Renal Trajectory Patterns Are Associated With Postdischarge Mortality in Patients With Cirrhosis and Acute Kidney Injury

Acute kidney injury in patients with cirrhosis: Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) and International Club of Ascites (ICA) joint multidisciplinary consensus meeting

Patients with cirrhosis are prone to developing acute kidney injury (AKI), a complication associated with a markedly increased in-hospital morbidity and mortality, along with a risk of progression to chronic kidney disease. Whereas patients with cirrhosis are at increased risk of developing any phenotype of AKI, hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), a specific form of AKI (HRS-AKI) in patients with advanced cirrhosis and ascites, carries an especially high mortality risk. Early recognition of HRS-AKI is crucial since administration of splanchnic vasoconstrictors may reverse the AKI and serve as a bridge to liver transplantation, the only curative option. In 2023, a joint meeting of the International Club of Ascites (ICA) and the Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) was convened to develop new diagnostic criteria for HRS-AKI, to provide graded recommendations for the work-up, management and post-discharge follow-up of patients with cirrhosis and AKI, and to highlight priorities for further research.

Cost of Care for Patients With Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

There are limited longitudinal data on the cost of treating patients with cirrhosis, which hampers value-based improvement initiatives.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with cirrhosis seen in the Veterans Affairs health care system from 2011 to 2015. Patients were followed up through 2019. We identified a sex-matched and age-matched control cohort without cirrhosis. We estimated incremental annual health care costs attributable to cirrhosis for 4 years overall and in subgroups based on severity (compensated, decompensated), cirrhosis complications (ascites, encephalopathy, varices, hepatocellular cancer, acute kidney injury), and comorbidity (Deyo index).

RESULTS

We compared 39,361 patients with cirrhosis with 138,964 controls. The incremental adjusted costs for caring of patients with cirrhosis were $35,029 (95% confidence interval $32,473-$37,585) during the first year and ranged from $14,216 to $17,629 in the subsequent 3 years. Cirrhosis complications accounted for most of these costs. Costs of managing patients with hepatic encephalopathy (year 1 cost, $50,080) or ascites ($50,364) were higher than the costs of managing patients with varices ($20,488) or hepatocellular cancer ($37,639) in the first year. Patients with acute kidney injury or those who had multimorbidity were the most costly at $64,413 and $66,653 in the first year, respectively.

DISCUSSION

Patients with cirrhosis had substantially higher health care costs than matched controls and multimorbid patients had even higher costs. Cirrhosis complications accounted for most of the excess cost, so preventing complications has the largest potential for cost saving and could serve as targets for improvement.

Development and validation of prognostic nomogram for cirrhotic patients with acute kidney injury upon ICU admission

This study aims to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram that accurately predicts the short-term survival rate of cirrhotic patients with acute kidney damage (AKI) upon ICU admission. For this purpose, we examined the admission data of 3060 cirrhosis patients with AKI from 2008 to 2019 in the MIMIC-IV database. All included patients were randomly assigned to derivation and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. The derivation cohort used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model to identify independent predictors of AKI. A prognostic nomogram was constructed via multivariate logistic regression analysis in the derivation cohort and subsequently verified in the validation cohort. Nomogram's discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility were evaluated using the C-index, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA). A total of 2138 patients were enrolled in the derivation cohort, with a median follow-up period of 15 days, a median survival time of 41 days, and a death rate of 568 patients (26.6%). The cumulative survival rates at 15 and 30 days were 75.8% and 57.5%, respectively. The results of the multivariate analysis indicated that advanced AKI stage, use of vasoactive drugs, advanced age, lower levels of ALB, lower mean sBp, longer INR, and longer PT were all independent risk factors that significantly influenced the all-cause mortality of cirrhosis patients with AKI (all p < 0.01). The C-indices for the derivation and the validation cohorts were 0.821 (95% CI 0.800-0.842) and 0.831 (95% CI 0.810-0.852), respectively. The model's calibration plot demonstrated high consistency between predicted and actual probabilities. Furthermore, the DCA showed that the nomogram was clinically valuable. Therefore, the developed and internally validated prognostic nomogram exhibited favorable discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility in forecasting the 15-day and 30-day survival rates of cirrhosis patients with AKI upon admission to the ICU.

