Follow-up of Benign Thyroid Nodules—Can We Do Less?

Thyroid Nodules: Past, Present, and Future

BACKGROUND

Over the past millennia, the evaluation and management of thyroid nodules has essentially remained the same with thyroidectomy as the only reliable method to identify malignancy. However, in the last 30 years, technological advances have significantly improved diagnostic management of thyroid nodules. Advances in imaging have allowed development of a reliable risk- based stratification system to identify nodules at increased risk of malignancy. At the same time, sensitive imaging has caused collateral damage to the degree that we are now identifying and treating many small, low risk nodules with little to no clinical relevance.

OBJECTIVE

To review the history of thyroid nodule evaluation with emphasis on recent changes and future pathways.

METHODS

Literature review and discussion.

RESULTS

Thyroid ultrasound remains the best initial method to evaluate the thyroid gland for nodules. Different risk-of-malignancy protocols have been developed and introduced by different societies, reporting methods have been developed and improved each, with goals of improving the ability to recognize nodules requiring further intervention and minimizing excessive monitoring of those who do not. Once identified, cytological evaluation of nodules further enhances malignancy identification with molecular markers assisting in ruling out malignancies in indeterminate nodules preventing unneeded intervention. And all societies have urged avoidance of overdiagnosis and overtreatment of low-risk cancers of little to no clinical relevance.

CONCLUSION

In this review, we describe advancements in nodule evaluation and management, while emphasizing caution in overdiagnosing and overtreating low-risk lesions without clinical importance.

Changes in the Volume and Diameter of Benign Thyroid Nodules: A 10-Year Follow-Up Study

Background: The incidence of asymptomatic thyroid nodules has risen enormously, with > 90% being benign. Despite limited long-term data, significant nodule growth (SNG) is common. Guidelines recommend cytology reevaluation if SNG occurs. Our study aimed to identify the rate and factors associated with SNG, compare diameter and volume-based assessments, and examine the association between SNG and malignancy risk over the long term (10 years). Methods: The retrospective cohort study, conducted at Ankara University, School of Medicine, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, included 732 nodules from 376 euthyroid patients, all monitored over a 10-year period by the same experienced sonographer, with evaluations at baseline, 5th and 10th years. The nodules were cytologically benign and/or sonographically in the low-to-intermediate risk category. Size changes at the 5th and 10th years were considered significant if there was a 20% or 2 mm increment in two diameters according to diameter-based criterion (DBC) or 50% increment in volume-based criterion (VBC) designed by the ellipsoid formula. Generalized linear mixed-effects models were used to account for the clustered data structure and analyze factors affecting nodule growth. Nodule growth was the dependent variable, while sex, age at diagnosis, initial TSH level, total nodule count, nodule volume, echogenicity, and localization were independent variables. Results: At the 5th and 10th years, SNG frequencies were higher when calculated using VBC [27.7% (n = 203) and 44% (n = 321), respectively] compared with DBC [19.1% (n = 140) and 35% (n = 256), respectively], with the differences being statistically significant (McNemar test, p < 0.01). Factors associated with SNG included being younger than 45 years of age (VBC OR = 1.704, CI = 1.227-2.366, p = 0.002; DBC OR = 1.913, CI = 1.379-2.656, p < 0.001), having higher number of nodules (VBC: OR = 1.171, CI = 1.061-1.291, p = 0.002; DBC: OR = 1.147, CI = 1.040-1.265, p = 0.006), and having smaller nodule volume (VBC: OR = 0.870, CI = 0.806-0.940, p < 0.001; DBC: OR = 0.912, CI = 0.850-0.978, p = 0.010). Thyroid cancer was diagnosed in four original nodules (0.5%), whereas the malignancy rate in biopsies performed was 1.4% (n = 4). Conclusions: In long-term follow-ups of sonographically and/or cytologically benign thyroid nodules, SNG is not rare. Growth is more likely in younger patients, those with higher number of nodules and smaller nodules. In the follow-up of nodule size, VBCs yield augmented results compared with DBCs. However, malignancy is quite rare in growing nodules. Therefore, adopting flexible long-term follow-up protocols appears to be practical for benign nodular thyroid disease.

Identifying and Predicting Diverse Patterns of Benign Nodule Growth

CONTEXT

The natural history of benign thyroid nodules is typically characterized by slow growth and minimal risk of malignant transformation. Available data have, to date, been unable to elucidate the diversity of benign nodule growth patterns over time nor predictive of which patients follow which pattern.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to better define the diverse patterns of benign nodule behavior and their predictors.

