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Edwards AJ, King MF, Noakes CJ, Peckham D, López-García M. The Wells-Riley model revisited: Randomness, heterogeneity, and transient behaviours. RISK ANALYSIS : AN OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS 2024; 44:2125-2147. [PMID: 38501447 DOI: 10.1111/risa.14295] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2024] [Revised: 02/26/2024] [Accepted: 02/29/2024] [Indexed: 03/20/2024]
Abstract
The Wells-Riley model has been widely used to estimate airborne infection risk, typically from a deterministic point of view (i.e., focusing on the average number of infections) or in terms of a per capita probability of infection. Some of its main limitations relate to considering well-mixed air, steady-state concentration of pathogen in the air, a particular amount of time for the indoor interaction, and that all individuals are homogeneous and behave equally. Here, we revisit the Wells-Riley model, providing a mathematical formalism for its stochastic version, where the number of infected individuals follows a Binomial distribution. Then, we extend the Wells-Riley methodology to consider transient behaviours, randomness, and population heterogeneity. In particular, we provide analytical solutions for the number of infections and the per capita probability of infection when: (i) susceptible individuals remain in the room after the infector leaves, (ii) the duration of the indoor interaction is random/unknown, and (iii) infectors have heterogeneous quanta production rates (or the quanta production rate of the infector is random/unknown). We illustrate the applicability of our new formulations through two case studies: infection risk due to an infectious healthcare worker (HCW) visiting a patient, and exposure during lunch for uncertain meal times in different dining settings. Our results highlight that infection risk to a susceptible who remains in the space after the infector leaves can be nonnegligible, and highlight the importance of incorporating uncertainty in the duration of the indoor interaction and the infectivity of the infector when estimating risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexander J Edwards
- EPSRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Fluid Dynamics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | | | | | - Daniel Peckham
- Leeds Institute of Medical Research, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK
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Solberg RB, Fretheim A, Elgersma IH, Fagernes M, Iversen BG, Hemkens LG, Rose CJ, Elstrøm P. Personal protective effect of wearing surgical face masks in public spaces on self-reported respiratory symptoms in adults: pragmatic randomised superiority trial. BMJ 2024; 386:e078918. [PMID: 39048132 PMCID: PMC11267995 DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2023-078918] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/29/2024] [Indexed: 07/27/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the personal protective effects of wearing versus not wearing surgical face masks in public spaces on self-reported respiratory symptoms over a 14 day period. DESIGN Pragmatic randomised superiority trial. SETTING Norway. PARTICIPANTS 4647 adults aged ≥18 years: 2371 were assigned to the intervention arm and 2276 to the control arm. INTERVENTIONS Participants in the intervention arm were assigned to wear a surgical face mask in public spaces (eg, shopping centres, streets, public transport) over a 14 day period (mask wearing at home or work was not mentioned). Participants in the control arm were assigned to not wear a surgical face mask in public places. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES The primary outcome was self-reported respiratory symptoms consistent with a respiratory infection. Secondary outcomes included self-reported and registered covid-19 infection. RESULTS Between 10 February 2023 and 27 April 2023, 4647 participants were randomised of whom 4575 (2788 women (60.9%); mean age 51.0 (standard deviation 15.0) years) were included in the intention-to-treat analysis: 2313 (50.6%) in the intervention arm and 2262 (49.4%) in the control arm. 163 events (8.9%) of self-reported symptoms consistent with respiratory infection were reported in the intervention arm and 239 (12.2%) in the control arm. The marginal odds ratio was 0.71 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.58 to 0.87; P=0.001) favouring the face mask intervention. The absolute risk difference was -3.2% (95% CI -5.2% to -1.3%; P<0.001). No statistically significant effect was found on self- reported (marginal odds ratio 1.07, 95% CI 0.58 to 1.98; P=0.82) or registered covid-19 infection (effect estimate and 95% CI not estimable owing to lack of events in the intervention arm). CONCLUSION Wearing a surgical face mask in public spaces over 14 days reduces the risk of self-reported symptoms consistent with a respiratory infection, compared with not wearing a surgical face mask. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05690516.
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Affiliation(s)
- Runar Barstad Solberg
- Centre for Epidemic Interventions Research (CEIR), Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
| | - Atle Fretheim
- Centre for Epidemic Interventions Research (CEIR), Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Oslo Metropolitan University, Oslo, Norway
| | - Ingeborg Hess Elgersma
- Centre for Epidemic Interventions Research (CEIR), Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
| | - Mette Fagernes
- Division of Infection Control, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
| | - Bjørn Gunnar Iversen
- Division of Infection Control, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
| | - Lars G Hemkens
- Pragmatic Evidence Lab, Research Center for Clinical Neuroimmunology and Neuroscience Basel (RC2NB), Basel, Switzerland
- Department of Clinical Research, University Hospital Basel and University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
- Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford (METRICS), Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Christopher James Rose
- Centre for Epidemic Interventions Research (CEIR), Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
- Cluster for Reviews and Health Technology Assessments, Division for Health Services, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
| | - Petter Elstrøm
- Centre for Epidemic Interventions Research (CEIR), Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
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Martignoni MM, Arino J, Hurford A. Is SARS-CoV-2 elimination or mitigation best? Regional and disease characteristics determine the recommended strategy. ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE 2024; 11:240186. [PMID: 39100176 PMCID: PMC11295893 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240186] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2023] [Accepted: 05/01/2024] [Indexed: 08/06/2024]
Abstract
