The difference between cystatin C- and creatinine-based eGFR is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcome in patients with chronic kidney disease

Comparison of the correlation of creatinine- and cystatin C-Based estimated GFR and their differences with new-onset heart failure in a community-based population with type 2 diabetes

AIMS

This study aimed to investigate the impact of different estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values like cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys), creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr), and their difference (eGFRdiff; eGFRcys -eGFRcr), on the incidence of heart failure (HF) in patients with type 2 diabetes(T2D).

METHODS

Being a prospective cohort study, it included 7,967 patients with T2D who underwent serum creatinine and cystatin C tests as part of the Kailuan Group's 6th annual health examination (2016). Subsequently, eGFRcys, eGFRcr, and eGFRdiff were calculated. Patients were categorized into three groups: negative (<-15 mL/min/1.73 m2), midrange (-15 to 15 mL/min/1.73 m2), and positive (> 15 mL/min/1.73 m2) eGFRdiff groups, respectively. Furthermore, the relationship between the various eGFR measurements and new-onset HF were studied using Cox proportional hazards regression, and the potential improvement in predictive capability was evaluated by adding these eGFR metrics to established HF risk models.

RESULTS

Among 7967 participants with mean age of 60.51 years, there were 20.92% women and 79.08% men. At baseline, eGFRcys and eGFRcr values differed by more than 15 mL/min/1.73m2 in 41.3% of participants. During a median follow-up period of 3.76 years, there were 172 (2.16%) new HF cases and 517 (6.49%) all-cause deaths. The cumulative incidence of HF in the midrange, negative, and positive eGFRdiff groups was 1.74%, 4.10%, and 0.61%, respectively (p < 0.001). In multivariable adjusted models, participants in the negative eGFRdiff group had higher risk of HF compared with the midrange eGFRdiff group (HR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.57-2.94). Conversely, participants in the positive eGFRdiff group had lower risk for HF (HR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.17-0.93). And each 15 mL/min/ 1.73 m2 higher eGFRdiff was associated with 34% (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.58 - 0.47)lower risk of incident HF. The predictive capacity for HF risk in diabetic individuals was enhanced by adding eGFRcys or eGFRdiff to established HF risk models, with eGFRcys showing more significant additional predictive value.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that large differences between eGFRcys and eGFRcr were common in community-based population with T2D. Different eGFR metrics can independently predict HF incidence in patients with T2D. Additionally, metrics like eGFRcys and eGFRdiff provide significant predictive value for HF risks beyond traditional risk factors, with eGFRcys showing more pronounced benefits in such cases.

Diabetes mellitus: association of cystatin C- versus creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate with mortality and cardiovascular events

BACKGROUND

To explore the association between the differences between cystatin C- and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRdiff), and the risk of mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events in individuals with diabetes.

METHODS

Three prospective cohorts analyzed data from adults with diabetes from the Incident, Development, and Prognosis of Diabetic Kidney Disease (INDEED) study (2016-17 to 2020) in China, the National Health Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2004 to 2019) in the USA and UK Biobank (UKB, 2006-10 to 2022) in the UK. Baseline eGFRdiff was calculated using both absolute difference between cystatin C- and creatinine-based calculations (eGFRabdiff), and the ratio between them (eGFRrediff). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to investigate the association between eGFRdiff and outcomes including all-cause mortality and incident CV events.

RESULTS

A total of 8129 individuals from INDEED (aged 60.7 ± 10.0 years), 1634 from NHANES (aged 62.5 ± 14.4 years) and 29 358 from UKB (aged 59.4 ± 7.3 years) were included. At baseline, 43.6%, 32.4% and 42.1% of participants in INDEED, NHANES and UKB, respectively, had an eGFRabdiff value ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2. During a median follow-up of 3.8 years for INDEED, 15.2 years for NHANES and 13.5 years for UKB, a total of 430, 936 and 6143 deaths and a total of 481, 183 and 5583 CV events occurred, respectively. Each 1-standard deviation higher baseline eGFRabdiff was independently associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality and CV events, with hazard ratios of 0.77 and 0.82 in INDEED, 0.70 and 0.68 in NHANES, and 0.66 and 0.78 in UKB. Similar results were observed for eGFRrediff.

CONCLUSIONS

eGFRdiff represents a marker of adverse events for diabetes among general population. Monitoring both eGFRcys and eGFRcr yields additional prognostic information and has clinical utility in identifying high-risk individuals for mortality and CV events.

