A Review of Concurrent Chemo/Radiation, Immunotherapy, Radiation Planning, and Biomarkers for Locally Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer and Their Role in the Development of ECOG-ACRIN EA5181

Dynamic bTMB combined with residual ctDNA improves survival prediction in locally advanced NSCLC patients with chemoradiotherapy and consolidation immunotherapy

Background

Liquid biopsy-based biomarkers, including circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and blood tumor mutational burden (bTMB), are recognized as promising predictors of prognoses and responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), despite insufficient sensitivity of single biomarker detection. This research aims to determine whether the combinatorial utility of longitudinal ctDNA with bTMB analysis could improve the prognostic and predictive effects.

Methods

This prospective two-center cohort trial, consisting of discovery and validation datasets, enrolled unresectable locally advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC) patients and assigned them to chemoradiotherapy (CRT) or CRT + consolidation ICI cohorts from 2018 to 2022. Blood specimens were collected pretreatment, 4 weeks post-CRT, and at progression to assess bTMB and ctDNA using 486-gene next-generation sequencing. Dynamic ∆bTMB was calculated as post-CRT bTMB minus baseline bTMB levels. Decision curve analyses were performed to calculate Concordance index (C-index).

Results

One hundred twenty-eight patients were enrolled. In the discovery dataset (n = 73), patients treated with CRT and consolidation ICI had significantly longer overall survival (OS; median not reached [NR] vs 20.2 months; P < 0.001) and progression-free survival (PFS; median 25.2 vs 11.4 months; P = 0.011) than those without ICI. Longitudinal analysis demonstrated a significant decrease in ctDNA abundance post-CRT (P < 0.001) but a relative increase with disease progression. Post-CRT detectable residual ctDNA correlated with significantly shorter OS (median 18.3 months vs NR; P = 0.001) and PFS (median 7.3 vs 25.2 months; P < 0.001). For patients with residual ctDNA, consolidation ICI brought significantly greater OS (median NR vs 14.8 months; P = 0.005) and PFS (median 13.8 vs 6.2 months; P = 0.028) benefit, but no significant difference for patients with ctDNA clearance. Dynamic ∆bTMB was predictive of prognosis. Patients with residual ctDNA and increased ∆bTMB (∆bTMB > 0) had significantly worse OS (median 9.0 vs 23.0 months vs NR; P < 0.001) and PFS (median 3.4 vs 7.3 vs 25.2 months; P < 0.001). The combinatorial model integrating post-CRT ctDNA with ∆bTMB had optimal predictive effects on OS (C-index = 0.723) and PFS (C-index = 0.693), outperforming individual features. In the independent validation set, we confirmed residual ctDNA predicted poorer PFS (median 50.8 vs 14.3 months; P = 0.026) but identified more consolidation ICI benefit (median NR vs 8.3 months; P = 0.039). The combined model exhibited a stable predictive advantage (C-index = 0.742 for PFS).

Conclusions

The multiparameter assay integrating qualitative residual ctDNA testing with quantitative ∆bTMB dynamics improves patient prognostic risk stratification and efficacy predictions, allowing for personalized consolidation therapy for LA-NSCLC.

Mechanistic rationales for combining immunotherapy with radiotherapy

Immunotherapy consisted mainly of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has led to significantly improved antitumor response. However, such response has been observed only in tumors possessing an overall responsive tumor immune micro-environment (TIME), in which the presence of functional tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) is critical. Various mechanisms of immune escape from immunosurveillance exist, leading to different TIME phenotypes in correlation with primary or acquired resistance to ICIs. Radiotherapy has been shown to induce antitumor immunity not only in the irradiated primary tumor, but also at unirradiated distant sites of metastases. Such antitumor immunity is mainly elicited by radiation's stimulatory effects on antigenicity and adjuvanticity. Furthermore, it may be significantly augmented when irradiation is combined with immunotherapy, such as ICIs. Therefore, radiotherapy represents one potential therapeutic strategy to restore anti-tumor immunity in tumors presenting with an unresponsive TIME. In this review, the generation of anti-tumor immunity, its impairment, radiation's immunogenic properties, and the antitumor effects of combining radiation with immunotherapy will be comprehensively discussed.