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Xie L, Zhang Y, Niu X, Jiang X, Kang Y, Diao X, Fang J, Yu Y, Yao J. A nomogram for predicting cancer-specific survival in patients with locally advanced unresectable esophageal cancer: development and validation study. Front Immunol 2025; 16:1524439. [PMID: 40028339 PMCID: PMC11868048 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2025.1524439] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2024] [Accepted: 01/30/2025] [Indexed: 03/05/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Immunotherapy research for esophageal cancer is progressing rapidly, particularly for locally advanced unresectable cases. Despite these advances, the prognosis remains poor, and traditional staging systems like AJCC inadequately predict outcomes. This study aims to develop and validate a nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in these patients. Methods Clinicopathological and survival data for patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2021 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were divided into a training cohort (70%) and a validation cohort (30%). Prognostic factors were identified using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression. A nomogram was constructed based on the training cohort and evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), calibration plots, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to validate the prognostic factors. Results The study included 4,258 patients, and LASSO-Cox regression identified 10 prognostic factors: age, marital status, tumor location, tumor size, pathological grade, T stage, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, SEER stage, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy. The nomogram achieved a C-index of 0.660 (training set) and 0.653 (validation set), and 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUC values exceeded 0.65. Calibration curves showed a good fit, and decision curve analysis (DCA), IDI, and NRI indicated that the nomogram outperformed traditional AJCC staging in predicting prognosis. Conclusions We developed and validated an effective nomogram model for predicting CSS in patients with locally advanced unresectable esophageal cancer. This model demonstrated significantly superior predictive performance compared to the traditional AJCC staging system. Future research should focus on integrating emerging biomarkers, such as PD-L1 expression and tumor mutational burden (TMB), into prognostic models to enhance their predictive accuracy and adapt to the evolving landscape of immunotherapy in esophageal cancer management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liangyun Xie
- The First Affiliated Hospital, and College of Clinical Medicine of Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China
| | - Yafei Zhang
- The First Affiliated Hospital, and College of Clinical Medicine of Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China
| | - Xiedong Niu
- The First Affiliated Hospital, and College of Clinical Medicine of Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China
| | - Xiaomei Jiang
- Affiliated Tangshan Gongren Hospital, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China
| | - Yuan Kang
- The First Affiliated Hospital, and College of Clinical Medicine of Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China
| | - Xinyue Diao
- The First Affiliated Hospital, and College of Clinical Medicine of Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China
| | - Jinhai Fang
- The First Affiliated Hospital, and College of Clinical Medicine of Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China
| | - Yilin Yu
- The First Affiliated Hospital, and College of Clinical Medicine of Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China
| | - Jun Yao
- The First Affiliated Hospital, and College of Clinical Medicine of Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China
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Lu S, Han Y, Leng X. Treatment Paradigm for Cervical Esophageal Cancer: Now and Then. Ann Surg Oncol 2024; 31:8501-8503. [PMID: 39230853 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-024-16144-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2024] [Accepted: 08/22/2024] [Indexed: 09/05/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Simiao Lu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Sichuan Cancer Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Yongtao Han
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Sichuan Cancer Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Xuefeng Leng
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Sichuan Cancer Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