Public health responses to the COVID-19 pandemic varied across the world. Some countries (e.g. mainland China, New Zealand and Taiwan) implemented elimination strategies involving strict travel measures and periods of rigorous non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in the community, aiming to achieve periods with no disease spread; while others (e.g. many European countries and the USA) implemented mitigation strategies involving less strict NPIs for prolonged periods, aiming to limit community spread. Travel measures and community NPIs have high economic and social costs, and there is a need for guidelines that evaluate the appropriateness of an elimination or mitigation strategy in regional contexts. To guide decisions, we identify key criteria and provide indicators and visualizations to help answer each question. Considerations include determining whether disease elimination is: (1) necessary to ensure healthcare provision; (2) feasible from an epidemiological point of view and (3) cost-effective when considering, in particular, the economic costs of travel measures and treating infections. We discuss our recommendations by considering the regional and economic variability of Canadian provinces and territories, and the epidemiological characteristics of different SARS-CoV-2 variants. While elimination may be a preferable strategy for regions with limited healthcare capacity, low travel volumes, and few ports of entry, mitigation may be more feasible in large urban areas with dense infrastructure, strong economies, and with high connectivity to other regions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria M. Martignoni
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, Canada
- Department of Ecology, Evolution and Behavior, A. Silberman Institute of Life Sciences, Faculty of Sciences, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Julien Arino
- Department of Mathematics, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
| | - Amy Hurford
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, Canada
- Biology Department and Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, Canada
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Roth I, Yosef A. Paving initial forecasting COVID-19 spread capabilities by nonexperts: A case study. Digit Health 2024; 10:20552076241272565. [PMID: 39161344 PMCID: PMC11331569 DOI: 10.1177/20552076241272565] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2024] [Accepted: 07/16/2024] [Indexed: 08/21/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective The COVID-19 outbreak compelled countries to take swift actions across various domains amidst substantial uncertainties. In Israel, significant COVID-19-related efforts were assigned to the Israeli Home Front Command (HFC). HFC faced the challenge of anticipating adequate resources to efficiently and timely manage its numerous assignments despite the absence of a COVID-19 spread forecast. This paper describes the initiative of a group of motivated, though nonexpert, people to provide the needed COVID-19 rate of spread of the epidemic forecasts. Methods To address this challenge, the Planning Chamber, reporting to the HFC Medical Commander, undertook the task of mapping HFC healthcare challenges and resource requirements. The nonexpert team continuously collected public COVID-19-related data published by the Israeli Ministry of Health (MoH) of verified cases, light cases, mild cases, serious condition cases, life-support cases, and deaths, and despite lacking expertise in statistics and healthcare and having no sophisticated statistical packages, generated forecasts using Microsoft® Excel. Results The analysis methods and applications successfully demonstrated the desired outcome of the lockdown by showing a transition from exponential to polynomial growth in the spread of the virus. These forecasting activities enabled decision-makers to manage resources effectively, supporting the HFC's operations during the pandemic. Conclusions Nonexpert forecasting may become a necessity and be beneficial, and similar analysis efforts can be easily replicated in future events. However, they are inherently short-lived and should persist only until knowledge centers can bridge the expertise gap. It is crucial to identify major events, such as lockdowns, during forecasting due to their potential impact on spread rates. Despite the expertise gap, the Planning Chamber's approach provided valuable resource management insights for HFC's COVID-19 response.
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Affiliation(s)
- Idan Roth
- Department of Information Systems, Tel Aviv-Yaffo Academic College, Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel
| | - Arthur Yosef
- Department of Information Systems, Tel Aviv-Yaffo Academic College, Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel
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Sims M, Helal Z, Levin M, Rittenhouse T, Hawley J, Risatti GR. Suburban Population of Bobcats (Lynx rufus) in Connecticut, USA, Tested Negative for SARS-CoV-2, November 2021-February 2022. J Wildl Dis 2024; 60:193-197. [PMID: 37924242 DOI: 10.7589/jwd-d-23-00054] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2023] [Accepted: 08/23/2023] [Indexed: 11/06/2023]
Abstract
A SARS-CoV-2 genomic and serologic survey was performed in a population of bobcats (Lynx rufus) inhabiting the state of Connecticut, USA. Wild animal populations are becoming established in densely populated cities with increased likelihood of direct or indirect contact with humans, as well as with household cats and dogs. Wild-caught bobcats (n=38) tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 genomic RNA by reverse-transcription quantitative PCR and for virus-neutralizing antibodies by ELISA, suggesting that either the species is not susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 or that the surveyed population has not yet been exposed to a source of infectious virus. However, this limited survey cannot rule out that human-to-bobcat or unknown reservoir-to-bobcat transmission of the virus occurs in nature.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maureen Sims
- Department of Pathobiology and Veterinary Science, College of Agriculture, Health and Natural Resources, University of Connecticut, Atwater Lab Bldg., 61 North Eagleville Road, Unit 3089, Storrs, Connecticut 06269-3089, USA
- Connecticut Veterinary Medical Diagnostic Laboratory, Department of Pathobiology and Veterinary Science, College of Agriculture, Health and Natural Resources, University of Connecticut, Atwater Lab Bldg., 61 North Eagleville Road, Unit 3089, Storrs, Connecticut 06269-3089, USA
- These authors contributed equally
| | - Zeinab Helal
- Department of Pathobiology and Veterinary Science, College of Agriculture, Health and Natural Resources, University of Connecticut, Atwater Lab Bldg., 61 North Eagleville Road, Unit 3089, Storrs, Connecticut 06269-3089, USA
- Connecticut Veterinary Medical Diagnostic Laboratory, Department of Pathobiology and Veterinary Science, College of Agriculture, Health and Natural Resources, University of Connecticut, Atwater Lab Bldg., 61 North Eagleville Road, Unit 3089, Storrs, Connecticut 06269-3089, USA
- These authors contributed equally
| | - Milton Levin
- Department of Pathobiology and Veterinary Science, College of Agriculture, Health and Natural Resources, University of Connecticut, Atwater Lab Bldg., 61 North Eagleville Road, Unit 3089, Storrs, Connecticut 06269-3089, USA
| | - Tracy Rittenhouse
- Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, College of Agriculture, Health and Natural Resources, Wildlife and Fisheries Conservation Center, University of Connecticut, Wilfred B. Young Bldg., 1376 Storrs Road, Storrs, Connecticut 06269-4087, USA
| | - Jason Hawley
- Connecticut Department of Energy and Environmental Protection, Wildlife Division, 79 Elm Street, Hartford, Connecticut 06106-5127, USA
| | - Guillermo R Risatti
- Department of Pathobiology and Veterinary Science, College of Agriculture, Health and Natural Resources, University of Connecticut, Atwater Lab Bldg., 61 North Eagleville Road, Unit 3089, Storrs, Connecticut 06269-3089, USA