Which is the best glomerular filtration marker: Creatinine, cystatin C or both?

BACKGROUND

The glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is estimated by the serum or plasma concentration of creatinine and/or cystatin C using equations that include demographic data. The equations worldwide most widely used are those of the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) consortium and updated in 2021 to remove the Afro-American racial correction factor. In 2021 and then in 2023, the European Kidney Function Consortium also developed equations based on creatinine and cystatin C, usable across the full age spectrum, and constructed by including the Q value (i.e. the median creatinine or cystatin C in healthy men and women, which is customizable for specific populations).

METHODS

The aim of this narrative review is to examine the strengths and weaknesses of each biomarker.

RESULTS

Both biomarkers have non-GFR determinants, namely muscle mass, protein intake and tubular secretion for creatinine; dysthyroidism and systemic corticosteroids for cystatin C, as well as other more debated determinants (diabetes, obesity, proteinuria, inflammatory syndrome). These non-GFR determinants are the reason why no equation based on a single endogenous biomarker has an accuracy within 30% greater than 90% over the entire age spectrum (in at least one patient in 10, estimated GFR is at least 30% higher or at least 30% lower than the measured GFR).

CONCLUSION

Equations combining the two biomarkers provide a better estimate of GFR, particularly in the subgroup of patients whose estimates based on each of the biomarkers are highly discordant. These patients must also be identified as being at increased risk of morbidity, particularly cardiovascular, and mortality.

Difference Between Estimated GFR Based on Cystatin C Versus Creatinine and Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A Cohort Study of the UK Biobank

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

The difference between cystatin C-based and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRdiff) has been suggested to reflect factors distinct from kidney function that are associated with cardiovascular risk. However, the association between eGFRdiff and atrial fibrillation (AF) risk has not been extensively evaluated.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Using data from the UK Biobank, this study included 363,494 participants with measured serum creatinine and cystatin C levels and without a prior diagnosis of AF or a history of related procedures.

EXPOSURE

Estimated GFRdiff, calculated as cystatin C-based eGFR minus creatinine-based eGFR. Estimated GFRdiff was also categorized as negative (<-15mL/min/1.73m2), midrange (-15 to 15mL/min/1.73m2), or positive (≥15mL/min/1.73m2).

OUTCOME

Incident AF.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Subdistribution hazard models were fit, treating death that occurred before development of AF as a competing event.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 11.7 years, incident AF occurred in 18,994 (5.2%) participants. In the multivariable-adjusted model, participants with a negative eGFRdiff had a higher risk of incident AF (subdistribution HR [SHR], 1.25 [95% CI, 1.20-1.30]), whereas participants with a positive eGFRdiff had a lower risk of AF (SHR, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.77-0.87]) compared with those with a midrange eGFRdiff. When eGFRdiff was treated as a continuous variable in the adjusted model, every 10mL/min/1.73m2 higher eGFRdiff was associated with a 0.90-fold decrease in the risk of incident AF.

LIMITATIONS

A single measurement of baseline serum creatinine and cystatin C levels.

CONCLUSIONS

The difference between cystatin C- and creatinine-based eGFRs was associated with the risk of AF development. A higher eGFRdiff was associated with a lower risk of AF. These findings may have implications for the management of patients at risk of incident AF.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

The difference between cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and creatinine-based eGFR has recently gained attention as a potential indicator of cardiovascular outcomes influenced by factors other than kidney function. This study investigated the association between the differences in 2 eGFRs (cystatin C-based eGFR minus creatinine-based eGFR) and incident atrial fibrillation (AF) among>340,000 participants from the UK Biobank Study. Compared with those with a near zero eGFR difference, participants with a negative eGFR difference had a higher risk of AF, while those with a positive eGFR difference had a lower risk. These findings suggest that measuring eGFR differences may help identify individuals at a higher risk of developing AF.

Intraindividual difference in estimated GFR by creatinine and cystatin C, cognitive trajectories and motoric cognitive risk syndrome

BACKGROUND

Intraindividual differences between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine (eGFRcr) can convey important clinical information regarding health status. However, the clinical implications of these differences (eGFRdiff) for risk of cognitive decline and motoric cognitive risk (MCR) syndrome remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the longitudinal associations of eGFRdiff with cognitive trajectories and incident MCR.