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Zhao XH, Zhang WC, Wang X, Chen JQ, Xu YJ, Zhao KL, Huang W, Qian PD, Liu YT, Ge XL, Xia XJ, Weng CG, Gai CY, Wang HS, Gao HM, Shen WB, Zhu SC. Dose escalation in radical radio(chemo)therapy for cervical and upper thoracic esophageal cancer with 3DCRT/IMRT (ChC&UES): a multicenter retrospective study. Radiat Oncol 2024; 19:126. [PMID: 39334163 PMCID: PMC11429629 DOI: 10.1186/s13014-024-02521-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2024] [Accepted: 09/09/2024] [Indexed: 09/30/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cervical and upper thoracic esophageal cancer (ESCA) presents treatment challenges due to limited clinical evidence. This multi-center study (ChC&UES) explores radical radio(chemo)therapy efficacy and safety, especially focusing on radiation dose. METHOD We retrospectively analyzed clinical data from 1,422 cases across 8 medical centers. According to the radiation dose for primary gross tumor, patients were divided into standard dose radiotherapy (SD, 50-55 Gy) or high dose (HD, > 55 Gy) radiotherapy. HD was further subdivided into conventional- high-dose group (HD-conventional, 55-63 Gy) and ultra-high-dose group (HD-ultra, ≥ 63 Gy). Primary outcome was Overall Survival (OS). RESULTS The median OS was 33.0 months (95% CI: 29.401-36.521) in the whole cohort. Compared with SD, HD shown significant improved survival in cervical ESCA in Kaplan-Meier (P = 0.029) and cox multivariate regression analysis (P = 0.024) while shown comparable survival in upper thoracic ESCA (P = 0.735). No significant difference existed between HD-conventional and HD-ultra in cervical (P = 0.976) and upper thoracic (P = 0.610) ESCA. Incidences of radiation esophagitis and pneumonia from HD were comparable to SD (P = 0.097, 0.240), while myosuppression risk was higher(P = 0.039). The Bonferroni method revealed that, for both cervical and upper thoracic ESCA, HD-ultra enhance the objective response rate (ORR) compared to SD (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION HD radiotherapy benefits cervical but not upper thoracic ESCA, while increasing bone marrow suppression risk. Further dose escalating (≥ 63 Gy) doesn't improve survival but enhances ORR.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiao-Han Zhao
- Department of Radiation Oncology, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 12 Jiankan Road, Chang'an District, Shijiazhuang, 050011, China
| | - Wen-Cheng Zhang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Huanhuxi Road, Hexi District, Tianjin, 300060, China
| | - Xin Wang
- Department of Radiotherapy, National Cancer Center/National Cancer Clinical Medical Research Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jun-Qiang Chen
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical Univercity, Fujian Cancer Hospital (Fujian Branch of Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center), Fuzhou, China
| | - Yuan-Ji Xu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical Univercity, Fujian Cancer Hospital (Fujian Branch of Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center), Fuzhou, China
| | - Kuai-Le Zhao
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai, China
| | - Wei Huang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Taian, China
| | - Pu-Dong Qian
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Nanjing Medical University Affiliated Cancer Hospital & Jiangsu Cancer Hospital & Jiangsu Institute of Cancer Research, Nanjing, China
| | - Ya-Tian Liu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Nanjing Medical University Affiliated Cancer Hospital & Jiangsu Cancer Hospital & Jiangsu Institute of Cancer Research, Nanjing, China
| | - Xiao-Lin Ge
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Jiangsu Province Hospital and Nanjing Medical University First Affiliated Hospital, 300, Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xiao-Jie Xia
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Jiangsu Province Hospital and Nanjing Medical University First Affiliated Hospital, 300, Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Chen-Gang Weng
- Department of Throacic Surgery Department, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Chun-Yue Gai
- Department of Throacic Surgery Department, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - He-Song Wang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 12 Jiankan Road, Chang'an District, Shijiazhuang, 050011, China
| | - Hong-Mei Gao
- Department of Radiation, Shijiazhuang People's Hospital, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Wen-Bin Shen
- Department of Radiation Oncology, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 12 Jiankan Road, Chang'an District, Shijiazhuang, 050011, China.
| | - Shu-Chai Zhu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 12 Jiankan Road, Chang'an District, Shijiazhuang, 050011, China.