METHODS

We prospectively studied 389 consecutive patients with solitary, solid, cytologically benign thyroid nodules ≥1 cm and follow-up ultrasound for at least 4 years. Demographic, sonographic, biochemical data were collected at initial evaluation, and subsequent growth patterns were identified over the follow-up. Predictors of growth at initial evaluation and 3 years of follow-up were defined.

RESULTS

The mean (±SD) follow-up was 7.7 (±2.7) years. Three distinct growth patterns were identified: A) stagnant nodules with average growth rate < 0.2 mm/year; B) slow-growing nodules with a rate 0.2 to 1.0 mm/year; and C) fast-growing nodules increasing > 1.0 mm/year. Fast-growing nodules represented 17.2% of the cohort, and were more frequent in patients younger than 50 years (OR 2.2 [1.2-4.1], P = 0.016), and in larger nodules (2.0-2.9 cm, OR 3.5 [1.7-7.1], P = 0.001; >3.0 cm, OR 4.4 [1.8-10.4], P = 0.001 vs reference 1-1.9 cm). In a multiple regression model, nodule growth at 3 years at an average growth rate over 0.2 mm/year over 3 years since initial evaluation was an independent predictor of longer-term fast nodule growth, even after adjusting for age, biological sex, TSH level, and nodule size (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The natural history of benign nodule growth is diverse, with over 80% of nodules demonstrating minimal to no growth long-term. Nearly 20% of cytologically benign nodules may exhibit a fast, continued growth pattern, which can be predicted by the 3-year growth rate pattern. These findings can help inform decision making for tailored benign nodule follow-up and monitoring.

Ultrasound Follow-Up of Benign Thyroid Nodules: A Scoping Review

Background: For cytologically benign thyroid nodules with very low to intermediate suspicion ultrasound patterns, optimal ultrasound follow-up intervals and outcomes of discontinuing follow-up are unclear. Methods: Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Central were searched through August 2022 for studies comparing different ultrasound follow-up intervals and discontinuation versus continuation of ultrasound follow-up. The population was patients with cytologically benign thyroid nodules and very low to intermediate suspicion ultrasound patterns, and the primary outcome was missed thyroid cancers. Utilizing a scoping approach, we also included studies that were not restricted to very low to intermediate suspicion ultrasound patterns or evaluated additional outcomes such as thyroid cancer-related mortality rate, nodule growth, and subsequent procedures. Quality assessment was performed, and evidence was synthesized qualitatively. Results: One retrospective cohort study (n = 1254; 1819 nodules) compared different first follow-up ultrasound intervals for cytologically benign thyroid nodules. There was no difference between >4- versus 1- to 2-year intervals to first follow-up ultrasound in the likelihood of malignancy (0.4% [1/223] vs. 0.3% [2/715]), and no cancer-related deaths occurred. Follow-up ultrasound at >4 years was associated with increased likelihood of ≥50% nodule growth (35.0% [78/223] vs. 15.1% [108/715]), repeat fine needle aspiration (19.3% [43/223] vs. 5.6% [40/715]), and thyroidectomy (4.0% [9/223] vs. 0.8% [6/715]). The study did not describe ultrasound patterns or control for confounders, and analyses were based on interval to first follow-up ultrasound only. Other methodological limitations were not controlling for variability in follow-up duration and unclear attrition. The certainty of evidence was very low. No study compared discontinuation of ultrasound follow-up versus continuation. Conclusions: This scoping review found that evidence comparing different ultrasound follow-up intervals in patients with benign thyroid nodules is limited to one observational study, but suggests that the subsequent development of thyroid malignancies is very uncommon regardless of follow-up interval. Longer follow-up may be associated with more repeat biopsies and thyroidectomies, which could be related to more interval nodule growth that meets thresholds for further evaluation. Research is needed to clarify optimal ultrasound follow-up intervals for low to intermediate suspicion cytologically benign thyroid nodules and outcomes of discontinuing ultrasound follow-up for very low suspicion nodules.

Characterizing and quantifying low-value diagnostic imaging internationally: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Inappropriate and wasteful use of health care resources is a common problem, constituting 10-34% of health services spending in the western world. Even though diagnostic imaging is vital for identifying correct diagnoses and administrating the right treatment, low-value imaging-in which the diagnostic test confers little to no clinical benefit-is common and contributes to inappropriate and wasteful use of health care resources. There is a lack of knowledge on the types and extent of low-value imaging. Accordingly, the objective of this study was to identify, characterize, and quantify the extent of low-value diagnostic imaging examinations for adults and children.

