Hazards of Recurrence, Second Primary, or Other Tumor at Ten Years After Surgery for Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

Overall prognosis of index lung cancer recurrence or of second primary lung cancer in people with non-small cell lung cancer operated with complete resection

OBJECTIVES

This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (prognosis). The objectives are as follows: We aim to compare overall survival in people with recurrence and second primary lung cancer (SPLC) after lung cancer surgery. If survival differs between those people categorised as having index lung cancer recurrence and those categorised as having SPLC, it might be possible to identify the definition that has the best discriminatory capacity from the various published definitions of these conditions, so that it can be used in future.

Long term outcomes beyond 5 years after pulmonary resection for non-small-cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the incidence of late recurrence beyond 5 years after pulmonary resection and aimed to identify candidates for long-term surveillance.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 978 non-small-cell lung cancer patients who underwent pulmonary resection between 2002 and 2015 and survived without recurrence for 5 years. Clinicopathological factors associated with recurrence-free survival beyond 5 years after surgery were investigated using univariate and multivariate analyses. The development of late metachronous malignancies was also investigated.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period from 5 years post-surgery was 27 months in the whole cohort. Late recurrence occurred in 37 (3.8%) patients. Late metachronous malignancies were diagnosed in 116 patients (11.9%), including 57 (5.8%) with lung cancer. One-, three-, and five-year recurrence-free survival rates beyond 5 years after surgery were 97.6%, 94.7%, and 94.7%, respectively. The recurrence-free survival of patients with pN1-2 was significantly poorer than that of patients with pN0 disease. Multivariate analysis revealed that adenocarcinoma and pN1-2 status were significantly associated with poor recurrence-free survival beyond 5 years post-surgery (P = 0.009 and 0.007, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Non-adenocarcinoma histology and pN0 status were significant favorable factors for recurrence-free survival beyond 5 years post-surgery. The efficacies of long-term surveillance for the detection of late recurrence were considered limited for these populations. Twelve percent of the patients experienced late metachronous malignancies after pulmonary resection.

Disentangling the roles of aneuploidy, chromosomal instability and tumour heterogeneity in developing resistance to cancer therapies

Aneuploidy is defined as the cellular state of having a number of chromosomes that deviates from a multiple of the normal haploid chromosome number of a given organism. Aneuploidy can be present in a static state: Down syndrome individuals stably maintain an extra copy of chromosome 21 in their cells. In cancer cells, however, aneuploidy is usually present in combination with chromosomal instability (CIN) which leads to a continual generation of new chromosomal alterations and the development of intratumour heterogeneity (ITH). The prevalence of cells with specific chromosomal alterations is further shaped by evolutionary selection, for example, during the administration of cancer therapies. Aneuploidy, CIN and ITH have each been individually associated with poor prognosis in cancer, and a wealth of evidence suggests they contribute, either alone or in combination, to cancer therapy resistance by providing a reservoir of potential resistant states, or the ability to rapidly evolve resistance. A full understanding of the contribution and interplay between aneuploidy, CIN and ITH is required to tackle therapy resistance in cancer patients. However, these characteristics often co-occur and are intrinsically linked, presenting a major challenge to defining their individual contributions. Moreover, their accurate measurement in both experimental and clinical settings is a technical hurdle. Here, we attempt to deconstruct the contribution of the individual and combined roles of aneuploidy, CIN and ITH to therapy resistance in cancer, and outline emerging approaches to measure and disentangle their roles as a step towards integrating these principles into cancer therapeutic strategy.

Risk factors and prognostic nomogram for patients with second primary cancers after lung cancer using classical statistics and machine learning

Previous studies have revealed an increased risk of secondary primary cancers (SPC) after lung cancer. The prognostic prediction models for SPC patients after lung cancer are particularly needed to guide screening. Therefore, we study retrospectively analyzed the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database using classical statistics and machine learning to explore the risk factors and construct a novel overall survival (OS) prediction nomogram for patients with SPC after lung cancer. Data of patients with SPC after lung cancer, covering 2000 to 2016, were gathered from the SEER database. The incidence of SPC after lung cancer was calculated by Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs). Cox proportional hazards regression, machine learning (ML), Kaplan-Meier (KM) methods, and log-rank tests were conducted to identify the important prognostic factors for predicting OS. These significant prognostic factors were used for the development of an OS prediction nomogram. Totally, 10,487 SPC samples were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts (model construction and internal validation) from the SEER database. In the random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) feature importance ranking models, age was the most important variable which was also reflected in the nomogram. And, the models that combined machine learning with cox proportional hazards had a better predictive performance than the model that only used cox proportional hazards (AUC = 0.762 in RF, AUC = 0.737 in XGBoost, AUC = 0.722 in COX). Calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) curves also revealed that our nomogram has excellent clinical utility. The web-based dynamic nomogram calculator was accessible on https://httseer.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/ . The prognosis characteristics of SPC following lung cancer were systematically reviewed. The dynamic nomogram we constructed can provide survival predictions to assist clinicians in making individualized decisions.