- Connecticut Veterinary Medical Diagnostic Laboratory, Department of Pathobiology and Veterinary Science, College of Agriculture, Health and Natural Resources, University of Connecticut, Atwater Lab Bldg., 61 North Eagleville Road, Unit 3089, Storrs, Connecticut 06269-3089, USA
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Li S, Guo J, Gu Y, Meng Y, He M, Yang S, Ge Z, Wang G, Yang Y, Jin R, Lu L, Liu P. Assessing airborne transmission risks in COVID-19 hospitals by systematically monitoring SARS-CoV-2 in the air. Microbiol Spectr 2023; 11:e0109923. [PMID: 37937995 PMCID: PMC10714815 DOI: 10.1128/spectrum.01099-23] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2023] [Accepted: 09/15/2023] [Indexed: 11/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Risk management and control of airborne transmission in hospitals is crucial in response to a respiratory virus pandemic. However, the formulation of these infection control measures is often based on epidemiological investigations, which are an indirect way of analyzing the transmission route of viruses. This can lead to careless omissions in infection prevention and control or excessively restrictive measures that increase the burden on healthcare workers. The study provides a starting point for standardizing transmission risk management in designated hospitals by systemically monitoring viruses in the air of typical spaces in COVID-19 hospitals. The negative results of 359 air samples in the clean and emergency zones demonstrated the existing measures to interrupt airborne transmission in a designated COVID-19 hospital. Some positive cases in the corridor of the contaminant zone during rounds and meal delivery highlighted the importance of monitoring airborne viruses for interrupting nosocomial infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shanglin Li
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, School of Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Changping Laboratory, Beijing, China
| | - Jiazhen Guo
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yin Gu
- State Key Laboratory of Space Medicine Fundamentals and Application, China Astronaut Research and Training Center, Beijing, China
| | - Yan Meng
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Ming He
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Shangzhi Yang
- Beijing Zijing Biotechnology Co., Ltd., Beijing, China
| | - Ziruo Ge
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Guanjun Wang
- Beijing Zijing Biotechnology Co., Ltd., Beijing, China
| | - Yi Yang
- Beijing Zijing Biotechnology Co., Ltd., Beijing, China
| | - Ronghua Jin
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Lianhe Lu
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Peng Liu
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, School of Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Changping Laboratory, Beijing, China
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Reyes-Carmona L, Sepúlveda-Robles OA, Almaguer-Flores A, Bello-Lopez JM, Ramos-Vilchis C, Rodil SE. Antimicrobial activity of silver-copper coating against aerosols containing surrogate respiratory viruses and bacteria. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0294972. [PMID: 38079398 PMCID: PMC10712891 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0294972] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2023] [Accepted: 11/10/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023] Open
Abstract
The transmission of bacteria and respiratory viruses through expelled saliva microdroplets and aerosols is a significant concern for healthcare workers, further highlighted during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. To address this issue, the development of nanomaterials with antimicrobial properties for use as nanolayers in respiratory protection equipment, such as facemasks or respirators, has emerged as a potential solution. In this study, a silver and copper nanolayer called SakCu® was deposited on one side of a spun-bond polypropylene fabric using the magnetron sputtering technique. The antibacterial and antiviral activity of the AgCu nanolayer was evaluated against droplets falling on the material and aerosols passing through it. The effectiveness of the nanolayer was assessed by measuring viral loads of the enveloped virus SARS-CoV-2 and viability assays using respiratory surrogate viruses, including PaMx54, PaMx60, PaMx61 (ssRNA, Leviviridae), and PhiX174 (ssDNA, Microviridae) as representatives of non-enveloped viruses. Colony forming unit (CFU) determination was employed to evaluate the survival of aerobic and anaerobic bacteria. The results demonstrated a nearly exponential reduction in SARS-CoV-2 viral load, achieving complete viral load reduction after 24 hours of contact incubation with the AgCu nanolayer. Viability assays with the surrogate viruses showed a significant reduction in viral replication between 2-4 hours after contact. The simulated viral filtration system demonstrated inhibition of viral replication ranging from 39% to 64%. The viability assays with PhiX174 exhibited a 2-log reduction in viral replication after 24 hours of contact and a 16.31% inhibition in viral filtration assays. Bacterial growth inhibition varied depending on the species, with reductions ranging from 70% to 92% for aerobic bacteria and over 90% for anaerobic strains. In conclusion, the AgCu nanolayer displayed high bactericidal and antiviral activity in contact and aerosol conditions. Therefore, it holds the potential for incorporation into personal protective equipment to effectively reduce and prevent the transmission of aerosol-borne pathogenic bacteria and respiratory viruses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lorena Reyes-Carmona
- Laboratorio de Biointerfases, DEPeI, Facultad de Odontología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, CDMX, México
- Programa de Maestría y Doctorado en Ciencias Médicas Odontológicas y de la Salud, Facultad de Odontología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, CDMX, México
| | - Omar A. Sepúlveda-Robles
- Unidad de Investigación Médica en Genética Humana, UMAE Hospital de Pediatría, Centro Médico Nacional "Siglo XXI", Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social (IMSS), CDMX, México
| | - Argelia Almaguer-Flores
- Laboratorio de Biointerfases, DEPeI, Facultad de Odontología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, CDMX, México
| | - Juan Manuel Bello-Lopez
- Dirección de Investigación, Hospital Juárez de México, Magdalena de las Salinas, CDMX, México
| | - Carlos Ramos-Vilchis
- Instituto de Investigaciones en Materiales, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, CDMX, México
| | - Sandra E. Rodil
- Instituto de Investigaciones en Materiales, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, CDMX, México
