Evaluation of prognostic scale Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction and Killip. An ST-elevation myocardial infarction new scale

Prognostic value of platelet/lymphocyte ratio and CAMI-STEMI score for major adverse cardiac events in patients with acute ST segment elevation myocardial infarction after percutaneous coronary intervention: A prospective observational study

The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive value of the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and the China Acute Myocardial Infarction registry-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (CAMI-STEMI) score for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) within 6 months.We enrolled STEMI patients who received emergency PCI in the First Hospital of Lianyungang from January 2016 to December 2019. The clinical characteristics of the patients, the PLR, and the CAMI-STEMI score were recorded. The MACE included heart failure, nonfatal re-infarction, recurrent angina pain, re-hospitalization for cardiovascular-related illness, repeat PCI, coronary artery bypass grafting, and all-cause mortality. According to the incidence of MACE during the follow-up the patients were divided into the MACE group (96 cases, 24.8%) and the non-MACE group (291 cases, 75.2%).The PLR, 147.62 (121.13-205.20) in MACE group, was 111.19 (90.23-146.42) in the non-MACE group in comparison, the PLR was higher in MACE group than that in non-MACE group (P < .01). Multivariate regression analysis showed that PLR (odds ratio (OR) = 1.007, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.002-1.012, P < .01) and CAMI-STEMI score (OR = 1.575, 95% CI: 1.311-1.892, P < .01) were independent predictors of MACE. Besides, I-BIL was also an independent predictor of MACE (OR = 1.007, 95% CI: 1.011-1.146, P = .021). Reciever-operating characteristic curve showed that the area under curve of PLR was 0.704 (95%CI 0.644-0.763, P < .001). The cutoff value was 112.6, the sensitivity and specificity were 84.4% and 51.9%, respectively.PLR and CAMI-STEMI scores were independent risk factors of MACE after PCI in STEMI patients.

Comparison of shock index-based risk indices for predicting in-hospital outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention

Objective

We aimed to determine whether the prognostic value of the shock index (SI) and its derivatives is better than that of the Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction risk index (TRI) for predicting adverse outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Methods

A total of 257 patients with STEMI undergoing primary PCI from January 2018 to June 2019 were analyzed in a retrospective cohort study. The SI, modified shock index (MSI), age SI (age × the SI), age MSI (age × the MSI), and TRI at admission were calculated. Clinical endpoints were in-hospital complications, including all-cause mortality, acute heart failure, cardiac shock, mechanical complications, re-infarction, and life-threatening arrhythmia.

Results

Multivariate analyses showed that a high SI, MSI, age SI, age MSI, and TRI at admission were associated with a significantly higher rate of in-hospital complications. The predictive value of the age SI and age MSI was comparable with that of the TRI (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: z = 1.313 and z = 0.882, respectively) for predicting in-hospital complications.

Conclusions

The age SI and age MSI appear to be similar to the TRI for predicting in-hospital complications in patients with STEMI undergoing primary PCI.

Age shock index and age-modified shock index are strong predictors of outcomes in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients undergoing emergency percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