Surgical selection and regional lymph node dissection for stage I second primary lung cancer patients following surgery for stage I first primary lung cancer

Introduction

Studies investigating surgery for second primary non-small cell lung cancer (SP) patients are rare. The aim of this study was to explore the effects of surgical methods and regional lymph node (LN) dissection on lung cancer-specific mortality (LCSM) in stage I SP patients following surgery for stage I first primary non-small cell lung cancer (FP).

Methods

Data on patients diagnosed with stage I SP after surgery for stage I FP were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Cumulative incidence function (CIF) curves, a competing risk model and propensity score matching (PSM) were adopted to compare the LCSM among different subgroups (including surgery and regional LN dissection).

Results

A total of 238 stage I SP patients were extracted from the SEER database. Overall, the 5-year LCSM rate was 29.8% (CI: 23.1%-36.5%) for the whole cohort. Both before and after PSM, lobectomy had a similar LCSM incidence as sublobectomy, and ≥4 regional LN dissections had a significantly lower LCSM incidence than 1~3 regional LN dissections.In addition, patients who underwent 1~3 regional LN dissections had a comparable incidence of LCSM to those without LN dissections.

Discussion

Stage I SP patients tended to gain more survival benefits when surgeons dissect ≥4 regional LNs. Allowing for the comparable LCSM incidence of sublobectomy to lobectomy, sublobectomy may be a reasonable choice for thoracic surgeons when performing surgery for these patients.

Preoperative Mutational Analysis of Circulating Tumor Cells (CTCs) and Plasma-cfDNA Provides Complementary Information for Early Prediction of Relapse: A Pilot Study in Early-Stage Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

PURPOSE

We assessed whether preoperativemutational analyses of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and plasma-cfDNA could be used as minimally invasive biomarkers and as complimentary tools for early prediction of relapse in early-stage non-small -cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Using ddPCR assays, hotspot mutations of BRAF, KRAS, EGFR and PIK3CA were identified in plasma-cfDNA samples and size-based enriched CTCs isolated from the same blood samples of 49 early-stage NSCLC patients before surgery and in a control group of healthy blood donors (n= 22). Direct concordance of the mutational spectrum was further evaluated in 27 patient-matched plasma-cfDNA and CTC-derived DNA in comparison to tissue-derived DNA.

RESULTS

The prevalence of detectable mutations of the four tested genes was higher in CTC-derived DNA than in the corresponding plasma-cfDNA (38.8% and 24.5%, respectively).The most commonly mutated gene was PIK3CA, in both CTCs and plasma-cfDNA at baseline and at the time of relapse. Direct comparison of the mutation status of selected drug-responsive genes in CTC-derived DNA, corresponding plasma-cfDNA and paired primary FFPE tissues clearly showed the impact of heterogeneity both within a sample type, as well as between different sample components. The incidence of relapse was higher when at least one mutation was detected in CTC-derived DNA or plasma-cfDNA compared with patients in whom no mutation was detected (p =0.023). Univariate analysis showed a significantly higher risk of progression (HR: 2.716; 95% CI, 1.030-7.165; p =0.043) in patients with detectable mutations in plasma-cfDNA compared with patients with undetectable mutations, whereas the hazard ratio was higher when at least one mutation was detected in CTC-derived DNA or plasma-cfDNA (HR: 3.375; 95% CI, 1.098-10.375; p =0.034).

CONCLUSIONS

Simultaneous mutational analyses of plasma-cfDNA and CTC-derived DNA provided complementary molecular information from the same blood sample and greater diversity in genomic information for cancer treatment and prognosis. The detection of specific mutations in ctDNA and CTCs in patients with early-stage NSCLC before surgery was independently associated with disease recurrence, which represents an important stratification factor for future trials.