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van der Feltz S, Schlünssen V, Basinas I, Begtrup LM, Burdorf A, Bonde JPE, Flachs EM, Peters S, Pronk A, Stokholm ZA, van Tongeren M, van Veldhoven K, Oude Hengel KM, Kolstad HA. Associations between an international COVID-19 job exposure matrix and SARS-CoV-2 infection among 2 million workers in Denmark. Scand J Work Environ Health 2023; 49:375-385. [PMID: 37167299 PMCID: PMC10790132 DOI: 10.5271/sjweh.4099] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/16/2023] [Indexed: 05/13/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study investigates the associations between the Danish version of a job exposure matrix for COVID-19 (COVID-19-JEM) and Danish register-based SARS-CoV-2 infection information across three waves of the pandemic. The COVID-19-JEM consists of four dimensions on transmission: two on mitigation measures, and two on precarious work characteristics. METHODS The study comprised 2 021 309 persons from the Danish working population between 26 February 2020 and 15 December 2021. Logistic regression models were applied to assess the associations between the JEM dimensions and overall score and SARS-CoV-2 infection across three infection waves, with peaks in March-April 2020, December-January 2021, and February-March 2022. Sex, age, household income, country of birth, wave, residential region and during wave 3 vaccination status were accounted for. RESULTS Higher risk scores within the transmission and mitigation dimensions and the overall JEM score resulted in higher odds ratios (OR) of a SARS-CoV-2 infection. OR attenuated across the three waves with ranges of 1.08-5.09 in wave 1, 1.06-1.60 in wave 2, and 1.05-1.45 in those not (fully) vaccinated in wave 3. In wave 3, no associations were found for those fully vaccinated. In all waves, the two precarious work dimensions showed weaker or inversed associations. CONCLUSIONS The COVID-19-JEM is a promising tool for assessing occupational exposure to SARS-CoV-2 and other airborne infectious agents that mainly spread between people who are in close contact with each other. However, its usefulness depends on applied restrictions and the vaccination status in the population of interest.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sophie van der Feltz
- Department of Occupational Medicine, Danish Ramazzini Center, Aarhus University Hospital, Palle Juul-Jensens Boulevard 35, 8200 Aarhus N, Denmark.
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Feng Y, Zhang Y, Ding X, Fan Y, Ge J. Multi-scale risk assessment and mitigations comparison for COVID-19 in urban public transport: A combined field measurement and modeling approach. BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT 2023; 242:110489. [PMID: 37333517 PMCID: PMC10236904 DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2023.110489] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2023] [Revised: 05/31/2023] [Accepted: 06/02/2023] [Indexed: 06/20/2023]
Abstract
The outbreak of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic has caused an unparalleled disruption to daily life. Given that COVID-19 primarily spreads in densely populated indoor areas, urban public transport (UPT) systems pose significant risks. This study presents an analysis of the air change rate in buses, subways, and high speed trains based on measured CO2 concentrations and passenger behaviors. The resulting values were used as inputs for an infection risk assessment model, which was used to quantitatively evaluate the effects of various factors, including ventilation rates, respiratory activities, and viral variants, on the infection risk. The findings demonstrate that ventilation has a negligible impact on reducing average risks (less than 10.0%) for short-range scales, but can result in a reduction of average risks by 32.1%-57.4% for room scales. When all passengers wear masks, the average risk reduction ranges from 4.5-folds to 7.5-folds. Based on our analysis, the average total reproduction numbers (R) of subways are 1.4-folds higher than buses, and 2-folds higher than high speed trains. Additionally, it is important to note that the Omicron variant may result in a much higher R value, estimated to be approximately 4.9-folds higher than the Delta variant. To reduce disease transmission, it is important to keep the R value below 1. Thus, two indices have been proposed: time-scale based exposure thresholds and spatial-scale based upper limit warnings. Mask wearing provides the greatest protection against infection in the face of long exposure duration to the omicron epidemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yinshuai Feng
- College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Center for Balance Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- International Research Center for Green Building and Low-Carbon City, International Campus, Zhejiang University, Haining, China
| | - Yan Zhang
- College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- International Research Center for Green Building and Low-Carbon City, International Campus, Zhejiang University, Haining, China
| | - Xiaotian Ding
- College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- International Research Center for Green Building and Low-Carbon City, International Campus, Zhejiang University, Haining, China
| | - Yifan Fan
- College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- Center for Balance Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- International Research Center for Green Building and Low-Carbon City, International Campus, Zhejiang University, Haining, China
| | - Jian Ge
- College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
- International Research Center for Green Building and Low-Carbon City, International Campus, Zhejiang University, Haining, China
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Alsaadi HH, Aldwairi M, Yasin F, Cachinho SCP, Hussein A. Artificial intelligence tool for the study of COVID-19 microdroplet spread across the human diameter and airborne space. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0269905. [PMID: 37467202 PMCID: PMC10355432 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0269905] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2022] [Accepted: 03/20/2023] [Indexed: 07/21/2023] Open
Abstract
The 2019 novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2 / COVID-19), with a point of origin in Wuhan, China, has spread rapidly all over the world. It turned into a raging pandemic wrecking havoc on health care facilities, world economy and affecting everyone's life to date. With every new variant, rate of transmission, spread of infections and the number of cases continues to rise at an international level and scale. There are limited reliable researches that study microdroplets spread and transmissions from human sneeze or cough in the airborne space. In this paper, we propose an intelligent technique to visualize, detect, measure the distance of spread in a real-world settings of microdroplet transmissions in airborne space, called "COVNET45". In this paper, we investigate the microdroplet transmission and validate the measurements accuracy compared to published researches, by examining several microscopic and visual images taken to investigate the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2 / COVID-19). The ultimate contribution is to calculate the spread of the microdroplets, measure it precisely and provide a graphical presentation. Additionally, the work employs machine learning and five algorithms for image optimization, detection and measurement.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hesham H. Alsaadi
- College of Technological Innovation, Zayed University, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - Monther Aldwairi
- College of Technological Innovation, Zayed University, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - Faten Yasin
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kindom
| | - Sandra C. P. Cachinho
- Cell Sorting and Isolation Facility, Research Technology Building, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kindom
