and classify the severity of the accident. Then, using ordered multi-classification Logistic regression for correlation calculation, qualitatively judge and quantitatively analyse the relationship between each cause and the severity of the accident. The feature tags of the Decision Tree (DT) are screened, the C5.0 algorithm is used to obtain the accident coupling rules. Next, the FP-Growth algorithm is used to mine frequent itemsets, and TOP-K is used to improve it and output effective association rules with the degree of lift as the indicator, which avoids repeated traversal of the database, shortens the time complexity, and reduces the impact of the minimum support setting on the calculation results. The degree of lift among the causes in the coupling chain is calculated as a complement to the extraction of coupling rules. Finally, based on the analysis and mining results of case study, the management strategies for railway dangerous goods are proposed.

Who might encounter hard-braking while speeding? Analysis for regular speeders using low-frequency taxi trajectories on arterial roads and explainable AI

Regular speeders are those who commit speeding recidivism during a period. Among their speeding behaviors, some occurring in specific scenarios may cause more hazards to road users. Therefore, there is a need to evaluate the driving risks if the regular speeders have different speeding propensities. This study considers speeding-related hard-braking events (SHEs) as a safety surrogate measure and recognizes the regular speeders who encounter at least one SHEs during the study period as risky individuals. To identify speeding behaviors and hard-braking events from low-frequency GPS trajectories, we compare the average travel speed between pairwise adjacent GPS points to the posted speed limit and examine the speed curve and the corresponding travel distance between these GPS points, respectively. Thereafter, a logistic model, XGBoost, and three 1D Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) including AlexNet CNN, Mini-AlexNet CNN, and Simple CNN are respectively developed to recognize the regular speeders who encountered SHEs based on their speeding propensities. The proposed Mini-AlexNet CNN achieves a global F1-score of 91% and recall of 90% on the testing data, which are superior to other models. Further, the study uses the Shapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) framework to visually interpret the contribution of speeding propensities on SHE likelihood. It is found that speeding by 50% or greater for no more than 285 m is the most dangerous kind among all the speeding behaviors. Speeding on roads without bicycle lanes or on roads with roadside parking and excessive accesses increases the probability of encountering SHEs. Based on the analyses, we put forward tailored recommendations that aim to restrict hazard-related speeding behaviors rather than speeding behaviors of all kinds.

Road rule enforcement and where to find it: An investigation of applications used to avoid detection when violating traffic rules

INTRODUCTION

One of the primary countermeasures in place to prevent road rule violations is legal enforcement, yet there are numerous applications that can undermine such efforts by notifying drivers of enforcement locations. However, the capabilities of these applications and how they can impact offending behavior is currently unknown.

METHOD

Two studies were conducted to understand which of these applications are being used by drivers and how these applications are impacting road rule violations. Study 1 consisted of a content analysis that involved searching the Google Play Store and Apple iTunes Store for applications that could be used to avoid road rule violations using pre-determined keywords. Meanwhile, Study 2 consisted of 468 licensed Australian drivers (54.5% males) over the age of 17 years (Mage = 35 years) who completed a survey.

RESULTS

A total of 73 applications were identified for Study 1, with most of the applications displaying speed camera locations. It was found that applications that notify drivers of traffic enforcement locations are widely prevalent, can be used on a variety of interfaces and include numerous additional features. Study 2 found that those who use the applications were more willing to speed than those who do not use the applications, while there was no difference in phone use while driving between those who do and do not use the applications.

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

The findings have important implications for stakeholders, policy, and future research. For example, it is suggested that specific functions of these applications need to be regulated to reduce road rule violations and crash risk. Meanwhile, enforcement initiatives need to evolve at a faster rate to keep up to date with the changing technology that can undermine them.

Monitoring Distracted Driving Behaviours with Smartphones: An Extended Systematic Literature Review

Driver behaviour monitoring is a broad area of research, with a variety of methods and approaches. Distraction from the use of electronic devices, such as smartphones for texting or talking on the phone, is one of the leading causes of vehicle accidents. With the increasing number of sensors available in vehicles, there is an abundance of data available to monitor driver behaviour, but it has only been available to vehicle manufacturers and, to a limited extent, through proprietary solutions. Recently, research and practice have shifted the paradigm to the use of smartphones for driver monitoring and have fuelled efforts to support driving safety. This systematic review paper extends a preliminary, previously carried out author-centric literature review on smartphone-based driver monitoring approaches using snowballing search methods to illustrate the opportunities in using smartphones for driver distraction detection. Specifically, the paper reviews smartphone-based approaches to distracted driving behaviour detection, the smartphone sensors and detection methods applied, and the results obtained.