METHODS

Based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we identified two study subcohorts: one for cognitive trajectory follow-up (6423 participants, 2011-2018) and another for incident MCR follow-up (2477 participants, 2011-2015). The eGFRdiff was defined as eGFRcys - eGFRcr. Adjusted ordinal and binary logistic regression models were separately used to assess the associations of eGFRdiff with cognitive trajectories and incident MCR. We also performed discordance analyses for eGFRdiff versus eGFRcys, eGFRcr or eGFR based on both creatinine and cystatin C (eGFRcys-cr).

RESULTS

In the first subcohort, four distinct 7-year cognitive trajectories were identified. Each 1 standard deviation (SD) higher eGFRdiff (value for eGFRcys - eGFRcr) was associated with a lower risk of poorer cognitive trajectories {odds ratio 0.909 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.877-0.942]}. In the second subcohort, 121 participants developed incident MCR after a 4-year follow-up. Each 1-SD higher eGFRdiff (value for eGFRcys - eGFRcr) was linked with a 25.3% (95% CI 16.6-33.2) decreased risk for MCR. The above associations persisted in individuals with normal kidney function. Additionally, the risk for cognitive decline and incident MCR was more strongly associated with eGFRcys than eGFRcr and eGFRcys-cr. For the discordance analyses, the 'discordantly high eGFRdiff/low eGFR' group but not the 'discordantly low eGFRdiff/high eGFR' exhibited a significantly lower risk of poorer cognitive trajectories and MCR compared with the concordant group.

CONCLUSIONS

A large negative difference between eGFRcys and eGFRcr (eGFRcys < eGFRcr) was associated with a higher risk of cognitive decline and incident MCR. The eGFRdiff could capture additional valuable risk information beyond eGFRcys, eGFRcr and eGFRcys-cr.

Cystatin C- and Creatinine-based Estimated GFR Differences: Prevalence and Predictors in the UK Biobank

Rationale & Objective

Large differences between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine (eGFRcr) occur commonly. A comprehensive evaluation of factors that contribute to these differences is needed to guide the interpretation of discrepant eGFR values.

Study Design

Cohort study.

Setting & Participants

468,969 participants in the UK Biobank.

Exposures

Candidate sociodemographic, lifestyle factors, comorbidities, medication usage, and physical and laboratory predictors.

Outcomes

eGFRdiff, defined as eGFRcys minus eGFRcr, categorized into 3 levels: lower eGFRcys (eGFRdiff, less than -15 mL/min/1.73 m2), concordant eGFRcys and eGFRcr (eGFRdiff, -15 to < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2), and lower eGFRcr (eGFRdiff, ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2).

Analytical Approach

Multinomial logistic regression models were constructed to identify predictors of lower eGFRcys or lower eGFRcr. We developed 2 prediction models comprising 375,175 participants: (1) a clinical model using clinically available variables and (2) an enriched model additionally including lifestyle variables. The models were internally validated in an additional 93,794 participants.

Results

Mean ± standard deviation of eGFRcys was 88 ± 16 mL/min/1.73 m2, and eGFRcr was 95 ± 13 mL/min/1.73 m2; 25% and 5% of participants were in the lower eGFRcys and lower eGFRcr groups, respectively. In the multivariable enriched model, strong predictors of lower eGFRcys were older age, male sex, South Asian ethnicity, current smoker (vs never smoker), history of thyroid dysfunction, chronic inflammatory disease, steroid use, higher waist circumference and body fat, and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio >300 mg/g. Odds ratio estimates for these predictors were largely inverse of those in the lower eGFRcr group. The model's area under the curve was 0.75 in the validation set, with good calibration (1.00).

Limitations

Limited generalizability.

Conclusions

This study highlights the multitude of demographic, lifestyle, and health characteristics that are associated with large eGFRdiff. The clinical model may identify individuals who are likely to have discrepant eGFR values and thus should be prioritized for cystatin C testing.

