Weekend admissions with ascites are associated with delayed paracentesis: A nationwide analysis of the 'weekend effect'

A Machine Learning Algorithm Avoids Unnecessary Paracentesis for Exclusion of SBP in Cirrhosis in Resource-limited Settings

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Despite the poor prognosis associated with missed or delayed spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) diagnosis, <15% get timely paracentesis, which persists despite guidelines/education in the United States. Measures to exclude SBP non-invasively where timely paracentesis cannot be performed could streamline this burden.

METHODS

Using Veterans Health Administration Corporate Data Warehouse (VHA-CDW) we included patients with cirrhosis between 2009 and 2019 who underwent timely paracentesis and collected relevant clinical information (demographics, cirrhosis severity, medications, vitals, and comorbidities). XGBoost-models were trained on 75% of the primary cohort, with 25% reserved for testing. The final model was further validated in 2 cohorts: Validation cohort #1: In VHA-CDW, those without prior SBP who received 2nd early paracentesis, and Validation cohort #2: Prospective data from 276 non-electively admitted University hospital patients.

RESULTS

Negative predictive values (NPVs) at 5%,10%, and 15% probability cutoffs were examined. Primary cohort: n = 9643 (mean age, 63.1 ± 8.7 years; 97.2% men; SBP, 15.0%) received first early paracentesis. Testing-set NPVs for SBP were 96.5%, 93.0%, and 91.6% at the 5%, 10%, and 15% probability thresholds, respectively. In Validation cohort #1: n = 2844 (mean age, 63.14 ± 8.37 years; 97.1% male; SBP, 9.7%) with NPVs were 98.8%, 95.3%, and 94.5%. In Validation cohort #2: n = 276 (mean age, 56.08 ± 9.09; 59.6% male; SBP, 7.6%) with NPVs were 100%, 98.9%, and 98.0% The final machine learning model showed the greatest net benefit on decision-curve analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

A machine learning model generated using routinely collected variables excluded SBP with high NPV. Applying this model could ease the need to provide paracentesis in resource-limited settings by excluding those unlikely to have SBP.

Early paracentesis is associated with better prognosis compared with late or no-paracentesis in hospitalized veterans with cirrhosis and ascites

Guidelines recommend that all hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and ascites receive an early (<24 h from admission) paracentesis. However, national data are not available regarding compliance with and the consequences of this quality metric. We used the national Veterans Administration Corporate Data Warehouse and validated International Classification of Disease codes to evaluate the rate and subsequent outcomes of early, late, and no paracentesis for patients with cirrhosis and ascites during their first inpatient admission between 2016 and 2019. Of 10,237 patients admitted with a diagnosis of cirrhosis with ascites, 14.3% received an early paracentesis, 7.3% received a late paracentesis, and 78.4% never received a paracentesis. In multivariable modeling, compared with an early paracentesis: both late paracentesis and no-paracentesis were significantly associated with increased odds of acute kidney injury (AKI) development [OR: 2.16 (95% CI, 1.59-2.94) and 1.34 (1.09-1.66), respectively]; intensive care unit (ICU) transfer [OR: 2.43 (1.71-3.47) and 2.01 (1.53-2.69), respectively] and inpatient death [OR: 1.54 (1.03-2.29) and 1.42 (1.05-1.93), respectively]. Nationally, only 14.3% of admitted veterans with cirrhosis and ascites received the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) guideline-recommended diagnostic paracentesis within 24 hours of admission. Failure to complete early paracentesis was associated with higher odds of AKI, ICU transfer, and inpatient mortality. Universal and site-specific barriers to this quality metric should be evaluated and addressed to improve patient outcomes.

Identifying Ascites in Patients with Cirrhosis Using Administrative Codes and Diuretic Use: A Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND

Ascites is associated with significantly increased morbidity, mortality, and health care costs. Large population studies are necessary to determine the burden and impact of ascites; however, ascites ICD-10 codes perform poorly in the identification of patients.

METHODS

We utilized three independent retrospective cohorts at the University of Michigan (cohorts 1 and 2) and Duke University (cohort 3). Cohort 1: Child A5-6 patients followed up to 10 years (n = 150); cohort 2: Child A5-B7 patients with portal hypertension followed for up to 1 year (n = 65); cohort 3: cross-sectional cohort of patients evaluated for liver transplant (n = 100). We computed performance characteristics for ascites-related ICD-10 codes (K70.31, K70.11, K71.51, R18.8), as well as loop and/or potassium-sparing diuretics.

RESULTS

A total of 315 patients were included across three cohorts. Algorithms including any ascites code provided better sensitivity and equivalent specificity to R18.8 alone for all cohorts. In cohort 2, we found that loop diuretics, potassium-sparing diuretics, and a combination of both with a cirrhosis code were highly sensitive (82.3% for each) and specific (89.1-93.5%). In contrast, ascites codes were insensitive. In patients with moderate-severe ascites, a combination of recorded diuretics showed high sensitivity and specificity (95.2% and 86.8%). In Cohort 3's transplant evaluation patients, we found that loop diuretics, potassium-sparing diuretics, and a combination of both with a cirrhosis code were highly sensitive (90.4%, 78.8% and 75.0%, respectively) and specific (85.0%, 90.0% and 95.0%, respectively). For moderate-severe cirrhosis, loop diuretics and R18.8 showed higher sensitivity (77.8%) and specificity (88.9%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Diuretic records with a cirrhosis code improve the identification of ascites. This method for identifying ascites should be used in future large dataset studies.