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Gomes da Silva P, Gonçalves J, Torres Franco A, Rodriguez E, Diaz I, Orduña Domingo A, Garcinuño Pérez S, March Roselló GA, Dueñas Gutiérrez CJ, São José Nascimento M, Sousa SI, Garcia Encina P, Mesquita JR. Environmental Dissemination of SARS-CoV-2 in a University Hospital during the COVID-19 5th Wave Delta Variant Peak in Castile-León, Spain. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 20:1574. [PMID: 36674328 PMCID: PMC9866319 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20021574] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/26/2022] [Revised: 01/11/2023] [Accepted: 01/13/2023] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
The dominant SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant (B.1.617.2) became the main circulating variant among countries by mid 2021. Attention was raised to the increased risk of airborne transmission, leading to nosocomial outbreaks even among vaccinated individuals. Considering the increased number of COVID-19 hospital admissions fueled by the spread of the variant, with Spain showing the highest COVID-19 rates in mainland Europe by July 2021, the aim of this study was to assess SARS-CoV-2 environmental contamination in different areas of a University Hospital in the region of Castile-León, Spain, during the peak of the 5th wave of COVID-19 in the country (July 2021). Air samples were collected from sixteen different areas of the Hospital using a Coriolis® μ air sampler. Surface samples were collected in these same areas using sterile flocked plastic swabs. RNA extraction followed by a one-step RT-qPCR were performed for detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Of the 21 air samples, only one was positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA, from the emergency waiting room. Of the 40 surface samples, 2 were positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA, both from the microbiology laboratory. These results may be relevant for risk assessment of nosocomial infection within healthcare facilities, thus helping prevent and minimize healthcare staff's exposure to SARS-CoV-2, reinforcing the importance of always wearing appropriate and well-fit masks at all times and proper PPE when in contact with infected patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Priscilla Gomes da Silva
- ICBAS—School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Porto University, 4050-313 Porto, Portugal
- Epidemiology Research Unit (EPIunit), Institute of Public Health, University of Porto, 1800-412 Porto, Portugal
- Laboratório para a Investigação Integrativa e Translacional em Saúde Populacional (ITR), 1800-412 Porto, Portugal
- LEPABE—Laboratory for Process Engineering, Environment, Biotechnology and Energy, Faculty of Engineering, University of Porto, 1800-412 Porto, Portugal
- ALiCE—Associate Laboratory in Chemical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Porto, 1800-412 Porto, Portugal
| | - José Gonçalves
- Institute of Sustainable Processes, Valladolid University, Dr. Mergelina S/N., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Chemical Engineering and Environmental Technology, University of Valladolid, Dr. Mergelina s/n., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
| | - Andrés Torres Franco
- Institute of Sustainable Processes, Valladolid University, Dr. Mergelina S/N., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Chemical Engineering and Environmental Technology, University of Valladolid, Dr. Mergelina s/n., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
| | - Elisa Rodriguez
- Institute of Sustainable Processes, Valladolid University, Dr. Mergelina S/N., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Chemical Engineering and Environmental Technology, University of Valladolid, Dr. Mergelina s/n., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
| | - Israel Diaz
- Institute of Sustainable Processes, Valladolid University, Dr. Mergelina S/N., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Chemical Engineering and Environmental Technology, University of Valladolid, Dr. Mergelina s/n., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
| | - Antonio Orduña Domingo
- Microbiology Service, Valladolid University Clinical Hospital (HCUV), Faculty of Medicine, University of Valladolid, 47011 Valladolid, Spain
| | | | | | - Carlos Jesús Dueñas Gutiérrez
- Internal Medicine, Infectious Diseases Section, Valladolid University Clinical Hospital (HCUV), 47011 Valladolid, Spain
| | | | - Sofia I.V. Sousa
- LEPABE—Laboratory for Process Engineering, Environment, Biotechnology and Energy, Faculty of Engineering, University of Porto, 1800-412 Porto, Portugal
- ALiCE—Associate Laboratory in Chemical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Porto, 1800-412 Porto, Portugal
| | - Pedro Garcia Encina
- Institute of Sustainable Processes, Valladolid University, Dr. Mergelina S/N., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Chemical Engineering and Environmental Technology, University of Valladolid, Dr. Mergelina s/n., 47011 Valladolid, Spain
| | - João R. Mesquita
- ICBAS—School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Porto University, 4050-313 Porto, Portugal
- Epidemiology Research Unit (EPIunit), Institute of Public Health, University of Porto, 1800-412 Porto, Portugal
- Laboratório para a Investigação Integrativa e Translacional em Saúde Populacional (ITR), 1800-412 Porto, Portugal
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12
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Jung J, Kang S, Lee S, Park H, Kim J, Kim SK, Park S, Lim YJ, Kim E, Lim S, Chang E, Bae S, Kim M, Chong Y, Lee SO, Choi SH, Kim Y, Park MS, Kim SH. Risk of transmission of COVID-19 from healthcare workers returning to work after a 5-day isolation, and kinetics of shedding of viable SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.529 (Omicron). J Hosp Infect 2023; 131:228-233. [PMID: 36460176 PMCID: PMC9705265 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhin.2022.11.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2022] [Revised: 11/16/2022] [Accepted: 11/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There have been limited data on the risk of onward transmission from individuals with Omicron variant infections who return to work after a 5-day isolation. AIM To evaluate the risk of transmission from healthcare workers (HCWs) with Omicron variant who returned to work after a 5-day isolation and the viable-virus shedding kinetics. METHODS This investigation was performed in a tertiary care hospital, Seoul, South Korea. In a secondary transmission study, we retrospectively reviewed the data of HCWs confirmed as COVID-19 from March 14th to April 3rd, 2022 in units with five or more COVID-19-infected HCWs per week. In the viral shedding kinetics study, HCWs with Omicron variant infection who agreed with daily saliva sampling were enrolled between February and March, 2022. FINDINGS Of the 248 HCWs who were diagnosed with COVID-19 within 5 days of the return of an infected HCW, 18 (7%) had contact with the returned HCW within 1-5 days after their return. Of these, nine (4%) had an epidemiologic link other than with the returning HCW, and nine (4%) had contact with the returning HCW, without any other epidemiologic link. In the study of the kinetics of virus shedding (N = 32), the median time from symptom onset to negative conversion of viable virus was four days (95% confidence interval: 3-5). CONCLUSION Our data suggest that the residual risk of virus transmission after 5 days of isolation following diagnosis or symptom onset is low.