Comparative Analysis of Seven Equations for Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate and Their Impact on Chronic Kidney Disease Categorization in Korean Patients at Local Clinics and Hospitals

(1) Background: Accurate estimation of the glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is essential for the early detection of chronic kidney disease (CKD), targeted interventions, and ongoing monitoring. Although various equations for calculating eGFR exist, comparative studies on eGFR levels and the impact of these equations on CKD prevalence are limited in the Korean population. (2) Methods: We compared eGFR levels calculated using seven equations and investigated the prevalence of CKD through a retrospective analysis of the data from Korean adult patients who visited local clinics and hospitals and underwent simultaneous serum creatinine (Cr) and cystatin C (Cys-C) measurements. The equations analyzed were: 2006 MDRD, 2009 CKD-EPI Cr, 2012 CKD-EPI Cys-C, 2012 CKD-EPI Cr & Cys-C, 2021 CKD-EPI Cr, 2021 CKD-EPI Cr & Cys-C, and 2021 EKFC. (3) Results: This study included 6688 Korean patients (3736 men and 2952 women; median age: 61.4; IQR: 47.2-73.4). Among the equations, the median eGFR levels were the highest when using the 2021 CKD-EPI Cr & Cys-C equation (85.1 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the lowest when using the 2006 MDRD equation (73.4 mL/min/1.73 m2). The highest prevalence of decreased eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (equivalent to or worse than G3a CKD) was noted with the 2012 CKD-EPI Cys-C equation (32.4%), while the lowest was with the 2021 CKD-EPI Cr equation (22.9%), resulting in a maximum prevalence difference of 9.5%. (4) Conclusions: The prevalence of CKD varies based on the eGFR equation used and the patient's age. Equations that include Cys-C may identify a larger number of patients with decreased kidney function.

Discordances Between Creatinine- and Cystatin C-Based Estimated GFR and Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Routine Clinical Practice

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Cystatin C is recommended for measuring estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) when estimates based on creatinine (eGFRcr) are not thought to be accurate enough for clinical decision making. While global adoption is slow, routine cystatin C testing in Sweden has been available for over a decade, providing real-world evidence about the magnitude of differences between eGFRcys and eGFRcr and their association with clinical outcomes.

STUDY DESIGN

Observational study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

158,601 adults (48% women; mean age 62 years, eGFRcr 80, and eGFRcys 73mL/min/1.73/m2) undergoing testing for creatinine and cystatin C on the same day in connection with a health care encounter during 2010-2018 in Stockholm, Sweden.

EXPOSURE

Percentage difference of eGFRcys minus eGFRcr (eGFRdiff).

OUTCOME

Kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT), acute kidney injury (AKI), atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), heart failure, and death.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Discordances between eGFRcr and eGFRcys were common, with eGFRcys being lower than eGFRcr (negative eGFRdiff) in most cases (65%). Patients with larger negative eGFRdiff were older, more often female, with higher eGFRcr and albuminuria, and more comorbid conditions. Compared with patients with similar eGFRcys and eGFRcr, the lowest quartile (eGFRcys > 27% lower than eGFRcr) had the higher HR of all study outcomes: AKI, 2.6 (95% CI, 2.4-2.9); KFRT, 1.4 (95% CI, 1.2-1.6); ASCVD, 1.4 (95% CI, 1.3-1.5); heart failure, 2.0 (95% CI, 1.9-2.2); and all-cause death, 2.6 (95% CI, 2.5-2.7). Conversely, patients in the highest quartile (positive eGFRdiff) were at lower risk.

LIMITATIONS

Observational study, lack of information on indications for cystatin C testing.

CONCLUSIONS

Cystatin C testing in routine care shows that many patients have a lower eGFRcys than eGFRcr, and these patients have a higher risk of multiple adverse outcomes.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Clinicians require guidance when there are discrepancies between the estimated glomerular filtration rate based on creatinine (eGFRcr) and based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) in the same individual. Routine cystatin C testing in Sweden for over a decade permits exploration of how common and large these discrepancies are, and their associations with adverse clinical outcomes. In this observational study, we found that discordances between eGFRcys and eGFRcr are common, and 1 in 4 patients tested had an eGFRcys > 28% lower than their eGFRcr. We also show that an eGFRcys that is lower than the eGFRcr consistently identifies patients at higher risk of adverse outcomes, including cardiovascular events, kidney replacement therapy, acute kidney injury, and death.

Discordance Between Creatinine-Based and Cystatin C-Based Estimated GFR: Interpretation According to Performance Compared to Measured GFR

Rationale & Objective

Use of cystatin C in addition to creatinine to estimate glomerular filtration rate (estimated glomerular filtration rate based on cystatin C [eGFRcys] and estimated glomerular filtration rate based on creatinine [eGFRcr], respectively) is increasing. When eGFRcr and eGFRcys are discordant, it is not known which is more accurate, leading to uncertainty in clinical decision making.