The Prognostic Long-Term Impact of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Postoperative Mucostasis in Patients with Curatively Resected Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) serves as risk factor for the development of lung cancer and seems to have a prognostic impact after surgery for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The aim was to investigate the impact of COPD and postoperative mucostasis on the long-term survival after resected NSCLC. We retrospectively reviewed the data from 342 patients with curatively resected NSCLC. The prognostic long-term impact of COPD and postoperative mucostasis on overall survival (OS), recurrence free survival (RFS) and cancer specific survival (CSS) was calculated using univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses. We found that 52.3% suffered from COPD and 25.4% had postoperative mucostasis. COPD was significantly more common among smokers (59.9%) compared with non-smokers (21.3%), (p < 0.001). There was a significant relationship between COPD and postoperative mucostasis (p = 0.006) and between smoking and mucostasis (p = 0.023). Patients with postoperative mucostasis had a significantly worse OS (p < 0.001), RFS (p = 0.009) and CSS (p = 0.008). The present analysis demonstrated that postoperative mucostasis, but not COPD, was associated with both worse short- and long-term outcomes for OS, RFS and CSS in curatively resected NSCLC.

Prevalence of lung tumors in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and vice versa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Recent reports suggest an increased prevalence of lung second primary tumors (LSPTs) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients and vice versa. However, the exact prevalence of SPTs remains unclear and screening for these SPTs is currently not routinely performed in western countries. We aimed to report on the prevalence of LSPTs in patients with ESCC and esophageal second primary tumors (ESPTs) in patients with lung cancer (LC).

METHODS

Databases were searched until 25 March 2021 for studies reporting the prevalence of LSPTs in ESCC or vice versa. Pooled prevalences with 95% confidence intervals (CI) of SPTs were calculated with inverse variance, random-effects models and Clopper-Pearson.

RESULTS

Nineteen studies in ESCC patients and 20 studies in LC patients were included. The pooled prevalence of LSPTs in patients with ESCC was 1.8% (95% CI 1.4-2.3%). For ESPTs in LC patients, the pooled prevalence was 0.2% (95% CI 0.1-0.4%). The prevalence of LSPTs in ESCC patients was significantly higher in patients treated curatively compared to studies also including palliative patients (median 2.5% versus 1.3%). This difference was consistent for the ESPT prevalence in LC patients (treated curatively median 1.3% versus 0.1% for all treatments). Over 50% of the detected SPTs were squamous cell carcinomas and were diagnosed metachronously.

CONCLUSION

Patients with ESCC and LC have an increased risk of developing SPTs in the lungs and esophagus. However, the relatively low SPT prevalence rates do not justify screening in these patients. Further research should focus on risk stratification to identify subgroups of patients at highest risk of SPT development.

Potential utility of longitudinal somatic mutation and methylation profiling for predicting molecular residual disease in postoperative non-small cell lung cancer patients

GROWING EFFORTS ARE BEING INVESTED IN INVESTIGATING VARIOUS MOLECULAR APPROACHES TO DETECT MINIMAL RESIDUAL DISEASE (MRD) AND PREDICT DISEASE RECURRENCE. IN OUR STUDY, WE INVESTIGATED THE UTILITY OF PARALLEL LONGITUDINAL ANALYSIS OF MUTATION AND DNA METHYLATION PROFILES FOR PREDICTING MRD IN POSTOPERATIVE NON-SMALL-CELL LUNG CANCER (NSCLC) PATIENTS. TUMOR TISSUES AND LONGITUDINAL BLOOD SAMPLES WERE OBTAINED FROM 65 PATIENTS WITH RESECTED STAGE IA-IIIB NSCLC. SOMATIC MUTATION AND DNA METHYLATION PROFILING WERE PERFORMED USING ULTRA-DEEP TARGETED SEQUENCING AND TARGETED BISULFITE SEQUENCING, RESPECTIVELY. DYNAMIC CHANGES IN PLASMA-BASED MUTATION AND TUMOR-INFORMED METHYLATION PROFILES, REFLECTED AS MRD SCORE, WERE OBSERVED FROM BEFORE SURGERY (BASELINE) TO POSTOPERATIVE FOLLOW-UP, REFLECTING THE DECREASE IN TUMOR BURDEN OF THE PATIENTS WITH RESECTED NSCLC. MUTATIONS WERE DETECTED FROM PLASMA SAMPLES IN 63% OF THE PATIENTS AT BASELINE, WHICH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED TO 23-25% DURING POST-OPERATIVE FOLLOW-UPS. MRD SCORE POSITIVE RATE WAS 95.7% AT BASELINE, WHICH REDUCED TO 74% AT THE FIRST AND 70% AT THE SECOND FOLLOW-UP. AMONG THE 5 RELAPSED PATIENTS WITH PARALLEL LONGITUDINAL ANALYSIS OF MUTATION AND METHYLATION PROFILE, ELEVATED MRD SCORE WAS OBSERVED AT FOLLOW-UP BETWEEN 0.5-7 MONTHS PRIOR TO RADIOLOGIC RECURRENCE FOR ALL 5 PATIENTS. OF THEM, 4 PATIENTS ALSO HAD CONCOMITANT INCREASE IN ALLELIC FRACTION OF MUTATIONS IN AT LEAST 1 FOLLOW-UP TIME POINT, BUT ONE PATIENT HAD NO MUTATION DETECTED THROUGHOUT ALL FOLLOW-UPS. OUR RESULTS DEMONSTRATE THAT LONGITUDINAL PROFILING OF MUTATION AND DNA METHYLATION MAY HAVE POTENTIAL FOR DETECTING MRD AND PREDICTING RECURRENCE IN POSTOPERATIVE NSCLC PATIENTS.