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Affiliation(s)
- J. Jung
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea,Office for Infection Control, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea
| | - S.W. Kang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - S. Lee
- Office for Infection Control, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea
| | - H. Park
- Department of Microbiology, Institute for Viral Diseases, Vaccine Innovation Center, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea
| | - J.Y. Kim
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - S.-K. Kim
- Office for Infection Control, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea
| | - S. Park
- Office for Infection Control, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Y.-J. Lim
- Office for Infection Control, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea
| | - E.O. Kim
- Office for Infection Control, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea
| | - S.Y. Lim
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - E. Chang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - S. Bae
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - M.J. Kim
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Y.P. Chong
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - S.-O. Lee
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - S.-H. Choi
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Y.S. Kim
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - M.-S. Park
- Department of Microbiology, Institute for Viral Diseases, Vaccine Innovation Center, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea,Corresponding author. Address: Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 88 Olympic-ro, 43-gil, Songpa-gu, Seoul, South Korea. Tel.: +82 2 3010-3305
| | - S.-H. Kim
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea,Office for Infection Control, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea,Corresponding author. Address: Department of Microbiology, Institute for Viral Diseases, Vaccine Innovation Center, College of Medicine, 73 Goryeodae-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul, 02841, South Korea. Tel.: +82 2 2286-1312
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13
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Rodríguez D, Urbieta IR, Velasco Á, Campano-Laborda MÁ, Jiménez E. Assessment of indoor air quality and risk of COVID-19 infection in Spanish secondary school and university classrooms. BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT 2022; 226:109717. [PMID: 36313012 PMCID: PMC9595429 DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2022.109717] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2022] [Revised: 10/14/2022] [Accepted: 10/15/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
Despite the risk of transmission of SARS-CoV-2, Spanish educational centers were reopened after six months of lockdown. Ventilation was mostly adopted as a preventive measure to reduce the transmission risk of the virus. However, it could also affect indoor air quality (IAQ). Therefore, here we evaluate the ventilation conditions, COVID-19 risk, and IAQ in secondary school and university classrooms in Toledo (central Spain) from November 2020 to June 2021. Ventilation was examined by monitoring outdoor and indoor CO2 levels. CO2, occupancy and hygrothermal parameters, allowed estimating the relative transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2 (Alpha and Omicron BA.1), H r, under different scenarios, using the web app COVID Risk airborne . Additionally, the effect of ventilation on IAQ was evaluated by measuring indoor/outdoor (I/O) concentration ratios of O3, NO2, and suspended particulate matter (PM). University classrooms, particularly the mechanically ventilated one, presented better ventilation conditions than the secondary school classrooms, as well as better thermal comfort conditions. The estimated H r for COVID-19 ranged from intermediate (with surgical masks) to high (no masks, teacher infected). IAQ was generally good in all classrooms, particularly at the university ones, with I/O below unity, implying an outdoor origin of gaseous pollutants, while the source of PM was heterogeneous. Consequently, controlled mechanical ventilation systems are essential in educational spaces, as well as wearing well-fitting FFP2-N95 masks indoors is also highly recommended to minimize the transmission risk of COVID-19 and other airborne infectious diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Diana Rodríguez
- Departamento de Química Física, Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha (UCLM), Avenida Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain
| | - Itziar R Urbieta
- Departamento de Ciencias Ambientales, Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica, UCLM, Avenida Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain
| | - Ángel Velasco
- Departamento de Ciencias Ambientales, Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica, UCLM, Avenida Carlos III s/n, 45071, Toledo, Spain
| | - Miguel Ángel Campano-Laborda
- Instituto Universitario de Arquitectura y Ciencias de la Construcción, Escuela Técnica Superior de Arquitectura, Universidad de Sevilla, 41012, Sevilla, Spain
| | - Elena Jiménez
- Departamento de Química Física, Facultad de Ciencias y Tecnologías Químicas, UCLM, Avda. Camilo José Cela 1B, 13071, Ciudad Real, Spain
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14
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Gelgelu TB, Nuriye S, Chichiabellu TY, Kerbo AA. Compliance with COVID-19 preventive measures among chronic disease patients in Wolaita and Dawuro zones, Southern Ethiopia: A proportional odds model. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0276553. [PMID: 36288360 PMCID: PMC9604994 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0276553] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2022] [Accepted: 10/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction So far, shreds of evidence have shown that COVID-19 related hospitalization, serious outcomes, and mortality were high among individuals with chronic medical conditions. However, strict compliance with basic public health measures such as hand washing with soap, social distancing, and wearing masks has been recommended and proven effective in preventing transmission of the infection. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the level of compliance with COVID-19 preventive measures and identify its predictors among patients with common chronic diseases in public hospitals of Southern Ethiopia by applying the proportional odds model. Methods A facility-based cross-sectional study was employed in public hospitals of Southern Ethiopia between February and March 2021. Using a systematic random sampling technique, 419 patients with common chronic diseases were recruited. Data were collected using an Open Data Kit and then submitted to the online server. The proportional odds model was employed, and the level of significance was declared at a p-value of less than 0.05. Results This study revealed that 55.2% (95%CI: 50.4%-59.9%) of the study participants had low compliance levels with COVID-19 preventive measures. The final proportional odds model identified that perceived susceptibility (AOR: 0.91, 95%CI: 0.84, 0.97), cues to action (AOR: 0.89, 95%CI: 0.85, 0.94), having access to drinking water piped into the dwelling (AOR: 0.52, 95%CI: 0.32, 0.84), having no access to any internet (AOR: 0.62, 95%CI: 0.42, 0.92), having no functional refrigerator (AOR: 2.17, 95%CI: 1.26, 3.74), and having poor knowledge (AOR: 1.42, 95%CI: 1.02, 1.98) were the independent predictors of low compliance level with COVID-19 preventive measures. Conclusion In the study area, more than half of the participants had low compliance levels with COVID-19 preventive measures. Thus, the identified factors should be considered when designing, planning, and implementing new interventional strategies, so as to improve the participants’ compliance level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Temesgen Bati Gelgelu