Study Design

Cross-sectional analysis.

Setting & Participants

Four thousand fifty participants with measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) from 12 studies in North America and Europe.

Exposures

Serum creatinine and serum cystatin C.

Outcomes

Performance of creatinine-based and cystatin C-based glomerular filtration rate estimating equations compared to mGFR.

Analytical Approach

We evaluated the accuracy of eGFRcr, eGFRcys, and the combination (eGFRcr-cys) compared to mGFR according to the magnitude of the difference between eGFRcr and eGFRcys (eGFRdiff). We used CKD-EPI (Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration) equations to estimate glomerular filtration rate. eGFRdiff was defined as eGFRcys minus eGFRcr and categorized as less than -15, -15 to <15, and ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2 (negative, concordant, and positive groups, respectively). We compared bias (median of mGFR minus eGFR) and the percentage of eGFR within 30% of mGFR.

Results

Thirty percent of participants had discordant eGFRdiff (21.0% and 9.6% negative and positive eGFRdiffs, respectively). In the concordant eGFRdiff group, all equations displayed similar accuracy. In the negative eGFRdiff groups, eGFRcr had a large overestimation of mGFR (-13.4 [-14.5 to -12.2] mL/min/1.73 m2) and eGFRcys had a large underestimation (9.9 [9.1-11.2] mL/min/1.73m2), with opposite results in the positive eGFRdiff group. In both negative and positive eGFRdiff groups, eGFRcr-cys was more accurate than either eGFRcr or eGFRcys. These results were largely consistent across age, sex, race, and body mass index.

Limitations

Few participants with major comorbid conditions.

Conclusions

Discordant eGFRcr and eGFRcys are common. eGFR using the combination of creatinine and cystatin C provides the most accurate estimates among persons with discordant eGFRcr or eGFRcys.

Discrepancies between Cystatin C-Based and Creatinine-Based eGFR

BACKGROUND

Recent guidance suggests clinicians increase use of cystatin C for the estimation of GFR. Discrepant levels of creatinine- versus cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcr versus eGFRcys) can occur and might signify inaccurate estimation of GFR using creatinine alone. This study sought to enhance the knowledge of the risk factors and clinical implications of having a large eGFR discrepancy.

METHODS

Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, a prospective cohort study of US adults, were followed over 25 years. eGFR discrepancy was measured at five clinical visits and defined as eGFRcys either 30% lower or higher than eGFRcr, the current clinical standard of care. The associations between eGFR discrepancies and kidney-related laboratory parameters were assessed using linear and logistic regression and long-term adverse outcomes, including kidney failure, AKI, heart failure, and death, using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Among 13,197 individuals (mean age 57 [SD 6] years, 56% women, 25% Black race), 7% had eGFRcys 30% lower than eGFRcr at visit 2 (1990-1992), and this proportion increased over time to 23% by visit 6 (2016-2017). By contrast, the percent with eGFRcys 30% higher than eGFRcr was relatively stable (3%-1%). Independent risk factors for having eGFRcys 30% lower than eGFRcr included older age, female sex, non-Black race, higher eGFRcr, higher body mass index, weight loss, and current smoking. Those with eGFRcys 30% lower than eGFRcr had more anemia and higher uric acid, fibroblast growth factor 23, and phosphate levels as well as higher risk of subsequent mortality, kidney failure, AKI, and heart failure compared with those with similar eGFRcr and eGFRcys values.

CONCLUSIONS

Having eGFRcys lower than eGFRcr was associated with worse kidney-related laboratory derangements and a higher risk of adverse health outcomes.

PODCAST

This article contains a podcast at https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2023_09_08_CJN0000000000000217.mp3.

