Prediction of pregnancy loss by early first trimester ultrasound characteristics

Analysis of the Application Value of Low Molecular Weight Heparin Combined with Heparin in Patients with Chorionic Bump in Early Pregnancy

Objective

To explore the application value of low molecular weight heparin combined with heparin in patients with chorionic bump in early pregnancy.

Methods

This retrospective study collected 86 cases of patients with early pregnancy complicated by chorionic bump treated in our hospital from January 2020 to February 2022. According to the treatment methods, the patients were divided into the combined treatment group (n=41) and the control group (n=45). Patients in the combined treatment group were treated with oral prednisone combined with low molecular weight heparin injection, while patients in the control group received no additional treatment. The changes and differences in chorionic size, serum hormone levels, and uterine artery blood flow parameters before treatment and at 1 month and 2 months after treatment were compared between the two groups. The pregnancy outcomes and adverse reaction rates were also analyzed.

Results

At 1 month and 2 months after treatment, the average size of the chorionic bump in the combined treatment group was significantly smaller than before treatment and the control group (P<0.05). Two months after treatment, the average levels of E2, P, and LH in the combined treatment group were significantly higher, and the average FSH level was significantly lower than those before treatment and in the control group (P<0.05). At 1 month and 2 months after treatment, the average RI in the combined treatment group was significantly lower than before treatment and the control group, and although the average S/D ratio was higher than before treatment, it was still lower than that of the control group (P<0.05). The incidence of adverse pregnancy outcomes in the combined treatment group was significantly lower than that in the control group (χ²/P=5.469/0.019). There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups (χ²/P=0.613/0.434).

Conclusion

Prednisone combined with low molecular weight heparin can effectively reduce the size of the chorionic bump, improve uterine artery blood flow parameters, and ultimately lower the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes in patients with early pregnancy complicated by chorionic bump. This treatment approach has reliable clinical safety and holds potential for broader application in such patients.

The predictive value of ultrasound markers for pregnancy outcomes in recurrent pregnancy loss: a retrospective study

Establishing prediction models of pregnancy outcomes for recurrent pregnancy loss women at specific gestational weeks will provide patients and physicians with more precise information, ultimately leading to time and cost savings associated with unnecessary revisits. Therefore, our aim was to develop a prediction model for first trimester pregnancy loss in RPL patients. We used ultrasound indices during the first trimester of pregnancy in combination with demographic characteristics and commonly used serum markers. The independent risk factors for each week were as follows: age and P in the fifth week; age, mGSD and CRL in the sixth week; age, hCG and CRL in the seventh week; CRL in the eighth week; mGSD and CRL in ninth week. The corresponding AUC was 0.671, 0.796, 0.872, 0.871, 0.813, respectively. There is a linear relationship between age and first trimester pregnancy loss. hCG < 69,636.6 mIU/ml was associated with a higher risk of pregnancy loss in the seventh gestation week. An mGSD < 18.3 mm, adjusted for age, BMI, and previous pregnancy loss in the sixth week, was linked to an increased risk of first trimester pregnancy loss. A small CRL measurement (less than 2.4 mm, 9.9 mm, 16.9 mm, and 18.6 mm) in the sixth, seventh, eighth and ninth week was closely correlated with higher risk of first trimester pregnancy loss. Furthermore, an mGSD < 33.3 mm and > 48.3 mm in ninth gestational week was associated with a higher risk of pregnancy loss. These models and thresholds may help physicians and patients make more informed decisions together. Further studies are needed to confirm the results.

Predictive models of miscarriage on the basis of data from a preconception cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To use self-reported preconception data to derive models that predict the risk of miscarriage.

DESIGN

Prospective preconception cohort study.

SETTING

Not applicable.

PATIENTS

Study participants were female, aged 21-45 years, residents of the United States or Canada, and attempting spontaneous pregnancy at enrollment during 2013-2022. Participants were followed for up to 12 months of pregnancy attempts; those who conceived were followed through pregnancy and postpartum. We restricted analyses to participants who conceived during the study period.

