Clinical Predictors of Mortality in Patients with Moderate to Severe Mitral Regurgitation

A nomogram risk prediction model for ischemic mitral regurgitation after primary percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

AIM

This study developed a nomogram to predict the risk of ischemic mitral regurgitation (IMR) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients and evaluate their long-term prognosis.

METHODS

Data from 342 STEMI patients were collected. Logistic regression identified independent risk factors for IMR during hospitalization, while Cox regression assessed risk factors during follow-up. The nomogram was developed based on these factors. ROC evaluated its predictive value, and decision curve analysis/clinical impact curves assessed clinical utility. Kaplan-Meier analysis evaluated the model's prognostic value.

RESULTS

The independent risk factors for hospitalized IMR after PCI in STEMI patients included Gensini score (OR 1.009; P = 0.047), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (OR 0.941; P = 0.007), albumin (OR 0.941; P = 0.046), and systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII) (OR 1.096; P < 0.001). During follow-up, diabetes mellitus (HR: 1.154; P = 0.019), hemoglobin (HR: 0.991; P = 0.028), Gensini score (HR: 1.007; P = 0.022), LVEF (HR: 0.972; P = 0.015), and SII/100 (HR: 1.034; P < 0.001) were identified as independent predictors of IMR. The nomogram showed strong clinical benefit, good calibration, and predictive value. Patients with lower scores had better long-term outcomes.

CONCLUSION

This nomogram effectively predicts the occurrence of IMR after PCI in STEMI patients, providing valuable prognostic insights.

Mortality associated with moderate and severe mitral regurgitation in 608 570 men and women undergoing echocardiography

BACKGROUND

Although the prognostic implications of severe mitral regurgitation (MR) are well recognised, they are less clear in moderate MR. We therefore explored the prognostic impact of both moderate and severe MR within the large National Echocardiography Database Australia cohort.

METHODS

Echocardiography reports from 608 570 individuals were examined using natural language processing to identify MR severity and leaflet pathology. Atrial (aFMR) or ventricular (vFMR) functional MR was assessed in those without reported leaflet pathology. Using individual data linkage over median 1541 (IQR 820 to 2629) days, we examined the association between MR severity and all-cause (153 612/25.2% events) and cardiovascular-related mortality (47 840/7.9% events).

RESULTS

There were 319 808 men and 288 762 women aged 62.1±18.5 years, of whom 456 989 (75.1%), 102 950 (16.9%), 38 504 (6.3%) and 10 127 (1.7%) individuals had no/trivial, mild, moderate and severe MR, respectively, reported on their last echo. Compared with those with no/trivial MR (26.5% had leaflet pathology, 19.2% died), leaflet pathology (51.8% and 78.9%, respectively) and actual 5-year all-cause mortality (54.6% and 67.5%, respectively) increased with MR severity. On an adjusted basis (age, sex and leaflet pathology), long-term mortality was 1.67-fold (95% CI 1.65 to 1.70) and 2.36-fold (95% CI 2.30 to 2.42) higher in moderate and severe MR cases (p<0.001) compared with no/trivial MR. The prognostic pattern for moderate and severe MR persisted for cardiovascular-related mortality and within prespecified subgroups (leaflet pathology, vFMR or aFMR, and age<65 years).

CONCLUSIONS

Within a large real-world clinical cohort, we confirm that conservatively managed severe MR is associated with a poor prognosis. We further reveal that moderate MR is associated with increased mortality, irrespective of underlying aetiology.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12617001387314).

Von Willebrand Factor Activity Association With Outcomes After Transcatheter Edge-to-Edge Mitral Valve Repair

Background

Residual mitral regurgitation (MR) is associated with worse outcomes after transcatheter edge-to-edge mitral valve repair (TEER). Shear stress induced by MR leads to altered von Willebrand factor activity (vWF:Act) and increased closure time with adenosine diphosphate (CT-ADP).

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to investigate the use of CT-ADP to monitor MR during TEER and the association between the vWF, residual MR, and clinical events post-TEER.

Methods

Sixty-five patients undergoing TEER were enrolled. CT-ADP was measured at baseline, after each clip deployment, 1 hour and 24 hours post-TEER. CT-ADP values were related to vWF:Act/vWF antigen (vWF:Ag) ratio at the same time points, and MR severity was assessed by echocardiography at 1 month. Combined events of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalizations were evaluated at 1 year.

Results

At 1 month, 32 (49%) patients had residual MR > mild (of those, 14% had MR > moderate). There was no significant change in CT-ADP values during the procedure. However, CT-ADP significantly decreased 1-hour post-TEER (P < 0.001). Patients with corrected MR demonstrated an increase in vWF:Act/vWF:Ag ratio 1-hour post-TEER. Elevated baseline vWF:Act/vWF:Ag ratio and the periprocedural percentage changes of the vWF:Act/vWF:Ag ratio (1 hour post-TEER - baseline values) were associated with the combined clinical outcome.

Conclusions

CT-ADP evolution in time was not quick enough to provide real-time monitoring of MR severity during TEER. However, vWF:Act/vWF:Ag ratio at baseline and its variations following the procedure were associated with clinical outcomes. Those findings will need external validation.

Transcatheter mitral valve implantation using TENDYNE valve for the treatment of residual severe mitral regurgitation post-transcatheter mitral valve edge-to-edge repair: a case report

Background

Functional mitral regurgitation (MR) in patients with heart failure can be treated medically or by transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (TEER) if medical therapy fails. Patients who are not suitable for TEER or surgical intervention might benefit from transcatheter mitral valve implantation using the TENDYNE valve.