Urinary Phosphorus Excretion and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Pre-Dialysis Chronic Kidney Disease: The KNOW-CKD Study

The relationship between 24-h urinary phosphorus excretion (24 h UPE) and cardiovascular disease in patients with pre-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) has rarely been studied, despite the fact that the relationship between serum phosphorus level and the risk of a cardiovascular event is well established. A total of 1701 patients with pre-dialysis CKD were finally included for the analyses and were divided into tertiles by 24 h UPE (first tertile (T1, 349.557 (mean) ± 88.413 (standard deviation)), second tertile (T2, 557.530 ± 50.738), and third tertile (T3, 851.695 ± 171.593). The study outcome was a six-point major adverse cardiac event (MACE). The median follow-up duration was 7.992 years. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis visualized that the cumulative incidences of a six-point MACE (p = 0.029) significantly differed from 24 h UPE levels, as the incidence rate of the study outcomes was highest in T1 and lowest in T3. Cox proportional hazard models unveiled that, compared to T1, the risk of a six-point MACE was significantly decreased in T3 (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.376, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.207 to 0.683). The restricted cubic spline curve analysis visualized an inverted S-shaped association between 24 h UPE level and the risk of a six-point MACE, indicating a significantly increased risk of a six-point MACE in patients with a low 24 h UPE level. In conclusion, low 24 h UPE is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with CKD. Our finding emphasizes that low 24 h UPE should not be a reliable marker for dietary restriction of phosphorus that essentially leads to better outcomes in patients with CKD.

Comparison of the association intensity of creatinine and cystatin C with hyperphosphatemia and hyperparathyroidism in patients with chronic kidney disease

Herein, we compared the association intensity of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) equations using creatinine (Cr) or cystatin C (CysC) with hyperphosphatemia and secondary hyperparathyroidism occurrence, which reflect the physiological changes occurring during chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. This study included 639 patients treated between January 2019 and February 2022. The patients were divided into low- and high-difference groups based on the median value of the difference between the Cr-based eGFR (eGFR_Cr) and CysC-based eGFR (eGFR_CysC). Sociodemographic and laboratory factors underlying a high difference between eGFR_Cr and eGFR_CysC were analyzed. The association intensity of eGFR_Cr, eGFR_CysC and both Cr- and CysC-based eGFR (eGFR_Cr-CysC) was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AuROC) values for hyperphosphatemia and hyperparathyroidism occurrence in the overall cohort and the low- and high-difference groups. Age > 70 years and CKD grade 3 based on eGFR_Cr were significant factors affecting the high differences. eGFR_CysC and eGFR_Cr-CysC showed higher AuROC values than that of eGFR_Cr, especially in the high-difference group and in patients with CKD grade 3. Our results show that CysC should be evaluated in patients with significant factors, including age > 70 years and CKD grade 3, to accurately assess kidney function to better determine the physiological changes in CKD progression and predict prognosis accurately.

Association of Intra-individual Differences in Estimated GFR by Creatinine Versus Cystatin C With Incident Heart Failure

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is associated with heart failure (HF) risk. However, eGFR based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine (eGFRcr) may differ substantially within an individual. The clinical implications of these differences for risk of HF among persons with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are unknown.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

4,512 adults with CKD and without prevalent HF who enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

EXPOSURE

Difference in GFR estimates (eGFRdiff; ie, eGFRcys minus eGFRcr).

OUTCOME

Incident HF hospitalization.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Fine-Gray proportional subhazards regression was used to investigate the associations of baseline, time-updated, and slope of eGFRdiff with incident HF.

RESULTS

Of 4,512 participants, one-third had eGFRcys and eGFRcr values that differed by over 15 mL/min/1.73 m2. In multivariable-adjusted models, each 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 lower baseline eGFRdiff was associated with higher risk of incident HF hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR], 1.20 [95% CI, 1.07-1.34]). In time-updated analyses, those with eGFRdiff less than -15 mL/min/1.73 m2 had higher risk of incident HF hospitalization (HR, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.39-2.86]), and those with eGFRdiff ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2 had lower risk of incident HF hospitalization (HR, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.49-0.91]) compared with participants with similar eGFRcys and eGFRcr. Participants with faster declines in eGFRcys relative to eGFRcr had higher risk of incident HF (HR, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.19-1.85]) compared with those in whom eGFRcys and eGFRcr declined in parallel.

LIMITATIONS

Entry into the CRIC Study was determined by eGFRcr, which constrained the range of baseline eGFRcr-but not eGFRcys-values.

CONCLUSIONS

Among persons with CKD who have large differences between eGFRcys and eGFRcr, risk for incident HF is more strongly associated with eGFRcys. Diverging slopes between eGFRcys and eGFRcr over time are also independently associated with risk of incident HF.