EXPOSURE

On baseline and follow-up questionnaires completed every 8 weeks until pregnancy, we collected self-reported data on sociodemographic factors, reproductive history, lifestyle, anthropometrics, diet, medical history, and male partner characteristics. We included 160 potential predictor variables in our models.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was a miscarriage, defined as pregnancy loss before 20 weeks of gestation. We followed participants from their first positive pregnancy test until miscarriage or a censoring event (induced abortion, ectopic pregnancy, loss of follow-up, or 20 weeks of gestation), whichever occurred first. We fit both survival and static models using Cox proportional hazards models, logistic regression, support vector machines, gradient-boosted trees, and random forest algorithms. We evaluated model performance using the concordance index (survival models) and the weighted F1 score (static models).

RESULTS

Among the 8,720 participants who conceived, 20.4% reported miscarriage. In multivariable models, the strongest predictors of miscarriage were female age, history of miscarriage, and male partner age. The weighted F1 score ranged from 73%-89% for static models and the concordance index ranged from 53%-56% for survival models, indicating better discrimination for the static models compared with the survival models (i.e., the ability of the model to discriminate between individuals with and without miscarriage). No appreciable differences were observed across strata of miscarriage history or among models restricted to ≥8 weeks of gestation.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that miscarriage is not easily predicted on the basis of preconception lifestyle characteristics and that advancing age and a history of miscarriage are the most important predictors of incident miscarriage.

Combining early pregnancy bleeding with ultrasound measurements to assess spontaneous abortion risk among infertile patients

BACKGROUND

Approximately 15% of all clinically recognized pregnancies in patients with infertility result in spontaneous abortion. However, despite its potential to have a profound and lasting effect on physical and emotional well-being, the natural history of spontaneous abortion in women with infertility has not been described. Although vaginal bleeding is a common symptom in pregnancies conceived via reproductive technologies, its prognostic value is not well understood.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the combination of early pregnancy bleeding and first-trimester ultrasound measurements to determine spontaneous abortion risk.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with infertility who underwent autologous embryo transfer resulting in singleton intrauterine pregnancy confirmed by ultrasound from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2019. Early pregnancy symptoms of bleeding occurring before gestational week 8 and measurements of crown-rump length and fetal heart rate from ultrasounds performed during gestational week 6 (6 0/7 to 6 6/7 weeks of gestation) and gestational week 7 (7 0/7 to 7 6/7 weeks of gestation) were recorded. Modified Poisson regression with robust error variance was adjusted a priori for patient age, embryo transfer day, and transfer of a preimplantation genetic-tested embryo to estimate the relative risk and 95% confidence interval of spontaneous abortion for dichotomous variables. The relative risks and positive predictive values for early pregnancy bleeding combined with ultrasound measurements on the occurrence of spontaneous abortion were calculated for patients who had an ultrasound performed during gestational week 6 and separately for patients who had an ultrasound performed during gestational week 7. The primary outcome was spontaneous abortion in the setting of vaginal bleeding with normal ultrasound parameters. The secondary outcomes were spontaneous abortion with vaginal bleeding and (1) abnormal crown-rump length, (2) abnormal fetal heart rate, and (3) both abnormal crown-rump length and abnormal fetal heart rate.