- School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences and Medicine, Wolaita Sodo University, Wolaita Sodo, Ethiopia
- * E-mail:
| | - Shemsu Nuriye
- School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences and Medicine, Wolaita Sodo University, Wolaita Sodo, Ethiopia
| | - Tesfaye Yitna Chichiabellu
- School of Nursing, College of Health Sciences and Medicine, Wolaita Sodo University, Wolaita Sodo, Ethiopia
| | - Amene Abebe Kerbo
- School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences and Medicine, Wolaita Sodo University, Wolaita Sodo, Ethiopia
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15
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McLeod RS, Hopfe CJ, Bodenschatz E, Moriske HJ, Pöschl U, Salthammer T, Curtius J, Helleis F, Niessner J, Herr C, Klimach T, Seipp M, Steffens T, Witt C, Willich SN. A multi-layered strategy for COVID-19 infection prophylaxis in schools: A review of the evidence for masks, distancing, and ventilation. INDOOR AIR 2022; 32:e13142. [PMID: 36305077 PMCID: PMC9827916 DOI: 10.1111/ina.13142] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2022] [Revised: 10/03/2022] [Accepted: 10/06/2022] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
Implications for the academic and interpersonal development of children and adolescents underpin a global political consensus to maintain in-classroom teaching during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. In support of this aim, the WHO and UNICEF have called for schools around the globe to be made safer from the risk of COVID-19 transmission. Detailed guidance is needed on how this goal can be successfully implemented in a wide variety of educational settings in order to effectively mitigate impacts on the health of students, staff, their families, and society. This review provides a comprehensive synthesis of current scientific evidence and emerging standards in relation to the use of layered prevention strategies (involving masks, distancing, and ventilation), setting out the basis for their implementation in the school environment. In the presence of increasingly infectious SARS-Cov-2 variants, in-classroom teaching can only be safely maintained through a layered strategy combining multiple protective measures. The precise measures that are needed at any point in time depend upon a number of dynamic factors, including the specific threat-level posed by the circulating variant, the level of community infection, and the political acceptability of the resultant risk. By consistently implementing appropriate prophylaxis measures, evidence shows that the risk of infection from in-classroom teaching can be dramatically reduced. Current studies indicate that wearing high-quality masks and regular testing are amongst the most important measures in preventing infection transmission; whilst effective natural and mechanical ventilation systems have been shown to reduce infection risks in classrooms by over 80%.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robert S McLeod
- Institute for Building Physics, Services and Construction, Graz University of Technology, Graz, Austria
| | - Christina J Hopfe
- Institute for Building Physics, Services and Construction, Graz University of Technology, Graz, Austria
| | - Eberhard Bodenschatz
- Max Planck Institute for Dynamics and Self-Organization, Gottingen, Germany
- Georg-August-University Göttingen, Gottingen, Germany
| | | | - Ulrich Pöschl
- Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany
- Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Mainz, Germany
| | | | | | | | | | - Caroline Herr
- Ludwig-Maximilian-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | | | - Martin Seipp
- Technical University of Central Hesse, Giessen, Germany
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Sriraman K, Shaikh A, Vaswani S, Mestry T, Patel G, Sakthivel S, Oswal V, Kadam P, Nilgiriwala K, Shah D, Gomare M, Mistry N. Impact of COVID-19 vaccination on transmission risk of breakthrough infections: Lessons from adapted N95 mask sampling for emerging variants and interventions. J Med Virol 2022; 95:e28188. [PMID: 36176180 PMCID: PMC9537974 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.28188] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2022] [Revised: 09/16/2022] [Accepted: 09/27/2022] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
This study used an adapted N95 mask sampling to understand the effect of COVID-19 vaccination in the context of circulating variants on infected individuals to emit the virus into the air, a key risk factor of transmission. Mask, swab, and blood samples were collected from 92 COVID-19 patients vaccinated (Covishield/COVAXIN-partial/fully) or unvaccinated between July and September 2021 during the Delta-dominated period in Mumbai. Mask/swab samples were analyzed by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction for viral RNA. Blood was evaluated for SARS-CoV-2 anti-spike and nucleocapsid antibody responses. At <48 h of diagnosis, 93% of the patients emitted detectable viral RNA, with 40% emitting >1000 copies in 30 min (high emitters). About 8% continued to be high emitters even after 8 days of symptom onset. No significant difference was observed in emission patterns between partial, full, and unvaccinated patients. However, when vaccinated patients were stratified based on spike protein neutralization and nucleocapsid immunoglobulin G (IgG), the group with moderate/high neutralization showed a significantly lower proportion of high emitters and viral RNA copies than the group with no/low neutralization, which further reduced in the group having antinucleocapsid IgG. In conclusion, mask sampling showed that Delta infections were associated with greater virus emission in patients, which was significantly reduced only in vaccinated patients with moderate/high SARS-CoV-2 neutralization, especially with evidence of past infection. The study demonstrated that mask sampling could be useful for understanding the transmission risk of emerging variants, screening vaccine/booster candidates, and guiding control interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kalpana Sriraman