Addition of Kidney Dysfunction Type to MELD-Na for the Prediction of Survival in Cirrhotic Patients Awaiting Liver Transplantation in Comparison with MELD 3.0 with Albumin

It is well known that renal dysfunction has a devastating effect on the prognosis of liver cirrhosis. In this study, the aim was to assess whether the incorporation of the kidney dysfunction type into the MELD-Na score enhances its predictive capacity for outcomes in patients awaiting liver transplantation (LT), compared to utilizing the MELD 3.0 score with albumin. In total, 2080 patients awaiting the LT were enrolled at two tertiary care institutions in Korea. Discrimination abilities were analyzed by using Harrell's c-index and iAUC values between MELD-Na-kidney dysfunction type (MELD-Na-KT) and MELD 3.0 with albumin. Clinical endpoints encompassed 3-month survival, 3-month transplant-free survival (TFS), overall survival (OS), and total TFS. Out of the total of 2080 individuals, 669 (32.16%) were male. Regarding the types of renal function impairment, 1614 (77.6%) were in the normal group, 112 (5.38%) in the AKD group, 320 (15.35%) in the CKD group, and 34 (1.63%) were in the AKD on CKD group. MELD 3.0 with albumin showed better discrimination (c-index = 0.714) compared to MELD-Na-KT (c-index = 0.708) in predicting 3-month survival. Similar results were observed for OS, 3-month TFS, and total TFS as well. When divided by sex, MELD 3.0 with albumin showed the comparable prediction of 3-month survival to MELD-Na-KT (c-index 0.675 vs. 0.671, p-value 0.221) in males. However, in the female group, MELD 3.0 with albumin demonstrated better results compared to MELD-Na-KT (c-index 0.733 vs. 0.723, p-value 0.001). The integration of kidney dysfunction types into the MELD-Na did not yield superior prognostic results compared to the MELD 3.0 score with albumin. Rather, in the female group, the MELD 3.0 score with albumin was better able to predict survival. These findings suggest that laboratory values pertaining to liver dysfunction or creatinine levels may be more significant than the type of kidney dysfunction when predicting the short-term prognosis of LT candidates.

Longer time to recovery from acute kidney injury is associated with major adverse kidney events in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

In patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury (AKI), longer time to AKI-recovery may increase the risk of subsequent major-adverse-kidney-events (MAKE).

AIMS

To examine the association between timing of AKI-recovery and risk of MAKE in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

Hospitalised patients with cirrhosis and AKI (n = 5937) in a nationwide database were assessed for time to AKI-recovery and followed for 180-days. Timing of AKI-recovery (return of serum creatinine <0.3 mg/dL of baseline) from AKI-onset was grouped by Acute-Disease-Quality-Initiative Renal Recovery consensus: 0-2, 3-7, and >7-days. Primary outcome was MAKE at 90-180-days. MAKE is an accepted clinical endpoint in AKI and defined as the composite outcome of ≥25% decline in estimated-glomerular-filtration-rate (eGFR) compared with baseline with the development of de-novo chronic-kidney-disease (CKD) stage ≥3 or CKD progression (≥50% reduction in eGFR compared with baseline) or new haemodialysis or death. Landmark competing-risk multivariable analysis was performed to determine the independent association between timing of AKI-recovery and risk of MAKE.

RESULTS

4655 (75%) achieved AKI-recovery: 0-2 (60%), 3-7 (31%), and >7-days (9%). Cumulative-incidence of MAKE was 15%, 20%, and 29% for 0-2, 3-7, >7-days recovery groups, respectively. On adjusted multivariable competing-risk analysis, compared to 0-2-days, recovery at 3-7 and >7-days was independently associated with an increased risk for MAKE: sHR 1.45 (95% CI 1.01-2.09, p = 0.042), sHR 2.33 (95% CI 1.40-3.90, p = 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Longer time to recovery is associated with an increased risk of MAKE in patients with cirrhosis and AKI. Further research should examine interventions to shorten AKI-recovery time and its impact on subsequent outcomes.

Improving the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with sodium by incorporating kidney dysfunction types

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We investigated the impact of the inclusion of kidney dysfunction type on the discrimination and calibration of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with sodium (MELD-Na-KT) score.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We included all adults listed for ≥90 days without exception points from January 1, 2008, through December 31, 2018. We defined kidney dysfunction types as follows: acute kidney disease (AKD; an increase of ≥0.3 mg/dL or ≥50% in serum creatinine in the last 7 days or fewer than 72 days of hemodialysis), chronic kidney disease (CKD; an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73 m2  for 90 days or ≥72 days of hemodialysis), AKD on CKD (met both definitions), or none (met neither definition). We then developed and validated a multivariable survival model with follow-up beginning at the first assessment after 90 days from waitlist registration and ending at the time of death, waitlist removal, or 90 days from enrollment in this study. The predictor variables were MELD-Na and the derived MELD-Na-KT model. In the derivation cohort, kidney dysfunction type was significantly associated with waitlist mortality after controlling for MELD-Na. There was a significant linear interaction between kidney dysfunction type and MELD-Na score. In the validation cohort, we saw an improvement in the discrimination of the model with an increase in the c-index from 0.76 with MELD-Na to 0.78 with MELD-Na-KT (p = 0.002) and a net reclassification index of 10.8% (95% CI, 1.9%-11.4%). The newly derived MELD-Na-KT model had lower Brier scores (MELD-Na-KT 0.042 vs. MELD-Na 0.053).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates the feasibility and the potential for objectively defined kidney dysfunction types to enhance the prognostication of waitlist mortality provided by the MELD-Na score.