RESULTS

Of the 1858 patients who were included (359 cases resulted in abortions and 1499 resulted in live births), 315 patients (17.0%) reported vaginal bleeding. When combined with ultrasound measurements from gestational week 6, bleeding was significantly associated with increased spontaneous abortion only when accompanied by absent fetal heart rate (relative risk, 5.36; 95% confidence interval, 3.36-8.55) or both absent fetal heart rate and absent fetal pole (relative risk, 9.67; 95% confidence interval, 7.45-12.56). Similarly, when combined with ultrasound measurements from gestational week 7, bleeding was significantly associated with increased spontaneous abortion only when accompanied by an abnormal assessment of fetal heart rate or crown-rump length (relative risk, 5.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.83-14.19) or both fetal heart rate and crown-rump length (relative risk, 14.82; 95% confidence interval, 10.54-20.83). With normal ultrasound measurements, bleeding was not associated with increased spontaneous abortion risk (relative risk: 1.05 [95% confidence interval, 0.61-1.78] in gestational week 6 and 0.80 [95% confidence interval, 0.36-1.74] in gestational week 7), and the live birth rate was comparable with that in patients with normal ultrasound measurements and no bleeding.

CONCLUSION

Patients with a history of infertility who present after embryo transfer with symptoms of vaginal bleeding should be evaluated with a pregnancy ultrasound to accurately assess spontaneous abortion risk. In the setting of normal ultrasound measurements, patients can be reassured that their risk of spontaneous abortion is not increased and that their live birth rate is not decreased.

Biomarkers at 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of early miscarriage in pregnancy following assisted reproductive technology

INTRODUCTION

Miscarriage is a major concern in early pregnancy among women having conceived with assisted reproductive treatments. This study aimed to examine potential miscarriage-related biophysical and biochemical markers at 6 weeks' gestation among women with confirmed clinical pregnancy following in vitro fertilization (IVF)/embryo transfer (ET) and evaluate the performance of a model combining maternal factors, biophysical and biochemical markers at 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of first trimester miscarriage among singleton pregnancies following IVF/ET.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A prospective cohort study was conducted in a teaching hospital between December 2017 and January 2020 including women who conceived through IVF/ET. Maternal mean arterial pressure, ultrasound markers including mean gestational sac diameter, fetal heart activity, crown rump length and mean uterine artery pulsatility index (mUTPI) and biochemical biomarkers including maternal serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), placental growth factor (PlGF), kisspeptin and glycodelin-A were measured at 6 weeks' gestation. Logistic regression analysis was carried out to determine significant predictors of miscarriage prior to 13 weeks' gestation and performance of screening was estimated by receiver-operating characteristics curve analysis.

RESULTS

Among 169 included pregnancies, 145 (85.8%) pregnancies progressed to beyond 13 weeks' gestation and had live births whereas 24 (14.2%) pregnancies resulted in a miscarriage during the first trimester. In the miscarriage group, compared to the live birth group, maternal age, body mass index, and mean arterial pressure were significantly increased; mean gestational sac diameter, crown rump length, mUTPI, serum sFlt-1, glycodelin-A, and the rate of positive fetal heart activity were significantly decreased, while no significant differences were detected in PlGF and kisspeptin. Significant prediction for miscarriage before 13 weeks' gestation was provided by maternal age, fetal heart activity, mUTPI, and serum glycodelin-A. The combination of maternal age, ultrasound (fetal heart activity and mUTPI), and biochemical (glycodelin-A) markers achieved the highest area under the curve (AUC: 0.918, 95% CI 0.866-0.955), with estimated detection rates of 54.2% and 70.8% for miscarriage before 13 weeks' gestation, at fixed false positive rates of 5% and 10%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A combination of maternal age, fetal heart activity, mUTPI, and serum glycodelin-A at 6 weeks' gestation could effectively identify IVF/ET pregnancies at risk of first trimester miscarriage.