METHODS

A scoping review of the published literature was performed. Medline-Ovid, Embase-Ovid, Scopus, and Cochrane Library were searched for studies published from 2010 to September 2020. The search strategy was built from medical subject headings (Mesh) for Diagnostic imaging/Radiology OR Health service misuse/Medical overuse OR Procedures and Techniques Utilization/Facilities and Services Utilization. Articles in English, German, Dutch, Swedish, Danish, or Norwegian were included.

RESULTS

A total of 39,986 records were identified and, of these, 370 studies were included in the final synthesis. Eighty-four low-value imaging examinations were identified. Imaging of atraumatic pain, routine imaging in minor head injury, trauma, thrombosis, urolithiasis, after thoracic interventions, fracture follow-up and cancer staging/follow-up were the most frequently identified low-value imaging examinations. The proportion of low-value imaging varied between 2 and 100% inappropriate or unnecessary examinations.

CONCLUSIONS

A comprehensive list of identified low-value radiological examinations for both adults and children are presented. Future research should focus on reasons for low-value imaging utilization and interventions to reduce the use of low-value imaging internationally.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO: CRD42020208072.

2021 Korean Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System and Imaging-Based Management of Thyroid Nodules: Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology Consensus Statement and Recommendations

Incidental thyroid nodules are commonly detected on ultrasonography (US). This has contributed to the rapidly rising incidence of low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma over the last 20 years. The appropriate diagnosis and management of these patients is based on the risk factors related to the patients as well as the thyroid nodules. The Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology (KSThR) published consensus recommendations for US-based management of thyroid nodules in 2011 and revised them in 2016. These guidelines have been used as the standard guidelines in Korea. However, recent advances in the diagnosis and management of thyroid nodules have necessitated the revision of the original recommendations. The task force of the KSThR has revised the Korean Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System and recommendations for US lexicon, biopsy criteria, US criteria of extrathyroidal extension, optimal thyroid computed tomography protocol, and US follow-up of thyroid nodules before and after biopsy. The biopsy criteria were revised to reduce unnecessary biopsies for benign nodules while maintaining an appropriate sensitivity for the detection of malignant tumors in small (1-2 cm) thyroid nodules. The goal of these recommendations is to provide the optimal scientific evidence and expert opinion consensus regarding US-based diagnosis and management of thyroid nodules.

Image Risk Assessment of the Thyroid Cancer Model Based on Discriminant Analysis and the Value of TAP and CEA Combined Detection

The incidence rate of thyroid disease is increasing rapidly worldwide, and the number of thyroid patients is increasing. In this study, serum TAP (tumor abnormal protein) and CEA (carcinoembryonic antigen) were used to detect patients with thyroid nodules of class IV and above to explore the value of serum TAP combined detection of CEA in the risk assessment of thyroid cancer. In this paper, 400 patients with thyroid nodules above class IV diagnosed by physical examination in our hospital health management center from January 2019 to June 2021 were included in the study. Combined with the pathological test results, the patients were divided into risk groups. At the same time, different groups of serum TAP and CEA levels were detected by aggregation and electrochemiluminescence methods, and serum TAP and CEA levels were analyzed according to the pathological diagnostic indicators of CEA levels. The results showed that the levels of serum TAP and CEA in patients with thyroid cancer were significantly higher than those in patients with benign thyroid diseases, and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0.05). The sensitivity, specificity, and AUC under the ROC curve area of serum TAP were 85.25%, 85.06%, and 0.605, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, and AUC under the ROC curve area of serum CEA were 89.85%, 88.00%, and 0.627, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, and AUC under the ROC curve area of serum TAP combined with CEA were 96.84%, 96.79%, and 0.915, respectively. Therefore, the combined detection of serum TAP and CEA has a high early screening value in thyroid cancer.