Early identification of high-risk patients provides clinicians with greater decision-making time and better informs strategies to cope with disease. The predictive values of age shock index (age SI) and age-modified shock index (age MSI) in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients undergoing emergency percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) have rarely been reported, especially compared with those for SI, MSI, and the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Nine hundred and eighty-three STEMI patients undergoing emergency PCI between January 2014 and September 2017 were analyzed in a retrospective cohort study. The primary outcomes were rates of in-hospital cardiovascular events, and 6-month and long-term all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In multivariate analyses, the predictive values of age SI and age MSI were comparable to that of the GRACE score, but superior to those of SI and MSI for in-hospital cardiac mortality [age SI: odds ratio (OR) = 1.05, P < 0.001, area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC-AUC) = 0.805, P < 0.001; age MSI: OR = 1.04, P < 0.001, ROC-AUC = 0.813, P < 0.001; GRACE score: OR = 1.03, P < 0.001, ROC-AUC = 0.827, P < 0.001], 6-month all-cause mortality (age SI: OR = 1.04, P < 0.001, ROC-AUC = 0.791, P < 0.001; age MSI: OR = 1.03, P < 0.001, ROC-AUC = 0.801, P < 0.001; GRACE score: ROC-AUC = 0.828, P < 0.001), long-term all-cause mortality [age SI: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.06, P < 0.001, ROC-AUC = 0.798, P < 0.001; age MSI: HR = 1.04, P < 0.001, ROC-AUC = 0.84, P < 0.001; GRACE score: ROC-AUC = 0.822, P < 0.001] and post-discharge all-cause mortality (age SI: HR = 1.05, P < 0.001, ROC-AUC = 0.78, P = 0.001; age MSI: HR = 1.05, P < 0.001, ROC-AUC = 0.789, P < 0.001; GRACE score: ROC-AUC = 0.812, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Age SI and age MSI are stronger predictors than SI and MSI for in-hospital cardiovascular events, and 6-month and long-term all-cause mortality in STEMI patients undergoing emergency PCI. Age SI and age MSI appear to be convenient and simpler indicators than the GRACE score.

Modified shock index: A bedside clinical index for risk assessment of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction at presentation

INTRODUCTION

Prompt identification of higher-risk patients presenting with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is crucial to pursue a more aggressive approach.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to assess whether the modified shock index (MSI), the ratio of heart rate to mean arterial pressure, could predict six-month mortality among patients admitted with STEMI.

METHODS

A retrospective observational cohort study was performed in a single center including 1158 patients diagnosed with STEMI, without cardiogenic shock on admission, between July 2009 and December 2014. They were divided into two groups: group 1 - patients with MSI<0.93 (72%); group 2 - patients with MSI≥0.93 (28%). The primary endpoint was six-month all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

MSI≥0.93 identified patients who were more likely to have signs of heart failure (p=0.002), anemia (p<0.001), renal insufficiency (p=0.014) and left ventricular systolic dysfunction (p=0.045). They more often required inotropic support (p<0.001), intra-aortic balloon pump (p<0.001) and mechanical ventilation (p<0.001). Regarding in-hospital adverse events, they had a higher prevalence of malignant arrhythmias (p=0.01) and mechanical complications (p=0.027). MSI≥0.93 was an independent predictor of overall six-month mortality (adjusted HR 2.00, 95% CI 1.20-3.34, p=0.008).

CONCLUSION

MSI was shown to be a valuable bedside tool which can rapidly identify high-risk STEMI patients at presentation.

The contemporary value of peak creatine kinase-MB after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction above other clinical and angiographic characteristics in predicting infarct size, left ventricular ejection fraction, and mortality

BACKGROUND

Complex multimarker approaches to predict outcome after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) have only considered a single baseline sample, while neglecting easily obtainable peak creatine kinase and creatine kinase-MB (CK-MB) values during hospitalization.

METHODS

We studied 476 patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention for STEMI and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMRI) at 4-6 months after STEMI. We determined the association with cardiac biomarkers (peak CK-MB, peak troponin T, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide), clinical and angiographic characteristics with infarct size, and LVEF, followed by association with mortality in 1120 STEMI patients.

RESULTS

Peak CK-MB was the strongest predictor for infarct size (P<0.001, R ² =0.60) and LVEF (P<0.001, R ² =0.40). The additional value of clinical and angiographic characteristics was limited. The optimal peak CK-MB cutpoints, for differentiation among small (<10% of the left ventricle), moderate (≥10%-<30%), and large infarct size (≥30%), were 210 U/L and 380 U/L, respectively. These cutpoints were associated with 90-day mortality; the hazard ratio for moderate infarct was 2.99 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.51-5.93, P=0.002) and for large infarct 6.53 (95% CI: 3.63-11.76, P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Classical peak CK-MB measured during hospitalization for STEMI was superior to other clinical and angiographic characteristics in predicting CMRI-defined infarct size and LVEF, and should be included and validated in future multimarker studies. Peak CK-MB cutpoints differentiated among infarct size categories and were associated with increased 90-day mortality risk.