- The Foundation for Medical Research, Dr. Kantilal J. Sheth Memorial Building, WorliMumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Ambreen Shaikh
- The Foundation for Medical Research, Dr. Kantilal J. Sheth Memorial Building, WorliMumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Smriti Vaswani
- The Foundation for Medical Research, Dr. Kantilal J. Sheth Memorial Building, WorliMumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Tejal Mestry
- The Foundation for Medical Research, Dr. Kantilal J. Sheth Memorial Building, WorliMumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Grishma Patel
- The Foundation for Medical Research, Dr. Kantilal J. Sheth Memorial Building, WorliMumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Shalini Sakthivel
- The Foundation for Medical Research, Dr. Kantilal J. Sheth Memorial Building, WorliMumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Vikas Oswal
- Vikas Nursing HomeGovandi, MumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Pratibha Kadam
- The Foundation for Medical Research, Dr. Kantilal J. Sheth Memorial Building, WorliMumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Kayzad Nilgiriwala
- The Foundation for Medical Research, Dr. Kantilal J. Sheth Memorial Building, WorliMumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Daksha Shah
- Municipal Corporation of Greater Mumbai (MCGM)MumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Mangala Gomare
- Municipal Corporation of Greater Mumbai (MCGM)MumbaiMaharashtraIndia
| | - Nerges Mistry
- The Foundation for Medical Research, Dr. Kantilal J. Sheth Memorial Building, WorliMumbaiMaharashtraIndia
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Islam A, Cockcroft C, Elshazly S, Ahmed J, Joyce K, Mahfuz H, Islam T, Rashid H, Laher I. Coagulopathy of Dengue and COVID-19: Clinical Considerations. Trop Med Infect Dis 2022; 7:tropicalmed7090210. [PMID: 36136621 PMCID: PMC9500638 DOI: 10.3390/tropicalmed7090210] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2022] [Revised: 08/19/2022] [Accepted: 08/22/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Thrombocytopenia and platelet dysfunction commonly occur in both dengue and COVID-19 and are related to clinical outcomes. Coagulation and fibrinolytic pathways are activated during an acute dengue infection, and endothelial dysfunction is observed in severe dengue. On the other hand, COVID-19 is characterised by a high prevalence of thrombotic complications, where bleeding is rare and occurs only in advanced stages of critical illness; here thrombin is the central mediator that activates endothelial cells, and elicits a pro-inflammatory reaction followed by platelet aggregation. Serological cross-reactivity may occur between COVID-19 and dengue infection. An important management aspect of COVID-19-induced immunothrombosis associated with thrombocytopenia is anticoagulation with or without aspirin. In contrast, the use of aspirin, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and anticoagulants is contraindicated in dengue. Mild to moderate dengue infections are treated with supportive therapy and paracetamol for fever. Severe infection such as dengue haemorrhagic fever and dengue shock syndrome often require escalation to higher levels of support in a critical care facility. The role of therapeutic platelet transfusion is equivocal and should not be routinely used in patients with dengue with thrombocytopaenia and mild bleeding. The use of prophylactic platelet transfusion in dengue fever has strained financial and healthcare systems in endemic areas, together with risks of transfusion-transmitted infections in low- and middle-income countries. There is a clear research gap in the management of dengue with significant bleeding.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amin Islam
- Department of Haematology, Mid & South Essex University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Prittlewell Chase, Westcliff-on-Sea SS0 0RY, UK
- Department of Haematology, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London E1 3NS, UK
- Correspondence:
| | - Christopher Cockcroft
- Department of Haematology, Mid & South Essex University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Prittlewell Chase, Westcliff-on-Sea SS0 0RY, UK
| | - Shereen Elshazly
- Department of Haematology, Mid & South Essex University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Prittlewell Chase, Westcliff-on-Sea SS0 0RY, UK
- Adult Haemato-Oncology Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Ainshams University, Cairo 11566, Egypt
| | - Javeed Ahmed
- Department of Microbiology and Virology, Mid & South Essex University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Westcliff-on-Sea SS0 0RY, UK
| | - Kevin Joyce
- Department of Haematology, Mid & South Essex University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Prittlewell Chase, Westcliff-on-Sea SS0 0RY, UK
| | - Huque Mahfuz
- Department of Haematology and Oncology, Combined Military Hospital, Dhaka 1206, Bangladesh
| | - Tasbirul Islam
- Department of Pulmonology and Critical Care Medicine, Indiana School of Medicine, Lafayette, IN 47907, USA
| | - Harunor Rashid
- National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance, The Children’s Hospital at Westmead, Westmead, NSW 2145, Australia
- Sydney Institute for Infectious Diseases, The University of Sydney, Westmead, NSW 2145, Australia
| | - Ismail Laher
- Department of Anesthesiology, Pharmacology & Therapeutics, Faculty of Medicine, The University of British Colombia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z3, Canada
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18
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Yousaf Z, Khan MA, Asghar MS, Zaman M, Ahmed M, Tahir MJ. COVID-19 Omicron variant - Time for airborne precautions. Ann Med Surg (Lond) 2022; 78:103919. [PMID: 35693104 PMCID: PMC9166231 DOI: 10.1016/j.amsu.2022.103919] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2022] [Revised: 05/30/2022] [Accepted: 06/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Genetic mutations in SARS-CoV-2 have resulted in variants with more transmissibility and partial resistance to COVID-19 vaccines, as seen in the recently classified variant of concern (VOC) “Omicron”. The rapid spread has raised concerns about Omicron being airborne, which leads to a high risk of contamination in public premises, particularly among the frontline healthcare workers. Mandatory usage of protective face masks and respirators is highly recommended in order to break the chain of transmission. Furthermore, health authorities need to reassess the modes of transmission of VOCs and provide updated guidelines to the general public for its prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Muhammad Arslan Khan
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Lahore Teaching Hospital, Lahore, Pakistan
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