Joint Detection of Tap and CEA Based on Deep Learning Medical Image Segmentation: Risk Prediction of Thyroid Cancer

In recent years, the incidence of thyroid nodules has shown an increasing trend year by year and has become one of the important diseases that endanger human health. Ultrasound medical images based on deep learning are widely used in clinical diagnosis due to their cheapness, no radiation, and low cost. The use of image processing technology to accurately segment the nodule area provides important auxiliary information for the doctor's diagnosis, which is of great value for guiding clinical treatment. The purpose of this article is to explore the application value of combined detection of abnormal sugar-chain glycoprotein (TAP) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in the risk estimation of thyroid cancer in patients with thyroid nodules of type IV and above based on deep learning medical images. In this paper, ultrasound thyroid images are used as the research content, and the active contour level set method is used as the segmentation basis, and a segmentation algorithm for thyroid nodules is proposed. This paper takes ultrasound thyroid images as the research content, uses the active contour level set method as the basis of segmentation, and proposes an image segmentation algorithm Fast-SegNet based on deep learning, which extends the network model that was mainly used for thyroid medical image segmentation to more scenarios of the segmentation task. From January 2019 to October 2020, 400 patients with thyroid nodules of type IV and above were selected for physical examination and screening at the Health Management Center of our hospital, and they were diagnosed as thyroid cancer by pathological examination of thyroid nodules under B-ultrasound positioning. The detection rates of thyroid cancer in patients with thyroid nodules of type IV and above are compared; serum TAP and CEA levels are detected; PT-PCR is used to detect TTF-1, PTEN, and NIS expression; the detection, missed diagnosis, misdiagnosis rate, and diagnostic efficiency of the three detection methods are compared. This article uses the thyroid nodule region segmented based on deep learning medical images and compares experiments with CV model, LBF model, and DRLSE model. The experimental results show that the segmentation overlap rate of this method is as high as 98.4%, indicating that the algorithm proposed in this paper can more accurately extract the thyroid nodule area.

Ultrasound of benign thyroid nodules: A 120 months follow-up study

OBJECTIVE

Some evidence suggests that most benign nodules exhibit no significant size increase during 5 years of follow-up, although conflicting results have emerged. The aim of the present study is to evaluate the frequency and the magnitude of growth in benign nodules during 120 months of follow-up.

DESIGN

We reviewed the medical and imaging records of patients who were submitted to ultrasound-guided FNA of thyroid nodules at our hospital from January 2007 to March 2009. We selected only patients with benign nodules who underwent annual ultrasound evaluation in our Department.

RESULTS

Among 966 selected patients, 289 were lost during follow-up, meaning that the total number of patients analysed was 677 (474 women and 203 men), with a mean age of 45.6 (16-71) years. In 559/677 patients (82.7%), the size of the nodule remained stable during follow-up; 42 (6.2%) patients experienced spontaneous nodule shrinkage, and 75 (11.1%) patients showed nodule growth. Patients with or without nodule growth during follow-up were superimposable at baseline for age, gender, TSH values, number of patients on levothyroxine treatment and nodule characteristics. All baseline variables in predicting nodular growth were entered to an adjusted multivariate logistic regression model. None of the parameters taken into account was associated with nodular growth.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, the majority of benign nodules remained stable over the period of monitoring. On the basis of our experience, we recommend ultrasound examination at a distance of 2 and 5 years following cytological evaluation, then every 4-5 years from then on.

Contemporary Thyroid Nodule Evaluation and Management

CONTEXT

Approximately 60% of adults harbor 1 or more thyroid nodules. The possibility of cancer is the overriding concern, but only about 5% prove to be malignant. The widespread use of diagnostic imaging and improved access to health care favor the discovery of small, subclinical nodules and small papillary cancers. Overdiagnosis and overtreatment is associated with potentially excessive costs and nonnegligible morbidity for patients.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

We conducted a PubMed search for the recent English-language articles dealing with thyroid nodule management.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

The initial assessment includes an evaluation of clinical risk factors and sonographic examination of the neck. Sonographic risk-stratification systems (e.g., Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data Systems) can be used to estimate the risk of malignancy and the need for biopsy based on nodule features and size. When cytology findings are indeterminate, molecular analysis of the aspirate may obviate the need for diagnostic surgery. Many nodules will not require biopsy. These nodules and those that are cytologically benign can be managed with long-term follow-up alone. If malignancy is suspected, options include surgery (increasingly less extensive), active surveillance or, in selected cases, minimally invasive techniques.

CONCLUSION

Thyroid nodule evaluation is no longer a 1-size-fits-all proposition. For most nodules, the likelihood of malignancy can be confidently estimated without resorting to cytology or molecular testing, and low-frequency surveillance is sufficient for most patients. When there are multiple options for diagnosis and/or treatment, they should be discussed with patients as frankly as possible to identify an approach that best meets their needs.