First-Trimester Screening for Miscarriage or Stillbirth-Prediction Model Based on MicroRNA Biomarkers

We evaluated the potential of cardiovascular-disease-associated microRNAs to predict in the early stages of gestation (from 10 to 13 gestational weeks) the occurrence of a miscarriage or stillbirth. The gene expressions of 29 microRNAs were studied retrospectively in peripheral venous blood samples derived from singleton Caucasian pregnancies diagnosed with miscarriage (n = 77 cases; early onset, n = 43 cases; late onset, n = 34 cases) or stillbirth (n = 24 cases; early onset, n = 13 cases; late onset, n = 8 cases; term onset, n = 3 cases) and 80 selected gestational-age-matched controls (normal term pregnancies) using real-time RT-PCR. Altered expressions of nine microRNAs (upregulation of miR-1-3p, miR-16-5p, miR-17-5p, miR-26a-5p, miR-146a-5p, and miR-181a-5p and downregulation of miR-130b-3p, miR-342-3p, and miR-574-3p) were observed in pregnancies with the occurrence of a miscarriage or stillbirth. The screening based on the combination of these nine microRNA biomarkers revealed 99.01% cases at a 10.0% false positive rate (FPR). The predictive model for miscarriage only was based on the altered gene expressions of eight microRNA biomarkers (upregulation of miR-1-3p, miR-16-5p, miR-17-5p, miR-26a-5p, miR-146a-5p, and miR-181a-5p and downregulation of miR-130b-3p and miR-195-5p). It was able to identify 80.52% cases at a 10.0% FPR. Highly efficient early identification of later occurrences of stillbirth was achieved via the combination of eleven microRNA biomarkers (upregulation of miR-1-3p, miR-16-5p, miR-17-5p, miR-20a-5p, miR-146a-5p, and miR-181a-5p and downregulation of miR-130b-3p, miR-145-5p, miR-210-3p, miR-342-3p, and miR-574-3p) or, alternatively, by the combination of just two upregulated microRNA biomarkers (miR-1-3p and miR-181a-5p). The predictive power achieved 95.83% cases at a 10.0% FPR and, alternatively, 91.67% cases at a 10.0% FPR. The models based on the combination of selected cardiovascular-disease-associated microRNAs had very high predictive potential for miscarriages or stillbirths and may be implemented in routine first-trimester screening programs.

Maternal circulating exosomal miR-185-5p levels as a predictive biomarker in patients with recurrent pregnancy loss

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to explore the predictive role of microRNAs (miRNAs) from maternal serum exosomes in early recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL) and the related mechanism in early pregnancy.

METHODS

Maternal serum was collected from pregnant women with RPL history or women with ongoing pregnancy (OP); serum exosomes were extracted and identified. Differentially expressed (DE) miRNAs in exosomes were screened by RNA sequencing and further validated by qRT-PCR. Next, the predictive value of exosomal miRNA and the clinical indicators for subsequent miscarriage in RPL patients were evaluated. Additionally, we verified the regulatory relationship between miR-185-5p and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) in decidual natural killer (dNK) cells by overloading or inhibiting the exosomal miR-185-5p level in trophoblast cells.

RESULTS

The miRNA sequencing revealed 43 DE miRNAs between OP and RPL patients. The five most significant DE miRNAs (miR-22-3p, miR-185-5p, miR-335-3p, miR-362-5p, and miR-378a-3p) were selected for identification, and miR-185-5p was increased in RPL patients. The area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic was 0.925 when using miR-185-5p as a biomarker for subsequent miscarriage in RPL patients. In addition, miR-185-5p in exosomes secreted from HTR-8 cells reduces VEGF expression of dNK cells.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study, for the first time, successfully constructed the correlation between maternal circulating exosomal miR-185-5p expression pattern and RPL, which may be involved in the pathogenesis of RPL by downregulating the VEGFA of dNK cells and perturbing angiogenesis at the maternal-fetal interface.