Predictive markers in chronic kidney disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is defined by gradual deterioration of the renal parenchyma and decline of functioning nephrons. CKD is now recognized as a distinct risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). This risk rises in tandem with the decline in kidney function and peaks at the end-stage. It is important to identify individuals with CKD who are at a higher risk of advancing to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and the beginning of CVD. This will enhance the clinical benefits and so that evidence-based therapy may be started at the initial stages for those individuals. A promising biomarker must represent tissue damage, and be easy to detect using non-invasive methods. Current CKD progression indicators have difficulties in reaching this aim. Hence this review presents an update on markers studied in the last decade, which help in the prediction of CKD progression such as neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, kidney injury molecule-1, urinary liver-type fatty acid-binding protein, cystatin-C, asymmetric dimethylarginine, symmetric dimethylarginine, endotrophin, methylglyoxal, sclerostin, uric acid, and miRNA-196a. Additional research is needed to determine the predictive usefulness of these indicators in clinical samples for disease development. Their utility as surrogate markers need to be explored further for the early identification of CKD progression.

Serum creatinine to cystatin C ratio and clinical outcomes in adults with non-dialysis chronic kidney disease

Background

Studies have suggested that the serum creatinine/cystatin C (Cr/CysC) ratio is a surrogate marker for muscle wasting is associated with adverse outcomes in several disease conditions. To clarify the utility of the Cr/CysC ratio as a prognostic marker in chronic kidney disease (CKD) we evaluated the association between the Cr/CysC ratio clinical outcomes in patients with non-dialysis CKD.

Methods

This prospective observational cohort study included 1,966 participants of the KoreaN cohort study Outcomes in patients With CKD (KNOW-CKD). We evaluated associated factors with the serum Cr/CysC ratio and association between the serum Cr/CysC ratio and composite outcomes of all-cause death and cardiovascular events (CVEs).

Results

The mean age was 54 ± 12 (SD) years and 61% were men. The mean serum Cr/CysC ratio was 10.97 ± 1.94 in men and 9.10 ± 1.77 in women. The Cr/CysC ratio correlated positively with urinary creatinine excretion, a marker of muscle mass. In the fully adjusted Cox proportional hazard model, the Cr/CysC ratio was associated with the occurrence of adverse outcomes through a median follow-up of 5.9 years [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.85–0.99 for the composite outcomes, HR = 0.87, 95% CI, 0.78 − 0.97 for all-cause death, and HR = 0.93; 95% CI, 0.84–1.04 for CVEs]. In subgroup analyses, there were interactions of the Cr/CysC ratio with age and sex for risk of the clinical outcomes, but not eGFR group.

Conclusion

A higher Cr/CysC ratio is associated with a lower risk of the composite outcomes, especially all-cause mortality, even after adjusting for eGFR. These suggest that the Cr/CysC ratio is a useful prognostic marker in CKD.

Association of serum creatinine with aortic arch calcification in middle-aged and elderly adults: an observational cross-sectional study from China

Background and aims

Vascular calcification (VC) is a strong predictor of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Renal dysfunction is closely related to VC. Serum creatinine, as an important indicator of renal function in chronic kidney disease (CKD), is closely associated with increased VC. Here, to explore the potential role of serum creatinine in CVD, we examined the association between serum creatinine level and aortic arch calcification (AAC) presence in a larger general population.

Methods

A total of 9067 participants aged > 45 years were included in this study. All participants underwent postero-anterior chest X-ray examination to diagnose AAC. According to the distribution characteristics, serum creatinine levels in male and female were divided into tertiles respectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the association between aortic calcification and serum creatinine.

Results

Participants included 3776 men and 5291 women, and 611 and 990 AAC were detected, respectively. Serum creatinine level in the female AAC group was significantly higher than that in the non-AAC group (p < 0.001), while there was no significant difference in male serum creatinine between the two groups (p = 0.241). After logistic regression analysis excluded confounding factors, with the first tertile of serum creatinine as the reference, multivariable-adjusted ORs and 95% CIs of the second and the highest tertile of female and male were 1.045 (0.856–1.276), 1.263 (1.036–1.539); 0.953 (0.761–1.193), 0.948 (0.741–1.198), respectively.

Conclusion

Elevated serum creatinine levels are independently associated with higher AAC incidence in female aged > 45 years old. Measuring serum creatinine levels may assist the early screening individuals at high risk of developing CVD. And higher attention should be given to female's serum creatinine levels in daily clinical practice.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12872-022-02617-6.