Innovative Approaches in the Battle Against Cancer Recurrence: Novel Strategies to Combat Dormant Disseminated Tumor Cells

Cancer recurrence remains a great fear for many cancer survivors following their initial, apparently successful, therapy. Despite significant improvement in the overall survival of many types of cancer, metastasis accounts for ~90% of all cancer mortality. There is a growing understanding that future therapeutic practices must accommodate this unmet medical need in preventing metastatic recurrence. Accumulating evidence supports dormant disseminated tumor cells (DTCs) as a source of cancer recurrence and recognizes the need for novel strategies to target these tumor cells. This review presents strategies to target dormant quiescent DTCs that reside at secondary sites. These strategies aim to prevent recurrence by maintaining dormant DTCs at bay, or eradicating them. Various approaches are presented, including: reinforcing the niche where dormant DTCs reside in order to keep dormant DTCs at bay; promoting cell intrinsic mechanisms to induce dormancy; preventing the engagement of dormant DTCs with their supportive niche in order to prevent their reactivation; targeting cell-intrinsic mechanisms mediating long-term survival of dormant DTCs; sensitizing dormant DTCs to chemotherapy treatments; and, inhibiting the immune evasion of dormant DTCs, leading to their demise. Various therapeutic approaches, some of which utilize drugs that are already approved, or have been tested in clinical trials and may be considered for repurposing, will be discussed. In addition, clinical evidence for the presence of dormant DTCs will be reviewed, along with potential prognostic biomarkers to enable the identification and stratification of patients who are at high risk of recurrence, and who could benefit from novel dormant DTCs targeting therapies. Finally, we will address the shortcomings of current trial designs for determining activity against dormant DTCs and provide novel approaches.

Rationale and Design of a Telehealth Self-Management, Shared Care Intervention for Post-treatment Survivors of Lung and Colorectal Cancer

Survivors of lung and colorectal cancer have high post-treatment needs; the majority are older and suffer from greater comorbidities and poor quality of life (QOL). They remain underrepresented in research, leading to significant disparities in post-treatment outcomes. Personalized post-treatment follow-up care and care coordination among healthcare teams is a priority for survivors of lung and colorectal cancer. However, there are few evidence-based interventions that address survivors' post-treatment needs beyond the use of a follow-up care plan. This paper describes the rationale and design of an evidence-informed telehealth intervention that integrates shared care coordination between oncology/primary care and self-management skills building to empower post-treatment survivors of lung and colorectal cancer. The intervention design was informed by (1) contemporary published evidence on cancer survivorship, (2) our previous research in lung and colorectal cancer survivorship, (3) the chronic care self-management model (CCM), and (4) shared post-treatment follow-up care between oncology and primary care. A two-arm, parallel randomized controlled trial will determine the efficacy of the telehealth intervention to improve cancer care delivery and survivor-specific outcomes. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04428905.

Hazard Curves for Tumor Recurrence and Tumor-Related Death Following Esophagectomy for Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The knowledge of both patterns and risk of relapse following resection for esophageal cancer is crucial for establishing appropriate surveillance schedules. The aim of this study was to evaluate the pattern of hazards for tumor recurrence and tumor-related death in the postoperative long-term follow-up after esophagectomy.

METHODS

Retrospective single-center analysis of 362 patients, with resected esophageal cancer. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was used.

RESULTS

A total of 192 (53%) had postoperative tumor recurrence. The relapse patterns of adenocarcinoma and squamous-cell carcinoma showed that each had a single peak, 12 months after surgery. After induction there was one peak at 5 months, the non-induced patients peaked 11 months, postoperatively. At 18 months, the recurrence hazard declined sharply in all cases. The hazard curves for tumor-related death were bimodal for adenocarcinoma, with two peaks at 6 and 22 months and one single peak for squamous-cell carcinoma at 18 months after surgery, showing pronounced decline later on.

CONCLUSION

In curatively resected esophageal cancer, both tumor recurrence hazard and hazard for tumor-related death showed distinct, partly bimodal patterns. It could be justified to intensify the surveillance during the first two postoperative years by initiating a close-meshed follow-up to detect and treat tumor recurrence, as early as possible.