Case summary

A 58-year-old male with a history of heart failure was admitted frequently with acute heart failure and functional MR, treated medically without significant improvement. He underwent mitral TEER therapy using MitraClip. A few months later, he was admitted with acute decompensated heart failure. Echocardiography showed severe MR with a detached clip from the posterior leaflet. He underwent redo mitral TEER using MitraClip as an option for treating single leaflet device detachment. He was readmitted with the same symptoms and his echocardiography showed detachment of both clips from the posterior leaflet. The patient underwent TMVI using the TENDYNE valve being not suitable for another attempt of mitral TEER. On follow-up, he was asymptomatic and echocardiography showed normal functioning mitral bioprosthesis with a mean gradient of 4 mm/Hg and no paravalvular leak.

Discussion

Transcatheter mitral valve implantation using TENDYNE valve is an option for treating patients with functional MR and detached MitraClips.

Effect of Telehealth Services on Mitral and Tricuspid Regurgitation Progression: Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Mitral regurgitation (MR) and tricuspid regurgitation (TR) are common cardiac conditions with high mortality risks, which can be improved through early intervention. Telehealth services, which allow for remote monitoring of patient conditions, have been proven to improve the health management of chronic diseases, but the effects on MR and TR progression are unknown.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore whether patients receiving telehealth services have less MR and TR progression compared with a control group. We also aimed to identify the determinants of MR and TR progression.

METHODS

This single-center retrospective study conducted at the National Taiwan University Hospital compared MR and TR progression (defined as either progression to moderate or greater MR and TR or MR and TR progression by ≥2 grades during the study period) between the telehealth and control groups. Patients had a minimum of 2 transthoracic echocardiograms at least 6 months apart; baseline mild-moderate MR and TR or lower; and no prior surgeries on the mitral or tricuspid valve. Telehealth patients were defined as those who received telehealth services for at least 28 days within 3 months of baseline. Basic demographics, baseline blood pressure measurements, prescribed medication, and Charlson Comorbidity Index components were obtained for all patients.

RESULTS

A total of 1081 patients (n=226 in the telehealth group and n=855 in the control group) were included in the study analyses. The telehealth group showed significantly lower baseline systolic blood pressure (P<.001), higher Charlson Comorbidity Index (P=.02), higher prevalence of prior myocardial infarction (P=.01) and heart failure (P<.001), higher beta-blocker (P=.03) and diuretic (P=.04) use, and lower nitrate use (P=.04). Both groups showed similar cardiac remodeling conditions at baseline. Telehealth was found to be neutral for both MR (hazard ratio 1.10, 95% CI 0.80-1.52; P=.52) and TR (hazard ratio 1.27, 95% CI 0.92-1.74; P=.14) progression. Determinants for moderate or greater MR progression included older age, female sex, diuretic use, larger left atrial dimension, left ventricular end-diastolic dimension, left ventricular end-systolic dimension, and lower left ventricular ejection fraction. Determinants of moderate or greater TR progression included older age, female sex, diuretic use, presence of atrial fibrillation, LA dimension, left ventricular end-systolic dimension, and lower left ventricular ejection fraction; statin use was found to be protective.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to assess the association between telehealth services and the progression of MR and TR. Telehealth patients, who had more comorbidities, displayed similar MR and TR progression versus control patients, indicating that telehealth may slow MR and TR progression. Determinants of MR and TR progression included easy-to-measure traditional echo parameters of cardiac function, older age, female sex, and atrial fibrillation, which can be incorporated into a telehealth platform and advanced alert system, improving patient outcomes through personalized care.

Data-driven mortality risk prediction of severe degenerative mitral regurgitation patients undergoing mitral valve surgery

AIMS

The outcomes of mitral valve replacement/repair (MVR) in severe degenerative mitral regurgitation (MR) patients depend on various risk factors. We aimed to develop a risk prediction model for post-MVR mortality in severe degenerative MR patients using machine learning.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Consecutive severe degenerative MR patients undergoing MVR were analysed (n = 1521; 70% training/30% test sets). A random survival forest (RSF) model was constructed, with 3-year post-MVR all-cause mortality as the outcome. Partial dependency plots were used to define the thresholds of each risk factor. A simple scoring system (MVR-score) was developed to stratify post-MVR mortality risk. At 3 years following MVR, 90 patients (5.9%) died in the entire cohort (59 and 31 deaths in the training and test sets). The most important predictors of mortality in order of importance were age, haemoglobin, valve replacement, glomerular filtration rate, left atrial dimension, and left ventricular (LV) end-systolic diameter. The final RSF model with these six variables demonstrated high predictive performance in the test set (3-year C-index 0.880, 95% confidence interval 0.834-0.925), with mortality risk increased strongly with left atrial dimension >55 mm, and LV end-systolic diameter >45 mm. MVR-score demonstrated effective risk stratification and had significantly higher predictability compared to the modified Mitral Regurgitation International Database score (3-year C-index 0.803 vs. 0.750, P = 0.034).

CONCLUSION

A data-driven machine learning model provided accurate post-MVR mortality prediction in severe degenerative MR patients. The outcome following MVR in severe degenerative MR patients is governed by both clinical and echocardiographic factors.