Periconceptional Maternal Protein Intake from Animal and Plant Sources and the Impact on Early and Late Prenatal Growth and Birthweight: The Rotterdam Periconceptional Cohort

Plant-based diets continue to rise in popularity, including among women of reproductive age, while consequences for pregnancy outcomes have hardly been studied. During pregnancy, maternal diet is the only source of proteins for the developing fetus. Hence, we investigated the effects of periconceptional maternal animal and plant protein intake on prenatal growth and birthweight. 501 pregnancies were included from the prospective Rotterdam Periconceptional Cohort. Embryonic growth was depicted by crown-rump length (CRL) and embryonic volume (EV) at 7, 9 and 11 weeks using 3D ultrasound scans. Estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 20 weeks and birthweight were retrieved from medical records and standardized. Multivariable mixed models were used for CRL and EV trajectories, and linear regression for EFW and birthweight. A 10 g/day higher maternal animal protein intake was positively associated with increased embryonic growth (CRL: β = 0.023 √mm, p = 0.052; EV: β = 0.015 ∛cm, p = 0.012). A positive association, albeit non-significant, was found between maternal animal protein intake and EFW, and birthweight. No clear associations emerged between maternal plant protein intake and prenatal growth and birthweight, with effect estimates close to zero. In conclusion, maternal animal protein intake during the periconception period was positively associated with early and late prenatal growth and birthweight, while no associations were found between maternal plant protein intake and prenatal growth and birthweight.

The acute effect and lag effect analysis between exposures to ambient air pollutants and spontaneous abortion: a case-crossover study in China, 2017-2019

INTRODUCTION

Recent studies demonstrated that living in areas with high ambient air pollution may have adverse effects on pregnancy outcomes, but few studies have investigated its association with spontaneous abortion. Further investigation is needed to explore the acute effect and lag effect of air pollutants exposure on spontaneous abortion.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the acute effect and lag effect between exposure to ambient air pollutants and spontaneous abortion.

METHODS

Research data of spontaneous abortion were collected from the Chongqing Health Center for Women and Children (CQHCWC) in China. The daily ambient air pollution exposure measurements were estimated for each woman using inverse distance weighting from monitoring stations. A time-stratified, case-crossover design combined with distributed lag linear models was applied to assess the associations between spontaneous pregnancy loss and exposure to each of the air pollutants over lags 0-7 days, adjusted for temperature and relative humidity.

RESULTS

A total of 1399 women who experienced spontaneous pregnancy loss events from November 1, 2016, to September 30, 2019, were selected for this study. Maternal exposure to particulate matter 2.5 (PM_2.5), particle matter 10 (PM₁₀) nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), and sulfur dioxide (SO₂) exhibited a significant association with spontaneous abortion. For every 20 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5, PM₁₀, NO₂, and SO₂, the RRs were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.34), 1.12 (95% CI, 1.04-1.20), 1.15 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.30), and 1.92 (95% CI: 1.18, 3.11) on lag day 3, lag day 3, lag day 0, and lag day 3, respectively. In two-pollutant model combined with PM_2.5 and PM₁₀, a statistically significant increase in spontaneous abortion incidence of 18.0% (RR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.32) was found for a 20 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5 exposure, and 11.2% (RR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.20) for a 20 μg/m³ increase in PM₁₀ exposure on lag day 3, similar to single-pollutant model analysis.

CONCLUSION

Maternal exposure to high levels of PM_2.5, PM₁₀, NO₂, and SO₂ during pregnancy may increase the risk of spontaneous abortion for acute effects and lag effects. Further research to explore sensitive exposure time windows is needed.

A mathematical model to predict the probability of a successful pregnancy

AIM

To develop a scoring system for the prediction of a successful pregnancy.

METHODS

Data were collected prospectively from women diagnosed with pregnancy from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2018. Pregnant days, hormone levels, and gestational sac diameters were recorded. Relationships among the pregnancy days, hormones, and gestational sac were analyzed by Spearman correlation analysis. A scoring system was established and stratified by the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentile of hormone levels and gestational sac diameters on different pregnancy days. Pregnancy outcomes were predicted by the scores using quadratic polynomial regression analyses. A portable desktop analyzer was developed and the performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

In 273 successful pregnancy cases, the length of gestational days was significantly correlated to beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) (r = 0.74, p < 0.001) and E₂ (r = 0.79, p < 0.001) levels, and the size of the gestational sac (r = 0.88, p < 0.001). Meanwhile, the size of gestational sac was positively correlated with β-hCG (r = 0.93, p < 0.001) and E₂ (r = 0.55, p < 0.001). For 273 delivery and 103 miscarriage cases included in this study, our scoring-based prediction model rendered an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.86 with the sensitivity of 78.31% and the specificity of 80.83%.