Acute kidney disease is common and associated with poor outcomes in patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Acute kidney disease (AKD) is the persistence of acute kidney injury (AKI) for up to 3 months, which is proposed to be the time-window where critical interventions can be initiated to alter downstream outcomes of AKI. In cirrhosis, AKD and its impact on outcomes have been scantly investigated. We aimed to define the incidence and outcomes associated with AKD in a nationwide US cohort of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and AKI.

METHODS

Hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and AKI in the Cerner-Health-Facts database from 1/2009-09/2017 (n = 6,250) were assessed for AKD and were followed-up for 180 days. AKI and AKD were defined based on KDIGO and ADQI AKD and renal recovery consensus criteria, respectively. The primary outcome measure was mortality, and the secondary outcome measure was de novo chronic kidney disease (CKD). Competing-risk multivariable models were used to determine the independent association of AKD with primary and secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

AKD developed in 32% of our cohort. On multivariable competing-risk analysis adjusting for significant confounders, patients with AKD had higher risk of mortality at 90 (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 1.37; 95% CI 1.14-1.66; p = 0.001) and 180 (sHR 1.37; 95% CI 1.14-1.64; p = 0.001) days. The incidence of de novo CKD was 37.5%: patients with AKD had higher rates of de novo CKD (64.0%) compared to patients without AKD (30.7%; p <0.001). After adjusting for confounders, AKD was independently associated with de novo CKD (sHR 2.52; 95% CI 2.01-3.15; p <0.001) on multivariable competing-risk analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

AKD develops in 1 in 3 hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and AKI and it is associated with worse survival and de novo CKD. Interventions that target AKD may improve outcomes of patients with cirrhosis and AKI.

LAY SUMMARY

In a nationwide US cohort of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury, acute kidney disease developed in 1 in 3 patients and was associated with worse survival and chronic kidney disease. Interventions that target acute kidney disease may improve outcomes of patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury.

Acute kidney injury and hepatorenal syndrome in cirrhosis

Acute kidney injury (AKI) in cirrhosis, including hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), is a common and serious complication in cirrhotic patients, leading to significant morbidity and mortality. AKI is separated into two categories, non-HRS AKI and HRS-AKI. The most recent definition and diagnostic criteria of AKI in cirrhosis and HRS have helped diagnose and prognosticate the disease. The pathophysiology behind non-HRS-AKI and HRS is more complicated than once theorized and involves more processes than just splanchnic vasodilation. The common biomarkers clinicians use to assess kidney injury have significant limitations in cirrhosis patients; novel biomarkers being studied have shown promise but require further studies in clinical settings and animal models. The overall management of non-HRS AKI and HRS-AKI requires a systematic approach. Although pharmacological treatments have shown mortality benefit, the ideal HRS treatment option is liver transplantation with or without simultaneous kidney transplantation. Further research is required to optimize pharmacologic and nonpharmacologic approaches to treatment. This article reviews the current guidelines and recommendations of AKI in cirrhosis.

Impact of acute kidney injury on prognosis and the effect of tolvaptan in patients with hepatic ascites

BACKGROUND

In hepatic cirrhosis, ascites and acute kidney injury (AKI) portend poor prognosis. We examined the incidence and characteristics of AKI in patients with hepatic ascites and the impact of diuretics on AKI onset.

METHODS

This study included 337 patients with hepatic ascites treated with oral diuretics during September 2013-June 2019. Incidence of AKI, cumulative survival by AKI status, and prognostic factors were investigated. Patients were divided into those treated with tolvaptan (TLV) [TLV group (n = 244)] and those not treated with TLV [control group (n = 93)]. After propensity score matching, the incidence of AKI and changes in renal function and doses of diuretics were compared.

RESULTS

The incidence of AKI overall was 35% (n = 118). Patients with AKI had a significantly worse survival than those without AKI (P = 0.001), indicating that AKI is an independent prognostic factor for hepatic ascites (P = 0.025). After adjustment for background factors in the two groups (n = 77 each), the TLV group had a significantly lower incidence of AKI (27.6% vs. 44.7%, P = 0.028). While renal function worsened with higher natriuretic agent doses in the control group, no significant change was observed in the TLV group, suggesting that TLV is an independent prognostic factor for AKI onset.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that concomitant AKI significantly worsens survival in Japanese patients with hepatic ascites, and TLV and natriuretic agent combination therapy might lead to an excellent synergistic therapeutic effect of hepatic ascites and inhibition of AKI onset.