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Mehta A, Vadgaonkar RA, Lewis S, Mahantshetty U, Agarwal JP. Definitive chemo-radiotherapy in cervical oesophageal cancer: a comprehensive review of literature. Rep Pract Oncol Radiother 2024; 29:391-408. [PMID: 39144270 PMCID: PMC11321780 DOI: 10.5603/rpor.100777] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2024] [Accepted: 05/16/2024] [Indexed: 08/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Background and Objectives Despite decades of experience with definitive chemo-radiotherapy (CRT) in cervical oesophageal cancer (CEC), the loco-regional control and survival outcomes are dismal. This review evaluated the outcomes of various treatment strategies being commonly utilized. Materials and methods A literature review was conducted to identify relevant articles on CEC published from years 2000-2023 addressing the predefined key questions. These questions focussed on the comparative outcomes of various primary treatment approaches (surgery, CRT, or trimodality treatment) and the radiation dose schedules, volumes, and techniques. Results CRT is the standard approach for treatment for CEC so far. The potential role of surgery and trimodality approach in settings of evolving surgical approaches needs to be validated. The high dose schedules that are preferentially practiced in CEC have not shown any benefit in improving the disease outcomes over the standard dose schedule of 50.4 Gy. The target volume delineation practice of elective nodal irradiation (ENI) does not have a proven benefit over the involved field irradiation (IFI). The limited evidence on radiation techniques suggests that intensity-modulated radiotherapy/volumetric-modulated arc therapy (IMRT/VMAT) techniques can improve toxicity profile over three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3DCRT), but no advantage proven in disease outcomes so far. Conclusion This review will guide clinicians in decision-making for the management of this relatively rare entity and the directions for future research in these areas. Future large-scale multicentre prospective studies are needed for validating and standardizing our current practices and exploring potential options to improve the outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ankita Mehta
- Department of Radiotherapy and Oncology, Kasturba Medical College, Manipal, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, Karnataka, India
| | | | - Shirley Lewis
- Department of Radiotherapy and Oncology, Kasturba Medical College, Manipal, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, Karnataka, India
| | - Umesh Mahantshetty
- Radiation Oncology, Homi Bhabha Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Visakhapatnam, India
| | - JP Agarwal
- Radiation Oncology, Tata Memorial Hospital, Mumbai, India
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Ruan Y, Ma Y, Ma M, Liu C, Su D, Guan X, Yang R, Wang H, Li T, Zhou Y, Ma J, Zhang Y. Dynamic radiological features predict pathological response after neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. J Transl Med 2024; 22:471. [PMID: 38762454 PMCID: PMC11102630 DOI: 10.1186/s12967-024-05291-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2024] [Accepted: 05/09/2024] [Indexed: 05/20/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NICT) plus esophagectomy has emerged as a promising treatment option for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC). Pathologic complete response (pCR) is a key indicator associated with great efficacy and overall survival (OS). However, there are insufficient indicators for the reliable assessment of pCR. METHODS 192 patients with LA-ESCC treated with NICT from December 2019 to October 2023 were recruited. According to pCR status, patients were categorized into pCR group (22.92%) and non-pCR group (77.08%). Radiological features of pretreatment and preoperative CT images were extracted. Logistic and COX regressions were trained to predict pathological response and prognosis, respectively. RESULTS Four of the selected radiological features were combined to construct an ESCC preoperative imaging score (ECPI-Score). Logistic models revealed independent associations of ECPI-Score and vascular sign with pCR, with AUC of 0.918 in the training set and 0.862 in the validation set, respectively. After grouping by ECPI-Score, a higher proportion of pCR was observed among the high-ECPI group and negative vascular sign. Kaplan Meier analysis demonstrated that recurrence-free survival (RFS) with negative vascular sign was significantly better than those with positive (P = 0.038), but not for OS (P = 0.310). CONCLUSIONS This study demonstrates dynamic radiological features are independent predictors of pCR for LA-ESCC treated with NICT. It will guide clinicians to make accurate treatment plans.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuli Ruan
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China
| | - Yue Ma
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China
- Key Laboratory of Tumor Immunology in Heilongjiang, Harbin, China
| | - Ming Ma
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China
- Key Laboratory of Tumor Immunology in Heilongjiang, Harbin, China
| | - Chao Liu
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China
- Translational Medicine Research and Cooperation Center of Northern China, Heilongjiang Academy of Medical Sciences, Harbin, China
- Key Laboratory of Tumor Immunology in Heilongjiang, Harbin, China
| | - Dan Su
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China
- Translational Medicine Research and Cooperation Center of Northern China, Heilongjiang Academy of Medical Sciences, Harbin, China
| | - Xin Guan
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China
- Translational Medicine Research and Cooperation Center of Northern China, Heilongjiang Academy of Medical Sciences, Harbin, China
- Clinical Research Center for Colorectal Cancer in Heilongjiang, Harbin, China
| | - Rui Yang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China
- Translational Medicine Research and Cooperation Center of Northern China, Heilongjiang Academy of Medical Sciences, Harbin, China
- Clinical Research Center for Colorectal Cancer in Heilongjiang, Harbin, China
| | - Hong Wang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China
| | - Tianqin Li
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China
| | - Yang Zhou
- Department of Radiology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China.
| | - Jianqun Ma
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China.
| | - Yanqiao Zhang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, 150 Haping Road, Harbin, Heilongjiang, 150001, People's Republic of China.
