ESMO localised colon cancer guidelines: ‘can we improve on our surveillance protocols?’

Clinical Score to Predict Recurrence in Patients with Stage II and Stage III Colon Cancer

Background: The prognosis of patients with stage II and stage III colon cancer is heterogeneous. Clinical and pathological characteristics, such as tumor budding, may help to further refine the recurrence risk. Methods: We included all the patients with localized colon cancer at Hospital Universitario La Paz from October 2016 to October 2021. We built a prognostic score for recurrence in the training cohort based on multivariate cox regression analysis and categorized the patients into two risk groups. Results: A total of 440 patients were included in the training cohort. After a median follow-up of 45 months, 81 (18%) patients had a first tumor recurrence. T4, N2, and high tumor budding remained with a p value <0.05 at the last step of the multivariate cox regression model for time to recurrence (TTR). We assigned 2 points to T4 and 1 point to N2 and high tumor budding. Forty-five percent of the patients were assigned to the low-risk group (score = 0). Compared to the high-risk group (score 1−4), patients in the low-risk group had a significantly longer TTR (hazard ratio for disease recurrence of 0.14 (95%CI: 0.00 to 0.90; p < 0.045)). The results were confirmed in the validation cohort. Conclusions: In our study, we built a simple score to predict tumor recurrence based on T4, N2, and high tumor budding. Patients in the low-risk group, that comprised 44% of the cohort, had an excellent prognosis.

Comprehensive risk score of the E-PASS as a prognostic indicator for patients after elective and emergency curative colorectal cancer surgery: A multicenter retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic value of the comprehensive risk score (CRS) of the Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress for managing patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) who underwent elective and emergency colorectal cancer surgery with curative intent.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

CRS, which is calculated based on both clinical and surgical factors, is a good predictor of postoperative complications and mortality. However, the impact of CRS in CRC prognosis remains unclear.

METHODS

Patients with CRC who underwent curative resection between 2010 and 2019 were retrospectively enrolled in this study. The cohort was divided into the low and high CRS groups. The prognostic value of CRS was evaluated via Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses. The CRS cutoff value was obtained using the Youden index applied to OS curves and have not been validated by any validation cohorts.

RESULTS

In total, 2407 patients, including 1359 and 1048 patients with low and high CRS, respectively, were enrolled in this study. Multivariate analysis revealed that a CRS was an independent prognostic factor of overall and recurrence-free survival regardless of disease stage. Furthermore, adjuvant chemotherapy was beneficial for the survival of patients with stage III CRC in both high and low CRS groups; however, the survival benefit was limited in elderly high CRS patients.

CONCLUSIONS

CRS was a strong prognostic factor for CRC regardless of disease stage and might be considered as a biomarker for selecting elderly patients who are eligible for adjuvant chemotherapy.

Lymph node metastasis is strongly associated with lung metastasis as the first recurrence site in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The lymphatic system is known to be the primary pathway of metastasis for colorectal cancer. However, beyond regional lymph node metastases, little is known about the pathway of lymphatic metastases and the differences in the recurrence site risk. The aim of this study was to clarify the relationship between lymph node metastasis and the first recurrence site in colorectal cancer.

METHODS

Patients with colorectal cancer who underwent curative resection in our institution between January 2003 and December 2016 were included in this analysis. The relationship between the first recurrence site and clinicopathological factors was analyzed by the Cox regression model and competing risk regression model.

RESULTS

In total, 1,249 patients with colorectal cancer were included in this analysis. We found that the stages of lymph node metastases (N0 vs N1: P = .008, N0 vs N2a: P < .001, N0 vs N2b: P < .001) were significantly associated with lung metastasis in the multivariate analysis. Furthermore, in the competing risk analysis, the stages of lymph node metastases were significantly correlated with lung metastasis (N0 vs N1: P = .002, N0 vs N2a: P < .001, N0 vs N2b: P < .001) but were not correlated with other recurrence sites.

CONCLUSION

The severity of lymph node involvement had a strong correlation with lung metastases in patients with colorectal cancer.