CONCLUSIONS

We successfully developed a scoring-based analyzer to evaluate the viability of embryos at different gestation stages and to predict the probability of a successful delivery, which would provide a reference for clinicians in postpregnancy management.

Prediction of miscarriage in first trimester by serum estradiol, progesterone and β-human chorionic gonadotropin within 9 weeks of gestation

Purpose

To predict miscarriage outcome within 12 weeks of gestational age by evaluating values of serum estradiol, progesterone and β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-HCG) within 9 weeks of gestation.

Methods

One hundred sixty-five women with singleton pregnancies were retrospectively studied. Estradiol, progesterone and β-HCG levels were measured at 5–6 weeks of gestation and the measurements were repeated at 7–9 weeks. According to pregnancy outcome at 12 weeks of gestation, 71 cases were categorized into miscarriage group, and 94 cases into group of normal pregnancy. Each group was further divided into 5–6 and 7–9 weeks of gestation sub-group. Predictive values of estradiol, progesterone and β- HCG levels at 5–6 weeks and 7–9 weeks of gestation were analyzed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and logistic regression.

Results

Serum levels of estradiol at 7–9 weeks identified miscarriage with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.866 (95% CI 0. 793 ~ 0.938, P = 0.000), diagnostic cutoff value of 576 pg/ml, sensitivity of 0.804, and specificity of 0.829 respectively at the optimal threshold, according to Youden index. Progesterone levels at 7–9 weeks were with AUC of 0.766 (95% CI 0. 672 ~ 0.861, P = 0.000), cutoff value of 15.27 ng/ml, sensitivity of 0.921, and specificity of 0.558, respectively; Estradiol at 5–6 weeks were with AUC of 0.709 (95% CI 0. 616 ~ 0.801, P < 0.001), the diagnostic cutoff value of 320 pg/ml, sensitivity of 0.800, and specificity of 0.574, respectively.

The performance of the dual markers of estradiol and progesterone analysis (AUC 0.871, CI 0.793–0.950), three-markers analysis (AUC 0.869, CI 0.759–0.980)were slightly better than the single marker at 7-9 weeks. β-HCG or progesterone provide additional utility of estradiol prediction at 5–6 weeks with AUC 0.770 (0.672–0.869) for β-HCG and estradiol, AUC0.768(CI 0.670–0.866) for β-HCG, estradiol and progesterone and AUC 0.739 (CI 0.651–0.827) for progesterone and estradiol.

Conclusions

Low serum levels such as dual of estradiol and progesterone or estradiol alone at 7–9 weeks, β-HCG or progesterone combing estradiol at 5–6 weeks of gestation can be used better to predict miscarriage in first trimester.

Can Ultrasound Analysis of the Yolk Sac be a Predictor of Pregnancy Outcome?

The Yolk sac is the first source of transfer between the mother and the embryo, with a nutritional and gas exchange function, vital for the development of the embryo, to which we can add primitive hematopoiesis, the production of stem cells and germ cells. Although normal-term pregnancies with abnormal aspects of the yolk sac have been described, the smaller or larger size of the yolk sac is associated with pregnancy loss. Our study aimed to determine whether the yolk sac size change, determined by measuring diameter (2D ultrasonography) or volume (3D ultrasonography), is independently associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. The results of the study did not show a statistical significance between 2D and 3D measurements with adverse pregnancy outcomes, noting only an abrupt increase in the diameter and volume of the yolk sac preceding pregnancy loss. However, the evaluation of the yolk sac remains an important element in the ultrasound evaluation of pregnancy in the first trimester.