Mechanistic modeling of metastatic relapse in early breast cancer to investigate the biological impact of prognostic biomarkers

Mathematical modeling of brain metastases growth and response to therapies: A review

Brain metastases (BMs) are the most common intracranial tumor type and a significant health concern, affecting approximately 10% to 30% of all oncological patients. Although significant progress is being made, many aspects of the metastatic process to the brain and the growth of the resulting lesions are still not well understood. There is a need for an improved understanding of the growth dynamics and the response to treatment of these tumors. Mathematical models have been proven valuable for drawing inferences and making predictions in different fields of cancer research, but few mathematical works have considered BMs. This comprehensive review aims to establish a unified platform and contribute to fostering emerging efforts dedicated to enhancing our mathematical understanding of this intricate and challenging disease. We focus on the progress made in the initial stages of mathematical modeling research regarding BMs and the significant insights gained from such studies. We also explore the vital role of mathematical modeling in predicting treatment outcomes and enhancing the quality of clinical decision-making for patients facing BMs.

A review of mechanistic learning in mathematical oncology

Mechanistic learning refers to the synergistic combination of mechanistic mathematical modeling and data-driven machine or deep learning. This emerging field finds increasing applications in (mathematical) oncology. This review aims to capture the current state of the field and provides a perspective on how mechanistic learning may progress in the oncology domain. We highlight the synergistic potential of mechanistic learning and point out similarities and differences between purely data-driven and mechanistic approaches concerning model complexity, data requirements, outputs generated, and interpretability of the algorithms and their results. Four categories of mechanistic learning (sequential, parallel, extrinsic, intrinsic) of mechanistic learning are presented with specific examples. We discuss a range of techniques including physics-informed neural networks, surrogate model learning, and digital twins. Example applications address complex problems predominantly from the domain of oncology research such as longitudinal tumor response predictions or time-to-event modeling. As the field of mechanistic learning advances, we aim for this review and proposed categorization framework to foster additional collaboration between the data- and knowledge-driven modeling fields. Further collaboration will help address difficult issues in oncology such as limited data availability, requirements of model transparency, and complex input data which are embraced in a mechanistic learning framework.

Kinetics of cancer metastasis

The formation of metastases during cancer is now considered to be induced by migrating metastatic stem cells (MetSCs) in preexisting niches or niches induced by MetSCs or tumor-derived exosomes (TDEs). I propose and compare two simplest generic models describing these two scenarios. The number of tumors is predicted (i) to increase exponentially in the case of preexisting niches and (ii) to diverge during a finite time interval in the case of induced niches. The latter prediction is novel and of interest because rapid collapse in the end of a finite time interval is a well-known feature of the cancer metastasis. Two advanced models describing the two scenarios of cancer metastasis have been scrutinized as well. These models clarify the likely role of various specific factors in the metastasis. In particular, the equations derived in the framework of the advanced model with preexisting niches have been solved analytically allowing (i) to clarify the factors determining the duration of the period from the initiation of the primary tumor to the phase when the metastases start to dominate, (ii) to estimate the number of metastases in the end of this period, and (iii) to explains why the use of chemotherapy typically results in the improvement of the patient state only for a relatively short period. The equations derived in the framework of the advanced model with induced niches have no analytical solution, and their analysis merits additional attention.