- Translational Medicine Research and Cooperation Center of Northern China, Heilongjiang Academy of Medical Sciences, Harbin, China.
- Key Laboratory of Tumor Immunology in Heilongjiang, Harbin, China.
- Clinical Research Center for Colorectal Cancer in Heilongjiang, Harbin, China.
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Hu J, Liu Q, Feng B, Lu Y, Chen K. Deciphering the Hypoxia-immune interface in esophageal squamous carcinoma: a prognostic network model. Front Oncol 2023; 13:1296814. [PMID: 38148838 PMCID: PMC10751000 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1296814] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2023] [Accepted: 11/20/2023] [Indexed: 12/28/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction The rapid progress and poor prognosis of the exercise of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCA) bring great challenges to the treatment. Hypoxia in the tumor microenvironment has become a key factor in the pathogenesis of tumors. However, due to the lack of clear therapeutic targets, hypoxia targeted therapy of ESCA is still in the exploratory stage. Methods To bridge this critical gap, we mined a large number of gene expression profiles and clinical data on ESCA from public databases. First, weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) and functional enrichment analysis were performed. We next delved into the relationship between hypoxia and apoptotic cell interactions. Meanwhile, using LASAS-Cox regression, we designed a robust prognostic risk score, which was subsequently validated in the GSE53625 cohort. In addition, we performed a comprehensive analysis of immune cell infiltration and tumor microenvironment using cutting-edge computational tools. Results Hypoxia-related genes were identified and classified by WGCNA. Functional enrichment analysis further elucidated the mechanism by which hypoxia affected the ESCA landscape. The results of the interaction analysis of hypoxia and apoptotic cells revealed their important roles in driving tumor progression. The validation results of the prognostic risk score model in the GSE53625 cohort obtained a good area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the risk score was independently verified as a significant predictor of ESCA outcome. The results of immune cell infiltration and tumor microenvironment analysis reveal the profound impact of immune cell dynamics on tumor evolution. Conclusion Overall, our study presents a pioneering hypoxiacentered gene signature for prognostication in ESCA, providing valuable prognostic insights that could potentially revolutionize patient stratification and therapeutic management in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Hu
- Department of Medical Oncology of The Eastern Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Qilong Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology of The Eastern Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Bi Feng
- Department of Medical Oncology of The Eastern Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yanling Lu
- Department of Medical Oncology of The Eastern Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Kai Chen
- Department of Medical Oncology of The Eastern Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
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Gui Z, Hu W, Kong Q, Liu C, Xu Y, Wang F. Esophageal stenosis as an independent factor of poor prognosis in patients with ESCC treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. Future Oncol 2022; 18:4193-4207. [PMID: 36651337 DOI: 10.2217/fon-2022-0125] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Aim: To evaluate the clinical outcome and elucidate the prognostic factors in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Patients: Data for patients newly diagnosed with ESCC receiving definitive CRT at our institution between 2012 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Results: A total of 201 patients were included. Severe stenosis after radiotherapy was an independent factor relevant to prognosis. Maximal esophageal wall thickness, short-term responses, severe stenosis at diagnosis and a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were independent risk factors for the occurrence of severe stenosis after radiotherapy. Conclusion: Severe stenosis after radiotherapy is a useful predictive indicator in patients with ESCC receiving definitive CRT. Further studies are needed to verify these findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhongxuan Gui
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, 230022, People's Republic of China
| | - Wenjun Hu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Anhui Chest Hospital, Hefei, Anhui, 230022, People's Republic of China
| | - Qi Kong
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Anhui Second People's Hospital, Hefei, Anhui, 230012, People's Republic of China
| | - Can Liu
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, 230022, People's Republic of China
| | - Yuechen Xu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, 230022, People's Republic of China
| | - Fan Wang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, 230022, People's Republic of China
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