A retrospective study on use of palliative care for patients with alcohol related end stage liver disease in United States

BACKGROUND

Palliative care (PC) has been shown to be beneficial in end stage liver disease (ESLD), yet the hospitalization data for PC utilization is unknown.

AIM

To identify the trend of PC utilization for the special population of alcohol-associated ESLD patients, factors affecting its use and ascertain its impact on healthcare utilization.

METHODS

We analyzed around 78 million discharges from the 2007-2014 national inpatient sample and 2010-2014 national readmission database including adult patients admitted for decompensated alcohol-associated cirrhosis. We identified patients with PC consultation as a secondary diagnosis. Odds ratios (OR) and means were adjusted for confounders using multivariate regression analysis models.

RESULTS

Out of the total 1421849 hospitalizations for decompensated liver cirrhosis, 62782 (4.4%) hospitalizations had a PC consult, which increased from 0.8% (1258) of all alcohol-associated ESLD hospitalizations in 2007 to 6.6% in 2014 (P < 0.01). Patient and hospital characteristics associated with increased odds of PC utilization were advanced age, lower income, Medicaid coverage, teaching institution, urban location, length of stay > 3 d, prolonged ventilation, and administration of total parenteral nutrition (all P < 0.01). Palliative encounters in alcohol-associated ESLD and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) score were associated with increased odds of discharge to a rehabilitation facility, but significantly lower odds of 30-d readmissions (aOR: 0.35, 95%CI: 0.31-0.41), lower total hospitalization charges and lower mean hospitalization days (all P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Inpatient PC is sparingly used for patients with decompensated alcohol related liver disease, however it has increased over the past decade. PC consultation is associated with lower 30-d readmission rates on multivariate analysis, and lower hospitalization cost and length of stay in patients with ACLF score ≥ 2.

Rates of timely paracentesis for patients admitted to hospital with cirrhosis and ascites remain low but are unaffected by the COVID-19 pandemic

For the first 6 months of the novel coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) pandemic, the hospital medicine procedure service at our center was temporarily unavailable. We assessed paracentesis rates and clinical outcomes for patients admitted with cirrhosis and ascites before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Two hundred and twenty-four and 131 patients with cirrhosis and ascited were admitted to hospital before and during COVID-19 respectively. Approximately 50.9% and 49.6% of patients underwent a paracentesis within 24 h pre- and mid-pandemic, p = .83. No differences were observed for length-of-stay or 30-day readmissions. GI consultation was associated with higher rates of paracentesis in both eras (p < .001 pre-COVID-19, and p = .01 COVID-19). Changes due to the COVID-19 pandemic did not result in changes to rates of timely paracentesis in patients admitted with cirrhosis and ascites. While involvement of gastroenterology may increase rates of paracentesis, further efforts are needed to optimize rates of timely paracentesis to positively impact clinical outcomes.

Trends and In-Hospital Outcomes of Splanchnic Vein Thrombosis Associated with Gastrointestinal Malignancies: A Nationwide Analysis

Introduction

Gastrointestinal cancers have a strong association with splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT), yet the hospitalization data is unknown.

Objective and Methods

We analyzed around 78 million discharges from the 2007-2017 Nationwide Inpatient Sample with an inclusion criterion of adult patients admitted for portal or hepatic vein thrombosis as a primary diagnosis with a gastrointestinal or hepatobiliary malignancy as a secondary diagnosis. The outcomes were in-hospital mortality, complication rates, and resource utilization. Odds ratios (OR) and means were adjusted for confounders using multivariate regression analysis models.

Results

Out of the total 32,324 hospitalizations for SVT, 3,220 (10%) were associated with a GI malignancy, of which hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and pancreatic cancer were the most common. Portal vein thrombosis accounted for 95% of these hospitalizations. Admissions for pancreatic cancer-associated SVT have increased by 7.2 times from 2007 to 2017. Patients with SVT and concomitant GI malignancies were significantly older and had a higher comorbidity score than those with SVT without GI malignancy. Risk of inpatient mortality for SVT patients were significantly higher for patients with gastric cancer (rate: 12.1%, OR 8.6, 95% CI: 1.8-39.7) and HCC (rate: 7.6%, OR 2.77, 95% CI 1.5-4.8) as compared to non-GI malignancy-related SVT. Odds of variceal bleeding were significantly higher for patients with HCC (OR 1.67, 95% CI: 1.2-2.34) than patients without GI malignancy.

Conclusions

Digestive cancer-associated SVTs constitute 10% of all SVT related hospitalizations and are significantly increasing in the past decade. We report the baseline characteristics and predictors of inpatient mortality in this study.